New This Week Archive

NBER Working Papers released in the past, by week.

Weekly papers released by September 30, 2013

• Accounting for Expectational and Structural Error in Binary Choice Problems: A Moment Inequality Approach
  Michael J. Dickstein and Eduardo Morales #19486 (IO   ITI   TWP)
  
• Asymmetric Incentives in Subsidies: Evidence from a Large-Scale Electricity Rebate Program
  Koichiro Ito #19485 (EEE   IO   PE)
  
• Regulating Consumer Financial Products: Evidence from Credit Cards
  Sumit Agarwal, Souphala Chomsisengphet, Neale Mahoney, and Johannes Stroebel #19484 (CF   IO   PE)
  
• Does Economic Growth Reduce Corruption? Theory and Evidence from Vietnam
  Jie Bai, Seema Jayachandran, Edmund J. Malesky, and Benjamin A. Olken #19483 (DEV   EFG   POL)
  
• Taxpayer Search for Information: Implications for Rational Attention
  Jeffrey Hoopes, Daniel Reck, and Joel Slemrod #19482 (ME   PE)
  
• Do Expiring Budgets Lead to Wasteful Year-End Spending? Evidence from Federal Procurement
  Jeffrey B. Liebman and Neale Mahoney #19481 (PE)
  
• Small Differences that Matter: Mistakes in Applying to College
  Amanda Pallais #19480 (ED   LS)
  
• Girl Power: Cash Transfers and Adolescent Welfare. Evidence from a Cluster-Randomized Experiment in Malawi
  Sarah J. Baird, Ephraim Chirwa, Jacobus de Hoop, and Berk Özler #19479 (DEV)
  
• Wage Adjustment in the Great Recession
  Michael W. Elsby, Donggyun Shin, and Gary Solon #19478 (EFG   LS   ME)
  
• Distributional Incentives in an Equilibrium Model of Domestic Sovereign Default
  Pablo D'Erasmo and Enrique G. Mendoza #19477 (IFM   ME   PE)
  
• The New-Keynesian Liquidity Trap
  John H. Cochrane #19476 (AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Does Uncertainty Reduce Growth? Using Disasters as Natural Experiments
  Scott R. Baker and Nicholas Bloom #19475 (DEV   EFG   LS   ME   PR)
  
• Prices and Supply Disruptions during Natural Disasters
  Alberto Cavallo, Eduardo Cavallo, and Roberto Rigobon #19474 (IFM)
  
• Back to Basics: Basic Research Spillovers, Innovation Policy and Growth
  Ufuk Akcigit, Douglas Hanley, and Nicolas Serrano-Velarde #19473 (EFG   IO   PR)
  
• Incentivizing Calculated Risk-Taking: Evidence from an Experiment with Commercial Bank Loan Officers
  Shawn Cole, Martin Kanz, and Leora Klapper #19472 (CF   DEV)
  
• Endophilia or Exophobia: Beyond Discrimination
  Jan Feld, Nicolás Salamanca, and Daniel S. Hamermesh #19471 (LS)
  
• Taxes, Debts, and Redistributions with Aggregate Shocks
  Anmol Bhandari, David Evans, Mikhail Golosov, and Thomas J. Sargent #19470 (EFG   PE)
  
• Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling
  Serena Ng and Jonathan H. Wright #19469 (ME)
  
• Task Routineness and Trade Policy Preferences
  Bruce A. Blonigen and Jacob McGrew #19468 (ITI)
  
• Relationship and Transaction Lending in a Crisis
  Patrick Bolton, Xavier Freixas, Leonardo Gambacorta, and Paolo Emilio Mistrulli #19467 (CF   EFG)
  
• Firm Volatility in Granular Networks
  Bryan Kelly, Hanno Lustig, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh #19466 (AP   CF   EFG)
  
• Demography and Low Frequency Capital Flows
  David Backus, Thomas Cooley, and Espen Henriksen #19465 (AG   IFM)
  
• Instruction Time, Classroom Quality, and Academic Achievement
  Steven G. Rivkin and Jeffrey C. Schiman #19464 (CH   ED   LS)
  
• Contract Teachers: Experimental Evidence from India
  Karthik Muralidharan and Venkatesh Sundararaman #19440 (CH   DEV   ED   LS   PE   POL)
  

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Weekly papers released by September 23, 2013

• Effects of Speculation and Interest Rates in a "Carry Trade" Model of Commodity Prices
  Jeffrey A. Frankel #19463 (ITI)
  
• Productivity Growth and Stock Returns: Firm- and Aggregate-Level Analyses
  Hyunbae Chun, Jung-Wook Kim, and Randall Morck #19462 (CF)
  
• Rounding the Corners of the Policy Trilemma: Sources of Monetary Policy Autonomy
  Michael W. Klein and Jay C. Shambaugh #19461 (IFM)
  
• Hybrid Tail Risk and Expected Stock Returns: When Does the Tail Wag the Dog?
  Turan G. Bali, Nusret Cakici, and Robert F. Whitelaw #19460 (AP)
  
• Advance Refundings of Municipal Bonds
  Andrew Ang, Richard C. Green, and Yuhang Xing #19459 (AP   PE)
  
• Private Equity, Jobs, and Productivity
  Steven J. Davis, John C. Haltiwanger, Kyle Handley, Ron S. Jarmin, Josh Lerner, and Javier Miranda #19458 (EFG   LS   PR)
  
• Solving and Estimating Indeterminate DSGE Models
  Roger E.A. Farmer and Vadim Khramov #19457 (EFG)
  
• Measuring Uncertainty
  Kyle Jurado, Sydney C. Ludvigson, and Serena Ng #19456 (AP   EFG)
  
• Household Finance: Education, Permanent Income and Portfolio Choice
  Russell Cooper and Guozhong Zhu #19455 (EFG)
  
• Wages, Pensions, and Public-Private Sector Compensation Differentials for Older Workers
  Philipp Bewerunge and Harvey S. Rosen #19454 (PE)
  
• Causal Analysis after Haavelmo
  James J. Heckman and Rodrigo Pinto #19453 (TWP)
  
• Parental Leave and Children's Schooling Outcomes: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from a Large Parental Leave Reform
  Natalia Danzer and Victor Lavy #19452 (CH   ED   LS)
  
• The Effect of Depression on Labor Market Outcomes
  Lizhong Peng, Chad D. Meyerhoefer, and Samuel H. Zuvekas #19451 (HE)
  
• Modeling Area-Level Health Rankings
  Charles Courtemanche, Samir Soneji, and Rusty Tchernis #19450 (HC   HE)
  
• The More Things Change, the More They Stay the Same: The Safety Net, Living Arrangements, and Poverty in the Great Recession
  Marianne Bitler and Hilary Hoynes #19449 (CH   LS   PE)
  
• Living with the Trilemma Constraint: Relative Trilemma Policy Divergence, Crises, and Output Losses for Developing Countries
  Joshua Aizenman and Hiro Ito #19448 (IFM)
  
• Impact of Mortality-Based Performance Measures on Hospital Pricing: the Case of Colon Cancer Surgeries
  Avi Dor, Partha Deb, Michael Grossman, Gregory Cooper, Siran Koroukian, and Fang Xu #19447 (HC   HE)
  
• Does Federally-Funded Job Training Work? Nonexperimental Estimates of WIA Training Impacts Using Longitudinal Data on Workers and Firms
  Fredrik Andersson, Harry J. Holzer, Julia I. Lane, David Rosenblum, and Jeffrey Smith #19446 (   ED   LS)
  
• Prizes and Productivity: How Winning the Fields Medal Affects Scientific Output
  George J. Borjas and Kirk B. Doran #19445 (LS)
  
• School Accountability, Postsecondary Attainment and Earnings
  David J. Deming, Sarah Cohodes, Jennifer Jennings, and Christopher Jencks #19444 (CH   ED   LS)
  
• Paradox of Thrift Recessions
  Zhen Huo and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull #19443 (EFG)
  
• The Possible Unemployment Cost of Average Inflation below a Credible Target
  Lars E.O. Svensson #19442 (IFM   ME)
  
• The Changing Role of Government in Financing Health Care: An International Perspective
  Mark Stabile and Sarah Thomson #19439 (HC)
  
• Spousal Health Effects - the Role of Selection
  James Banks, Elaine Kelly, and James P. Smith #19438 (AG)
  
• Continued Existence of Cows Disproves Central Tenets of Capitalism?
  Santosh Anagol, Alvin Etang, and Dean Karlan #19437 (LE   LS)
  
• Houses as ATMs? Mortgage Refinancing and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
  Hui Chen, Michael Michaux, and Nikolai Roussanov #19421 (AP   EFG   ME)
  

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Weekly papers released by September 16, 2013

• Portfolio Choice with Illiquid Assets
  Andrew Ang, Dimitris Papanikolaou, and Mark Westerfield #19436 (AP)
  
• Inference of Bidders' Risk Attitudes in Ascending Auctions with Endogenous Entry
  Hanming Fang and Xun Tang #19435 (IO   TWP   DEV)
  
• The Impact of Mothers’ Earnings on Health Inputs and Infant Health
  Naci Mocan, Christian Raschke, and Bulent Unel #19434 (HE)
  
• Privacy and Data-Based Research
  Ori Heffetz and Katrina Ligett #19433 (AG   LS   PE)
  
• Do Managers Do Good with Other People's Money?
  Ing-Haw Cheng, Harrison Hong, and Kelly Shue #19432 (CF)
  
• Fiscal Reform and Government Debt in Japan: A Neoclassical Perspective
  Gary Hansen and Selo Imrohoroglu #19431 (EFG   PE)
  
• Do fixed patent terms distort innovation? Evidence from cancer clinical trials
  Eric Budish, Benjamin N. Roin, and Heidi Williams #19430 (AG   HC   IO   LE   PE   PR)
  
• Playing Favorites: How Firms Prevent the Revelation of Bad News
  Lauren Cohen, Dong Lou, and Christopher Malloy #19429 (AP)
  
• Limited Managerial Attention and Corporate Aging
  Claudio Loderer, René Stulz, and Urs Waelchli #19428 (CF)
  
• Property Rights and Intra-Household Bargaining
  Shing-Yi Wang #19427 (DEV)
  
• Envirodevonomics: A Research Agenda for a Young Field
  Michael Greenstone and B. Kelsey Jack #19426 (DEV   EEE   HE   PE)
  
• Was Stalin Necessary for Russia's Economic Development?
  Anton Cheremukhin, Mikhail Golosov, Sergei Guriev, and Aleh Tsyvinski #19425 (DEV   EFG)
  
• Measuring the Impacts of Teachers II: Teacher Value-Added and Student Outcomes in Adulthood
  Raj Chetty, John N. Friedman, and Jonah E. Rockoff #19424 (CH   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Measuring the Impacts of Teachers I: Evaluating Bias in Teacher Value-Added Estimates
  Raj Chetty, John N. Friedman, and Jonah E. Rockoff #19423 (CH   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Heterogeneity in Long Term Health Outcomes of Migrants within Italy
  Vincenzo Atella and Partha Deb #19422 (HE)
  
• The Real Costs of Disclosure
  Alex Edmans, Mirko Heinle, and Chong Huang #19420 (CF   LE   PR)
  
• The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for News Media
  Susan Athey, Emilio Calvano, and Joshua Gans #19419 (IO   PR)
  
• Bank Failures and Output During the Great Depression
  Jeffrey A. Miron and Natalia Rigol #19418 (ME)
  
• The Effects of Mandatory Transparency in Financial Market Design: Evidence from the Corporate Bond Market
  Paul Asquith, Thom Covert, and Parag Pathak #19417 (AP   CF)
  

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Weekly papers released by September 9, 2013

• Asset Pricing in the Frequency Domain: Theory and Empirics
  Ian Dew-Becker and Stefano Giglio #19416 (AP   EFG)
  
• Insolvency Resolution and the Missing High Yield Bond Markets
  Bo Becker and Jens Josephson #19415 (CF)
  
• The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy
  Òscar Jordà and Alan M. Taylor #19414 (DAE   EFG   IFM)
  
• Cohabitation and the Uneven Retreat from Marriage in the U.S., 1950-2010
  Shelly Lundberg and Robert A. Pollak #19413 (CH   LS)
  
• Compensation Matters: Incentives for Multitasking in a Law Firm
  Ann Bartel, Brianna Cardiff-Hicks, and Kathryn Shaw #19412 (LS)
  
• News Driven Business Cycles: Insights and Challenges
  Paul Beaudry and Franck Portier #19411 (EFG)
  
• Do the Laws of Tax Incidence Hold? Point of Collection and the Pass-through of State Diesel Taxes
  Wojciech Kopczuk, Justin Marion, Erich Muehlegger, and Joel Slemrod #19410 (EEE   PE)
  
• Globalization and Multiproduct Firms
  Volker Nocke and Stephen Yeaple #19409 (ITI)
  
• Time-To-Plan Lags for Commercial Construction Projects
  Jonathan N. Millar, Stephen D. Oliner, and Daniel E. Sichel #19408 (DAE   EFG   ME   PR)
  
• Equity Vesting and Managerial Myopia
  Alex Edmans, Vivian W. Fang, and Katharina A. Lewellen #19407 (CF   LE   PR)
  
• Are Tenure Track Professors Better Teachers?
  David N. Figlio, Morton O. Schapiro, and Kevin B. Soter #19406 (CH   ED   LS)
  
• Does the Federal Reserve Care About the Rest of the World?
  Barry Eichengreen #19405 (DAE   IFM)
  
• How Consumer Price Subsidies affect Nutrition
  Neeraj Kaushal and Felix Muchomba #19404 (DEV   HE   PE)
  
• Exporting Liquidity: Branch Banking and Financial Integration
  Erik Gilje, Elena Loutskina, and Philip E. Strahan #19403 (CF)
  
• Decentralization in Developing Economies
  Lucie Gadenne and Monica Singhal #19402 (DEV   PE   POL)
  
• Insurer Competition and Negotiated Hospital Prices
  Kate Ho and Robin S. Lee #19401 (HC   IO)
  
• Speculative Investors and Tobin’s Tax in the Housing Market
  Yuming Fu, Wenlan Qian, and Bernard Yeung #19400 (AP   PE)
  
• Equilibria in Health Exchanges: Adverse Selection vs. Reclassification Risk
  Benjamin R. Handel, Igal Hendel, and Michael D. Whinston #19399 (HC   IO)
  
• The Value of Democracy: Evidence from Road Building in Kenya
  Robin Burgess, Remi Jedwab, Edward Miguel, Ameet Morjaria, and Gerard Padró i Miquel #19398 (DEV   POL)
  
• The Impact of Insurance and HIV Treatment Technology on HIV Testing
  Neeraj Sood and Yanyu Wu #19397 (HC   HE)
  

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Weekly papers released by September 2, 2013

• Factoryless Goods Producers in the US
  Andrew B. Bernard and Teresa C. Fort #19396 (IO   ITI)
  
• How do CEOs see their Role? Management Philosophy and Styles in Family and Non-Family Firms
  William Mullins and Antoinette Schoar #19395 (CF   LS   PR)
  
• Patent Commons, Thickets, and Open Source Software Entry by Start-Up Firms
  Wen Wen, Marco Ceccagnoli, and Chris Forman #19394 (IO   PR)
  
• The Response of Drug Expenditures to Non-Linear Contract Design: Evidence from Medicare Part D
  Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, and Paul Schrimpf #19393 (AG   HC   IO   PE)
  
• On Measuring Time Preferences.
  James Andreoni, Michael A. Kuhn, and Charles Sprenger #19392 (PE)
  
• The Stock Market Crash Really Did Cause the Great Recession
  Roger Farmer #19391 (EFG)
  
• The Phillips Curve is Alive and Well: Inflation and the NAIRU During the Slow Recovery
  Robert J. Gordon #19390 (EFG   IFM   LS   PR)
  
• Interpreting Repo Statistics in the Flow of Funds Accounts
  Arvind Krishnamurthy and Stefan Nagel #19389 (AP   CF   ME)
  
• Sovereign Debt: A Review
  Mark Aguiar and Manuel Amador #19388 (EFG   IFM)
  
• Heterogeneous Tastes and Incomplete Stratification in Sorting Models: What do Surveys Tell Us?
  Jacob Fishman and V. Kerry Smith #19387 (EEE   PE)
  
• On the Welfare Cost of Consumption Fluctuations in the Presence of Memorable Goods
  Rong Hai, Dirk Krueger, and Andrew Postlewaite #19386 (EFG)
  
• Enlisting Employees in Improving Payroll-Tax Compliance: Evidence from Mexico
  Todd Kumler, Eric Verhoogen, and Judith A. Frías #19385 (DEV   LS   PE)
  
• The Endowment Effect
  Keith M. Marzilli Ericson and Andreas Fuster #19384 (EEE   LE)
  
• Financial Market Shocks and the Macroeconomy
  Avanidhar Subrahmanyam and Sheridan Titman #19383 (AP   CF)
  
• Land Prices and Unemployment
  Zheng Liu, Jianjun Miao, and Tao Zha #19382 (AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Financial Entanglement: A Theory of Incomplete Integration, Leverage, Crashes, and Contagion
  Nicolae Gârleanu, Stavros Panageas, and Jianfeng Yu #19381 (AP   EFG   IFM)
  
• Liberty for More: Finance and Educational Opportunities
  Ross Levine and Yona Rubinstein #19380 (CF      LS)
  
• Innovation and the Financial Guillotine
  Ramana Nanda and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf #19379 (CF   PR)
  
• Financial vs. Strategic Buyers
  Marc Martos-Vila, Matthew Rhodes-Kropf, and Jarrad Harford #19378 (CF)
  
• U.S. High-Skilled Immigration, Innovation, and Entrepreneurship: Empirical Approaches and Evidence
  William R. Kerr #19377 (LS   PR)
  
• Policy Uncertainty, Trade and Welfare: Theory and Evidence for China and the U.S.
  Kyle Handley and Nuno Limão #19376 (ITI)
  
• Tail Risk and Asset Prices
  Bryan Kelly and Hao Jiang #19375 (AP)
  
• Estimating Dynamic R&D Demand: An Analysis of Costs and Long-Run Benefits
  Bettina Peters, Mark J. Roberts, Van Anh Vuong, and Helmut Fryges #19374 (IO   PR)
  
• Health Insurance for “Humans”: Information Frictions, Plan Choice, and Consumer Welfare
  Benjamin R. Handel and Jonathan T. Kolstad #19373 (HC   IO)
  
• The Rise of Services: the Role of Skills, Scale, and Female Labor Supply
  Francisco J. Buera, Joseph P. Kaboski, and Min Qiang Zhao #19372 (DEV   EFG   LS)
  
• Commodity Trade and the Carry Trade: a Tale of Two Countries
  Robert Ready, Nikolai Roussanov, and Colin Ward #19371 (AP   EFG   IFM   ITI)
  
• Recent Changes in the Gains from Delaying Social Security
  John B. Shoven and Sita Nataraj Slavov #19370 (AG)
  
• Compulsory Education and the Benefits of Schooling
  Melvin Stephens, Jr. and Dou-Yan Yang #19369 (ED   LS)
  
• Macroeconomic Analysis without the Rational Expectations Hypothesis
  Michael Woodford #19368 (EFG   ME)
  
• Perverse Reverse Price Competition: Average Wholesale Prices and Medicaid Pharmaceutical Spending
  Abby Alpert, Mark Duggan, and Judith K. Hellerstein #19367 (HC   PE)
  
• Is the Affordable Care Act Different from Romneycare? A Labor Economics Perspective
  Casey B. Mulligan #19366 (EFG   HE   PE)
  
• Average Marginal Labor Income Tax Rates under the Affordable Care Act
  Casey B. Mulligan #19365 (EFG   HE   PE)
  
• Semiparametric Estimates of Monetary Policy Effects: String Theory Revisited
  Joshua D. Angrist, Òscar Jordà, and Guido Kuersteiner #19355 (EFG   LS   ME)
  
• Bridging Education Gender Gaps in Developing Countries: The Role of Female Teachers
  Karthik Muralidharan and Ketki Sheth #19341 (CH   DEV   ED)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 26, 2013

• The Effect of Maternal Employment on Children’s Academic Performance
  Rachel Dunifon, Anne Toft Hansen, Sean Nicholson, and Lisbeth Palmhøj Nielsen #19364 (ED   LS)
  
• The Decline, Rebound, and Further Rise in SNAP Enrollment: Disentangling Business Cycle Fluctuations and Policy Changes
  Peter Ganong and Jeffrey B. Liebman #19363 (CH   LS   PE)
  
• From Sudden Stops to Fisherian Deflation: Quantitative Theory and Policy Implications
  Anton Korinek and Enrique G. Mendoza #19362 (AP   IFM   ME)
  
• Long-Term Barriers to Economic Development
  Enrico Spolaore and Romain Wacziarg #19361 (EFG   POL)
  
• Identifying Taylor Rules in Macro-Finance Models
  David Backus, Mikhail Chernov, and Stanley E. Zin #19360 (AP   EFG)
  
• The Supply of Environmentalism
  Edward L. Glaeser #19359 (EEE)
  
• The Twilight Zone: OTC Regulatory Regimes and Market Quality
  Ulf Brüggemann, Aditya Kaul, Christian Leuz, and Ingrid M. Werner #19358 (AP   CF   LE)
  
• The Impact of Parental Death on Child Well-being: Evidence from the Indian Ocean Tsunami
  Ava Cas, Elizabeth Frankenberg, Wayan Suriastini, and Duncan Thomas #19357 (DEV)
  
• International Competitiveness and Monetary Policy: Strategic Policy and Coordination with a Production Relocation Externality
  Paul R. Bergin and Giancarlo Corsetti #19356 (IFM   ITI)
  
• Rational Housing Bubble
  Bo Zhao #19354 (AP)
  
• Efficiencies Brewed: Pricing and Consolidation in the U.S. Beer Industry
  Orley C. Ashenfelter, Daniel Hosken, and Matthew C. Weinberg #19353 (IO   LE)
  
• Regulating Bidder Participation in Auctions
  Vivek Bhattacharya, James W. Roberts, and Andrew Sweeting #19352 (IO)
  
• Financial Incentives and Educational Investment: The Impact of Performance-Based Scholarships on Student Time Use
  Lisa Barrow and Cecilia E. Rouse #19351 (ED   LS)
  
• Informational Rigidities and the Stickiness of Temporary Sales
  Eric Anderson, Emi Nakamura, Duncan Simester, and Jón Steinsson #19350 (EFG   IO   ME)
  
• Alpha and Performance Measurement: The Effects of Investor Disagreement and Heterogeneity
  Wayne E. Ferson and Jerchern Lin #19349 (AP)
  
• Shocking Behavior : Random Wealth in Antebellum Georgia and Human Capital Across Generations
  Hoyt Bleakley and Joseph P. Ferrie #19348 (CH   DAE   DEV   LS)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 19, 2013

• Risk-Adjusting the Returns to Venture Capital
  Arthur Korteweg and Stefan Nagel #19347 (AP   CF)
  
• Migration into the Welfare State: Tax and Migration Competition
  Assaf Razin #19346 (IFM)
  
• v Payment Size, Negative Equity, and Mortgage Default
  Andreas Fuster and Paul S. Willen #19345 (EFG)
  
• The Importance of Parental Knowledge and Social Norms: Evidence from Weight Report Cards in Mexico
  Silvia Prina and Heather Royer #19344 (CH   DEV   HE   PE)
  
• Sovereign Default Risk and Banks in a Monetary Union
  Harald Uhlig #19343 (AP   EFG   IFM   ME   POL)
  
• The Role of Agents and Brokers in the Market for Health Insurance
  Pinar Karaca-Mandic, Roger Feldman, and Peter Graven #19342 (HC   IO)
  
• Bridging Gender Gaps in Developing Country Education: The Role of Female Teachers
  Karthik Muralidharan and Ketki Sheth #19341 (CH   DEV   ED)
  
• Optimal Primaries
  Patrick Hummel and Richard Holden #19340 (LE   POL)
  
• Global Imbalances and Structural Change in the United States
  Timothy J. Kehoe, Kim J. Ruhl, and Joseph B. Steinberg #19339 (EFG   IFM)
  
• Carbon Taxes vs. Cap and Trade: A Critical Review
  Lawrence H. Goulder and Andrew Schein #19338 (EEE   PE)
  
• The Impact of the Federal Reserve's Large-Scale Asset Purchase Programs on Corporate Credit Risk
  Simon Gilchrist and Egon Zakrajsek #19337 (ME)
  
• Exchange Rates and Interest Parity
  Charles Engel #19336 (IFM)
  
• The Economic Impact of Non-Communicable Disease in China and India: Estimates, Projections, and Comparisons
  David E. Bloom, Elizabeth T. Cafiero, Mark E. McGovern, Klaus Prettner, Anderson Stanciole, Jonathan Weiss, Samuel Bakkila, and Larry Rosenberg #19335 (AG   HC   HE   LS)
  
• Forecasting Profitability
  Mark Rosenzweig and Christopher R. Udry #19334 (DEV)
  
• Hospital Choices, Hospital Prices and Financial Incentives to Physicians
  Kate Ho and Ariel Pakes #19333 (HC   IO)
  
• To Give or Not to Give: The Price of Contributing and the Provision of Public Goods
  Johannes Diederich and Timo Goeschl #19332 (EEE)
  
• Leaving Boys Behind: Gender Disparities in High Academic Achievement
  Nicole M. Fortin, Philip Oreopoulos, and Shelley Phipps #19331 (CH   ED   LS)
  
• CEO Investment Cycles
  Yihui Pan, Tracy Yue Wang, and Michael S. Weisbach #19330 (AP   CF)
  
• Happiness, Behavioral Economics, and Public Policy
  Arik Levinson #19329 (EEE   PE)
  
• Making Do With Less: Working Harder During Recessions
  Edward P. Lazear, Kathryn L. Shaw, and Christopher Stanton #19328 (LS)
  
• Investment, Tobin's q, and Interest Rates
  Chong Wang, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang #19327 (AP   EFG)
  
• Smolyak Method for Solving Dynamic Economic Models: Lagrange Interpolation, Anisotropic Grid and Adaptive Domain
  Kenneth L. Judd, Lilia Maliar, Serguei Maliar, and Rafael Valero #19326 (TWP)
  
• Carry
  Ralph S.J. Koijen, Tobias J. Moskowitz, Lasse Heje Pedersen, and Evert B. Vrugt #19325 (AP   IFM)
  
• Costly Labor Adjustment: General Equilibrium Effects of China's Employment Regulations
  Russell Cooper, Guan Gong, and Ping Yan #19324 (EFG)
  
• Leverage and the Foreclosure Crisis
  Dean Corbae and Erwan Quintin #19323 (EFG)
  
• Shelter from the Storm: Upgrading Housing Infrastructure in Latin American Slums
  Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler, Ryan Cooper, Sebastian Martinez, Adam Ross, and Raimundo Undurraga #19322 (DEV)
  
• Autocracy, Democracy and Trade Policy
  Sebastian Galiani and Gustavo Torrens #19321 (DEV)
  
• Physician Beliefs and Patient Preferences: A New Look at Regional Variation in Health Care Spending
  David Cutler, Jonathan Skinner, Ariel Dora Stern, and David Wennberg #19320 (AG   HC   HE)
  
• Cycling to School: Increasing Secondary School Enrollment for Girls in India
  Karthik Muralidharan and Nishith Prakash #19305 (DEV   ED   LS)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 12, 2013

• Optimal Consumption and Savings with Stochastic Income
  Chong Wang, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang #19319 (EFG)
  
• Behavioral Implications of Rational Inattention with Shannon Entropy
  Andrew Caplin and Mark Dean #19318 (TWP   EFG)
  
• Optimality and Equilibrium In a Competitive Insurance Market Under Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard
  Joseph Stiglitz and Jungyoll Yun #19317 (TWP)
  
• Measuring Investment in Human Capital Formation: An Experimental Analysis of Early Life Outcomes
  Orla Doyle, Colm Harmon, James J. Heckman, Caitriona Logue, and Seong Moon #19316 (CH   TWP)
  
• Immigrants and Native Workers: New Analysis Using Longitudinal Employer-Employee Data
  Mette Foged and Giovanni Peri #19315 (ITI   LS)
  
• Econometric Mediation Analyses: Identifying the Sources of Treatment Effects from Experimentally Estimated Production Technologies with Unmeasured and Mismeasured Inputs
  James J. Heckman and Rodrigo Pinto #19314 (TWP)
  
• A Theory of Macroprudential Policies in the Presence of Nominal Rigidities
  Emmanuel Farhi and Iván Werning #19313 (EFG   ME)
  
• Keeping the Doctor Away: Experimental Evidence on Investment in Preventative Health Products
  Jennifer M. Meredith, Jonathan Robinson, Sarah Walker, and Bruce Wydick #19312 (DEV   HE)
  
• If My Blood Pressure Is High, Do I Take It To Heart? Behavioral Impacts of Biomarker Collection in the Health and Retirement Study
  Ryan D. Edwards #19311 (AG   HE)
  
• Do Firms Use Coupons and In-store Discounts to Strategically Market Experience Goods Over the Consumption Life-Cycle? The Case of Cigarettes
  Andrew Sfekas and Dean R. Lillard #19310 (HE   IO)
  
• Asset Pricing in the Dark: The Cross Section of OTC Stocks
  Andrew Ang, Assaf A. Shtauber, and Paul C. Tetlock #19309 (AP)
  
• Firm Performance in a Global Market
  Jan De Loecker and Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg #19308 (IO   ITI   PR)
  
• Oblivious Equilibrium for Concentrated Industries
  C. Lanier Benkard, Przemyslaw Jeziorski, and Gabriel Y. Weintraub #19307 (IO   PR)
  
• Looking Beyond Enrollment: The Causal Effect of Need-Based Grants on College Access, Persistence, and Graduation
  Benjamin L. Castleman and Bridget Terry Long #19306 (ED   LS)
  
• The Inter-generational and Social Transmission of Cultural Traits: Theory and Evidence from Smoking Behavior
  Rebekka Christopoulou, Ahmed Jaber, and Dean R. Lillard #19304 (HE)
  
• The Incentive Effect of IT: Randomized Evidence from Credit Committees
  Daniel Paravisini and Antoinette Schoar #19303 (CF   DEV   IO   PR)
  
• Assessing the Effects of Medical Marijuana Laws on Marijuana and Alcohol Use: The Devil is in the Details
  Rosalie Liccardo Pacula, David Powell, Paul Heaton, and Eric L. Sevigny #19302 (CH   HE   LE)
  
• One Ring to Rule Them All? Globalization of Knowledge and Knowledge Creation
  Richard B. Freeman #19301 (LS   PR)
  
• Combining Banking with Private Equity Investing
  Lily Fang, Victoria Ivashina, and Josh Lerner #19300 (CF)
  
• The Disintermediation of Financial Markets: Direct Investing in Private Equity
  Lily Fang, Victoria Ivashina, and Josh Lerner #19299 (   CF)
  
• The U.S. Market for Higher Education: A General Equilibrium Analysis of State and Private Colleges and Public Funding Policies
  Dennis Epple, Richard Romano, Sinan Sarpça, and Holger Sieg #19298 (ED   PE)
  
• Crunch Time: Fiscal Crises and the Role of Monetary Policy
  David Greenlaw, James D. Hamilton, Peter Hooper, and Frederic S. Mishkin #19297 (EFG   ME   PE)
  
• Credit Crunches and Credit Allocation in a Model of Entrepreneurship
  Marco Bassetto, Marco Cagetti, and Mariacristina De Nardi #19296 (EFG   PE)
  
• Who Says Yes When the Headhunter Calls? Understanding Executive Job Search Behavior
  Peter Cappelli and Monika Hamori #19295 (LS)
  
• State Incentives for Innovation, Star Scientists and Jobs: Evidence from Biotech
  Enrico Moretti and Daniel J. Wilson #19294 (LS   PE)
  
• Local Economic Development, Agglomeration Economies, and the Big Push: 100 Years of Evidence from the Tennessee Valley Authority
  Patrick M. Kline and Enrico Moretti #19293 (DEV   LS   PE   PR)
  
• The Federal Reserve and Financial Regulation: The First Hundred Years
  Gary B. Gorton and Andrew Metrick #19292 (AP   CF   DAE   ME)
  
• Roads and the Real Exchange Rate
  Qingyuan Du, Shang-Jin Wei, and Peichu Xie #19291 (IFM   ITI)
  
• Regression Discontinuity and the Price Effects of Stock Market Indexing
  Yen-cheng Chang, Harrison Hong, and Inessa Liskovich #19290 (AP   CF)
  
• Using Field Experiments in Environmental and Resource Economics
  John A. List and Michael K. Price #19289 (EEE)
  
• The Portuguese Slump and Crash and the Euro Crisis
  Ricardo Reis #19288 (DEV   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Recessions, Healthy No More?
  Christopher J. Ruhm #19287 (EFG   HC   HE   PE)
  
• The Determinants of Mismatch Between Students and Colleges
  Eleanor Wiske Dillon and Jeffrey Andrew Smith #19286 (ED   LS)
  
• The Gravity Equation in International Trade: An Explanation
  Thomas Chaney #19285 (ITI)
  
• Time Varying Risk Aversion
  Luigi Guiso, Paola Sapienza, and Luigi Zingales #19284 (AP)
  
• New Evidence on Taxes and the Timing of Birth
  Sara LaLumia, James M. Sallee, and Nicholas Turner #19283 (HE   PE)
  
• Migration and Tax Competition within a Union
  Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka #19282 (IFM)
  
• Early Retirement Incentives and Student Achievement
  Maria D. Fitzpatrick and Michael F. Lovenheim #19281 (AG   CH   ED   LS   PE)
  
• International Health Economics
  Mark Egan and Tomas J. Philipson #19280 (HC   HE)
  
• You Get What You Pay For: Schooling Incentives and Child Labor
  Eric V. Edmonds and Maheshwor Shrestha #19279 (CH   DEV   LS)
  
• Government Debt and Banking Fragility: The Spreading of Strategic Uncertainty
  Russell Cooper and Kalin Nikolov #19278 (EFG)
  
• Are Women More Attracted to Cooperation Than Men?
  Peter J. Kuhn and Marie-Claire Villeval #19277 (LS)
  
• Smart and Illicit: Who Becomes an Entrepreneur and Does it Pay?
  Ross Levine and Yona Rubinstein #19276 (CF   LS)
  
• Stand and Deliver: Effects of Boston's Charter High Schools on College Preparation, Entry, and Choice
  Joshua D. Angrist, Sarah R. Cohodes, Susan M. Dynarski, Parag A. Pathak, and Christopher R. Walters #19275 (CH   LS   PE)
  
• Replacing Ratings
  Bo Becker and Marcus Opp #19257 (CF)
  

---

Weekly papers released by August 5, 2013

• Spousal Effects in Smoking Cessation: Matching, Learning, or Bargaining?
  Kerry Anne McGeary #19274 (HE)
  
• Allocative Efficiency, Mark-ups, and the Welfare Gains from Trade
  Thomas J. Holmes, Wen-Tai Hsu, and Sanghoon Lee #19273 (ITI   PR)
  
• Immigrants Equilibrate Local Labor Markets: Evidence from the Great Recession
  Brian C. Cadena and Brian K. Kovak #19272 (ITI   LS)
  
• Distributional Effects of a School Voucher Program: Evidence from New York City
  Marianne P. Bitler, Thurston Domina, Emily K. Penner, and Hilary W. Hoynes #19271 (CH   ED)
  
• Neural Activity Reveals Preferences Without Choices
  Alec Smith, B. Douglas Bernheim, Colin Camerer, and Antonio Rangel #19270 (PE)
  
• Do Hypothetical Choices and Non-Choice Ratings Reveal Preferences?
  B. Douglas Bernheim, Daniel Bjorkegren, Jeffrey Naecker, and Antonio Rangel #19269 (PE)
  
• Evidence for Significant Compression of Morbidity In the Elderly U.S. Population
  David M. Cutler, Kaushik Ghosh, and Mary Beth Landrum #19268 (AG   HC   HE)
  
• The Natural Rate Hypothesis: An idea past its sell-by date
  Roger E.A. Farmer #19267 (EFG)
  
• Predation, Taxation, Investment and Violence: Evidence from the Philippines
  Eli Berman, Joseph Felter, Ethan Kapstein, and Erin Troland #19266 (DEV   PE   POL)
  
• Unemployment and Business Cycles
  Lawrence J. Christiano, Martin S. Eichenbaum, and Mathias Trabandt #19265 (EFG   ME)
  
• Daily Needs, Income Targets and Labor Supply: Evidence from Kenya
  Pascaline Dupas and Jonathan Robinson #19264 (DEV   LS)
  
• Barriers to Health and the Poverty Trap
  Yin-Chi Wang and Ping Wang #19263 (CH   DEV   EFG   HC   HE)
  
• Effects of the Minimum Wage on Employment Dynamics
  Jonathan Meer and Jeremy West #19262 (LS   PE)
  
• Unethical Culture, Suspect CEOs and Corporate Misbehavior
  Lee Biggerstaff, David C. Cicero, and Andy Puckett #19261 (CF)
  

---

Weekly papers released by July 29, 2013

• High Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality
  Emi Nakamura and Jón Steinsson #19260 (EFG   ME)
  
• Truth-telling by Third-party Auditors and the Response of Polluting Firms: Experimental Evidence from India
  Esther Duflo, Michael Greenstone, Rohini Pande, and Nicholas Ryan #19259 (DEV   EEE   IO   LE   PE)
  
• Environmental Protection, Rare Disasters, and Discount Rates
  Robert J. Barro #19258 (AP   EEE   EFG   PE)
  
• Replacing Ratings
  Bo Becker and Marcus Opp #19257 (CF)
  
• How Important can the Non-Violation Clause be for the GATT/WTO?
  Robert W. Staiger and Alan O. Sykes #19256 (ITI)
  
• The Next Generation of the Penn World Table
  Robert C. Feenstra, Robert Inklaar, and Marcel Timmer #19255 (EFG   ITI)
  
• How Does China's New Labor Contract Law Affect Floating Workers?
  Richard B. Freeman and Xiaoying Li #19254 (LE   LS)
  
• Off-Balance-Sheet Federal Liabilities
  James D. Hamilton #19253 (PE)
  
• Patents in the University: Priming the Pump and Crowding Out
  Suzanne Scotchmer #19252 (LE   PR)
  
• Competition in the Audit Market: Policy Implications
  Joseph J. Gerakos and Chad Syverson #19251 (CF   IO   LE)
  
• Overconfidence in Political Behavior
  Pietro Ortoleva and Erik Snowberg #19250 (POL)
  
• Quid Pro Quo: Technology Capital Transfers for Market Access in China
  Thomas J. Holmes, Ellen R. McGrattan, and Edward C. Prescott #19249 (EFG   IFM   PR)
  
• Macroeconomic Dynamics Near the ZLB: A Tale of Two Equilibria
  S. BoraĞan Aruoba and Frank Schorfheide #19248 (EFG   ME)
  
• Physician Agency and Competition: Evidence from a Major Change to Medicare Chemotherapy Reimbursement Policy
  Mireille Jacobson, Tom Y. Chang, Joseph P. Newhouse, and Craig C. Earle, M.D. #19247 (HC)
  
• Waves in Ship Prices and Investment
  Robin Greenwood and Samuel Hanson #19246 (AP   CF   EFG)
  
• Central Bank Design
  Ricardo Reis #19187 (EFG   ME)
  

---

Weekly papers released by July 22, 2013

• Disease Control, Demographic Change and Institutional Development in Africa
  Margaret S. McMillan, William A. Masters, and Harounan Kazianga #19245 (   DEV      HE)
  
• Climate Change Policy: What Do the Models Tell Us?
  Robert S. Pindyck #19244 (   EEE   PE)
  
• The Black-White Education-Scaled Test-Score Gap in Grades K-7
  Timothy N. Bond and Kevin Lang #19243 (ED   LS)
  
• Physicians Treating Physicians: Information and Incentives in Childbirth
  Erin M. Johnson and M. Marit Rehavi #19242 (CH   HC)
  
• Are Some Degrees Worth More than Others? Evidence from college admission cutoffs in Chile
  Justine S. Hastings, Christopher A. Neilson, and Seth D. Zimmerman #19241 (CH   DEV   ED   LS   PE)
  
• External Adjustment, Global Imbalances and Valuation Effects
  Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Hélène Rey #19240 (AP   CF   IFM   ITI   ME)
  
• Global Supply Chains, Currency Undervaluation, and Firm Protectionist Demands
  J. Bradford Jensen, Dennis P. Quinn, and Stephen Weymouth #19239 (ITI)
  
• Deflation Risk
  Matthias Fleckenstein, Francis A. Longstaff, and Hanno Lustig #19238 (AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Family Welfare Cultures
  Gordon B. Dahl, Andreas Ravndal Kostol, and Magne Mogstad #19237 (AG   CH   LS   PE)
  
• The Tip of the Iceberg: A Quantitative Framework for Estimating Trade Costs
  Alfonso Irarrazabal, Andreas Moxnes, and Luca David Opromolla #19236 (ITI)
  
• Entrepreneurial Taxation with Endogenous Entry
  Florian Scheuer #19235 (EFG   LS   PE   PR)
  
• Health and Health Behaviors during the Worst of Times: Evidence from the Great Recession
  Erdal Tekin, Chandler McClellan, and Karen Jean Minyard #19234 (HC   HE)
  
• The Cognitive Effects of Micronutrient Deficiency: Evidence from Salt Iodization in the United States
  James Feyrer, Dimitra Politi, and David N. Weil #19233 (CH   DAE   DEV   EFG   HE)
  
• Friends or Family? Revisiting the Effects of High School Popularity on Adult Earnings
  Jason Fletcher #19232 (CH   ED   LS)
  
• Golden Years or Financial Fears? Decision Making After Retirement Seminars
  Steven G. Allen, Robert L. Clark, Jennifer Maki, and Melinda Sandler Morrill #19231 (AG   LS)
  
• The Network Origins of Large Economic Downturns
  Daron Acemoglu, Asuman Ozdaglar, and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi #19230 (EFG)
  
• Do Firms Issue more equity when markets are more liquid?
  René M. Stulz, Dimitrios Vagias, and Mathijs A. van Dijk #19229 (CF   IFM)
  
• Slow Moving Debt Crises
  Guido Lorenzoni and Ivan Werning #19228 (EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Turning a Shove into a Nudge? A “Labeled Cash Transfer” for Education
  Najy Benhassine, Florencia Devoto, Esther Duflo, Pascaline Dupas, and Victor Pouliquen #19227 (CH   DEV   ED)
  
• Trade Adjustment: Worker Level Evidence
  David H. Autor, David Dorn, Gordon H. Hanson, and Jae Song #19226 (ITI   LS)
  
• Bowling for Fascism: Social Capital and the Rise of the Nazi Party in Weimar Germany, 1919-33
  Shanker Satyanath, Nico Voigtlaender, and Hans-Joachim Voth #19201 (DAE   POL)
  

---

Weekly papers released by July 15, 2013

• Religion and Risky Health Behaviors among U.S. Adolescents and Adults
  Jason Fletcher and Sanjeev Kumar #19225 (HE)
  
• Nudging Energy Efficiency Behavior: The Role of Information Labels
  Richard G. Newell and Juha V. Siikamäki #19224 (EEE   PE)
  
• Necessity as the Mother of Invention: Innovative Responses to Natural Disasters
  Qing Miao and David Popp #19223 (EEE   PR)
  
• The Effect of College Education on Health
  Kasey Buckles, Andreas Hagemann, Ofer Malamud, Melinda S. Morrill, and Abigail K. Wozniak #19222 (ED   HE   LS   PE)
  
• Conflict, Evolution, Hegemony, and the Power of the State
  David K. Levine and Salvatore Modica #19221 (EFG   POL)
  
• Public Health Insurance, Labor Supply, and Employment Lock
  Craig Garthwaite, Tal Gross, and Matthew J. Notowidigdo #19220 (HC   LS   PE)
  
• From Green Users to Green Voters
  Diego Comin and Johannes Rode #19219 (EEE   POL   PR)
  
• The Effect of Medicaid Payment Rates on Access to Dental Care Among Children
  Thomas C. Buchmueller, Sean Orzol, and Lara D. Shore-Sheppard #19218 (CH   HC   HE)
  
• Entry, Exit, Firm Dynamics, and Aggregate Fluctuations
  Gian Luca Clementi and Berardino Palazzo #19217 (EFG   IO   PR)
  
• Did Age Discrimination Protections Help Older Workers Weather the Great Recession?
  David Neumark and Patrick Button #19216 (AG   LS)
  
• The Determinants and Consequences of Friendship Composition
  Jason M. Fletcher, Stephen L. Ross, and Yuxiu Zhang #19215 (CH   ED   HE   LS)
  
• The Consequences of Using One Assessment System To Pursue Two Objectives
  Derek Neal #19214 (ED   LS)
  
• Railroads and American Economic Growth: A “Market Access” Approach
  Dave Donaldson and Richard Hornbeck #19213 (DAE   DEV   EFG   ITI)
  
• Linear Social Interactions Models
  Lawrence E. Blume, William A. Brock, Steven N. Durlauf, and Rajshri Jayaraman #19212 (CH   DEV   ED   EFG   HE   LS   PE   TWP)
  
• Optimal Annuitization with Stochastic Mortality Probabilities
  Felix Reichling and Kent Smetters #19211 (AG   HE   PE)
  
• The Idea of Antipoverty Policy
  Martin Ravallion #19210 (DEV)
  
• Learning Capitalism the Hard Way—Evidence from Germany's Reunification
  Thomas P. Triebs and Justin Tumlinson #19209 (DEV)
  
• Solving the DMP Model Accurately
  Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Lu Zhang #19208 (AP   CF   EFG   LS   ME)
  
• Unemployment Crises
  Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Lu Zhang #19207 (AP   CF   EFG   LS)
  
• Optimal Life Cycle Portfolio Choice with Variable Annuities Offering Liquidity and Investment Downside Protection
  Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer, Olivia S. Mitchell, and Ralph Rogalla #19206 (AG   LS)
  
• Capital Controls in Brazil – Stemming a Tide with a Signal?
  Yothin Jinjarak, Ilan Noy, and Huanhuan Zheng #19205 (IFM)
  
• Measuring the Financial Soundness of U.S. Firms, 1926–2012
  Andrew G. Atkeson, Andrea L. Eisfeldt, and Pierre-Olivier Weill #19204 (AP   CF   EFG   ME)
  
• Labor Market Returns to Early Childhood Stimulation: a 20-year Followup to an Experimental Intervention in Jamaica
  Paul Gertler, James Heckman, Rodrigo Pinto, Arianna Zanolini, Christel Vermeersch, Susan Walker, Susan M. Chang, and Sally Grantham-McGregor #19185 (CH   DEV   ED   LS)
  

---

Weekly papers released by July 8, 2013

• "Unfinished Business": Ethnic Complementarities and the Political Contagion of Peace and Conflict in Gujarat
  Saumitra Jha #19203 (DAE   DEV   POL)
  
• Understanding Social Interactions: Evidence from the Classroom
  Giacomo De Giorgi and Michele Pellizzari #19202 (ED)
  
• Bowling for Fascism: Social Capital and the Rise of the Nazi Party in Weimar Germany, 1919-33
  Shanker Satyanath, Nico Voigtlaender, and Hans-Joachim Voth #19201 (DAE   POL)
  
• Healthcare Exceptionalism? Productivity and Allocation in the U.S. Healthcare Sector
  Amitabh Chandra, Amy Finkelstein, Adam Sacarny, and Chad Syverson #19200 (AG   HC   IO   PE   PR)
  
• No Taxation without Information: Deterrence and Self-Enforcement in the Value Added Tax
  Dina Pomeranz #19199 (DEV   PE)
  
• Do Insurers Risk-Select Against Each Other? Evidence from Medicaid and Implications for Health Reform
  Ilyana Kuziemko, Katherine Meckel, and Maya Rossin-Slater #19198 (CH   HC   PE)
  
• Networks, Commitment, and Competence: Caste in Indian Local Politics
  Kaivan Munshi and Mark Rosenzweig #19197 (DEV   POL)
  
• The Caloric Costs of Culture: Evidence from Indian Migrants
  David Atkin #19196 (DEV   POL)
  
• Bridging vs. Bonding Social Capital and the Management of Common Pool Resources
  Kathy Baylis, Yazhen Gong, and Shun Wang #19195 (DEV   EEE)
  
• Search for a Common Factor in Public and Private Real Estate Returns
  Andrew Ang, Neil Nabar, and Sam Wald #19194 (AP)
  
• Who Uses the Roth 401(k), and How Do They Use It?
  John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian #19193 (AG   PE)
  
• Bailouts, Time Inconsistency, and Optimal Regulation
  V.V. Chari and Patrick J. Kehoe #19192 (EFG   IFM   ME   PE   POL)
  
• Patents as Signals for Startup Financing
  Annamaria Conti, Jerry Thursby, and Marie C. Thursby #19191 (IO   PR)
  
• Real Estate Valuation, Current Account and Credit Growth Patterns, Before and After the 2008-9 Crisis
  Joshua Aizenman and Yothin Jinjarak #19190 (IFM)
  
• X-CAPM: An Extrapolative Capital Asset Pricing Model
  Nicholas Barberis, Robin Greenwood, Lawrence Jin, and Andrei Shleifer #19189 (AP)
  
• Race and College Success: Evidence from Missouri
  Peter Arcidiacono and Cory Koedel #19188 (ED)
  
• Heterogeneity in Cost-Sharing and Cost-Sensitivity, and the Role of the Prescribing Physician
  Mariana Carrera, Dana Goldman, and Geoffrey Joyce #19186 (HC   HE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by July 1, 2013

• Liquidity and Inefficient Investment
  Oliver D. Hart and Luigi Zingales #19184 (CF   EFG   ME)
  
• Differential Pricing in Undergraduate Education: Effects on Degree Production by Field
  Kevin M. Stange #19183 (ED   LS)
  
• The Effect of High School Exit Exams on Graduation, Employment, Wages and Incarceration
  Olesya Baker and Kevin Lang #19182 (ED   LS)
  
• Trade and the Topography of the Spatial Economy
  Treb Allen and Costas Arkolakis #19181 (DEV   ITI)
  
• Time-Varying Business Volatility, Price Setting, and the Real Effects of Monetary Policy
  Ruediger Bachmann, Benjamin Born, Steffen Elstner, and Christian Grimme #19180 (EFG   ME)
  
• Generational Risk – Is It a Big Deal?: Simulating an 80-Period OLG Model with Aggregate Shocks
  Jasmina Hasanhodzic and Laurence J. Kotlikoff #19179 (AG)
  
• Allocating Household Time: When Does Efficiency Imply Specialization?
  Robert A. Pollak #19178 (LS)
  
• The Policy Elasticity
  Nathaniel Hendren #19177 (DEV   HC   HE   LS   PE)
  
• Multichannel Spillovers from a Factory Store
  Yi Qian, Eric Anderson, and Duncan Simester #19176 (IO   PR)
  
• Up from Poverty? The 1832 Cherokee Land Lottery and the Long-run Distribution of Wealth
  Hoyt Bleakley and Joseph P. Ferrie #19175 (DAE   DEV   LS)
  
• Network Security and Contagion
  Daron Acemoglu, Azarakhsh Malekian, and Asuman Ozdaglar #19174 (IO)
  
• Religion, Politician Identity and Development Outcomes: Evidence from India
  Sonia R. Bhalotra, Guilhem Cassan, Irma Clots-Figueras, and Lakshmi Iyer #19173 (CH   DEV   POL)
  
• How Does Provider Supply and Regulation Influence Health Care Market? Evidence from Nurse Practitioners and Physician Assistants
  Kevin M. Stange #19172 (HC   HE   LS)
  
• Marginal Tax Rates and Income: New Time Series Evidence
  Karel Mertens #19171 (ME   PE)
  
• Liquidity Constrained Exporters
  Thomas Chaney #19170 (ITI)
  
• Religiosity and State Welfare
  Angela K. Dills and Rey Hernández-Julián #19169 (PE)
  
• Decision Complexity as a Barrier to Annuitization
  Jeffrey R. Brown, Arie Kapteyn, Erzo F.P. Luttmer, and Olivia S. Mitchell #19168 (AG   PE)
  
• Commodity and Asset Pricing Models: An Integration
  Gonzalo Cortazar, Ivo Kovacevic, and Eduardo S. Schwartz #19167 (AP)
  
• Scale, Scope, and the International Expansion Strategies of Multiproduct Firms
  Stephen Ross Yeaple #19166 (ITI)
  
• A Major in Science? Initial Beliefs and Final Outcomes for College Major and Dropout
  Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd R. Stinebrickner #19165 (ED)
  
• Effects of Mental Health on Couple Relationship Status
  Nancy E. Reichman, Hope Corman, and Kelly Noonan #19164 (CH   HE)
  
• Evolving Choice Inconsistencies in Choice of Prescription Drug Insurance
  Jason Abaluck and Jonathan Gruber #19163 (AG   HC   HE   PE)
  
• Trends in Health, Education and Income in the United States, 1820-2000
  Hoyt Bleakley, Dora Costa, and Adriana Lleras-Muney #19162 (DAE   DEV   HE   LS)
  
• The Effect of Medicaid Expansions in the Late 1980s and Early 1990s on the Labor Supply of Pregnant Women
  Dhaval M. Dave, Sandra L. Decker, Robert Kaestner, and Kosali Ilayperuma Simon #19161 (CH   HC   HE   LS   PE)
  
• Intergenerational Transfer, Human Capital and Long-term Growth in China under the One Child Policy
  Xi Zhu, John Whalley, and Xiliang Zhao #19160 (LS)
  
• Lending to Lemons: Landschafts-Credit in 18th Century Prussia
  Kirsten Wandschneider #19159 (ME)
  

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