New This Week Archive

NBER Working Papers released in the past, by week.

Weekly papers released by September 29, 2014

• Procyclical and Countercyclical Fiscal Multipliers: Evidence from OECD Countries
  Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos A. Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin #20533 (IFM)
  
• Starving (or Fattening) the Golden Goose?: Generic Entry and the Incentives for Early-Stage Pharmaceutical Innovation
  Lee Branstetter, Chirantan Chatterjee, and Matthew J. Higgins #20532 (HE   PR)
  
• Cashier or Consultant? Entry Labor Market Conditions, Field of Study, and Career Success
  Joseph G. Altonji, Lisa B. Kahn, and Jamin D. Speer #20531 (LS)
  
• In Praise of Frank Ramsey's Contribution to the Theory of Taxation
  Joseph E. Stiglitz #20530 (PE)
  
• The Impatient Salesperson and the Delegation of Pricing Authority
  Edward P. Lazear #20529 (LS   IO)
  
• The Value of Postsecondary Credentials in the Labor Market: An Experimental Study
  David J. Deming, Noam Yuchtman, Amira Abulafi, Claudia Goldin, and Lawrence F. Katz #20528 (DAE   ED   LS)
  
• Precautionary Saving of Chinese and U.S. Households
  Horag Choi, Steven Lugauer, and Nelson C. Mark #20527 (DEV   IFM   ME)
  
• International Financial Integration and Crisis Contagion
  Michael B. Devereux and Changhua Yu #20526 (IFM)
  
• Why is Infant Mortality Higher in the US than in Europe?
  Alice Chen, Emily Oster, and Heidi Williams #20525 (AG   CH   HC   HE   PE)
  
• Non-Legal-Tender Paper Money: The Structure and Performance of Maryland’s Bills of Credit, 1767-1775
  Jim Celia and Farley Grubb #20524 (DAE)
  
• The Bidder Exclusion Effect
  Dominic Coey, Bradley Larsen, and Kane Sweeney #20523 (IO   TWP)
  
• Remittance Responses to Temporary Discounts: A Field Experiment among Central American Migrants
  Kate Ambler, Diego Aycinena, and Dean Yang #20522 (DEV)
  
• Immigration, International Collaboration, and Innovation: Science and Technology Policy in the Global Economy
  Richard B. Freeman #20521 (ED   PR)
  
• Debt Relief and Debtor Outcomes: Measuring the Effects of Consumer Bankruptcy Protection
  Will Dobbie and Jae Song #20520 (   LS   LE)
  
• Incumbency Advantage in Non-Democracies
  Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin #20519 (POL)
  
• Monetary Policy Effectiveness in China: Evidence from a FAVAR Model
  John Fernald, Mark M. Spiegel, and Eric T. Swanson #20518 (EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Reconstructing Macroeconomic Theory to Manage Economic Policy
  Joseph E. Stiglitz #20517 (EFG   ME)
  
• The Role of Dynamic Renegotiation and Asymmetric Information in Financial Contracting
  Michael R. Roberts #20484 (CF)
  
• Aggregate Issuance and Savings Waves
  Andrea L. Eisfeldt and Tyler Muir #20442 (CF   EFG)
  
• Keynes, King's and Endowment Asset Management
  David Chambers, Elroy Dimson, and Justin Foo #20421 (AP   ED)
  

Weekly papers released by September 22, 2014

• Strategic Trading in Informationally Complex Environments
  Nicolas S. Lambert, Michael Ostrovsky, and Mikhail Panov #20516 (AP)
  
• Risk Corridors and Reinsurance in Health Insurance Marketplaces: Insurance for Insurers
  Timothy J. Layton, Thomas G. McGuire, and Anna D. Sinaiko #20515 (HC   HE)
  
• Appropriability Mechanisms, Innovation and Productivity: Evidence from the UK
  Bronwyn H. Hall and Vania Sena #20514 (IO   PR)
  
• On the Ethnic Origins of African Development Chiefs and Pre-colonial Political Centralization
  Stelios Michalopoulos and Elias Papaioannou #20513 (DEV   EFG   POL)
  
• Permission to Exist
  Martin C. Byford and Joshua S. Gans #20512 (IO   PR)
  
• The Impact of No Child Left Behind’s Accountability Sanctions on School Performance: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from North Carolina
  Thomas Ahn and Jacob Vigdor #20511 (ED)
  
• Real Exchange Rates and Sectoral Productivity in the Eurozone
  Martin Berka, Michael B. Devereux, and Charles Engel #20510 (IFM)
  
• Misclassification in Binary Choice Models
  Bruce Meyer and Nikolas Mittag #20509 (AG   CH   HC   HE   LS   PE)
  
• Dutch Disease or Agglomeration? The Local Economic Effects of Natural Resource Booms in Modern America
  Hunt Allcott and Daniel Keniston #20508 (DAE   EEE   IO   LS   PR)
  
• The Federal Reserve’s Abandonment of its 1923 Principles
  Julio J. Rotemberg #20507 (DAE   ME)
  
• Demographics and Entrepreneurship
  James Liang, Hui Wang, and Edward P. Lazear #20506 (IO   LS)
  
• Finishing Degrees and Finding Jobs: U.S. Higher Education and the Flow of Foreign IT Workers
  John Bound, Murat Demirci, Gaurav Khanna, and Sarah Turner #20505 (ED   LS)
  
• Public Goods and Ethnic Diversity: Evidence from Deforestation in Indonesia
  Alberto Alesina, Caterina Gennaioli, and Stefania Lovo #20504 (DEV   POL)
  
• Cities and the Environment
  Matthew E. Kahn and Randall Walsh #20503 (EEE   PE   POL)
  
• Growth, Trade, and Inequality
  Gene M. Grossman and Elhanan Helpman #20502 (EFG   ITI)
  
• The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles
  Òscar Jordà, Moritz Schularick, and Alan M. Taylor #20501 (DAE   EFG   ME)
  
• The Economics of Attribute-Based Regulation: Theory and Evidence from Fuel-Economy Standards
  Koichiro Ito and James M. Sallee #20500 (EEE   PE)
  
• Should Hospitals Keep Their Patients Longer? The Role of Inpatient and Outpatient Care in Reducing Readmissions
  Ann P. Bartel, Carri W. Chan, and Song-Hee (Hailey) Kim #20499 (HC   HE   PE)
  
• International Trade and Intertemporal Substitution
  Fernando Leibovici and Michael E. Waugh #20498 (EFG   IFM   ITI)
  
• Household Debt: Facts, Puzzles, Theories, and Policies
  Jonathan Zinman #20496 (AG   LE)
  
• Trade Models, Trade Elasticities, and the Gains from Trade
  Ina Simonovska and Michael E. Waugh #20495 (ITI)
  
• The Bond Market: An Inflation-Targeter’s Best Friend
  Andrew K. Rose #20494 (IFM)
  
• Leaders and Followers: Perspectives on the Nordic Model and the Economics of Innovation
  Joseph E. Stiglitz #20493 (PR)
  
• In with the Big, Out with the Small: Removing Small-Scale Reservations in India
  Leslie A. Martin, Shanthi Nataraj, and Ann Harrison #19942 (DEV   ITI)
  

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Weekly papers released by September 15, 2014

• Patents and the Global Diffusion of New Drugs
  Iain M. Cockburn, Jean O. Lanjouw, and Mark Schankerman #20492 (PR)
  
• Fertility and Financial Development: Evidence from U.S. Counties in the 19th Century
  Alberto Basso, Howard Bodenhorn, and David Cuberes #20491 (DAE)
  
• Banks, Liquidity Management and Monetary Policy
  Javier Bianchi and Saki Bigio #20490 (EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Taxation and Top Incomes in Canada
  Kevin Milligan and Michael Smart #20489 (PE)
  
• Fixed Costs and the Product Market Treatment of Preference Minorities
  Steven Berry, Alon Eizenberg, and Joel Waldfogel #20488 (IO   LE)
  
• Are Dynamic Vickrey Auctions Practical?: Properties of the Combinatorial Clock Auction
  Jonathan Levin and Andrzej Skrzypacz #20487 (IO)
  
• Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Medium- and Longer-Term Interest Rates
  Eric T. Swanson and John C. Williams #20486 (AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Polanyi’s Paradox and the Shape of Employment Growth
  David Autor #20485 (LS)
  
• Self-regulation and Health
  Henry Saffer #20483 (HE)
  
• Deal with the Devil: The Successes and Limitations of Bureaucratic Reform in India
  Iqbal Dhaliwal and Rema Hanna #20482 (DEV   PE)
  
• Contractual Freedom and the Evolution of Corporate Control in Britain, 1862 to 1929
  Timothy W. Guinnane, Ron Harris, and Naomi R. Lamoreaux #20481 (DAE)
  
• Asset Management Contracts and Equilibrium Prices
  Andrea M. Buffa, Dimitri Vayanos, and Paul Woolley #20480 (AP)
  
• Labor Market Fluidity and Economic Performance
  Steven J. Davis and John Haltiwanger #20479 (EFG   LS   PR)
  
• Do Star Performers Produce More Stars? Peer Effects and Learning in Elite Teams
  Casey Ichniowski and Anne Preston #20478 (LS)
  
• (Measured) Profit is Not Welfare: Evidence from an Experiment on Bundling Microcredit and Insurance
  Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo, and Richard Hornbeck #20477 (DEV   EFG   HC   HE)
  
• Strategic News Releases in Equity Vesting Months
  Alex Edmans, Luis Goncalves-Pinto, Yanbo Wang, and Moqi Xu #20476 (CF)
  
• Constitutional Rights and Education: An International Comparative Study
  Sebastian Edwards and Alvaro Garcia Marin #20475 (IFM   ITI)
  
• The Biocultural Origins of Human Capital Formation
  Oded Galor and Marc Klemp #20474 (DEV   EFG)
  
• Slow to Hire, Quick to Fire: Employment Dynamics with Asymmetric Responses to News
  Cosmin Ilut, Matthias Kehrig, and Martin Schneider #20473 (EFG)
  
• Sorting Between and Within Industries: A Testable Model of Assortative Matching
  John M. Abowd, Francis Kramarz, Sébastien Pérez-Duarte, and Ian M. Schmutte #20472 (LS)
  

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Weekly papers released by September 8, 2014

• Temporary Shocks and Persistent Effects in the Urban System: Evidence from British Cities after the U.S. Civil War
  W. Walker Hanlon #20471 (DAE)
  
• Does Privatized Health Insurance Benefit Patients or Producers? Evidence from Medicare Advantage
  Marika Cabral, Michael Geruso, and Neale Mahoney #20470 (AG   HC   HE   IO   PE)
  
• Poor Quality Drugs and Global Trade: A Pilot Study
  Roger Bate, Ginger Zhe Jin, Aparna Mathur, and Amir Attaran #20469 (IO)
  
• Incentive Pay and Bank Risk-Taking: Evidence from Austrian, German, and Swiss Banks
  Matthias Efing, Harald Hau, Patrick Kampkötter, and Johannes Steinbrecher #20468 (IFM)
  
• Creative Destruction: Barriers to Urban Growth and the Great Boston Fire of 1872
  Richard Hornbeck and Daniel Keniston #20467 (DAE   DEV   EEE   EFG   LE   PE)
  
• Conservation Policies: Who Responds to Price and Who Responds to Prescription?
  Casey J. Wichman, Laura O. Taylor, and Roger H. von Haefen #20466 (EEE)
  
• Subsidies and the Persistence of Technology Adoption: Field Experimental Evidence from Mozambique
  Michael R. Carter, Rachid Laajaj, and Dean Yang #20465 (DEV)
  
• Do Required Minimum Distributions Matter? The Effect of the 2009 Holiday On Retirement Plan Distributions
  Jeffrey R. Brown, James Poterba, and David Richardson #20464 (AG   PE)
  
• Violence and the Formation of Hopelessness and Pessimistic Prospects of Upward Mobility in Colombia
  Andrés Moya and Michael Carter #20463 (DEV)
  
• Controlling Health Care Costs Through Limited Network Insurance Plans: Evidence from Massachusetts State Employees
  Jonathan Gruber and Robin McKnight #20462 (HC)
  
• The Welfare Effects of Fuel Conservation Policies in the Indian Car Market
  Randy Chugh and Maureen L. Cropper #20460 (EEE)
  
• Counterparty Risk and the Establishment of the New York Stock Exchange Clearinghouse
  Asaf Bernstein, Eric Hughson, and Marc D. Weidenmier #20459 (AP   CF   DAE)
  
• Tax Morale
  Erzo F.P. Luttmer and Monica Singhal #20458 (DEV   PE)
  
• The Price of Experience
  Hyeok Jeong, Yong Kim, and Iourii Manovskii #20457 (EFG   LS)
  
• The Informativeness Principle Under Limited Liability
  Pierre Chaigneau, Alex Edmans, and Daniel Gottlieb #20456 (CF   LE   LS)
  
• Export Markets and Labor Allocation in a Low-income Country
  Brian McCaig and Nina Pavcnik #20455 (DEV   ITI)
  
• The Revived Bretton Woods System's First Decade
  Michael P. Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau, and Peter M. Garber #20454 (IFM)
  
• Does Gifted Education Work? For Which Students?
  David Card and Laura Giuliano #20453 (ED   LS)
  
• Micro Data and Macro Technology
  Ezra Oberfield and Devesh Raval #20452 (EFG)
  
• Migration and Welfare State: Why is America Different from Europe?
  Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka #20450 (IFM)
  
• Long Workweeks and Strange Hours
  Daniel S. Hamermesh and Elena Stancanelli #20449 (LS)
  
• The Effects of Mortality on Fertility: Population Dynamics after a Natural Disaster
  Jenna Nobles, Elizabeth Frankenberg, and Duncan Thomas #20448 (DEV)
  
• It's Where You Work: Increases in Earnings Dispersion across Establishments and Individuals in the U.S.
  Erling Barth, Alex Bryson, James C. Davis, and Richard Freeman #20447 (LS   PR)
  
• Preserving History or Hindering Growth? The Heterogeneous Effects of Historic Districts on Local Housing Markets in New York City
  Vicki Been, Ingrid Gould Ellen, Michael Gedal, Edward Glaeser, and Brian J. McCabe #20446 (DAE)
  
• Aggregate Issuance and Savings Waves
  Andrea L. Eisfeldt, Tyler Muir #20442 (CF   EFG)
  

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Weekly papers released by September 2, 2014

• Understanding Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Black Swans
  Anna Orlik and Laura Veldkamp #20445 (AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Is the ‘Quarter of Birth’ Endogenous? Evidence From One Million Siblings in Taiwan
  Elliott Fan, Jin-Tan Liu, and Yen-Chien Chen #20444 (HE)
  
• The Impact of Family Composition on Educational Achievement
  Stacey H. Chen, Yen-Chien Chen, and Jin-Tan Liu #20443 (   ED)
  
• Positive Long Run Capital Taxation: Chamley-Judd Revisited
  Ludwig Straub and Iván Werning #20441 (EFG   PE)
  
• The Economics of Aesthetics and Three Centuries of Art Price Records
  William Goetzmann, Elena Mamonova, and Christophe Spaenjers #20440 (AP   EFG)
  
• Momentum Crashes
  Kent Daniel and Tobias J. Moskowitz #20439 (AP)
  
• The Agricultural Origins of Time Preference
  Oded Galor and Ömer Özak #20438 (DEV   EFG)
  
• Tax News: Identifying Tax Expectations from Municipal Bonds with an Application to Household Consumption
  Lorenz Kueng #20437 (AP   EFG   PE)
  
• What is ‘Firm Heterogeneity’ in Trade Models? The Role of Quality, Scope, Markups, and Cost
  Colin Hottman, Stephen J. Redding, and David E. Weinstein #20436 (ITI)
  
• Assessing Asset Pricing Models Using Revealed Preference
  Jonathan B. Berk and Jules H. van Binsbergen #20435 (AP   CF)
  
• Experimental Evidence on Distributional Effects of Head Start
  Marianne P. Bitler, Hilary W. Hoynes, and Thurston Domina #20434 (CH   ED   PE)
  
• The Carry Trade: Risks and Drawdowns
  Kent Daniel, Robert J. Hodrick, and Zhongjin Lu #20433 (AP   IFM)
  
• Vaccine Approvals and Mandates Under Uncertainty: Some Simple Analytics
  Charles F. Manski #20432 (HC   HE   PE   AG)
  
• Pathways to Education: An Integrated Approach to Helping At-Risk High School Students
  Philip Oreopoulos, Robert S. Brown, and Adam M. Lavecchia #20430 (CH   ED)
  
• Where Do They Come From, Where Do They Go? Endogenous Insurance and Informal Relationships
  Xiao Yu Wang #20429 (DEV)
  
• Immigration and the Economy of Cities and Regions
  Ethan Lewis and Giovanni Peri #20428 (ITI   LS)
  
• Reallocation in the Great Recession: Cleansing or Not?
  Lucia Foster, Cheryl Grim, and John Haltiwanger #20427 (EFG   LS   PR)
  
• Housing Bubbles
  Edward L. Glaeser and Charles G. Nathanson #20426 (EFG)
  
• Numerical General Equilibrium Analysis of China's Impacts from Possible Mega Trade Deals
  Chunding Li, Jing Wang, and John Whalley #20425 (ITI)
  
• How Close is Asia to Already Being A Trade Bloc?
  Chunding Li and John Whalley #20424 (ITI)
  
• A New Method of Estimating Potential Real GDP Growth: Implications for the Labor Market and the Debt/GDP Ratio
  Robert J. Gordon #20423 (EFG   LS)
  
• Gossip: Identifying Central Individuals in a Social Network
  Abhijit Banerjee, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Esther Duflo, and Matthew O. Jackson #20422 (DEV)
  
• Governance and Comovement Under Common Ownership
  Alex Edmans, Doron Levit, and Devin Reilly #20420 (CF   LE)
  
• Trade Dynamics in the Market for Federal Funds
  Gara Afonso and Ricardo Lagos #20419 (AP   ME)
  
• The Dynamics of Housing Prices
  Sheridan Titman, Ko Wang, and Jing Yang #20418 (AP)
  
• Get Rid of Unanimity: The Superiority of Majority Rule with Veto Power
  Laurent Bouton, Aniol Llorente-Saguer, and Frédéric Malherbe #20417 (POL)
  
• Entry and Exit in OTC Derivatives Markets
  Andrew G. Atkeson, Andrea L. Eisfeldt, and Pierre-Olivier Weill #20416 (AP   CF   EFG   ME)
  
• Consumer Price Search and Platform Design in Internet Commerce
  Michael Dinerstein, Liran Einav, Jonathan Levin, and Neel Sundaresan #20415 (IO   PR)
  
• Methods of Identification in Social Networks
  Bryan S. Graham #20414 (DEV   LS   TWP)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 25, 2014

• The Changing Benefits of Early Work Experience
  Charles L. Baum and Christopher J. Ruhm #20413 (CH   LS   PE)
  
• Making Progress on Foreign Aid
  Nancy Qian #20412 (DEV   POL)
  
• Imperfect Competition in Selection Markets
  Neale Mahoney and E. Glen Weyl #20411 (AG   HC   HE   IO   PE)
  
• Selling Failed Banks
  Joao Granja, Gregor Matvos, and Amit Seru #20410 (CF   IO)
  
• The Labor Market Impacts of the 2010 Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill and Offshore Oil Drilling Moratorium
  Joseph E. Aldy #20409 (EEE)
  
• What Calls to ARMs? International Evidence on Interest Rates and the Choice of Adjustable-Rate Mortgages
  Cristian Badarinza, John Y. Campbell, and Tarun Ramadorai #20408 (AP   ME)
  
• Can a Summer Make a Difference? The Impact of the American Economic Association Summer Program on Minority Student Outcomes
  Charles M. Becker, Cecilia Elena Rouse, and Mingyu Chen #20407 (ED   LS)
  
• Price Setting in Online Markets: Basic Facts, International Comparisons, and Cross-border Integration
  Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Oleksandr Talavera #20406 (EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Why High-order Polynomials Should not be Used in Regression Discontinuity Designs
  Andrew Gelman and Guido Imbens #20405 (LS)
  
• On the Measure of Distortions
  Hugo A. Hopenhayn #20404 (DEV   EFG   IO)
  
• A Tear in the Iron Curtain: The Impact of Western Television on Consumption Behavior
  Leonardo Bursztyn and Davide Cantoni #20403 (POL)
  
• From Assortative to Ashortative Coupling: Men's Height, Height Heterogamy, and Relationship Dynamics in the United States
  Abigail Weitzman and Dalton Conley #20402 (HE   LS)
  
• Failure to Refinance
  Benjamin J. Keys, Devin G. Pope, and Jaren C. Pope #20401 (LS)
  
• Within-Mother Estimates of the Effects of WIC on Birth Outcomes in New York City
  Janet Currie and Ishita Rajani #20400 (CH   HE)
  
• A Direct Estimate of the Technique Effect: Changes in the Pollution Intensity of US Manufacturing 1990 – 2008
  Arik Levinson #20399 (EEE)
  
• Does Labor Legislation Benefit Workers? Well-Being after an Hours Reduction
  Daniel S. Hamermesh, Daiji Kawaguchi, and Jungmin Lee #20398 (LS)
  
• Affirmative Action and Human Capital Investment: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment
  Christopher Cotton, Brent R. Hickman, and Joseph P. Price #20397 (ED   LS)
  
• The Evolution of Rotation Group Bias: Will the Real Unemployment Rate Please Stand Up?
  Alan Krueger, Alexandre Mas, and Xiaotong Niu #20396 (LS)
  
• Import Competition and the Great U.S. Employment Sag of the 2000s
  Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon H. Hanson, and Brendan Price #20395 (ITI   LS)
  
• Uncertainty Outside and Inside Economic Models
  Lars Peter Hansen #20394 (AP)
  
• Terminating Links between Emission Trading Programs
  William A. Pizer and Andrew J. Yates #20393 (EEE)
  
• Did Bank Distress Stifle Innovation During the Great Depression?
  Ramana Nanda and Tom Nicholas #20392 (CF   PR)
  
• Evidence for Relational Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending
  Peter Benczur and Cosmin L. Ilut #20391 (AP   EFG   IFM)
  
• Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models
  Andrew Foerster, Juan Rubio-Ramírez, Daniel F. Waggoner, and Tao Zha #20390 (EFG   ME)
  
• Damming the Commons: An Empirical Analysis of International Cooperation and Conflict in Dam Location
  Sheila M. Olmstead and Hilary Sigman #20389 (EEE   PE)
  
• Worker Mobility in a Global Labor Market: Evidence from the United Arab Emirates
  Suresh Naidu, Yaw Nyarko, and Shing-Yi Wang #20388 (DEV   LS)
  
• Self-Selection into Credit Markets: Evidence from Agriculture in Mali
  Lori Beaman, Dean Karlan, Bram Thuysbaert, and Christopher Udry #20387 (DEV   LE   LS)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 18, 2014

• International Reserves Before and After the Global Crisis: Is There No End to Hoarding?
  Joshua Aizenman, Yin-Wong Cheung, and Hiro Ito #20386 (IFM)
  
• Fair Weather Avoidance: Unpacking Costs and Benefits in Replication of 'Avoiding the Ask'
  Hannah Trachtman, Andrew Steinkruger, Mackenzie Wood, Adam Wooster, James Andreoni, James J. Murphy, and Justin M. Rao #20385 (PE)
  
• Does the Gender of Offspring Affect Parental Political Orientation?
  Byungkyu Lee and Dalton Conley #20384 (CH   POL)
  
• Manufacturing Growth and the Lives of Bangladeshi Women
  Rachel Heath and A. Mushfiq Mobarak #20383 (DEV   ITI   LS)
  
• Skill Gaps, Skill Shortages and Skill Mismatches: Evidence for the US
  Peter Cappelli #20382 (ED   LS)
  
• On the Interaction of Memory and Procrastination: Implications for Reminders
  Keith M Marzilli Ericson #20381 (AG   PR)
  
• The Roots of Gender Inequality in Developing Countries
  Seema Jayachandran #20380 (CH   DEV)
  
• Has Creative Destruction Become More Destructive?
  John Komlos #20379 (DEV   EFG   PR)
  
• Don't Take ‘No’ For An Answer: An Experiment With Actual Organ Donor Registrations
  Judd B. Kessler and Alvin E. Roth #20378 (HC)
  
• Liquidity Premia, Price-Rent Dynamics, and Business Cycles
  Jianjun Miao, Pengfei Wang, and Tao Zha #20377 (AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Welfare Implications of Learning Through Solicitation versus Diversification in Health Care
  Anirban Basu #20376 (HC   HE   TWP)
  
• Defining Clusters of Related Industries
  Mercedes Delgado, Michael E. Porter, and Scott Stern #20375 (PR)
  
• Spatial Errors in Count Data Regressions
  Marinho Bertanha and Petra Moser #20374 (DAE   PR   TWP)
  
• Moral Hazard and Less Invasive Medical Treatment for Coronary Artery Disease: The Case of Cigarette Smoking
  Jesse Margolis, Jason Hockenberry, Michael Grossman, and Shin-Yi Chou #20373 (HE)
  
• Corporate Taxes and Capital Structure: A Long-Term Historical Perspective
  Francis A. Longstaff and Ilya A. Strebulaev #20372 (CF)
  
• Patent Trolls: Evidence from Targeted Firms
  Lauren Cohen, Umit Gurun, and Scott Duke Kominers #20322 (   PR   LE)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 11, 2014

• Spousal Labor Market Effects from Government Health Insurance: Evidence from a Veterans Affairs Expansion
  Melissa A. Boyle and Joanna N. Lahey #20371 (AG   HC   HE   LS   PE)
  
• Changing Times, Changing Values: A Historical Analysis of Sectors within the US Stock Market 1872-2013
  Oliver D. Bunn and Robert J. Shiller #20370 (EFG)
  
• Social Norms and the Enforcement of Laws
  Daron Acemoglu and Matthew O. Jackson #20369 (POL)
  
• The 9/11 Dust Cloud and Pregnancy Outcomes: A Reconsideration
  Janet Currie and Hannes Schwandt #20368 (CH   HE)
  
• Agglomeration and Innovation
  Gerald Carlino and William R. Kerr #20367 (IO   LS   PR)
  
• Lead Exposure and Behavior: Effects on Antisocial and Risky Behavior among Children and Adolescents
  Jessica Wolpaw Reyes #20366 (AG   CH   EEE   HE)
  
• Resource Allocation and Inefficiency in the Financial Sector
  Kinda Hachem #20365 (CF   EFG   ME)
  
• Remix Rights and Negotiations Over the Use of Copy-Protected Works
  Joshua S. Gans #20364 (LE   PR)
  
• Paternalism and Energy Efficiency: An Overview
  Hunt Allcott #20363 (EEE   PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 4, 2014

• Free to Choose: Promoting Conservation by Relaxing Outdoor Watering Restrictions
  Anita Castledine, Klaus Moeltner, Michael Price, and Shawn Stoddard #20362 (EEE)
  
• Affirmative Action Bans and Black Admission Outcomes: Selection-Corrected Estimates from UC Law Schools
  Danny Yagan #20361 (ED   LS   PE)
  
• Riding the Bubble? Chasing Returns into Illiquid Assets
  Danny Yagan #20360 (AG   PE)
  
• Tradeoffs in the Design of Health Plan Payment Systems: Fit, Power and Balance
  Michael Geruso and Thomas G. McGuire #20359 (AG   HC   PE)
  
• Entrepreneurship as Experimentation
  William R. Kerr, Ramana Nanda, and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf #20358 (PR)
  
• The Economics of Fair Trade
  Raluca E. Dragusanu, Daniele Giovannucci, and Nathan Nunn #20357 (DEV   ITI   POL)
  
• History of American Corporate Governance: Law, Institutions, and Politics
  Eric Hilt #20356 (CF   DAE   LE)
  
• The Changing Face of World Oil Markets
  James D. Hamilton #20355 (EEE)
  
• The Economics of Density: Evidence from the Berlin Wall
  Gabriel M. Ahlfeldt, Stephen J. Redding, Daniel M. Sturm, and Nikolaus Wolf #20354 (ITI)
  
• Positive Externalities of Social Insurance: Unemployment Insurance and Consumer Credit
  Joanne W. Hsu, David A. Matsa, and Brian T. Melzer #20353 (CF   PE)
  
• The Causal Effect of Environmental Catastrophe on Long-Run Economic Growth: Evidence From 6,700 Cyclones
  Solomon M. Hsiang and Amir S. Jina #20352 (DEV   EEE   EFG   IFM   PE)
  
• The Inequality Deflator: Interpersonal Comparisons without a Social Welfare Function
  Nathaniel Hendren #20351 (EFG   PE)
  
• Urban Vibrancy and Corporate Growth
  Casey Dougal, Christopher A. Parsons, and Sheridan Titman #20350 (CF)
  
• Cash for Corollas: When Stimulus Reduces Spending
  Mark Hoekstra, Steven L. Puller, and Jeremy West #20349 (EEE   IO   PE)
  
• How Does Family Health Care Use Respond to Economic Shocks? Realized and Anticipated Effects
  Alan C. Monheit, Irina Grafova, and Rizie Kumar #20348 (HE)
  
• The Geography of Financial Misconduct
  Christopher A. Parsons, Johan Sulaeman, and Sheridan Titman #20347 (CF)
  
• Political Booms, Financial Crises
  Helios Herrera, Guillermo Ordoñez, and Christoph Trebesch #20346 (EFG   IFM   PE   POL)
  
• Equilibrium Corporate Finance and Intermediation
  Alberto Bisin, Piero Gottardi, and Guido Ruta #20345 (AP   CF)
  
• Can Electronic Procurement Improve Infrastructure Provision? Evidence From Public Works in India and Indonesia
  Sean Lewis-Faupel, Yusuf Neggers, Benjamin A. Olken, and Rohini Pande #20344 (DEV   PE)
  
• Reference-Dependent Preferences: Evidence from Marathon Runners
  Eric J. Allen, Patricia M. Dechow, Devin G. Pope, and George Wu #20343 (LS   PE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by July 28, 2014

• Broken or Fixed Effects?
  Charles E. Gibbons, Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, and Michael B. Urbancic #20342 (LS   PE)
  
• An Empirical Model of Network Formation: Detecting Homophily When Agents Are Heterogenous
  Bryan S. Graham #20341 (DEV   IO   LS   TWP)
  
• Information, Misallocation and Aggregate Productivity
  Joel M. David, Hugo A. Hopenhayn, and Venky Venkateswaran #20340 (DEV   EFG   PR)
  
• Inflating Away the Public Debt? An Empirical Assessment
  Jens Hilscher, Alon Raviv, and Ricardo Reis #20339 (AP   EFG   ME)
  
• An Exploration of the International Comparison Program’s New Global Economic Landscape
  Martin Ravallion #20338 (DEV   ME)
  
• Is the Time Allocated to Review Patent Applications Inducing Examiners to Grant Invalid Patents?: Evidence from Micro-Level Application Data
  Michael D. Frakes and Melissa F. Wasserman #20337 (LE   PR)
  
• Capital Market Financing, Firm Growth, Firm Size Distribution
  Tatiana Didier, Ross Levine, and Sergio L. Schmukler #20336 (CF   IFM   ITI)
  
• The Macroeconomics of Shadow Banking
  Alan Moreira and Alexi Savov #20335 (AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Multiple Pollutants, Uncovered Sectors, and Suboptimal Environmental Policies
  Don Fullerton and Daniel H. Karney #20334 (EEE   PE)
  
• A Model to Evaluate Vehicle Emission Incentive Policies in Japan
  Don Fullerton, Li Gan, and Miwa Hattori #20333 (EEE   PE)
  
• Medical Marijuana Laws and Teen Marijuana Use
  D. Mark Anderson, Benjamin Hansen, and Daniel I. Rees #20332 (CH   HE   LE)
  
• Measuring the Unequal Gains from Trade
  Pablo D. Fajgelbaum and Amit K. Khandelwal #20331 (ITI)
  
• Non-Adherence In Health Care: A Positive and Normative Analysis
  Mark Egan and Tomas J. Philipson #20330 (HC   HE)
  
• Should Student Employment Be Subsidized? Conditional Counterfactuals and the Outcomes of Work-Study Participation
  Judith Scott-Clayton and Veronica Minaya #20329 (ED   LS)
  
• Implications of Heterogeneity in Preferences, Beliefs and Asset Trading Technologies for the Macroeconomy
  YiLi Chien, Harold L. Cole, and Hanno Lustig #20328 (EFG)
  
• Barriers to Electrification for “Under Grid” Households in Rural Kenya
  Kenneth Lee, Eric Brewer, Carson Christiano, Francis Meyo, Edward Miguel, Matthew Podolsky, Javier Rosa, and Catherine Wolfram #20327 (DEV   EEE)
  
• Growth, Import Dependence and War
  Roberto Bonfatti and Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke #20326 (DAE   ITI)
  
• Finite Population Causal Standard Errors
  Alberto Abadie, Susan Athey, Guido W. Imbens, and Jeffrey M. Wooldridge #20325 (IO   LS   PE)
  
• Presidents and the U.S. Economy: An Econometric Exploration
  Alan S. Blinder and Mark W. Watson #20324 (EFG)
  
• Trade Liberalization, Quality, and Export Prices
  Haichao Fan, Yao Amber Li, and Stephen R. Yeaple #20323 (ITI)
  

---

Weekly papers released by July 21, 2014

• When Incentives Matter Too Much: Explaining Significant Responses to Irrelevant Information
  Thomas Ahn and Jacob L. Vigdor #20321 (ED   LS)
  
• Time Preferences and Consumer Behavior
  David Bradford, Charles Courtemanche, Garth Heutel, Patrick McAlvanah, and Christopher Ruhm #20320 (EEE   HE)
  
• Risk and Ambiguity in Models of Business Cycles
  David Backus, Axelle Ferriere, and Stanley Zin #20319 (AP   EFG)
  
• Applying Insights from Behavioral Economics to Policy Design
  Brigitte C. Madrian #20318 (AG   CH   DEV   ED   EEE   HC   HE   LE   LS   PE)
  
• The Gradients of Power: Evidence from the Chinese Housing Market
  Hanming Fang, Quanlin Gu, and Li-An Zhou #20317 (PE)
  
• A Surplus of Ambition: Can Europe Rely on Large Primary Surpluses to Solve its Debt Problem?
  Barry Eichengreen and Ugo Panizza #20316 (IFM)
  
• Corruption, Intimidation, and Whistle-blowing: a Theory of Inference from Unverifiable Reports
  Sylvain Chassang and Gerard Padró i Miquel #20315 (DEV   POL)
  
• A Model of the Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation
  Seunghoon Na, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, Martin Uribe, and Vivian Z. Yue #20314 (EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Do Large Modern Retailers Pay Premium Wages?
  Brianna Cardiff-Hicks, Francine Lafontaine, and Kathryn Shaw #20313 (LS)
  
• Serial Entrepreneurship: Learning by Doing?
  Francine Lafontaine and Kathryn Shaw #20312 (LS   PR)
  
• An Econometric Evaluation of Competing Explanations for The Midterm Gap
  Brian G. Knight #20311 (POL)
  
• Loans on Sale: Credit Market Seasonality, Borrower Need, and Lender Rent Seeking
  Justin Murfin and Mitchell Petersen #20310 (CF   IO)
  
• Social Structure and Institutional Design: Evidence from a Lab Experiment in the Field
  Emily Breza, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, and Horacio Larreguy #20309 (DEV   POL)
  
• Expanding the School Breakfast Program: Impacts on Children's Consumption, Nutrition and Health
  Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach and Mary Zaki #20308 (CH   ED   PE)
  
• The Micro and Macro of Disappearing Routine Jobs: A Flows Approach
  Guido Matias Cortes, Nir Jaimovich, Christopher J. Nekarda, and Henry E. Siu #20307 (EFG   LS)
  
• The Persistence and Heterogeneity of Health among Older Americans
  Florian Heiss, Steven F. Venti, and David A. Wise #20306 (AG)
  
• Firms' Sickness Costs and Workers' Sickness Absences
  René Böheim and Thomas Leoni #20305 (AG)
  
• Holy Cows or Cash Cows?
  Orazio Attanasio and Britta Augsburg #20304 (DEV   EFG)
  
• Identifying Long-Run Risks: A Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Approach
  Frank Schorfheide, Dongho Song, and Amir Yaron #20303 (AP   EFG   ME)
  
• International Banking and Liquidity Risk Transmission: Lessons from Across Countries
  Claudia M. Buch and Linda S. Goldberg #20286 (IFM)
  

---

Weekly papers released by July 14, 2014

• The Impact of Rainfall on Rice Output in Indonesia
  David I. Levine and Dean Yang #20302 (DEV)
  
• Inducing Leaders to Take Risky Decisions: Dismissal, Tenure, and Term Limits
  Philippe Aghion and Matthew Jackson #20301 (      POL)
  
• Employee Satisfaction, Labor Market Flexibility, and Stock Returns Around The World
  Alex Edmans, Lucius Li, and Chendi Zhang #20300 (CF   LE   LS)
  
• The Fiscal Cost of Weak Governance: Evidence from Teacher Absence in India
  Karthik Muralidharan, Jishnu Das, Alaka Holla, and Aakash Mohpal #20299 (DEV   ED   LS   PE)
  
• How Persistent Are Consumption Habits? Micro-Evidence from Russia's Alcohol Market
  Lorenz Kueng and Evgeny Yakovlev #20298 (AG   AP   EFG   HE   PE)
  
• Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning in Canada
  David Boisclair, Annamaria Lusardi, and Pierre-Carl Michaud #20297 (AG)
  
• The Value of Brownfield Remediation
  Kevin Haninger, Lala Ma, and Christopher Timmins #20296 (EEE)
  
• Do Pharmacists Buy Bayer? Informed Shoppers and the Brand Premium
  Bart J. Bronnenberg, Jean-Pierre Dubé, Matthew Gentzkow, and Jesse M. Shapiro #20295 (IO)
  
• Forward and Spot Exchange Rates in a Multi-currency World
  Tarek A. Hassan and Rui C. Mano #20294 (AP   IFM   ITI)
  
• A Model of Dynamic Limit Pricing with an Application to the Airline Industry
  Christopher Gedge, James W. Roberts, and Andrew Sweeting #20293 (IO)
  
• Do "Reverse Payment" Settlements of Brand-Generic Patent Disputes in the Pharmaceutical Industry Constitute an Anticompetitive Pay for Delay?
  Keith M. Drake, Martha A. Starr, and Thomas McGuire #20292 (HC   LE)
  
• Unhappy Cities
  Edward L. Glaeser, Joshua D. Gottlieb, and Oren Ziv #20291 (EFG   LS)
  
• What Policies Increase Prosocial Behavior? An Experiment with Referees at the Journal of Public Economics
  Raj Chetty, Emmanuel Saez, and László Sándor #20290 (LS   PE)
  
• Who Benefits from State Corporate Tax Cuts? A Local Labor Markets Approach with Heterogeneous Firms
  Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato and Owen Zidar #20289 (LS   PE   PR)
  
• Banks as Patient Fixed-Income Investors
  Samuel G. Hanson, Andrei Shleifer, Jeremy C. Stein, and Robert W. Vishny #20288 (CF   ME)
  
• Housing, Finance and the Macroeconomy
  Morris A. Davis and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh #20287 (AP   EFG   PE)
  
• Liquidity Risk and U.S. Bank Lending at Home and Abroad
  Ricardo Correa, Linda S. Goldberg, and Tara Rice #20285 (IFM)
  
• Improving Educational Outcomes in Developing Countries: Lessons from Rigorous Evaluations
  Richard J. Murnane and Alejandro J. Ganimian #20284 (ED)
  
• The Prison Boom and the Lack of Black Progress after Smith and Welch
  Derek Neal and Armin Rick #20283 (LS)
  
• The Shorting Premium and Asset Pricing Anomalies
  Itamar Drechsler and Qingyi Freda Drechsler #20282 (AP)
  
• Decriminalizing Indoor Prostitution: Implications for Sexual Violence and Public Health
  Scott Cunningham and Manisha Shah #20281 (HE      LS   LE)
  
• Hotelling Under Pressure
  Soren T. Anderson, Ryan Kellogg, and Stephen W. Salant #20280 (EEE   IO)
  
• Typhoid Fever, Water Quality, and Human Capital Formation
  Brian Beach, Joseph Ferrie, Martin Saavedra, and Werner Troesken #20279 (CH   DAE   HE)
  
• Deposit Insurance Database
  Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, Edward J. Kane, and Luc Laeven #20278 (CF)
  
• Coordination and Crisis in Monetary Unions
  Mark Aguiar, Manuel Amador, Emmanuel Farhi, and Gita Gopinath #20277 (EFG   IFM   ME)
  

---

Weekly papers released by July 7, 2014

• Tractable and Consistent Random Graph Models
  Arun G. Chandrasekhar and Matthew O. Jackson #20276 (DEV   LS   TWP)
  
• A Market Based Solution to Price Externalities: A Generalized Framework
  Weerachart T. Kilenthong and Robert M. Townsend #20275 (DEV   IFM)
  
• Governance, Risk Management, and Risk-Taking in Banks
  René M. Stulz #20274 (CF)
  
• Long-Term Unemployment and the Great Recession: The Role of Composition, Duration Dependence, and Non-Participation
  Kory Kroft, Fabian Lange, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, and Lawrence F. Katz #20273 (EFG   LS)
  
• Fertility Decline and Missing Women
  Seema Jayachandran #20272 (CH   DEV)
  
• Educational Assortative Mating and Household Income Inequality
  Lasse Eika, Magne Mogstad, and Basit Zafar #20271 (LS   PE)
  
• Tales from the Bretton Woods
  Michael D. Bordo #20270 (DAE)
  
• Patents and Cumulative Innovation: Causal Evidence from the Courts
  Alberto Galasso and Mark Schankerman #20269 (IO   PR)
  
• Learning Millennial-Style
  Bruce I. Carlin, Li Jiang, and Stephen A. Spiller #20268 (AP   CF   ED   PE)
  

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