New This Week Archive

NBER Working Papers released in the past, by week.

Week of December 21 - December 27, 2008

• Deciphering the Liquidity and Credit Crunch 2007-08
  Markus K. Brunnermeier #14612 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• The Effects of Capacity on Sales Under Alternative Vertical Contracts
  Ioannis Ioannou, Julie Holland Mortimer, and Richard Mortimer #14611 (IO)
  
• An Anatomy of International Trade: Evidence from French Firms
  Jonathan Eaton, Samuel Kortum, and Francis Kramarz #14610 (IO, ITI, PR)
  
• Informed Trading, Liquidity Provision, and Stock Selection by Mutual Funds
  Zhi Da, Pengjie Gao, and Ravi Jagannathan #14609 (AP)
  
• National Board Certification and Teacher Effectiveness: Evidence from a Random Assignment Experiment
  Steven Cantrell, Jon Fullerton, Thomas J. Kane, and Douglas O. Staiger #14608 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• Estimating Teacher Impacts on Student Achievement: An Experimental Evaluation
  Thomas J. Kane and Douglas O. Staiger #14607 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• Can Hearts and Minds Be Bought? The Economics of Counterinsurgency in Iraq
  Eli Berman, Jacob N. Shapiro, and Joseph H. Felter #14606 (IFM, PE, POL, PR)
  
• Trading Frictions and House Price Dynamics
  Andrew Caplin and John Leahy #14605 (EFG, ME)
  
• Institutions vs. Policies: A Tale of Two Islands
  Peter Blair Henry and Conrad Miller #14604 (EFG, IFM, ITI, LE, LS, ME, PE, POL)
  
• Endogenous Presidentialism
  James A. Robinson and Ragnar Torvik #14603 (POL)
  
• Conveying Quality and Value in Emerging Industries: Star Scientists and the Role of Learning in Biotechnology
  Matthew J. Higgins, Paula E. Stephan, and Jerry G. Thursby #14602 (LS, PR)
  
• Forecast Evaluation of Small Nested Model Sets
  Kirstin Hubrich and Kenneth D. West #14601 (AP, ME, TWP)
  
• "Currency Manipulation" and World Trade
  Robert W. Staiger and Alan O. Sykes #14600 (ITI)
  
• The Impact of Family Income on Child Achievement: Evidence from the Earned Income Tax Credit
  Gordon Dahl and Lance Lochner #14599 (CH, LS, PE)
  
• Why Aren't Developed Countries Saving?
  Loretti I. Dobrescu, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, and Alberto F. Motta #14580 (AG, ME, PE, POL, PR)
  

Week of December 14 - December 20, 2008

• Media Coverage of Political Scandals
  Riccardo Puglisi and James M. Snyder, Jr. #14598 (POL)
  
• Predictability and 'Good Deals' in Currency Markets
  Richard M. Levich and Valerio Poti #14597 (IFM)
  
• Opting Out of the Great Inflation: German Monetary Policy After the Break Down of Bretton Woods
  Andreas Beyer, Vitor Gaspar, Christina Gerberding, and Otmar Issing #14596 (IFM)
  
• Learning the Wealth of Nations
  Francisco J. Buera, Alexander Monge-Naranjo, and Giorgio E. Primiceri #14595 (EFG)
  
• Innovation and Productivity in SMEs: Empirical Evidence for Italy
  Bronwyn H. Hall, Francesca Lotti, and Jacques Mairesse #14594 (IO, PR)
  
• Empathy and Emulation: Life Satisfaction and the Urban Geography of Comparison Groups
  Christopher P. Barrington-Leigh and John F. Helliwell #14593 (PE)
  
• Brain Drain or Brain Bank? The Impact of Skilled Emigration on Poor-Country Innovation
  Ajay Agrawal, Devesh Kapur, and John McHale #14592 (PR)
  
• Re-examining the Effects of Medicaid Expansions for Pregnant Women
  Dhaval M. Dave, Sandra Decker, Robert Kaestner, and Kosali I. Simon #14591 (CH, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Comparing Open and Sealed Bid Auctions: Evidence from Timber Auctions
  Susan Athey, Jonathan Levin, and Enrique Seira #14590 (IO)
  
• Well-being and Trust in the Workplace
  John F. Helliwell and Haifang Huang #14589 (LS)
  
• Welfare Effects of Full-line Forcing Contracts in the Video Rental Industry
  Justin Ho , Katherine Ho, and Julie Holland Mortimer #14588 (IO)
  
• Banking Crises: An Equal Opportunity Menace
  Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff #14587 (IFM)
  
• What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us About Informational Rigidities?
  Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko #14586 (EFG, ME)
  
• The Incidence of Civil War: Theory and Evidence
  Timothy J. Besley and Torsten Persson #14585 (IFM, POL)
  
• Fiscal Policy, Wealth Effects, and Markups
  Tommaso Monacelli and Roberto Perotti #14584 (EFG, POL)
  
• Individual Investor Mutual-Fund Flows
  Zoran Ivkovich and Scott Weisbenner #14583 (PE)
  
• The Value of Making Commitments Externally: Evidence from WTO Accessions
  Man-Keung Tang and Shang-Jin Wei #14582 (IFM, ITI)
  
• Equity Depletion from Government-Guaranteed Debt
  Robert E. Hall #14581 (EFG)
  
• The Flypaper Effect
  Robert P. Inman #14579 (PE, POL)
  
• The First of the Month Effect: Consumer Behavior and Store Responses
  Justine S. Hastings and Ebonya L. Washington #14578 (IO, PE)
  
• Superstar Extinction
  Pierre Azoulay, Joshua S. Graff Zivin, and Jialan Wang #14577 (PR)
  
• Evidence of Improved Monitoring and Insolvency Resolution after FDICIA
  Edward J. Kane, Rosalind Bennett, and Robert Oshinsky #14576 (CF)
  
• What is a Company Really Worth? Intangible Capital and the "Market to Book Value" Puzzle
  Charles R. Hulten and Xiaohui Hao #14548 (PR)
  
• Labor Supply Responses to Marginal Social Security Benefits: Evidence from Discontinuities
  Jeffrey B. Liebman, Erzo F.P. Luttmer, and David G. Seif #14540 (AG, LS, PE)
  
• The Unofficial Economy and Economic Development
  Rafael La Porta and Andrei Shleifer #14520 (EFG)
  

Week of December 7 - December 13, 2008

• The NBER-Rensselaer Scientific Papers Database: Form, Nature, and Function
  James D. Adams and J. Roger Clemmons #14575 (PR)
  
• Multi-market Delegated Asset Management
  Zhiguo He and Wei Xiong #14574 (AP, CF)
  
• Season of Birth and Later Outcomes: Old Questions, New Answers
  Kasey Buckles and Daniel M. Hungerman #14573 (CH)
  
• Are Health Insurance Markets Competitive?
  Leemore Dafny #14572 (HC, IO)
  
• Forecasting Stock Market Returns: The Sum of the Parts is More than the Whole
  Miguel A. Ferreira and Pedro Santa-Clara #14571 (AP)
  
• The Effects of Housing Assistance on Labor Supply: Evidence from a Voucher Lottery
  Brian A. Jacob and Jens Ludwig #14570 (CH, ED, LS, PE)
  
• An Historical Perspective on the Crisis of 2007-2008
  Michael D. Bordo #14569 (ME)
  
• The Cost of Primary Care Doctors
  Sherry A. Glied, Ashwin Prabhu, and Norman H. Edelman #14568 (HC, LS)
  
• Pharmaceutical Industry, Drug Quality and Regulation: Evidence from US and Italy
  Vincenzo Atella, Jay Bhattacharya, and Lorenzo Carbonari #14567 (HC, HE)
  
• The Timing of Labor Demand
  Ana Rute Cardoso, Daniel S. Hamermesh, and Jose Varejao #14566 (LS)
  
• International Trade in Used Durable Goods: The Environmental Consequences of NAFTA
  Lucas W. Davis and Matthew E. Kahn #14565 (EEE, IO, ITI)
  
• Short Run Impacts of Accountability on School Quality
  Jonah E. Rockoff and Lesley J. Turner #14564 (ED, PE)
  
• The Supply-Shock Explanation of the Great Stagflation Revisited
  Alan S. Blinder and Jeremy B. Rudd #14563 (DAE, EFG)
  
• Sovereign Wealth Funds: Stylized Facts about their Determinants and Governance
  Joshua Aizenman and Reuven Glick #14562 (IFM, ITI, ME)
  
• Inflation Targeting and Real Exchange Rates in Emerging Markets
  Joshua Aizenman, Michael Hutchison, and Ilan Noy #14561 (IFM, ITI, ME)
  
• Did Economics Cause World War II?
  Robert J. Gordon #14560 (EFG, PR)
  
• Rebate Rules in Threshold Public Good Provision
  Michael A. Spencer, Stephen K. Swallow , Jason F. Shogren, and John A. List #14559 (EEE, PE)
  
• Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?
  M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad, and Marco E. Terrones #14558 (EFG, IFM, PR)
  
• The Evolution of Corporate Ownership After IPO: The Impact of Investor Protection
  C. Fritz Foley and Robin Greenwood #14557 (CF, LE)
  
• A Resource Belief-Curse? Oil and Individualism
  Rafael Di Tella, Juan Dubra, and Robert MacCulloch #14556 (POL)
  
• Great Fortunes of the Gilded Age
  Hugh Rockoff #14555 (DAE)
  
• Task Trade between Similar Countries
  Gene M. Grossman and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #14554 (EFG, ITI)
  
• The Slow Decline of East Germany
  Harald Uhlig #14553 (EFG, ITI, LS)
  
• An Exploration of Local R&D Spillovers in France
  Jacques Mairesse and Benoit Mulkay #14552 (PR)
  
• What are the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks?
  Andrew Mountford and Harald Uhlig #14551 (EFG, IFM, PE)
  
• Improving Educational Outcomes for Poor Children
  Brian Jacob and Jens Ludwig #14550 (CH, ED)
  
• Bankruptcy: Past Puzzles, Recent Reforms, and the Mortgage Crisis
  Michelle J. White #14549 (LE)
  
• Can Structural Small Open Economy Models Account for the Influence of Foreign Disturbances?
  Alejandro Justiniano and Bruce Preston #14547 (EFG)
  
• Why are Saving Rates of Urban Households in China Rising?
  Marcos Chamon and Eswar Prasad #14546 (IFM)
  
• Mandates and the Affordability of Health Care
  Sherry A. Glied #14545 (HC)
  
• Mispricing of S&P 500 Index Options
  George M. Constantinides, Jens Carsten Jackwerth , and Stylianos Perrakis #14544 (AP)
  
• Financial Literacy, Information, and Demand Elasticity: Survey and Experimental Evidence from Mexico
  Justine S. Hastings and Lydia Tejeda-Ashton #14538 (AG, IO, PE)
  
• Estimating the Effect of Student Aid on College Enrollment: Evidence from a Government Grant Policy Reform
  Helena Skyt Nielsen, Torben Sorensen, and Christopher R. Taber #14535 (ED, LS, PE)
  
• Credit Constraints, Heterogeneous Firms, and International Trade
  Kalina Manova #14531 (ITI)
  

Week of November 30 - December 6, 2008

• Asset Pricing Tests with Long Run Risks in Consumption Growth
  George M. Constantinides and Anisha Ghosh #14543 (AP)
  
• The Estimated Effects of the Euro on Trade: Why Are They Below Historical Effects of Monetary Unions Among Smaller Countries?
  Jeffrey A. Frankel #14542 (IFM)
  
• More Women Missing, Fewer Girls Dying: The Impact of Abortion on Sex Ratios at Birth and Excess Female Mortality in Taiwan
  Ming-Jen Lin, Nancy Qian, and Jin-Tan Liu #14541 (HE)
  
• Happiness Adaptation to Income beyond "Basic Needs"
  Rafael Di Tella and Robert MacCulloch #14539 (PE)
  
• Top Wage Incomes in Japan, 1951-2005
  Chiaki Moriguchi #14537 (LS, PE)
  
• Heights and Human Welfare: Recent Developments and New Directions
  Richard H. Steckel #14536 (CH, DAE, HE, LS)
  
• Inflation Determination with Taylor Rules: Is New Keynesian Analysis Critically Flawed?
  Bennett T. McCallum #14534 (EFG, ME)
  
• Assessing the Emerging Global Financial Architecture: Measuring the Trilemma's Configurations over Time
  Joshua Aizenman, Menzie D. Chinn, and Hiro Ito #14533 (IFM, ITI)
  
• Bretton Woods and the Great Inflation
  Michael D. Bordo and Barry Eichengreen #14532 (DAE, ME)
  
• Do Enterprise Zones Create Jobs? Evidence from California's Enterprise Zone Program
  David Neumark and Jed Kolko #14530 (LS, PE)
  
• Business Cycles in the Euro Area
  Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza, and Lucrezia Reichlin #14529 (EFG, IFM)
  
• Emerging Market Currency Excess Returns
  Stephen Gilmore and Fumio Hayashi #14528 (IFM)
  
• Dynamic Globalization and Its Potentially Alarming Prospects for Low-Wage Workers
  Hans Fehr, Sabine Jokisch, and Laurence J. Kotlikoff #14527 (AG, DAE, ITI, LE, ME, PE, PR)
  
• Dynamic Merger Review
  Volker Nocke and Michael D. Whinston #14526 (IO)
  
• Impossible Frontiers
  Thomas J. Brennan and Andrew W. Lo #14525 (AP)
  
• High Birth Weight and Cognitive Outcomes
  Resul Cesur and Inas Rashad #14524 (HE)
  
• An Institutional Theory of Momentum and Reversal
  Dimitri Vayanos and Paul Woolley #14523 (AP)
  
• Estimating Marginal Returns to Medical Care: Evidence from At-Risk Newborns
  Douglas Almond, Joseph J. Doyle, Jr., Amanda E. Kowalski, and Heidi Williams #14522 (CH, HC, HE)
  
• Financial Crash, Commodity Prices and Global Imbalances
  Ricardo J. Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi, and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas #14521 (EFG, IFM)
  
• Re-Evaluating Swedish Membership in EMU: Evidence from an Estimated Model
  Ulf Soderstrom #14519 (IFM)
  
• Did Mergers Help Japanese Mega-Banks Avoid Failure? Analysis of the Distance to Default of Banks
  Kimie Harada and Takatoshi Ito #14518 (IFM)
  
• Intermediary Asset Pricing
  Zhiguo He and Arvind Krishnamurthy #14517 (CF, AP)
  
• The Value of School Facilities: Evidence from a Dynamic Regression Discontinuity Design
  Stephanie Riegg Cellini, Fernando Ferreira, and Jesse Rothstein #14516 (ED, LS, PE)
  
• Physical Capital, Knowledge Capital and the Choice Between FDI and Outsourcing
  Yongmin Chen, Ignatius J. Horstmann, and James R. Markusen #14515 (IO, ITI)
  

Week of November 16 - November 22, 2008

• A Depressing Scenario: Mortgage Debt Becomes Unemployment Insurance
  Casey B. Mulligan #14514 (EFG, ME, PE)
  
• No Time to Lose? Time Constraints and Physical Activity
  John Mullahy and Stephanie A. Robert #14513 (HE)
  
• Tobit at Fifty: A Brief History of Tobin's Remarkable Estimator, of Related Empirical Methods, and of Limited Dependent Variable Econometrics in Health Economics
  Kohei Enami and John Mullahy #14512 (HC, HE)
  
• Term Length and Political Performance
  Ernesto Dal Bo and Martin Rossi #14511 (POL)
  
• Monetary Policy Trade-Offs in an Estimated Open-Economy DSGE Model
  Malin Adolfson, Stefan Laseen, Jesper Linde, and Lars E.O. Svensson #14510 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• An Exploration of the Japanese Slowdown during the 1990s
  Diego A. Comin #14509 (EFG, ITI, ME, PR)
  
• Self-Esteem, Moral Capital, and Wrongdoing
  Ernesto Dal Bó and Marko Terviö #14508 (   LE   POL)
  
• Life Satisfaction and Quality of Development
  John F. Helliwell #14507 (IFM)
  
• The Strategic Timing Incentives of Commercial Radio Stations: An Empirical Analysis Using Multiple Equilibria
  Andrew Sweeting #14506 (IO)
  
• Equilibrium Price Dynamics in Perishable Goods Markets: The Case of Secondary Markets for Major League Baseball Tickets
  Andrew Sweeting #14505 (IO)
  
• Sacred Cars? Optimal Regulation of Stationary and Non-stationary Pollution Sources
  Meredith Fowlie, Christopher R. Knittel, and Catherine Wolfram #14504 (EEE, IO)
  
• Tracing the Woes: An Empirical Analysis of the Airline Industry
  Steven Berry and Panle Jia #14503 (IO)
  
• On the Sorting of Physicians across Medical Occupations
  Pascal Courty and Gerald R. Marschke #14502 (LS)
  
• Contracts as Reference Points - Experimental Evidence
  Ernst Fehr, Oliver D. Hart, and Christian Zehnder #14501 (CF, LE)
  
• Price Momentum In Stocks: Insights From Victorian Age Data
  Benjamin Chabot, Eric Ghysels, and Ravi Jagannathan #14500 (   AP)
  
• Understanding PPPs and PPP-based national accounts
  Angus Deaton and Alan Heston #14499 (EFG)
  
• The Future of American Fertility
  Samuel H. Preston and Caroline Sten Hartnett #14498 (AG, CH)
  
• China and the Manufacturing Exports of Other Developing Countries
  Gordon H. Hanson and Raymond Robertson #14497 (ITI)
  
• Taxes on Tax-Exempt Bonds
  Andrew Ang, Vineer Bhansali, and Yuhang Xing #14496 (AP, PE)
  
• Adjusting to Trade Policy: Evidence from U.S. Antidumping Duties on Vietnamese Catfish
  Irene Brambilla, Guido Porto, and Alessandro Tarozzi #14495 (ITI)
  
• Taxing Corporate Income
  Alan J. Auerbach, Michael P. Devereux, and Helen Simpson #14494 (PE)
  
• The Structure of Protection and Growth in the Late 19th Century
  Sibylle H. Lehmann and Kevin H. O'Rourke #14493 (DAE, ITI)
  

Week of November 9 - November 15, 2008

• Understanding Crude Oil Prices
  James D. Hamilton #14492 (EEE)
  
• The Flattening Firm and Product Market Competition: The Effect of Trade Liberalization
  Maria Guadalupe and Julie Wulf #14491 (IO, ITI, LS)
  
• The Economic Consequences of the International Migration of Labor
  Gordon H. Hanson #14490 (ITI, LS)
  
• How Central Bankers See It: The First Decade of ECB Policy and Beyond
  Stephen G. Cecchetti and Kermit L. Schoenholtz #14489 (ME)
  
• Capital Structure and Debt Structure
  Joshua D. Rauh and Amir Sufi #14488 (CF)
  
• Storable Votes and Agenda Order Control. Theory and Experiments
  Alessandra Casella #14487 (PE, POL)
  
• The Role of Boards of Directors in Corporate Governance: A Conceptual Famework and Survey
  Renée Adams, Benjamin E. Hermalin, and Michael S. Weisbach #14486 (CF)
  
• Can You Recognize an Effective Teacher When You Recruit One?
  Jonah E. Rockoff, Brian A. Jacob, Thomas J. Kane, and Douglas O. Staiger #14485 (ED)
  
• Luddites and the Demographic Transition
  Kevin H. O'Rourke, Ahmed S. Rahman, and Alan M. Taylor #14484 (DAE)
  
• Reality versus Propaganda in the Formation of Beliefs about Privatization
  Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani, and Ernesto Schargrodsky #14483 (POL)
  
• Child Health and Young Adult Outcomes
  Janet Currie, Mark Stabile, Phongsack Manivong, and Leslie L. Roos #14482 (CH, HC, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Globalization and innovation in emerging markets
  Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Jan Svejnar, and Katherine Terrell #14481 (, ITI, PR)
  
• Self-Enforcing Stochastic Monitoring and the Separation of Debt and Equity Claims
  Harold L. Cole #14480 (EFG)
  
• The Euro and Structural Reforms
  Alberto Alesina, Silvia Ardagna, and Vincenzo Galasso #14479 (POL)
  
• Inequality and Unemployment in a Global Economy
  Elhanan Helpman, Oleg Itskhoki, and Stephen Redding #14478 (ITI)
  
• Outsourcing when Investments are Specific and Complementary
  Alla Lileeva and Johannes Van Biesebroeck #14477 (IO, PR)
  
• Why the European Securities Market is Not Fully Integrated
  Alberto Giovannini #14476 (IFM)
  
• Peer Effects and the Impact of Tracking: Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation in Kenya
  Esther Duflo, Pascaline Dupas, and Michael Kremer #14475 (CH, ED)
  

Week of November, 2 - November 9, 2008

• Child Care Subsidies and Child Development
  Chris M. Herbst and Erdal Tekin #14474 (CH, ED, HE)
  
• Carry Trades and Currency Crashes
  Markus K. Brunnermeier, Stefan Nagel, and Lasse H. Pedersen #14473 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Are Big Cities Really Bad Places to Live? Improving Quality-of-Life Estimates across Cities
  David Albouy #14472 (LS, PE)
  
• Mental Health Parity Legislation, Cost-Sharing and Substance Abuse Treatment Admissions
  Dhaval M. Dave and Swati Mukerjee #14471 (HE)
  
• Are Mixed Neighborhoods Always Unstable? Two-Sided and One-Sided Tipping
  David Card, Alexandre Mas, and Jesse Rothstein #14470 (LS, PE)
  
• Identification and Estimation of 'Irregular' Correlated Random Coefficient Models
  Bryan S. Graham and James Powell #14469 (HE, LS, PE, TWP)
  
• The Political Economy of the U.S. Mortgage Default Crisis
  Atif Mian, Amir Sufi, and Francesco Trebbi #14468 (POL)
  
• The Experimental Approach to Development Economics
  Abhijit V. Banerjee and Esther Duflo #14467 (ED)
  
• Effects of Welfare Reform on Educational Acquisition of Young Adult Women
  Dhaval M. Dave, Nancy E. Reichman, and Hope Corman #14466 (HE, LS, ED, PE)
  
• What Happened To The Quants In August 2007?: Evidence from Factors and Transactions Data
  Amir E. Khandani and Andrew W. Lo #14465 (AP)
  
• Risk Taking and Gender in Hierarchies
  Suzanne Scotchmer #14464 (LE, LS)
  
• An Arbitrage-Free Generalized Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Model
  Jens H.E. Christensen, Francis X. Diebold, and Glenn D. Rudebusch #14463 (AP, EFG, IFM)
  
• The Rise of Retirement Among African Americans: Wealth and Social Security Effects
  Dora L. Costa #14462 (AG, DAE, LS, PE)
  

Week of October 25 - November 1, 2008

• Testing the Melitz Model of Trade: An Application to U.S. Motion Picture Exports
  Gordon H. Hanson and Chong Xiang #14461 (ITI)
  
• China’s Participation in Global Environmental Negotiations
  Huifang Tian and John Whalley #14460 (EEE, ITI)
  
• The Skill Composition of Immigrants and the Generosity of the Welfare State: Free vs. Policy-Controlled Migration
  Alon Cohen and Assaf Razin #14459 (IFM)
  
• Measuring Labor Earnings Inequality using Public-Use March Current Population Survey Data: The Value of Including Variances and Cell Means When Imputing Topcoded Values
  Richard V. Burkhauser, Shuaizhang Feng, and Jeff Larrimore #14458 (LS, PE, TWP)
  
• Fear of Rejection? Tiered Certification and Transparency
  Emmanuel Farhi, Josh Lerner, and Jean Tirole #14457 (CF)
  
• Paying the Piper: The High Cost of Funerals in South Africa
  Anne Case, Anu Garrib, Alicia Menendez, and Analia Olgiati #14456 (AG)
  
• Unhealthy Insurance Markets: Search Frictionsand the Cost and Quality of Health Insurance
  Randall D. Cebul, James B. Rebitzer, Lowell J. Taylor, and Mark E. Votruba #14455 (HC, LS)
  
• The Euro and Firm Restructuring
  Matteo Bugamelli, Fabiano Schivardi, and Roberta Zizza #14454 (IO, LS, PR)
  
• The US as the "Demander of Last Resort" and its Implications on China's Current Account
  Joshua Aizenman and Yothin Jinjarak #14453 (IFM, ITI)
  
• Income Dispersion and Counter-Cyclical Markups
  Chris Edmond and Laura Veldkamp #14452 (EFG, ME)
  
• Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability
  Asher A. Blass, Saul Lach, and Charles F. Manski #14451 (EEE, IO)
  
• How Do Gasoline Prices Affect Fleet Fuel Economy?
  Shanjun Li, Roger von Haefen, and Christopher Timmins #14450 (EEE, PE)
  
• When Does Improving Health Raise GDP?
  Quamrul H. Ashraf, Ashley Lester, and David N. Weil #14449 (EFG)
  
• Post-1500 Population Flows and the Long Run Determinants of Economic Growth and Inequality
  Louis Putterman and David N. Weil #14448 (EFG)
  
• Nonparametric Inference on Efficient Treatment Assignment under Budget Constraints
  Debopam Bhattacharya and Pascaline Dupas #14447 (CH, HE)
  
• Market Responses to the Panic of 2008
  Casey Mulligan and Luke Threinen #14446 (EFG, ME, PE)
  

Week of October 19 - October 25, 2008

• Media Bias and Influence: Evidence from Newspaper Endorsements
  Brian G. Knight and Chun-Fang Chiang #14445 (PE, POL)
  
• Sudden Stops, Financial Crises and Leverage: A Fisherian Deflation of Tobin's Q
  Enrique G. Mendoza #14444 (IFM)
  
• What Makes Them Tick? Employee Motives and Firm Innovation
  Henry Sauermann and Wesley M. Cohen #14443 (PR)
  
• Teacher Quality in Educational Production: Tracking, Decay, and Student Achievement
  Jesse Rothstein #14442 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• Auction Design and Tacit Collusion in FCC Spectrum Auctions
  Patrick Bajari and Jungwon Yeo #14441 (IO)
  
• Realization Utility
  Nicholas C. Barberis and Wei Xiong #14440 (AP)
  
• Portfolio Substitution and the Revenue Cost of Exempting State and Local Government Interest Payments from Federal Income Tax
  James M. Poterba and Arturo Ramirez Verdugo #14439 (PE)
  
• Is Poland at Risk of a Boom-and-Bust Cycle in the Run-Up to Euro Adoption?
  Barry Eichengreen and Katharina Steiner #14438 (IFM)
  
• Real Exchange Rate Movements and the Relative Price of Non-traded Goods
  Caroline M. Betts and Timothy J. Kehoe #14437 (EFG)
  
• Not-so-Classical Measurement Errors: A Validation Study of Homescan
  Liran Einav, Ephraim Leibtag, and Aviv Nevo #14436 (IO, LS, ME, PR)
  
• Work Expectations, Realizations, and Depression in Older Workers
  Tracy A. Falba, William T. Gallo, and Jody L. Sindelar #14435 (AG, HC)
  
• Identification with Imperfect Instruments
  Aviv Nevo and Adam M. Rosen #14434 (IO, PR, TWP)
  
• Timing and Quantity of Consumer Purchases and the Consumer Price Index
  Rachel Griffith, Ephraim Leibtag, Andrew Leicester, and Aviv Nevo #14433 (IO, ME, PR)
  
• Linkage of Tradable Permit Systems in International Climate Policy Architecture
  Judson Jaffe and Robert N. Stavins #14432 (EEE)
  
• Carbon, Trade Policy, and Carbon Free Trade Areas
  Yan Dong and John Whalley #14431 (ITI)
  
• Are Structural VARs with Long-Run Restrictions Useful in Developing Business Cycle Theory?
  V. V. Chari, Patrick J. Kehoe, and Ellen R. McGrattan #14430 (EFG)
  
• Does Daylight Saving Time Save Energy? Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Indiana
  Matthew J. Kotchen and Laura E. Grant #14429 (EEE, PE)
  
• The Effects of Maternal Fasting During Ramadan on Birth and Adult Outcomes
  Douglas Almond and Bhashkar Mazumder #14428 (AG, CH, HE)
  
• The True Cost of Social Security
  Alexander W. Blocker, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, and Stephen A. Ross #14427 (PE)
  
• Uncertainty, Climate Change and the Global Economy
  David von Below and Torsten Persson #14426 (IFM, PE)
  
• External Economies and International Trade Redux
  Gene M. Grossman and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #14425 (EFG, ITI)
  
• Fooling Some of the People All of the Time: The Inefficient Performance and Persistence of Commodity Trading Advisors
  Geetesh Bhardwaj, Gary B. Gorton, and K. Geert Rouwenhorst #14424 (AP, CF)
  
• The Changing Incidence of Geography
  James E. Anderson and Yoto V. Yotov #14423 (ITI)
  
• Can a Lender of Last Resort Stabilize Financial Markets? Lessons from the Founding of the Fed
  Asaf Bernstein, Eric Hughson, and Marc D. Weidenmier #14422 (DAE, ME)
  
• Incomplete Environmental Regulation, Imperfect Competition, and Emissions Leakage
  Meredith Fowlie #14421 (EEE)
  
• A Faith-based Initiative: Does a Flexible Exchange Rate Regime Really Facilitate Current Account Adjustment?
  Menzie D. Chinn and Shang-Jin Wei #14420 (IFM)
  
• Urban Inequality
  Edward L. Glaeser, Matthew G. Resseger, and Kristina Tobio #14419 (PE)
  
• The Quality-Complementarity Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence from Colombia
  Maurice Kugler and Eric Verhoogen #14418 (ITI)
  
• Future Rent-Seeking and Current Public Savings
  Ricardo J. Caballero and Pierre Yared #14417 (PE)
  
• Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India
  Pinelopi K. Goldberg, Amit Khandelwal, Nina Pavcnik, and Petia Topalova #14416 (ITI)
  
• Inside the Black of Box of Ability Peer Effects: Evidence from Variation in Low Achievers in the Classroom
  Victor Lavy, M. Daniele Paserman, and Analia Schlosser #14415 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• Estimating Welfare in Insurance Markets Using Variation in Prices
  Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, and Mark R. Cullen #14414 (AG, HC, IO, PE)
  
• The impact of Medicare Part D on Medicare-Medicaid Dual-eligible Beneficiaries' Prescription Utilization and Expenditures
  Anirban Basu, Wesley Yin, and G. Caleb Alexander #14413 (HC, HE)
  
• The Limited Partnership in New York, 1822-1853: Partnerships without Kinship
  Eric Hilt and Katharine E. O'Banion #14412 (DAE, LE)
  
• Using Samples of Unequal Length in Generalized Method of Moments Estimation
  Anthony W. Lynch and Jessica A. Wachter #14411 (AP, TWP)
  

Week of October 12 - October 18, 2008

• Railroads and the Rise of the Factory: Evidence for the United States, 1850-70
  Jeremy Atack, Michael R. Haines, and Robert A. Margo #14410 (DAE)
  
• Information Disclosure Policy: Do States' Data Processing Efforts Help More than the Information Disclosure Itself?
  Hyunhoe Bae, Peter Wilcoxen, and David Popp #14409 (EEE)
  
• Experimentation, Patents, and Innovation
  Daron Acemoglu, Kostas Bimpikis, and Asuman Ozdaglar #14408 (CF)
  
• Local Industrial Conditions and Entrepreneurship: How Much of the Spatial Distribution Can We Explain?
  Edward L. Glaeser and William R. Kerr #14407 (IO)
  
• Free Distribution or Cost-Sharing? Evidence from a Malaria Prevention Experiment
  Jessica Cohen and Pascaline Dupas #14406 (CH, HE)
  
• Understanding U.S. Corporate Tax Losses
  Rosanne Altshuler, Alan J. Auerbach, Michael Cooper, and Matthew Knittel #14405 (PE)
  
• Psychiatric Disorders and Employment: New Evidence from the Collaborative Psychiatric Epidemiology Surveys (CPES)
  Pinka Chatterji, Margarita Alegria, and David Takeuchi #14404 (HE)
  
• Optimal Taxation and Social Insurance with Endogenous Private Insurance
  Raj Chetty and Emmanuel Saez #14403 (EFG, HC, PE)
  
• Fixed Costs and Long-Lived Investments
  Christopher L. House #14402 (EFG, ME)
  

Week of October 5 - October 11, 2008

• Will the TARP Succeed? Lessons From Japan
  Takeo Hoshi and Anil K. Kashyap #14401 (CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Market Work, Home Work and Taxes: A Cross Country Analysis
  Richard Rogerson #14400 (EFG)
  
• Sufficient Statistics for Welfare Analysis: A Bridge Between Structural and Reduced-Form Methods
  Raj Chetty #14399 (EFG, IO, LS, PE)
  
• The Subprime Panic
  Gary B. Gorton #14398 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Taxing Leisure Complements
  Louis Kaplow #14397 (PE)
  
• Partial Prescriptions For Decisions With Partial Knowledge
  Charles F. Manski #14396 (PE, TWP)
  
• Sudden Stops, Sectoral Reallocations, and the Real Exchange Rate
  Timothy J. Kehoe and Kim J. Ruhl #14395 (EFG)
  
• Modern Management: Good for the Environment or just Hot Air?
  Nicholas Bloom, Christos Genakos, Ralf Martin, and Raffaella Sadun #14394 (EEE, LS, PR)
  
• Estate Acts, 1600 to 1830: A New Source for British History
  Dan Bogart and Gary Richardson #14393 (DAE, LE, POL)
  
• Temporary Price Changes and the Real Effects of Monetary Policy
  Patrick J. Kehoe and Virgiliu Midrigan #14392 (EFG)
  
• Stabilizing Expectations under Monetary and Fiscal Policy Coordination
  Stefano Eusepi and Bruce Preston #14391 (EFG, ME)
  
• Social Capital and Urban Growth
  Edward L. Glaeser and Charles Redlick #14374 (PE)
  

Week of September 28 - October 4, 2008

• International Capital Flows under Dispersed Information: Theory and Evidence
  Cedric Tille and Eric van Wincoop #14390 (AP, IFM)
  
• Sectoral vs. Aggregate Shocks: A Structural Factor Analysis of Industrial Production
  Andrew T. Foerster, Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte, and Mark W. Watson #14389 (EFG, ME)
  
• The Transmission of Women's Fertility, Human Capital and Work Orientation Across Immigrant Generations
  Francine D. Blau, Lawrence M. Kahn, Albert Yung-Hsu Liu, and Kerry L. Papps #14388 (LS)
  
• Gender, Source Country Characteristics and Labor Market Assimilation Among Immigrants: 1980-2000
  Francine D. Blau, Lawrence M. Kahn, and Kerry L. Papps #14387 (LS)
  
• Can Time-Varying Risk of Rare Disasters Explain Aggregate Stock Market Volatility?
  Jessica Wachter #14386 (AP, EFG)
  
• When The Saints Come Marching In: Effects of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita on Student Evacuees
  Bruce Sacerdote #14385 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• Sequencing of Reforms, Financial Globalization, and Macroeconomic Vulnerability
  Sebastian Edwards #14384 (IFM)
  
• Monopoly Power and Endogenous Product Variety: Distortions and Remedies
  Florin O. Bilbiie, Fabio Ghironi, and Marc J. Melitz #14383 (EFG)
  
• Estimating Matching Games with Transfers
  Jeremy T. Fox #14382 (IO)
  
• Accounting for Persistence and Volatility of Good-Level Real Exchange Rates: The Role of Sticky Information
  Mario J. Crucini, Mototsugu Shintani, and Takayuki Tsuruga #14381 (IFM)
  
• What Are the Driving Forces of International Business Cycles?
  Mario J. Crucini, M. Ayhan Kose, and Christopher Otrok #14380 (IFM)
  
• Inflation-Output Tradeoff as Equilibrium Outcome of Globalization
  Alon Binyamini and Assaf Razin #14379 (IFM)
  
• Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment
  William A. Brock and Charles F. Manski #14378 (AP, ME, PE)
  
• Historical Political Futures Markets: An International Perspective
  Paul W. Rhode and Koleman Strumpf #14377 (DAE)
  
• Efficient Estimation of Missing Data Models Using Moment Conditions and Semiparametric Restrictions
  Bryan S. Graham #14376 (TWP)
  
• Designing A Carbon Tax to Reduce U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions
  Gilbert E. Metcalf #14375 (EEE, PE)
  
• The Economics of Place-Making Policies
  Edward L. Glaeser and Joshua D. Gottlieb #14373 (PE)
  
• Country Portfolios in Open Economy Macro Models
  Michael B. Devereux and Alan Sutherland #14372 (IFM)
  
• The Effect of Gun Shows on Gun-Related Deaths: Evidence from California and Texas
  Mark Duggan, Randi Hjalmarsson, and Brian A. Jacob #14371 (HE, LE, PE)
  
• Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?
  M. Ayhan Kose, Christopher Otrok, and Eswar S. Prasad #14292 (EFG, IFM)
  

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