National Bureau of Economic Research

Conference on Research in Income and Wealth:

Price Index Concepts and Measurement Conference

June 28-29, 2004

 

The Fairmont Waterfront

900 Canada Place Way

Vancouver, BC  V6C 3L5 Canada

 

MONDAY JUNE 28, 2004

 

 

8:00 a.m.

Continental Breakfast

 

 

SESSION 1

The Schultze Report Revisited

 

Chair:  Charles Schultze, The Brookings Institution

 

 

8:30-9:15

A Review of the Issues Raised in the NAS Report

 

Erwin Diewert, University of British Columbia and NBER

 

John Greenlees, Bureau of Labor Statistics

 

Charles Hulten, University of Maryland and NBER

 

Discussant: Barry Bosworth, The Brookings Institution

 

 

9:15-10:00

The Schultze and Boskin Reports: What Have We Learned?

 

Jack Triplett, The Brookings Institution

 

Discussant: David Johnson, The Bureau of Labor Statistics

 

 

10:00-10:30

Break

 

 

SESSION 2

Quality Change, Hedonic Regressions and New Products I:

 

Chair: Erwin Diewert, University of British Columbia and NBER

 

 

10:30-11:45

New Goods: Consumer Welfare and Productivity Effects

 

Jerry Hausman, MIT and NBER

 

Discussant: Marshall Reinsdorf, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

 

 

11:45-12:00

Apparel Prices 1914-93 and the Hulten-Bruegel Paradox

 

Robert J. Gordon, Northwestern University and NBER

 

Discussant: TBA

 

 

12:00-1:00

Lunch

 

 

SESSION 3

Quality Change, Hedonic Regressions and New Products II

 

Chair: Alice Nakamura, University of Alberta.

 

 

1:00-1:45

Re-Assessing the Quality Adjustment to Computer Prices

 

Robert Feenstra, UC, Davis and NBER

 

Christopher Kittel, UC, Davis

 

Discussant: Dan Sichel, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve

 

 

1:45-2:30

New Developments and the Theory and Practice of Hedonic Regressions

 

Tim Erickson, Bureau of Labor Statistics

 

Ariel Pakes, Harvard University and NBER

 

Discussant: Jerry Hausman, MIT and NBER

 

 

2:30-3:15

How Much to Weight?  An Application to PC Software

 

Ernst R. Berndt, MIT and NBER

 

Alan G. White, Analysis Group

 

Discussant: Carol Corrado, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve

 

 

3:15-3:45

Break

 

 

SESSION 4

Quality Change, Hedonic Regressions and New Products III

 

Chair: Charles Hulten, University of Maryland and NBER

 

 

3:45-4:30

The Difference Between Hedonic Imputation Indexes and Time Dummy Hedonic Indexes

 

Mick Silver, Cardiff University

 

Saeed Heravi, Cardiff University

 

Discussant: Jan de Haan, Statistics Netherlands.

 

 

4:30-5:45

Roundtable on Hedonics and New Products:

Participants:

Ernst Berndt, MIT and NBER

 

Erwin Diewert, University of British Columbia and NBER

 

Robert Feenstra, UC, Davis and NBER

 

Jerry Hausman, MIT and NBER

 

Robert Gordon, Northwestern University and NBER

 

Ariel Pakes, Northwestern University and NBER

 

Jack Triplett, Brookings Institution

 

 

TBA

Dinner

 

Speech: “The New International CPI Manual”

 

Peter Hill, Consultant

 

Erwin Diewert, University of British Columbia and NBER

 

Mick Silver, Cardiff University.

 

 

 

 

TUESDAY JUNE 29, 2004

 

 

8:00 a.m.

Continental Breakfast

 

 

SESSION 5

Price and Output Measurement for Financial Services

 

Chair: John Greenlees, Bureau of Labor Statistics

 

 

8:30-9:15

Price and Output Measurement for Financial Services: Concepts and Implementation

 

Susanto Basu, University of Michigan and NBER

 

John Fernald, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

 

Christina Wang, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

 

Discussant: Paul Schreyer, OECD

 

 

9:15-10:00

Price Indexes for Financial Services

 

Dennis Fixler, Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

Discussant: Susanto Basu, University of Michigan and NBER

 

 

10:00-10:30

Break

 

 

SESSION 6

Difficult to Measure Goods and Services

 

Chair: John Greenlees, Bureau of Labor Statistics

 

 

10:30-11:15

Can Health Care Claims Data Improve the Estimation of the Medical CPI?

 

Ralph Bradley, Bureau of Labor Statistics

 

Jonathan E. Conklin, Bureau of Labor Statistics

 

William D. Marder, Bureau of Labor Statistics

 

Discussant: Matthew Shapiro, University of Michigan and NBER

 

 

11:15-12:00

Measuring the Output of the Government: the Case of Education

 

Barbara Fraumeni, Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

Marshall B. Reinsdorf, Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

Brooks B. Robinson, Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

Matthew P. Williams, Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

Discussant: Dale W. Jorgenson, Harvard University.

 

 

12:00-12:45

Measuring the Output and Prices of the Lottery Sector

 

Kam Yu, Lakehead University

 

Discussant: Alan White, The Analysis Group

 

 

12:45-2:00

Lunch

 

Speaker:  Dale W. Jorgenson, Harvard University

 

 

SESSION 7

COLI Measurement Issues

 

Chair: Dennis Fixler, Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

 

2:00-2:45

Household Production, Consumption and CPIs

 

Peter Hill, Consultant

 

Discussant: TBA

 

 

2:45-3:30

The Treatment of Owner Occupied Housing and Other Durables in a Consumer Price Index

 

Erwin Diewert, University of British Columbia and NBER

 

Discussant: Alan Heston, University of Pennsylvania.

 

 

3:30-4:00

Break

 

 

SESSION 8

Conference Wrap Up Session

 

Chair: Charles Hulten, University of Maryland and NBER

 

 

4:00-4:30

Conference Summary:

 

What Have we Learned? What are the Issues to Resolve?

 

John Greenlees, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

 

 

4:30-5:00

Discussion from the floor

 

Notes to authors and discussants

 

Authors will get 20 minutes to present the highlights of their results, the discussants will get 10 minutes to either point out what they see as the major problems or if there are no major problems, then they can give an indication of where future generalizations or extensions of the paper may lie.  This leaves 15 minutes for discussion from the floor.

 

However, discussants may (if they wish) provide more extensive written comments on the papers that they discuss.  These will be posted on the CRIW/NBER conference website.

 

Authors must submit their paper to Carl Beck at: cbeck@nber.org by June 1, 2004 in a PDF or Word file so that it can be posted on the conference website and so that discussants will have a chance to prepare their comments in advance.  Authors who do not meet this deadline will be dropped from the final program, thus freeing up more time to discuss the papers that were submitted on time.  Copies of the conference papers will be made available at the conference site but we anticipate that participants will be downloading and reading the papers of particular interest to them so that they can ask thought provoking questions of the authors and discussants.

 

The conference proceedings will be published in the usual CRIW/NBER series subject to review.  We hope that the program will advance the state of the art in index number theory and measurement economics.