Is Agricultural Production Becoming More or Less Sensitive to Extreme Heat? Evidence from U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields
,
NBER Working Paper No. 16308
Issued in August 2010
NBER Program(s):Environment and Energy Economics
Extreme heat is the single best predictor of corn and soybean yields in the United States. While average yields have risen continuously since World War II, we find no evidence that relative tolerance to extreme heat has improved between 1950 and 2005. Climate change forecasts project a sharp increase in extreme heat by the end of the century, with the potential to significantly reduce yields under current technologies.
This paper is available as PDF (257 K) or via email
Machine-readable bibliographic record - MARC, RIS, BibTeX
Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w16308
Published: Is Agricultural Production Becoming More or Less Sensitive to Extreme Heat? Evidence from U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields, Michael J. Roberts, Wolfram Schlenker. in The Design and Implementation of U.S. Climate Policy, Fullerton and Wolfram. 2012