NBER Working Papers released in the past, by week.

Weekly papers released by December 21, 2020

• Why is Intermediating Houses so Difficult? Evidence from iBuyers
  Greg Buchak, Gregor Matvos, Tomasz Piskorski, and Amit Seru #28252 (AP, CF, IO, PE, PR)
  
• Away from Home and Back: Coordinating (Remote) Workers in 1800 and 2020
  Réka Juhász, Mara P. Squicciarini, and Nico Voigtländer #28251 (DAE, DEV, EFG, POL, PR)
  
• Lead Exposure Reduces Academic Performance: Intensity, Duration, and Nutrition Matter
  Alex Hollingsworth, Mike Huang, Ivan J. Rudik, and Nicholas J. Sanders #28250 (CH, ED, EEE, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Learning to Navigate a New Financial Technology: Evidence from Payroll Accounts
  Emily Breza, Martin Kanz, and Leora F. Klapper #28249 (CF, DEV, LS)
  
• Why Do Sectoral Employment Programs Work? Lessons from WorkAdvance
  Lawrence F. Katz, Jonathan Roth, Richard Hendra, and Kelsey Schaberg #28248 (LS)
  
• A Macroeconomic Model of Healthcare Saturation, Inequality and the Output-Pandemia Tradeoff
  Enrique G. Mendoza, Eugenio I. Rojas, Linda L. Tesar, and Jing Zhang #28247 (IFM)
  
• School Closures During the 1918 Flu Pandemic
  Philipp Ager, Katherine Eriksson, Ezra Karger, Peter Nencka, and Melissa A. Thomasson #28246 (DAE, ED, LS)
  
• Early Career, Life-Cycle Choices, and Gender
  Itzik Fadlon, Frederik Plesner Lyngse, and Torben Heien Nielsen #28245 (HC, LS, PE)
  
• Estimating the Price Elasticity of Demand for Subways: Evidence from Mexico
  Lucas W. Davis #28244 (EEE)
  
• Nomadic Pastoralism, Climate Change, and Conflict in Africa
  Eoin F. McGuirk and Nathan Nunn #28243 (DAE, DEV, EFG, ITI, POL)
  
• In the Red: Overdrafts, Payday Lending and the Underbanked
  Marco Di Maggio, Angela T. Ma, and Emily Williams #28242 (CF)
  
• When Workers Travel: Nursing Supply During COVID-19 Surges
  Joshua D. Gottlieb and Avi Zenilman #28240 (HC, LS)
  
• Where Does Wealth Come From?
  Sandra E. Black, Paul J. Devereux, Fanny Landaud, and Kjell G. Salvanes #28239 (LS)
  
• A Panel Regression Approach to Holdings-based Fund Performance Measures
  Wayne E. Ferson and Junbo L. Wang #28238 (AP)
  
• Central Bank Digital Currency: When Price and Bank Stability Collide
  Linda Schilling, Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, and Harald Uhlig #28237 (EFG)
  
• Understanding Debt in the Older Population
  Annamaria Lusardi, Olivia S. Mitchell, and Noemi Oggero #28236 (AG)
  
• What Makes a Tax Evader?
  Marcelo L. Bergolo, Martin Leites, Ricardo Perez-Truglia, and Matias Strehl #28235 (LE, PE)
  
• Social Distancing During a Pandemic: The Role of Friends
  Michael Bailey, Drew M. Johnston, Martin Koenen, Theresa Kuchler, Dominic Russel, and Johannes Stroebel #28234 (AG, AP, CF, , EFG, HC, HE, LS, , POL, PE)
  
• The Impact of Covid-19 on Productivity
  Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Paul Mizen, Pawel Smietanka, and Gregory Thwaites #28233 (EFG, LS, PR)
  
• U.S. Macro Policies and Global Economic Challenges
  Joshua Aizenman and Hiro Ito #28232 (IFM)
  
• Internet Access and U.S. - China Innovation Competition
  Gerard Hoberg, Yuan Li, and Gordon M. Phillips #28231 (CF, IFM, ITI, PR)
  
• Long-Term Effects of Equal Sharing: Evidence from Inheritance Rules for Land
  Charlotte Bartels, Simon Jäger, and Natalie Obergruber #28230 (DEV, LS, PE, POL, PR)
  
• The Accuracy of Tax Imputations: Estimating Tax Liabilities and Credits Using Linked Survey and Administrative Data
  Bruce D. Meyer, Derek Wu, Grace Finley, Patrick Langetieg, Carla Medalia, Mark Payne, and Alan Plumley #28229 (LS, PE)
  
• Probability Assessments of an Ice-Free Arctic: Comparing Statistical and Climate Model Projections
  Francis X. Diebold and Glenn D. Rudebusch #28228 (EEE)
  
• A Model of Occupational Licensing and Statistical Discrimination
  Peter Q. Blair and Bobby W. Chung #28227 (ED, IO, LE, LS)
  
• Climate Finance
  Stefano Giglio, Bryan T. Kelly, and Johannes Stroebel #28226 (AP, CF, EEE, EFG, PE)
  
• The Story of the Real Exchange Rate
  Oleg Itskhoki #28225 (EFG, IFM, ITI, ME)
  
• World War I and the Restructuring of International Business
  Ted Fertik and Naomi R. Lamoreaux #28224 (DAE)
  
• Does Eye-Tracking Have an Effect on Economic Behavior?
  Jennifer Kee, Melinda Knuth, Joanna Lahey, and Marco A. Palma #28223 (LS, PE, TWP)
  
• Measuring Racial Discrimination in Algorithms
  David Arnold, Will S. Dobbie, and Peter Hull #28222 (LS)
  
• Issuance and Incidence: SNAP Benefit Cycles and Grocery Prices
  Jacob Goldin, Tatiana Homonoff, and Katherine Meckel #28221 (CH, PE)
  
• Maternal Mortality Risk and Spousal Differences in the Demand for Children
  Nava Ashraf, Erica M. Field, Alessandra Voena, and Roberta Ziparo #28220 (LS)
  
• Who Values Future Energy Savings? Evidence from American Drivers
  Arik Levinson and Lutz Sager #28219 (EEE)
  

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Weekly papers released by December 14, 2020

• How Well Insured are Job Losers? Efficacy of the Public Safety Net.
  Chloe N. East and David Simon #28218 (LS, PE)
  
• Child-Driven Parenting: Differential Early Childhood Investment by Offspring Genotype
  Asta Breinholt and Dalton Conley #28217 (CH, ED, HE)
  
• The Gender Gap Among Top Business Executives
  Wolfgang Keller, Teresa Molina, and William W. Olney #28216 (CF, LS)
  
• Economic Analysis and Infrastructure Investment
  Edward L. Glaeser and James M. Poterba #28215 (PE)
  
• Selection and Causation in the Parental Education Gradient in Health: Lessons from a Large Sample of Adoptees
  Evelina Björkegren, Mikael Lindahl, Mårten Palme, and Emilia Simeonova #28214 (CH, HE, LS)
  
• Monetary Policy and Redistribution in Open Economies
  Xing Guo, Pablo Ottonello, and Diego J. Perez #28213 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Education and Consanguineous Marriage
  Ş. Pelin Akyol and Naci H. Mocan #28212 (CH, DEV, ED, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Efficient Programs to Support Businesses During and After Lockdowns
  Thomas Philippon #28211 (CF, EFG, LS, PE)
  
• Polluting Public Funds: The Effect of Environmental Regulation on Municipal Bonds.
  Akshaya Jha, Stephen A. Karolyi, and Nicholas Z. Muller #28210 (AP, EEE, PE)
  
• Rules, Discretion, and Corruption in Procurement: Evidence from Italian Government Contracting
  Francesco Decarolis, Raymond Fisman, Paolo Pinotti, and Silvia Vannutelli #28209 (IO, LE, PE, POL)
  
• The Value of Time in the United States: Estimates from Nationwide Natural Field Experiments
  Ariel Goldszmidt, John A. List, Robert D. Metcalfe, Ian Muir, V. Kerry Smith, and Jenny Wang #28208 (EEE, LS)
  
• Financial Fragility during the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Robert L. Clark, Annamaria Lusardi, and Olivia S. Mitchell #28207 (AG)
  
• Job Satisfaction Over the Life Course
  David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson #28206 (LS)
  
• School’s Out: Experimental Evidence on Limiting Learning Loss Using “Low-Tech” in a Pandemic
  Noam Angrist, Peter Bergman, and Moitshepi Matsheng #28205 (CH, DEV, ED)
  
• Granular Instrumental Variables
  Xavier Gabaix and Ralph S. J. Koijen #28204 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, IO, LS, ME)
  
• Revisiting the Entrepreneurial Commercialization of Academic Science: Evidence from “Twin” Discoveries
  Matt Marx and David H. Hsu #28203 (PR)
  
• Police Force Size and Civilian Race
  Aaron Chalfin, Benjamin Hansen, Emily K. Weisburst, and Morgan C. Williams, Jr. #28202 (LE, LS, PE)
  
• Credit Frictions in the Great Recession
  Patrick J. Kehoe, Pierlauro Lopez, Virgiliu Midrigan, and Elena Pastorino #28201 (EFG, IFM, LS, ME)
  
• COVID and the Economic Importance of In-Person K-12 Schooling
  David A. Green, Ali Karimirad, Gaëlle Simard-Duplain, and Henry E. Siu #28200 (ED, EFG, LS)
  
• Is Air Pollution Regulation Too Stringent?
  Joseph S. Shapiro and Reed Walker #28199 (EEE, PE)
  
• The Remarkable Growth in Financial Economics, 1974-2020
  G. William Schwert #28198 (AP, CF)
  
• Zombies at Large? Corporate Debt Overhang and the Macroeconomy
  Òscar Jordà, Martin Kornejew, Moritz Schularick, and Alan M. Taylor #28197 (CF, DAE, IFM, ME)
  
• Cybersecurity Risk
  Chris Florakis, Christodoulos Louca, Roni Michaely, and Michael Weber #28196 (AP, CF)
  
• Do Enlarged Fiscal Deficits Cause Inflation: The Historical Record
  Michael D. Bordo and Mickey D. Levy #28195 (ME)
  
• Who Benefits From Attending Effective Schools? Examining Heterogeneity in High School Impacts
  C. Kirabo Jackson, Shanette C. Porter, John Q. Easton, and Sebastián Kiguel #28194 (CH, ED, LS, PE)
  
• A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis
  Adriana Lleras-Muney and Flavien E. Moreau #28193 (AG, CH, HC, HE)
  
• Toward a Uniform Classification of Nurse Practitioner Scope of Practice Laws
  Benjamin J. McMichael and Sara Markowitz #28192 (HC, HE, LE)
  
• The Career Evolution of the Sex Gap in Wages: Discrimination vs. Human Capital Investment
  David Neumark and Giannina Vaccaro #28191 (LS)
  
• The Political Economy of Deep Integration
  Giovanni Maggi and Ralph Ossa #28190 (ITI, POL)
  
• Horizonal Merger Analysis
  Louis Kaplow #28189 (IO)
  
• Effects of English Learner Reclassification Policies on Academic Trajectories
  Julian Betts, Laura Hill, Karen Bachofer, Joseph Hayes, Andrew Lee, and Andrew Zau #28188 (ED)
  
• Modern US Workers’ Compensation and Work-Related Injury: No Evidence of Moral Hazard
  Emiliano Huet-Vaughn and Youssef Benzarti #28187 (PE)
  
• A Theory of the Nominal Character of Stock Securities
  Bernard Dumas and Marcel Savioz #28186 (ME, AP)
  
• Firms' Exposures to Geographic Risks
  Bernard Dumas, Tymur Gabuniya, and Richard C. Marston #28185 (AP)
  
• Common Shocks in Stocks and Bonds
  Anna Cieslak and Hao Pang #28184 (AP, ME)
  
• Gender Differences in Negotiation and Policy for Improvement
  Maria Recalde and Lise Vesterlund #28183 (LS, PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by December 7, 2020

• Stay-at-Home Orders in a Fiscal Union
  Mario J. Crucini and Oscar O'Flaherty #28182 (EFG, HE, IFM, PE)
  
• Urban Mortality and the Repeal of Federal Prohibition
  David S. Jacks, Krishna Pendakur, and Hitoshi Shigeoka #28181 (DAE)
  
• The Effect of Computer-Assisted Learning on Students' Long-Term Development
  Nicola Bianchi, Yi Lu, and Hong Song #28180 (DEV, ED, LS)
  
• The Impact of Organizational Boundaries on Healthcare Coordination and Utilization
  Leila Agha, Keith Marzilli Ericson, and Xiaoxi Zhao #28179 (AG, CF, HC, HE, IO, LE, LS, PE)
  
• Dynamical Structure and Spectral Properties of Input-Output Networks
  Ernest Liu and Aleh Tsyvinski #28178 (EFG)
  
• GDP, Wellbeing, and Health: Thoughts on the 2017 Round of the International Comparison Program
  Angus Deaton and Paul Schreyer #28177 (DEV, EFG, HE, IFM)
  
• Divided We Fall: International Health and Trade Coordination During a Pandemic
  Viral V. Acharya, Zhengyang Jiang, Robert J. Richmond, and Ernst-Ludwig von Thadden #28176 (HE, IFM, ITI, PE)
  
• The Distributional Effects of Student Loan Forgiveness
  Sylvain Catherine and Constantine Yannelis #28175 (AP, CF, ED, LS, PE, POL)
  
• TFPR: Dispersion and Cyclicality
  Russell Cooper and Özgen Öztürk #28174 (EFG, IO, PR)
  
• Do State Tobacco 21 Laws Work?
  Calvin Bryan, Benjamin Hansen, Drew McNichols, and Joseph J. Sabia #28173 (CH, HE, LE)
  
• Did COVID-19 Change Life Insurance Offerings?
  Timothy F. Harris, Aaron Yelowitz, and Charles J. Courtemanche #28172 (HC, HE, PE)
  
• Natural Barriers and Policy Barriers
  Yang Jiao and Shang-Jin Wei #28171 (DEV, ITI)
  
• Special Deals from Special Investors: The Rise of State-Connected Private Owners in China
  Chong-En Bai, Chang-Tai Hsieh, Zheng Michael Song, and Xin Wang #28170 (DEV, EFG, IFM, ITI, POL, PR)
  
• Labor Market Implications of Education MisMatch
  Carla Varona Cervantes and Russell Cooper #28169 (ED, EFG)
  
• Designing Advance Market Commitments for New Vaccines
  Michael Kremer, Jonathan D. Levin, and Christopher M. Snyder #28168 (DEV, HE, IO, LE, PE, POL, PR)
  
• Jim Crow in the Saddle: The Expulsion of African American Jockeys from American Racing
  Michael Leeds and Hugh Rockoff #28167 (DAE)
  
• How Spillovers from Appointment Reminders Improve Health Clinic Efficiency
  Claire E. Boone, Pablo A. Celhay, Paul Gertler, Tadeja Gracner, and Josefina Rodriguez #28166 (DEV, HC, HE, IO, PR)
  
• Estimating Preferences for Neighborhood Amenities Under Imperfect Information
  Fernando V. Ferreira and Maisy Wong #28165 (IO, LS, PE)
  
• Gender Identity, Race, and Ethnicity Discrimination in Access to Mental Health Care: Preliminary Evidence from a Multi-Wave Audit Field Experiment
  Patrick Button, Eva Dils, Benjamin Harrell, Luca Fumarco, and David Schwegman #28164 (HC, HE)
  
• Local Sectoral Specialization in a Warming World
  Bruno Conte, Klaus Desmet, Dávid Krisztián Nagy, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #28163 (DEV, EEE, EFG, ITI)
  
• Why is End-of-Life Spending So High? Evidence from Cancer Patients
  Dan Zeltzer, Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Tzvi Shir, Salomon M. Stemmer, and Ran D. Balicer #28162 (AG, HC, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Aggregate Advertising Expenditure in the U.S. Economy: What's Up? Is It Real?
  Alvin Silk and Ernst R. Berndt #28161 (IO, PR)
  
• The Color of Money: Federal vs. Industry Funding of University Research
  Tania Babina, Alex Xi He, Sabrina T. Howell, Elisabeth Ruth Perlman, and Joseph Staudt #28160 (CF, ED, PR)
  
• Corporate Social Responsibility and Imperfect Regulatory Oversight: Theory and Evidence from Greenhouse Gas Emissions Disclosures
  Jean-Etienne de Bettignies, Hua Fang Liu, and David T. Robinson #28159 (CF, PR)
  
• The Effect of Occupational Licensing Stringency on the Teacher Quality Distribution
  Bradley Larsen, Ziao Ju, Adam Kapor, and Chuan Yu #28158 (ED, IO, LE, LS, PE, POL)
  

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Weekly papers released by November 30, 2020

• The Children of HOPE VI Demolitions: National Evidence on Labor Market Outcomes
  John C. Haltiwanger, Mark J. Kutzbach, Giordano E. Palloni, Henry Pollakowski, Matthew Staiger, and Daniel Weinberg #28157 (LS)
  
• ESG Preference, Institutional Trading, and Stock Return Patterns
  Jie Cao, Sheridan Titman, Xintong Zhan, and Weiming Zhang #28156 (AP)
  
• How Does Cost-Sharing Impact Spending Growth and Cost-Effective Treatments? Evidence from Deductibles
  Claudio Lucarelli, Molly Frean, Aliza S. Gordon, Lynn M. Hua, and Mark Pauly #28155 (HC)
  
• Black and White: Access to Capital among Minority-Owned Startups
  Robert W. Fairlie, Alicia Robb, and David T. Robinson #28154 (LS, PE, PR)
  
• Employer Neighborhoods and Racial Discrimination
  Amanda Y. Agan and Sonja B. Starr #28153 (LS)
  
• Lockdowns and Innovation: Evidence from the 1918 Flu Pandemic
  Enrico Berkes, Olivier Deschenes, Ruben Gaetani, Jeffrey Lin, and Christopher Severen #28152 (DAE, PE, PR)
  
• Revenue Collapses and the Consumption of Small Business Owners in the Early Stages of the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Olivia S. Kim, Jonathan A. Parker, and Antoinette Schoar #28151 (CF, EFG, ME, PE, PR)
  
• Taxing Our Wealth
  Florian Scheuer and Joel Slemrod #28150 (PE)
  
• Production Networks and International Fiscal Spillovers
  Michael B. Devereux, Karine Gente, and Changhua Yu #28149 (IFM)
  
• All Aboard: The Effects of Port Development
  César Ducruet, Réka Juhász, Dávid Krisztián Nagy, and Claudia Steinwender #28148 (DAE, ITI, PR)
  
• Reconciling the Conflicting Narratives on Poverty in China
  Shaohua Chen and Martin Ravallion #28147 (DEV)
  
• Race, Risk, and the Emergence of Federal Redlining
  Price V. Fishback, Jessica LaVoice, Allison Shertzer, and Randall Walsh #28146 (DAE, LE)
  
• On the Effects of the Availability of Means of Payments: The Case of Uber
  Fernando E. Alvarez and David O. Argente #28145 (EFG, ME, PE)
  
• The U-shape of Happiness in Scotland
  David N.F. Bell and David G. Blanchflower #28144 (AG, LS)
  
• Happiness and Aging in the United States
  David G. Blanchflower and Carol Graham #28143 (AG, LS)
  
• The Economic Consequences of Sir Robert Peel: A Quantitative Assessment of the Repeal of the Corn Laws
  Douglas A. Irwin and Maksym G. Chepeliev #28142 (DAE, ITI)
  
• Earnings Dynamics and Intergenerational Transmission of Skill
  Lance Lochner and Youngmin Park #28141 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• Inference on Risk Premia in Continuous-Time Asset Pricing Models
  Yacine Aït-Sahalia, Jean Jacod, and Dacheng Xiu #28140 (AP)
  
• Mandated and Voluntary Social Distancing During The COVID-19 Epidemic: A Review
  Sumedha Gupta, Kosali I. Simon, and Coady Wing #28139 (HC, HE)
  
• We are all Behavioral, More or Less: A Taxonomy of Consumer Decision Making
  Victor Stango and Jonathan Zinman #28138 (AG, DEV, HE, IO, LE, PE)
  
• Mediating Conflict in the Lab
  Alessandra Casella, Evan Friedman, and Manuel Perez Archila #28137 (POL)
  
• Consumer Surplus of Alternative Payment Methods: Paying Uber with Cash
  Fernando E. Alvarez and David O. Argente #28133 (EFG, ME)
  

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Weekly papers released by November 23, 2020

• Auto Dealer Loan Intermediation: Consumer Behavior and Competitive Effects
  Tobias Salz, Andreas Grunewald, David C. Low, and Jonathan A. Lanning #28136 (IO)
  
• Designing Efficient Contact Tracing Through Risk-Based Quarantining
  Andrew Perrault, Marie Charpignon, Jonathan Gruber, Milind Tambe, and Maimuna Majumder #28135 (HC)
  
• Private Equity Returns: Empirical Evidence from the Business Credit Card Securitization Market
  Matthias Fleckenstein and Francis A. Longstaff #28134 (AP)
  
• Geospatial Analysis of the September 2020 Coronavirus Outbreak at the University of Wisconsin – Madison: Did a Cluster of Local Bars Play a Critical Role?
  Jeffrey E. Harris #28132 (HC, HE, PE)
  
• The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Policy Response on Health Care Utilization: Evidence from County-level Medical Claims and Cellphone data
  Jonathan H. Cantor, Neeraj Sood, Dena Bravata, Megan Pera, and Christopher M. Whaley #28131 (HC, HE)
  
• Policy Instrument Choice with Coasean Provision of Public Goods
  Christopher Costello and Matthew Kotchen #28130 (EEE)
  
• Improving Public Sector Management at Scale? Experimental Evidence on School Governance India
  Karthik Muralidharan and Abhijeet Singh #28129 (CH, DEV, ED, LS, PE)
  
• Cite Unseen: Theory and Evidence on the Effect of Open Access on Cites to Academic Articles Across the Quality Spectrum
  Mark J. McCabe and Christopher Snyder #28128 (IO, LE, LS, PE, PR)
  
• The Value of a Cure: An Asset Pricing Perspective
  Viral V. Acharya, Timothy Johnson, Suresh Sundaresan, and Steven Zheng #28127 (AP, EFG, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Migration and Fiscal Externality: US vs. Europe
  Assaf Razin #28126 (IFM)
  
• The Stability and Predictive Power of Financial Literacy: Evidence from Longitudinal Data
  Marco Angrisani, Jeremy Burke, Annamaria Lusardi, and Gary Mottola #28125 (AG)
  
• Liquidity Risk at Large U.S. Banks
  Laurence M. Ball #28124 (CF, ME)
  
• Foreign Shocks as Granular Fluctuations
  Julian di Giovanni, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Isabelle Mejean #28123 (IFM, ITI)
  
• How Do Mass Shootings Affect Community Wellbeing?
  Aparna Soni and Erdal Tekin #28122 (CH, HE, LE)
  
• Consumer Vulnerability and Behavioral Biases
  Hanming Fang and Zenan Wu #28121 (IO, PE, TWP)
  
• Public Mobility Data Enables COVID-19 Forecasting and Management at Local and Global Scales
  Cornelia Ilin, Sébastien E. Annan-Phan, Xiao Hui Tai, Shikhar Mehra, Solomon M. Hsiang, and Joshua E. Blumenstock #28120 (DEV, EEE, HC, PE)
  
• The Collateral Link between Volatility and Risk Sharing
  Sebastian Infante and Guillermo Ordoñez #28119 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Open Banking: Credit Market Competition When Borrowers Own the Data
  Zhiguo He, Jing Huang, and Jidong Zhou #28118 (AP, CF, IO, LE, ME, PR)
  
• Fiscal Policy in Europe: A Helicopter View
  Florin O. Bilbiie, Tommaso Monacelli, and Roberto Perotti #28117 (EFG, IFM, ME, PE)
  
• The Effects of Incentivizing Early Prenatal Care on Infant Health
  Kamila Cygan-Rehm and Krzysztof Karbownik #28116 (CH, HC, HE)
  
• De-Globalisation? Global Value Chains in the Post-COVID-19 Age
  Pol Antràs #28115 (EFG, IFM, ITI)
  
• Indirect Costs of Government Aid and Intermediary Supply Effects: Lessons From the Paycheck Protection Program
  Tetyana Balyuk, Nagpurnanand R. Prabhala, and Manju Puri #28114 (CF, ME, PE)
  
• LATE for History
  Alberto Bisin and Andrea Moro #28113 (DEV, POL)
  
• Revenge of the Experts: Will Covid-19 Renew or Diminish Public Trust in Science?
  Barry Eichengreen ⓡ, Cevat Giray Aksoy ⓡ, and Orkun Saka #28112 (HC, PE)
  
• The Inexorable Recoveries of US Unemployment
  Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak #28111 (EFG, LS)
  
• Why Is All COVID-19 News Bad News?
  Bruce Sacerdote, Ranjan Sehgal, and Molly Cook #28110 (HE, LS, POL)
  
• Has Persistence Persisted in Private Equity? Evidence from Buyout and Venture Capital Funds
  Robert S. Harris, Tim Jenkinson, Steven N. Kaplan, and Ruediger Stucke #28109 (CF)
  
• Will the Secular Decline In Exchange Rate and Inflation Volatility Survive COVID-19?
  Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff #28108 (IFM, ME)
  
• Top-up Design and Health Care Expenditure: Evidence from Cardiac Stents
  Ginger Zhe Jin, Hsienming Lien, and Xuezhen Tao #28107 (IO)
  
• The Comparative Impact of Cash Transfers and a Psychotherapy Program on Psychological and Economic Well-being
  Johannes Haushofer, Robert Mudida, and Jeremy P. Shapiro #28106 (DEV, HE)
  
• Beyond 140 Characters: Introduction to The Role of Innovation and Entrepreneurship in Economic Growth
  Michael J. Andrews, Aaron Chatterji, and Scott Stern #28105 (PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by November 16, 2020

• Sizing up Corporate Restructuring in the COVID Crisis
  Robin Greenwood, Benjamin Iverson, and David Thesmar #28104 (CF)
  
• Non-Fundamental Demand and Style Returns
  Itzhak Ben-David, Jiacui Li, Andrea Rossi, and Yang Song #28103 (AP, CF)
  
• Volatility Expectations and Returns
  Lars A. Lochstoer and Tyler Muir #28102 (AP)
  
• The Antebellum Roots of Distinctively Black Names
  Trevon Logan, Lisa D. Cook, and John Parman #28101 (DAE)
  
• Search and Information Frictions on Global E-Commerce Platforms: Evidence from AliExpress
  Jie Bai, Maggie Chen, Jin Liu, and Daniel Yi Xu #28100 (DEV, ITI, PR)
  
• Social Position and Fairness Views
  Kristoffer B. Hvidberg, Claus Kreiner, and Stefanie Stantcheva #28099 (LS, PE, POL)
  
• Designing, not Checking, for Policy Robustness: An Example with Optimal Taxation
  Benjamin Lockwood, Afras Y. Sial, and Matthew C. Weinzierl #28098 (PE)
  
• How New Fed Corporate Bond Programs Dampened the Financial Accelerator in the Covid-19 Recession
  Michael D. Bordo and John V. Duca #28097 (AP, IFM, ME)
  
• Foreign Currency Borrowing of Corporations as Carry Trades: Evidence from India
  Viral V. Acharya and Siddharth Vij #28096 (CF, IFM)
  
• Building an Epidemiology of Happiness
  John F. Helliwell, David Gyarmati, Craig Joyce, and Heather Orpana #28095 (HC, HE, PE)
  
• Twisting the Demand Curve: Digitalization and the Older Workforce
  Erling Barth, James C. Davis, Richard B. Freeman, and Kristina McElheran #28094 (AG, LS)
  
• Maximize Utility subject to R≤1: A Simple Price-Theory Approach to Covid-19 Lockdown and Reopening Policy
  Eric Budish #28093 (EFG, HE, IO, LE, PE, TWP)
  
• Aggregate and Distributional Impacts of LTV Policy: Evidence from China's Micro Data
  Kaiji Chen, Qing Wang, Tong Xu, and Tao Zha #28092 (AP, EFG, ME, PE)
  
• Choice Screen Auctions
  Michael Ostrovsky #28091 (IO, LE, PR)
  
• Dynamic General Equilibrium Modeling of Long and Short-Run Historical Events
  Gary D. Hansen, Lee E. Ohanian, and Fatih Ozturk #28090 (EFG)
  
• Insurance and Propagation in Village Networks
  Cynthia Kinnan, Krislert Samphantharak, Robert Townsend, and Diego A. Vera Cossio #28089 (DEV, PR)
  
• Going-Concern Debt of Financial Intermediaries
  Yueran Ma and José A. Scheinkman #28088 (AP, CF)
  
• Trade Integration, Global Value Chains, and Capital Accumulation
  Michael Sposi, Kei-Mu Yi, and Jing Zhang #28087 (IFM, ITI)
  
• Can Nudges Increase Take-up of the EITC?: Evidence from Multiple Field Experiments
  Elizabeth Linos, Allen Prohofsky, Aparna Ramesh, Jesse Rothstein, and Matt Unrath #28086 (LS, PE)
  
• Optimal Vaccine Subsidies for Endemic and Epidemic Diseases
  Matthew Goodkin-Gold, Michael Kremer, Christopher M. Snyder, and Heidi L. Williams #28085 (DEV, HE, IO, LE, PE, PR)
  
• Wages, Hires, and Labor Market Concentration
  Ioana Marinescu, Ivan Ouss, and Louis-Daniel Pape #28084 (IO, LS)
  
• Searching, Recalls, and Tightness: An Interim Report on the COVID Labor Market
  Eliza Forsythe, Lisa B. Kahn, Fabian Lange, and David G. Wiczer #28083 (EFG, LS, PE)
  
• Do Family Policies Reduce Gender Inequality? Evidence from 60 Years of Policy Experimentation
  Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais, Johanna Posch, Andreas Steinhauer, and Josef Zweimüller #28082 (CH, LS, PE)
  
• Aggregate Implications of Firm Heterogeneity: A Nonparametric Analysis of Monopolistic Competition Trade Models
  Rodrigo Adão, Costas Arkolakis, and Sharat Ganapati #28081 (IO, ITI)
  
• Technology Within and Across Firms
  Xavier Cirera, Diego A. Comin, Marcio Cruz, and Kyung Min Lee #28080 (DEV, EFG, IO, ITI, ME, PR)
  
• Sudden Stops and Optimal Foreign Exchange Intervention
  J. Scott Davis, Michael B. Devereux, and Changhua Yu #28079 (IFM)
  
• Understanding the Success of the Know-Nothing Party
  Marcella Alsan, Katherine Eriksson, and Gregory Niemesh #28078 (DAE, DEV, LS, POL)
  
• Effects of Welfare Reform on Parenting
  Nancy Reichman, Hope Corman, Dhaval M. Dave, Ariel Kalil, and Ofira Schwartz-Soicher #28077 (CH, HE, PE)
  
• New Technologies, Productivity, and Jobs: The (Heterogeneous) Effects of Electrification on US Manufacturing
  Martin Fiszbein, Jeanne Lafortune, Ethan G. Lewis, and José Tessada #28076 (DAE, LS, PR)
  
• Optimally Imprecise Memory and Biased Forecasts
  Rava Azeredo da Silveira, Yeji Sung, and Michael Woodford #28075 (ME)
  
• Long-term Effects of the Targeting the Ultra Poor Program
  Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo, and Garima Sharma #28074 (DEV)
  
• Did U.S. Politicians Expect the China Shock?
  Matilde Bombardini, Bingjing Li, and Francesco Trebbi #28073 (ITI, POL)
  
• Pandemics, Global Supply Chains, and Local Labor Demand: Evidence from 100 Million Posted Jobs in China
  Hanming Fang, Chunmian Ge, Hanwei Huang, and Hongbin Li #28072 (HE, ITI, LS, PE)
  
• Internal Deadlines, Drug Approvals, and Safety Problems
  Lauren Cohen, Umit Gurun, and Danielle Li #28071 (AP, HC, HE, POL, PR)
  
• Review of Economic Studies on the Opioid Crisis
  Johanna Catherine Maclean, Justine Mallatt, Christopher J. Ruhm, and Kosali Simon #28067 (CH, HC, HE)
  
• Bury the Gold Standard? A Quantitative Exploration
  Anthony M. Diercks, Jonathan Rawls, and Eric Sims #28015 (EFG, ME)
  

---

Weekly papers released by November 9, 2020

• Quality-adjusted Population Density
  J. Vernon Henderson, Adam Storeygard, and David N. Weil #28070 (DEV, EFG)
  
• Corporate Governance, Business Group Governance and Economic Development Traps
  Luis Dau, Randall Morck, and Bernard Yeung #28069 (CF)
  
• Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Domestic Violence in Los Angeles
  Amalia R. Miller, Carmit Segal, and Melissa K. Spencer #28068 (HE, LE, LS, PE)
  
• Forward Guidance and Durable Goods Demand
  Alisdair McKay and Johannes F. Wieland #28066 (EFG, ME)
  
• Stereotypes in Financial Literacy: Evidence from PISA
  Laura Bottazzi and Annamaria Lusardi #28065 (AG)
  
• Choices and Outcomes in Assignment Mechanisms: The Allocation of Deceased Donor Kidneys
  Nikhil Agarwal, Charles Hodgson, and Paulo Somaini #28064 (AG, HC)
  
• FinTech Adoption and Household Risk-Taking
  Claire Yurong Hong, Xiaomeng Lu, and Jun Pan #28063 (AP)
  
• How Would Medicare for All Affect Health System Capacity? Evidence from Medicare for Some
  Jeffrey Clemens, Joshua D. Gottlieb, and Jeffrey Hicks #28062 (HC, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Automation and the Fate of Young Workers: Evidence from Telephone Operation in the Early 20th Century
  James Feigenbaum and Daniel P. Gross #28061 (DAE, LS)
  
• Productivity Shocks, Long-Term Contracts and Earnings Dynamics
  Neele Balke and Thibaut Lamadon #28060 (EFG, LS)
  
• Persistence and Path Dependence in the Spatial Economy
  Treb Allen and Dave Donaldson #28059 (DAE, EFG, ITI)
  
• COVID-19 Surgical Abortion Restriction Did Not Reduce Visits to Abortion Clinics
  Martin Andersen, Sylvia Bryan, and David Slusky #28058 (CH, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Asymmetric Demand Response when Prices Increase and Decrease: The Case of Child Healthcare
  Toshiaki Iizuka and Hitoshi Shigeoka #28057 (AG, CH, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Intangible Value
  Andrea L. Eisfeldt, Edward Kim, and Dimitris Papanikolaou #28056 (AP, CF, EFG)
  
• Farm Product Prices, Redistribution, and the Early U.S. Great Depression
  Joshua K. Hausman, Paul W. Rhode, and Johannes F. Wieland #28055 (DAE, EFG, ME)
  
• Price Ceiling, Market Structure, and Payout Policies
  Mao Ye, Miles Zheng, and Xiongshi Li #28054 (AP, CF)
  
• Brexit Uncertainty and its (Dis)Service Effects
  Saad Ahmad, Nuno Limão, Sarah Oliver, and Serge Shikher #28053 (ITI)
  
• Reputation and Earnings Dynamics
  Boyan Jovanovic and Julien Prat #28052 (EFG)
  
• The Structure of Business Taxation in China
  Zhao Chen, Yuxuan He, Zhikuo Liu, Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, and Daniel Yi Xu #28051 (DEV, PE)
  
• Local Public Finance Dynamics and Hurricane Shocks
  Rhiannon Jerch, Matthew E. Kahn, and Gary C. Lin #28050 (EEE, PE, POL)
  
• Mothers’ Social Networks and Socioeconomic Gradients of Isolation
  Alison Andrew, Orazio Attanasio, Britta Augsburg, Jere Behrman, Monimalika Day, Pamela Jervis, Costas Meghir, and Angus Phimister #28049 (CH, DEV)
  
• The Geopolitics of International Trade in Southeast Asia
  Kerem Coşar and Benjamin D. Thomas #28048 (ITI)
  
• Dog Eat Dog: Measuring Network Effects Using a Digital Platform Merger
  Chiara Farronato, Jessica Fong, and Andrey Fradkin #28047 (IO, PR)
  
• Comprehensive Approaches to Increasing Student Completion in Higher Education: A Survey of the Landscape
  Rachel Fulcher Dawson, Melissa S. Kearney, and James X. Sullivan #28046 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• A Generalizable and Accessible Approach to Machine Learning with Global Satellite Imagery
  Esther Rolf, Jonathan Proctor, Tamma Carleton, Ian Bolliger, Vaishaal Shankar, Miyabi Ishihara, Benjamin Recht, and Solomon Hsiang #28045 (DEV, EEE, PE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by November 2, 2020

• Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes
  Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #28044 (EFG, ME, POL)
  
• Making Rallies Great Again: The Effects of Presidential Campaign Rallies on Voter Behavior, 2008-2016
  James M. Snyder Jr. and Hasin Yousaf #28043 (POL)
  
• Making the Most of Limited Government Capacity: Theory and Experiment
  Sylvain Chassang, Lucia Del Carpio, and Samuel Kapon #28042 (DEV, LE, PE, POL)
  
• Employment Effects of the Earned Income Tax Credit: Taking the Long View
  Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach and Michael R. Strain #28041 (CH, LS, PE)
  
• Promoting Parental Involvement in Schools: Evidence From Two Randomized Experiments
  Felipe Barrera-Osorio, Paul Gertler, Nozomi Nakajima, and Harry Patrinos #28040 (CH, DEV, ED)
  
• Refinancing, Monetary Policy, and the Credit Cycle
  Gene Amromin, Neil Bhutta, and Benjamin J. Keys #28039 (ME, PE, HC)
  
• Who Benefits from Analyst “Top Picks”?
  Justin Birru, Sinan Gokkaya, Xi Liu, and René M. Stulz #28038 (AP, CF)
  
• The Age Profile of Life-satisfaction After Age 65 in the U.S.
  Péter Hudomiet, Michael D. Hurd, and Susann Rohwedder #28037 (AG)
  
• Affective Polarization Did Not Increase During the Coronavirus Pandemic
  Levi Boxell, Jacob Conway, James N. Druckman, and Matthew Gentzkow #28036 (POL)
  
• Russian Holidays Predict Troll Activity 2015-2017
  Douglas Almond, Xinming Du, and Alana Vogel #28035 (CH, EEE, POL)
  
• U.S. Robots and their Impacts in the Tropics: Evidence from Colombian Labor Markets
  Adriana D. Kugler, Maurice Kugler, Laura Ripani, and Rodimiro Rodrigo #28034 (ITI, LS)
  
• Who Married, (to) Whom, and Where? Trends in Marriage in the United States, 1850-1940
  Claudia Olivetti, M. Daniele Paserman, Laura Salisbury, and E. Anna Weber #28033 (DAE, LS)
  
• Has the Paycheck Protection Program Succeeded?
  R. Glenn Hubbard and Michael R. Strain #28032 (EFG, ME, PE)
  
• Economic Benefits of COVID-19 Screening Tests
  Andrew Atkeson, Michael C. Droste, Michael Mina, and James H. Stock #28031 (EFG, HC, HE)
  
• Private Equity and Growth
  Boyan Jovanovic, Sai Ma, and Peter L. Rousseau #28030 (EFG)
  
• The Market Risk Premium for Unsecured Consumer Credit Risk
  Matthias Fleckenstein and Francis A. Longstaff #28029 (AP)
  
• Retail Financial Innovation and Stock Market Dynamics: The Case of Target Date Funds
  Jonathan A. Parker, Antoinette Schoar, and Yang Sun #28028 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Multi-Product Firms in Electricity Markets: Implications for Climate Policy
  Jesse F. Buchsbaum, Catherine Hausman, Johanna L. Mathieu, and Jing Peng #28027 (EEE)
  
• Structural Breaks in an Endogenous Growth Model
  Timothy Cogley and Boyan Jovanovic #28026 (EFG)
  
• Mandatory Retirement for Judges Improved Performance on U.S. State Supreme Courts
  Elliott Ash and W. Bentley MacLeod #28025 (AG, LE, LS)
  
• Uncertainty and Growth Disasters
  Boyan Jovanovic and Sai Ma #28024 (EFG)
  
• Data Sharing and Market Power with Two-Sided Platforms
  Rishabh Kirpalani and Thomas Philippon #28023 (CF, EFG, IO)
  
• Learning During the COVID-19 Pandemic: It Is Not Who You Teach, but How You Teach
  George Orlov, Douglas McKee, James Berry, Austin Boyle, Thomas DiCiccio, Tyler Ransom, Alex Rees-Jones, and Jörg Stoye #28022 (ED)
  
• Fintech Borrowers: Lax-Screening or Cream-Skimming?
  Marco Di Maggio and Vincent Yao #28021 (ME)
  
• Is There Too Much Benchmarking in Asset Management?
  Anil K Kashyap, Natalia Kovrijnykh, Jian Li, and Anna Pavlova #28020 (AP, CF)
  
• Idea Diffusion and Property Rights
  Boyan Jovanovic and Zhu Wang #28019 (IO)
  
• Hospital Allocation and Racial Disparities in Health Care
  Amitabh Chandra, Pragya Kakani, and Adam Sacarny #28018 (AG, HC, HE)
  
• Obsolescence of Capital and Investment Spikes
  Arthur Fishman and Boyan Jovanovic #28017 (IO)
  
• Adverse Selection Dynamics in Privately-Produced Safe Debt Markets
  Nathan Foley-Fisher, Gary B. Gorton, and Stéphane Verani #28016 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth
  Christiane Baumeister and Pierre Guérin #28014 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Rural-Urban Migration and House Prices in China
  Carlos Garriga, Aaron Hedlund, Yang Tang, and Ping Wang #28013 (DEV, EFG)
  
• Nursing Home Quality, COVID-19 Deaths, and Excess Mortality
  Christopher J. Cronin and William N. Evans #28012 (AG, HC, HE)
  
• Does Lasting Behavior Change Require Knowledge Change? Evidence From Savings Interventions For Young Adults
  Samantha Horn, Julian Jamison, Dean Karlan, and Jonathan Zinman #28011 (DEV, LE, LS)
  
• The Persistence of Miscalibration
  Michael Boutros, Itzhak Ben-David, John R. Graham, Campbell R. Harvey, and John W. Payne #28010 (AP, CF)
  
• Product Recalls and Firm Reputation
  Boyan Jovanovic #28009 (IO)
  
• Measuring TFP: The Role of Profits, Adjustment Costs, and Capacity Utilization
  Diego A. Comin, Javier Quintana Gonzalez, Tom G. Schmitz, and Antonella Trigari #28008 (EFG, IO, ME, PR, TWP)
  
• Socioeconomic Status and the Experience of Pain: An Example from Knees
  David M. Cutler, Ellen Meara, and Susan Stewart #27974 (AG, HC, HE, LS)
  

---

Weekly papers released by October 26, 2020

• Reconsidering Risk Aversion
  Daniel J. Benjamin, Mark Alan Fontana, and Miles S. Kimball #28007 (AG, PE)
  
• How Should Tax Progressivity Respond to Rising Income Inequality?
  Jonathan Heathcote, Kjetil Storesletten, and Giovanni L. Violante #28006 (EFG, PE)
  
• The Slope of the Phillips Curve: Evidence from U.S. States
  Jonathon Hazell, Juan Herreño, Emi Nakamura, and Jón Steinsson #28005 (EFG, ME)
  
• Macroeconomic Outcomes and COVID-19: A Progress Report
  Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Charles I. Jones #28004 (EFG)
  
• Impact of Consequence Information on Insurance Choice
  Anya Samek and Justin R. Sydnor #28003 (HC)
  
• r Minus g
  Robert J. Barro #28002 (AP, EFG)
  
• Searching for the Equity Premium
  Hang Bai and Lu Zhang #28001 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, LS, ME)
  
• Industrial Clusters, Networks and Resilience to the Covid-19 Shock in China
  Ruochen Dai, Dilip Mookherjee, Yingyue Quan, and Xiaobo Zhang #28000 (DEV, IO)
  
• The Long-Run Effects of the Affordable Care Act: A Pre-Committed Research Design Over the COVID-19 Recession and Recovery
  Jeffrey Clemens, Drew McNichols, and Joseph J. Sabia #27999 (HC, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Does Context Outweigh Individual Characteristics in Driving Voting Behavior? Evidence from Relocations within the U.S.
  Enrico Cantoni and Vincent Pons #27998 (POL)
  
• An Executive Order Worth $100 Billion: The Impact of an Immigration Ban’s Announcement on Fortune 500 Firms’ Valuation
  Dany Bahar, Prithwiraj Choudhury, and Britta Glennon #27997 (CF, LS)
  
• Lead in Drinking Water and Birth Outcomes: A Tale of Two Water Treatment Plants
  Dhaval M. Dave and Muzhe Yang #27996 (CH, EEE, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Productivity Versus Motivation in Adolescent Human Capital Production: Evidence from a Structurally-Motivated Field Experiment
  Christopher Cotton, Brent R. Hickman, John A. List, Joseph Price, and Sutanuka Roy #27995 (ED, LS)
  
• Granular Credit Risk
  Sigurd Galaasen, Rustam Jamilov, Ragnar Juelsrud, and Hélène Rey #27994 (CF, IFM)
  
• How Likely Is It that Courts Will Select the US President? The Probability of Narrow, Reversible Election Results in the Electoral College versus a National Popular Vote
  Michael Geruso and Dean Spears #27993 (LE, PE)
  
• The Pandemic Economic Crisis, Precautionary Behavior, and Mobility Constraints: An Application of the Dynamic Disequilibrium Model with Randomness
  Joseph E. Stiglitz #27992 (EFG, IFM, PE)
  
• Piecewise-Linear Approximations and Filtering for DSGE Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints
  S. Borağan Aruoba, Pablo Cuba-Borda, Kenji Higa-Flores, Frank Schorfheide, and Sergio Villalvazo #27991 (EFG, ME)
  
• The ESG-Innovation Disconnect: Evidence from Green Patenting
  Lauren Cohen, Umit G. Gurun, and Quoc H. Nguyen #27990 (AP, CF, LE, PR)
  
• Voting with their Sandals: Partisan Residential Sorting on Climate Change Risk
  Asaf Bernstein, Stephen B. Billings, Matthew Gustafson, and Ryan Lewis #27989 (EEE, PE, POL)
  
• How do People Respond to Small Probability Events with Large, Negative Consequences?
  Martin S. Eichenbaum, Miguel Godinho de Matos, Francisco Lima, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt #27988 (IFM)
  
• Reliance on Science by Inventors: Hybrid Extraction of In-text Patent-to-Article Citations
  Matt Marx and Aaron Fuegi #27987 (PR)
  
• The Dynamic Impact of Exporting on Firm R&D Investment
  Florin G. Maican, Matilda Orth, Mark J. Roberts, and Van Anh Vuong #27986 (IO, ITI, PR)
  
• Some Facts about Dominant Firms
  Germán Gutiérrez and Thomas Philippon #27985 (AP, CF, DAE, EFG, IO, PR)
  
• Communication and Bargaining Breakdown: An Empirical Analysis
  Matthew Backus, Thomas Blake, Jett Pettus, and Steven Tadelis #27984 (IO, LS, POL)
  
• Input-Output Networks and Misallocation
  Jing Hang, Pravin Krishna, and Heiwai Tang #27983 (DEV, ITI, PR)
  
• When Externalities Collide: Influenza and Pollution
  Joshua S. Graff Zivin, Matthew J. Neidell, Nicholas J. Sanders, and Gregor Singer #27982 (EEE, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Agenda-Setter Power Dynamics: Learning in Multi-Issue Bargaining
  Renee Bowen, Ilwoo Hwang, and Stefan Krasa #27981 (POL)
  
• Children and the Remaining Gender Gaps in the Labor Market
  Patricia Cortés and Jessica Pan #27980 (LS)
  
• The Value of Social Status
  Alexander W. Butler, Bruce I. Carlin, Alan D. Crane, Boyang Liu, and James P. Weston #27979 (AP, CF)
  
• Valuing Rare Pediatric Drugs: An Economics Perspective
  Rena M. Conti and Jonathan Gruber #27978 (AG, CH, HC, HE, PE)
  
• The Liquidity Sensitivity of Healthcare Consumption: Evidence from Social Security Payments
  Tal Gross, Timothy Layton, and Daniel Prinz #27977 (AG, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Do Acquirer Announcement Returns Reflect Value Creation?
  Itzhak Ben-David, Utpal Bhattacharya, and Stacey E. Jacobsen #27976 (AP, CF)
  
• Milton Friedman and Exchange Rates in Developing Countries
  Sebastian Edwards #27975 (IFM, ITI)
  

---

Weekly papers released by October 19, 2020

• Social Finance
  Theresa Kuchler and Johannes Stroebel #27973 (AP, CF, EFG, PE)
  
• Civil Liberties in Times of Crisis
  Marcella Alsan, Luca Braghieri, Sarah Eichmeyer, Minjeong Joyce Kim, Stefanie Stantcheva, and David Y. Yang #27972 (HE, PE, POL)
  
• An Analysis of the Performance of Target Date Funds
  John B. Shoven and Daniel B. Walton #27971 (AP)
  
• The Federal Effort to Desegregate Southern Hospitals and the Black-White Infant Mortality Gap
  D. Mark Anderson, Kerwin Kofi Charles, and Daniel I. Rees #27970 (DAE, HC, HE)
  
• Millionaires Speak: What Drives Their Personal Investment Decisions?
  Svetlana Bender, James J. Choi, Danielle Dyson, and Adriana Z. Robertson #27969 (AP)
  
• Wealth Mobility in the 1860s
  Brandon Dupont and Joshua L. Rosenbloom #27968 (DAE)
  
• Historical Data: Where to Find Them, How to Use Them
  Paola Giuliano and Andrea Matranga #27967 (POL)
  
• Post COVID-19 Exit Strategies and Emerging Markets Economic Challenges
  Joshua Aizenman and Hiro Ito #27966 (IFM)
  
• What Explains Temporal and Geographic Variation in the Early US Coronavirus Pandemic?
  Hunt Allcott, Levi Boxell, Jacob C. Conway, Billy A. Ferguson, Matthew Gentzkow, and Benny Goldman #27965 (HE, PE)
  
• How Did Depositors Respond to COVID-19?
  Ross Levine, Chen Lin, Mingzhu Tai, and Wensi Xie #27964 (CF, EFG, ME)
  
• The Economic Case for Protecting Biodiversity
  Geoffrey Heal #27963 (EEE)
  
• Sparse Network Asymptotics for Logistic Regression
  Bryan S. Graham #27962 (DEV, IO, ITI, LS, TWP)
  
• Elections, Political Polarization, and Economic Uncertainty
  Scott R. Baker, Aniket Baksy, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, and Jonathan A. Rodden #27961 (AP, EFG, ME, POL, PR)
  
• Efficiency Wages, Unemployment, and Environmental Policy
  Garth Heutel and Xin Zhang #27960 (EEE)
  
• Liquidity and Volatility
  Itamar Drechsler, Alan Moreira, and Alexi Savov #27959 (AP)
  
• Bottom-up Markup Fluctuations
  Ariel Burstein, Vasco M. Carvalho, and Basile Grassi #27958 (EFG, ME)
  
• Offshoring and Inflation
  Diego A. Comin and Robert C. Johnson #27957 (EFG, IFM, ITI, ME)
  
• (S)Cars and the Great Recession
  Orazio Attanasio, Kieran P. Larkin, Morten O. Ravn, and Mario Padula #27956 (EFG)
  
• Misallocation and Capital Market Integration: Evidence From India
  Natalie Bau and Adrien Matray #27955 (CF, DEV, IFM)
  
• Economic Adjustment during the Great Recession: The Role of Managerial Quality
  Gilbert Cette, Jimmy Lopez, Jacques Mairesse, and Giuseppe Nicoletti #27954 (LS, PR)
  
• Externalities as Arbitrage
  Benjamin M. Hébert #27953 (AP, IFM)
  
• How Do CEOs Make Strategy?
  Mu-Jeung Yang, Michael Christensen, Nicholas Bloom, Raffaella Sadun, and Jan Rivkin #27952 (PR)
  
• Uncertainty, Wages, and the Business Cycle
  Matteo Cacciatore and Federico Ravenna #27951 (EFG)
  
• How to Talk When a Machine is Listening: Corporate Disclosure in the Age of AI
  Sean Cao, Wei Jiang, Baozhong Yang, and Alan L. Zhang #27950 (AP, CF, LE)
  
• The Political Economics of Non-democracy
  Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin #27949 (POL)
  
• Moneyball in Medicare: Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
  Edward C. Norton, Emily J. Lawton, and Jun Li #27948 (HC, HE)
  
• Overreaction and Working Memory
  Hassan Afrouzi, Spencer Yongwook Kwon, Augustin Landier, Yueran Ma, and David Thesmar #27947 (CF)
  
• Estimating the Costs of Filing Tax Returns and the Potential Savings from Policies Aimed at Reducing These Costs
  Youssef Benzarti #27946 (PE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by October 12, 2020

• Bank Liquidity Provision Across the Firm Size Distribution
  Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Olivier Darmouni, Stephan Luck, and Matthew C. Plosser #27945 (CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Temptation and Commitment: Understanding Hand-to-Mouth Behavior
  Orazio Attanasio, Agnes Kovacs, and Patrick Moran #27944 (EFG)
  
• Medical Research and Health Care Finance: Evidence from Academic Medical Centers
  Pierre Azoulay, Misty L. Heggeness, and Jennifer L. Kao #27943 (HC, PR)
  
• Has the Stock Market Become Less Representative of the Economy?
  Frederik P. Schlingemann and René M. Stulz #27942 (AP, CF)
  
• A Theory of Voluntary Testing and Self-isolation in an Ongoing Pandemic
  Thomas F. Hellmann and Veikko Thiele #27941 (HE)
  
• Who Benefits From the Child Tax Credit?
  Jacob Goldin and Katherine Michelmore #27940 (CH, LE, PE)
  
• Corporate Taxation and the Distribution of Income
  James R. Hines Jr. #27939 (PE)
  
• Highways and Globalization
  Taylor Jaworski, Carl Kitchens, and Sergey Nigai #27938 (DAE, ITI)
  
• Powering Work from Home
  Steve Cicala #27937 (EEE, EFG, IO, PE)
  
• The Effects of the Affordable Care Act on the Near-Elderly: Evidence for Health Insurance Coverage and Labor Market Outcomes
  Mark Duggan, Gopi Shah Goda, and Gina Li #27936 (AG, HC, LS, PE)
  
• A Q-Theory of Banks
  Juliane Begenau, Saki Bigio, Jeremy Majerovitz, and Matias Vieyra #27935 (CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Firm Dynamics and Trade
  George A. Alessandria, Costas Arkolakis, and Kim J. Ruhl #27934 (IFM, ITI)
  
• Teenage Driving, Mortality, and Risky Behaviors
  Jason U. Huh and Julian Reif #27933 (CH, HC, HE, LE)
  
• Did COVID-19 Market Disruptions Disrupt Food Security? Evidence from Households in Rural Liberia and Malawi
  Shilpa Aggarwal, Dahyeon Jeong, Naresh Kumar, David Sungho Park, Jonathan Robinson, and Alan Spearot #27932 (DEV)
  
• A q Theory of Internal Capital Markets
  Min Dai, Xavier Giroud, Wei Jiang, and Neng Wang #27931 (CF)
  
• Neglected No More: Housing Markets, Mortgage Lending, and Sea Level Rise
  Benjamin J. Keys and Philip Mulder #27930 (EEE, PE)
  
• De-globalization: Driven by Global Crises?
  Assaf Razin #27929 (IFM)
  
• City Limits: What do Local-Area Minimum Wages Do?
  Arindrajit Dube and Attila S. Lindner #27928 (LS)
  
• Capital Flows in Risky Times: Risk-on/Risk-off and Emerging Market Tail Risk
  Anusha Chari, Karlye Dilts Stedman, and Christian Lundblad #27927 (AP, IFM)
  
• Dominant Currencies: How Firms Choose Currency Invoicing and Why it Matters
  Mary Amiti, Oleg Itskhoki, and Jozef Konings #27926 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Human Capital Depreciation
  Michael Dinerstein, Rigissa Megalokonomou, and Constantine Yannelis #27925 (ED, EFG, LS, PE, PR)
  
• Temporary Unemployment and Labor Market Dynamics During the COVID-19 Recession
  Jessica Gallant, Kory Kroft, Fabian Lange, and Matthew J. Notowidigdo #27924 (EFG, LS)
  
• Optimal Foreign Reserves and Central Bank Policy Under Financial Stress
  Luis Felipe Céspedes and Roberto Chang #27923 (IFM)
  
• The Rise of Income and Wealth Inequality in America: Evidence from Distributional Macroeconomic Accounts
  Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman #27922 (EFG, LS, PE)
  
• Trends in US Income and Wealth Inequality: Revising After the Revisionists
  Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman #27921 (EFG, LS, PE)
  
• Anxiety or Pain? The Impact of Tariffs and Uncertainty on Chinese Firms in the Trade War
  Felipe Benguria, Jaerim Choi, Deborah L. Swenson, and Mingzhi Xu #27920 (ITI)
  
• The Rise and Fall of Import Substitution
  Douglas A. Irwin #27919 (DEV, ITI)
  
• Ethnographic and Field Data in Historical Economics
  Sara Lowes #27918 (DAE, POL)
  
• The Micro Anatomy of Macro Consumption Adjustments
  Rafael Guntin, Pablo Ottonello, and Diego Perez #27917 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Research Funding and Collaboration
  Benjamin Davies, Jason Gush, Shaun C. Hendy, and Adam B. Jaffe #27916 (PR)
  
• Firm-Embedded Productivity and Cross-Country Income Differences
  Vanessa I. Alviarez, Javier Cravino, and Natalia Ramondo #27915 (EFG, ITI)
  
• Designing an International Economic Order: A Research Agenda
  Renee Bowen and J. Lawrence Broz #27914 (IFM, ITI, LE, POL)
  
• Introducing CogX: A New Preschool Education Program Combining Parent and Child Interventions
  Roland G. Fryer Jr, Steven D. Levitt, John A. List, and Anya Samek #27913 (CH, ED)
  
• Liquidity Requirements, Free-Riding, and the Implications for Financial Stability Evidence from the early 1900s
  Mark Carlson and Matthew S. Jaremski #27912 (DAE)
  
• Covid-19 and the U.S. Safety Net
  Robert A. Moffitt and James P. Ziliak #27911 (PE)
  
• Firm Input Choice Under Trade Policy Uncertainty
  Kyle Handley, Nuno Limão, Rodney D. Ludema, and Zhi Yu #27910 (ITI)
  
• Organizing Crisis Innovation: Lessons from World War II
  Daniel P. Gross and Bhaven N. Sampat #27909 (DAE, PE, PR)
  
• The Gravitational Constant?
  David S. Jacks, Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke, and Alan M. Taylor #27904 (DAE, ITI)
  
• Opening the Door: Migration and Self-Selection in a Restrictive Legal Immigration Regime
  Elizabeth U. Cascio and Ethan G. Lewis #27874 (LS)
  

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Weekly papers released by October 5, 2020

• Who Should Work from Home during a Pandemic? The Wage-Infection Trade-off
  Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, and Yongseok Shin #27908 (EFG, LS)
  
• Flight to Safety: How Economic Downturns Affect Talent Flows to Startups
  Shai Bernstein, Richard R. Townsend, and Ting Xu #27907 (CF, LS, PR)
  
• A Helicopter Tour of Some Underlying Issues In Empirical Industrial Organization
  Ariel Pakes #27906 (IO, PR)
  
• New-Keynesian Trade: Understanding the Employment and Welfare Effects of Trade Shocks
  Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, Mauricio Ulate, and José P. Vásquez #27905 (ITI)
  
• Emerging Markets Sovereign Spreads and Country-Specific Fundamentals During COVID-19
  Timo Daehler, Joshua Aizenman, and Yothin Jinjarak #27903 (IFM)
  
• Public Policy and Participation in Political Interest Groups: An Analysis of Minimum Wages, Labor Unions, and Effective Advocacy
  Jeffrey Clemens and Michael R. Strain #27902 (LS, PE, POL)
  
• Global Financial Cycle and Liquidity Management
  Olivier Jeanne and Damiano Sandri #27901 (IFM)
  
• Deterrence Effects of Antifraud and Abuse Enforcement in Health Care
  David H. Howard and Ian McCarthy #27900 (HC, HE, LE)
  
• Wealth Transfers and Net Wealth at Death: Evidence from the Italian Inheritance Tax Records 1995–2016
  Paolo Acciari and Salvatore Morelli #27899 (PE)
  
• Monetary Policy Cooperation/Coordination and Global Financial Crises in Historical Perspective
  Michael D. Bordo #27898 (IFM, ME)
  
• Digital Messaging to Improve College Enrollment and Success
  Christopher Avery, Benjamin L. Castleman, Michael Hurwitz, Bridget T. Long, and Lindsay C. Page #27897 (ED)
  
• Measuring the Effects of Firm Uncertainty on Economic Activity: New Evidence from One Million Documents
  Kyle Handley and J. Frank Li #27896 (CF, EFG, PR)
  
• Discovering Treatment Effectiveness via Median Treatment Effects—Applications to COVID-19 Clinical Trials
  John Mullahy #27895 (HC, HE)
  
• Flexible Wages, Bargaining, and the Gender Gap
  Barbara Biasi and Heather Sarsons #27894 (LS, ED)
  
• Concessions, Violence, and Indirect Rule: Evidence from the Congo Free State
  Sara Lowes and Eduardo Montero #27893 (DAE, DEV, POL)
  
• The Global Factor Structure of Exchange Rates
  Sofonias Korsaye, Fabio Trojani, and Andrea Vedolin #27892 (AP)
  
• Face Masks, Public Policies and Slowing the Spread of COVID-19: Evidence from Canada
  Alexander Karaivanov, Shih En Lu, Hitoshi Shigeoka, Cong Chen, and Stephanie Pamplona #27891 (AG, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Rules vs. Discretion: Treatment of Mental Illness in U.S. Adolescents
  Emily Cuddy and Janet Currie #27890 (CH, HC, HE)
  
• Private Equity and COVID-19
  Paul A. Gompers, Steven N. Kaplan, and Vladimir Mukharlyamov #27889 (CF)
  
• Calculating DAF Payout and What We Learn When We Do It Correctly
  James Andreoni and Ray Madoff #27888 (PE)
  
• When Information is Not Enough: Evidence from a Centralized School Choice System
  Kehinde F. Ajayi, Willa H. Friedman, and Adrienne M. Lucas #27887 (CH, DEV, ED, PE)
  
• Unemployed With Jobs and Without Jobs
  Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak #27886 (EFG, LS)
  
• State Investment in Higher Education: Effects on Human Capital Formation, Student Debt, and Long-term Financial Outcomes of Students
  Rajashri Chakrabarti, Nicole Gorton, and Michael F. Lovenheim #27885 (ED, LS, PE)
  
• The Effects of Government Licensing on E-commerce: Evidence from Alibaba
  Ginger Zhe Jin, Zhentong Lu, Xiaolu Zhou, and Chunxiao Li #27884 (IO)
  
• Renegotiation in Debt Chains
  Vincent Glode and Christian Opp #27883 (AP, CF, IFM, ME)
  
• A Cost/Benefit Analysis of Clinical Trial Designs for COVID-19 Vaccine Candidates
  Donald A. Berry, Scott Berry, Peter Hale, Leah Isakov, Andrew W. Lo, Kien Wei Siah, and Chi Heem Wong #27882 (HC, HE)
  
• The Distribution of COVID-19 Related Risks
  Patrick Baylis, Pierre-Loup Beauregard, Marie Connolly, Nicole Fortin, David A. Green, Pablo Gutierrez Cubillos, Sam Gyetvay, Catherine Haeck, Timea Laura Molnar, Gaëlle Simard-Duplain, Henry E. Siu, Maria teNyenhuis, and Casey Warman #27881 (EFG, HE, LS)
  
• Incentivizing Negative Emissions Through Carbon Shares
  Derek Lemoine #27880 (EEE, PE)
  
• Using Satellite Imagery to Understand and Promote Sustainable Development
  Marshall Burke, Anne Driscoll, David Lobell, and Stefano Ermon #27879 (DEV, EEE)
  
• A Toolkit for Solving Models with a Lower Bound on Interest Rates of Stochastic Duration
  Gauti B. Eggertsson, Sergey K. Egiev, Alessandro Lin, Josef Platzer, and Luca Riva #27878 (ME)
  

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Weekly papers released by September 28, 2020

• COVID-19 and SME Failures
  Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Veronika Penciakova, and Nick Sander #27877 (EFG, IFM)
  
• Modeling the Consumption Response to the CARES Act
  Christopher D. Carroll, Edmund Crawley, Jiri Slacalek, and Matthew N. White #27876 (EFG, ME)
  
• Nudging Timely Wage Reporting: Field Experimental Evidence from the United States Social Supplementary Income Program
  C. Yiwei Zhang, Jeffrey Hemmeter, Judd B. Kessler, Robert D. Metcalfe, and Robert Weathers #27875 (PE)
  
• The International Propagation of Economic Downturns Through Multinational Companies: The Real Economy Channel
  Jan Bena, Serdar Dinc, and Isil Erel #27873 (CF, IFM, ITI)
  
• A Theory of Foreign Exchange Interventions
  Sebastián Fanelli and Ludwig Straub #27872 (EFG, ME)
  
• Impediments to the Schumpeterian Process in the Replacement of Large Firms
  Mara Faccio and John J. McConnell #27871 (CF, IFM, POL)
  
• Long-run Returns to Impact Investing in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies
  Shawn Cole, Martin Melecky, Florian Mölders, and Tristan Reed #27870 (CF, DEV)
  
• Is the Selfish Life-Cycle Model More Applicable in Japan and, If So, Why? A Literature Survey
  Charles Yuji Horioka #27869 (AG, EFG, PE)
  
• Health Insurance Menu Design for Large Employers
  Kate Ho and Robin S. Lee #27868 (HC, IO)
  
• Firm-Level Risk Exposures and Stock Returns in the Wake of COVID-19
  Steven J. Davis, Stephen Hansen, and Cristhian Seminario-Amez #27867 (AP, EFG)
  
• Retail Raw: Wisdom of the Robinhood Crowd and the Covid Crisis
  Ivo Welch #27866 (AP)
  
• COVID-19 Changed Tastes for Safety-Net Programs
  Alex Rees-Jones, John D'Attoma, Amedeo Piolatto, and Luca Salvadori #27865 (HC, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Cross-Sectional Uncertainty and the Business Cycle: Evidence from 40 Years of Options Data
  Ian Dew-Becker and Stefano Giglio #27864 (AP, EFG, ME)
  
• A Calculation of the Social Returns to Innovation
  Benjamin F. Jones and Lawrence H. Summers #27863 (EFG, PR)
  
• Tapping into Talent: Coupling Education and Innovation Policies for Economic Growth
  Ufuk Akcigit, Jeremy G. Pearce, and Marta Prato #27862 (EFG)
  
• Stock-bond Return Correlation, Bond Risk Premium Fundamental, and Fiscal-monetary Policy Regime
  Erica X.N. Li, Tao Zha, Ji Zhang, and Hao Zhou #27861 (AP, ME)
  
• Behavioral Biases are Temporally Stable
  Victor Stango and Jonathan Zinman #27860 (AG, AP, DEV, EEE, HE, IO, LE, LS, PE)
  
• A Return Based Measure of Firm Quality
  Ravi Jagannathan and Yang Zhang #27859 (AP)
  
• The Aggregate Demand for Bank Capital
  Milton Harris, Christian Opp, and Marcus Opp #27858 (AP, CF, IFM)
  
• Worker Empowerment and Subjective Evaluation: On Building an Effective Conflict Culture
  W. Bentley MacLeod, Victoria Valle Lara, and Christian Zehnder #27857 (LE, LS)
  
• Why Does the Fed Move Markets so Much? A Model of Monetary Policy and Time-Varying Risk Aversion
  Carolin Pflueger and Gianluca Rinaldi #27856 (AP, ME)
  
• A Counterfactual Economic Analysis of Covid-19 Using a Threshold Augmented Multi-Country Model
  Alexander Chudik, Kamiar Mohaddes, M. Hashem Pesaran, Mehdi Raissi, and Alessandro Rebucci #27855 (EFG, IFM)
  
• War, Socialism and the Rise of Fascism: An Empirical Exploration
  Daron Acemoglu, Giuseppe De Feo, Giacomo De Luca, and Gianluca Russo #27854 (POL)
  
• What Is CEO Overconfidence? Evidence from Executive Assessments
  Steven N. Kaplan, Morten Sorensen, and Anastasia A. Zakolyukina #27853 (CF)
  
• Institutional Change and Institutional Persistence
  Daron Acemoglu, Georgy Egorov, and Konstantin Sonin #27852 (POL)
  
• Crisis Innovation
  Tania Babina, Asaf Bernstein, and Filippo Mezzanotti #27851 (CF, DAE, EFG, PR)
  
• History and Urban Economics
  W. Walker Hanlon and Stephan Heblich #27850 (DAE)
  
• Fifty Shades of QE: Conflicts of Interest in Economic Research
  Brian Fabo, Martina Jančoková, Elisabeth Kempf, and Ľuboš Pástor #27849 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• A Satellite Account for Health in the United States
  David M. Cutler, Kaushik Ghosh, Kassandra Messer, Trivellore Raghunathan, Allison B. Rosen, and Susan T. Stewart #27848 (AG, HC, HE, PR)
  
• The Economics of Currency Risk
  Tarek Alexander Hassan and Tony Zhang #27847 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Marginal Effects of Merit Aid for Low-Income Students
  Joshua Angrist, David Autor, and Amanda Pallais #27834 (ED, LS, PE)
  
• Patent Quality: Towards a Systematic Framework for Analysis and Measurement
  Kyle W. Higham, Gaétan de Rassenfosse, and Adam B. Jaffe #27598 (PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by September 21, 2020

• Crimes Against Morality: Unintended Consequences of Criminalizing Sex Work
  Lisa Cameron, Jennifer Seager, and Manisha Shah #27846 (CH, DEV, HE, LS)
  
• Non-Random Exposure to Exogenous Shocks: Theory and Applications
  Kirill Borusyak and Peter Hull #27845 (HC, ITI, LS)
  
• Uncertainty, Long-Run, and Monetary Policy Risks in a Two-Country Macro Model
  Kimberly A. Berg and Nelson C. Mark #27844 (AP, IFM, ME)
  
• Man vs. Machine Learning: The Term Structure of Earnings Expectations and Conditional Biases
  Jules H. van Binsbergen, Xiao Han, and Alejandro Lopez-Lira #27843 (AP, CF)
  
• Choice in Insurance Markets: A Pigouvian Approach to Social Insurance Design
  Nathaniel Hendren, Camille Landais, and Johannes Spinnewijn #27842 (PE)
  
• Pandemics Through the Lens of Occupations
  Anand Chopra, Michael B. Devereux, and Amartya Lahiri #27841 (IFM)
  
• Globalization and Pandemics
  Pol Antràs, Stephen J. Redding, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #27840 (EFG, HE, IFM, ITI)
  
• Measuring Property Rights Institutions
  Simeon Djankov, Edward L. Glaeser, Valeria Perotti, and Andrei Shleifer #27839 (DEV, POL)
  
• Child Skill Production: Accounting for Parental and Market-Based Time and Goods Investments
  Elizabeth M. Caucutt, Lance Lochner, Joseph Mullins, and Youngmin Park #27838 (CH, LS)
  
• On the Equilibrium Properties of Network Models with Heterogeneous Agents
  Treb Allen, Costas Arkolakis, and Xiangliang Li #27837 (EFG, ITI)
  
• Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations
  Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Edward S. Knotek II, and Raphael Schoenle #27836 (EFG, ME)
  
• Inequality of Opportunity for Income in Denmark and the United States: A Comparison Based on Administrative Data
  Pablo Mitnik, Anne-Line Helsø, and Victoria L. Bryant #27835 (PE)
  
• The Effects of COVID-19 on U.S. Small Businesses: Evidence from Owners, Managers, and Employees
  Georgij Alekseev, Safaa Amer, Manasa Gopal, Theresa Kuchler, JW Schneider, Johannes Stroebel, and Nils C. Wernerfelt #27833 (AP, CF, EFG, IO, LS, ME, PE, PR)
  
• Gangs, Labor Mobility and Development
  Nikita Melnikov, Carlos Schmidt-Padilla, and Maria Micaela Sviatschi #27832 (DEV, POL)
  
• On Public Spending and Economic Unions
  Fernando Broner, Alberto Martin, and Jaume Ventura #27831 (IFM)
  
• The Intergenerational Effects of the Vietnam Draft on Risky Behaviors
  Monica Deza and Alvaro Mezza #27830 (CH, HE)
  
• Pandemics, Vaccines and Corporate Earnings
  Harrison Hong, Jeffrey Kubik, Neng Wang, Xiao Xu, and Jinqiang Yang #27829 (AP, CF)
  
• Fencing Off Silicon Valley: Cross-Border Venture Capital and Technology Spillovers
  Ufuk Akcigit, Sina T. Ates, Josh Lerner, Richard R. Townsend, and Yulia Zhestkova #27828 (CF, EFG, PR)
  
• Expanding the Measurement of Culture with a Sample of Two Billion Humans
  Nick Obradovich, Ömer Özak, Ignacio Martín, Ignacio Ortuño-Ortín, Edmond Awad, Manuel Cebrián, Rubén Cuevas, Klaus Desmet, Iyad Rahwan, and Ángel Cuevas #27827 (POL, TWP)
  
• Optimal Financial Transaction Taxes
  Eduardo Dávila #27826 (AP, EFG, IFM, PE)
  
• Dissertators with Distantly Related Foci Face Divergent Near-Term Outcomes
  Kevin M. Kniffin, Andrew S. Hanks, Xuechao Qian, Bo Wang, and Bruce A. Weinberg #27825 (ED, PR)
  
• Venture Capitalists and COVID-19
  Paul Gompers, Will Gornall, Steven N. Kaplan, and Ilya A. Strebulaev #27824 (CF, PR)
  
• The Persistence of Socio-Emotional Skills: Life Cycle and Intergenerational Evidence
  Orazio Attanasio, Áureo de Paula, and Alessandro Toppeta #27823 (CH, ED, LS)
  

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Weekly papers released by September 14, 2020

• Abstentions and Social Networks in Congress
  Marco Battaglini, Valerio Leone Sciabolazza, and Eleonora Patacchini #27822 (POL)
  
• Trade and Geography
  Stephen J. Redding #27821 (ITI)
  
• Economic Agents as Imperfect Problem Solvers
  Cosmin L. Ilut and Rosen Valchev #27820 (EFG, ME)
  
• Monetary Policy Surprises and Exchange Rate Behavior
  Refet S. Gürkaynak, A. Hakan Kara, Burçin Kısacıkoğlu, and Sang Seok Lee #27819 (AP, IFM, ME)
  
• On the Origins of Gender-Biased Behavior: The Role of Explicit and Implicit Stereotypes
  Eliana Avitzour, Adi Choen, Daphna Joel, and Victor Lavy #27818 (CH, DEV, ED, LS)
  
• Do Black and Indigenous Communities Receive their Fair Share of Vaccines Under the 2018 CDC Guidelines?
  Parag A. Pathak, Harald Schmidt, Adam Solomon, Edwin Song, Tayfun Sönmez, and M. Utku Ünver #27817 (HE, PE)
  
• My Taxes are Too Darn High: Tax Protests as Revealed Preferences for Redistribution
  Brad C. Nathan, Ricardo Perez-Truglia, and Alejandro Zentner #27816 (LE, PE, POL)
  
• Liquidity Transformation and Fragility in the US Banking Sector
  Qi Chen, Itay Goldstein, Zeqiong Huang, and Rahul Vashishtha #27815 (CF, ME)
  
• Unemployment Disrupts Sleep
  David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson #27814 (LS)
  
• The Contagion Externality of a Superspreading Event: The Sturgis Motorcycle Rally and COVID-19
  Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Drew McNichols, and Joseph J. Sabia #27813 (AG, HC, HE, LE)
  
• Child Development in the Early Years: Parental Investment and the Changing Dynamics of Different Dimensions
  Orazio Attanasio, Raquel Bernal, Michele Giannola, and Milagros Nores #27812 (CH, DEV, ED)
  
• What Explains the Gap in Welfare Use among Immigrants and Natives?
  Xiaoning Huang, Neeraj Kaushal, and Julia Shu-Huah Wang #27811 (HE, PE)
  
• Token-Based Platform Finance
  Lin William Cong, Ye Li, and Neng Wang #27810 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• The Fed Takes on Corporate Credit Risk: An Analysis of the Efficacy of the SMCCF
  Simon Gilchrist, Bin Wei, Vivian Z. Yue, and Egon Zakrajšek #27809 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• On the Origins of the Idea of Ending Poverty
  Martin Ravallion #27808 (DAE, DEV)
  
• Reservation Wages and Workers’ Valuation of Job Flexibility: Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment
  Kuan-Ming Chen, Claire Ding, John A. List, and Magne Mogstad #27807 (LS)
  
• Measuring the Cost of Living in Mexico and the US
  David O. Argente, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Munseob Lee #27806 (DEV, EFG, IFM, ITI, PR)
  
• Disease, Downturns, and Wellbeing: Economic History and the Long-Run Impacts of COVID-19
  Vellore Arthi and John Parman #27805 (DAE)
  
• Is the Rise in Illicit Opioids Affecting Labor Supply and Disability Claiming Rates?
  Sujeong Park and David Powell #27804 (HE, LS, PE)
  
• Linguistic Metrics for Patent Disclosure: Evidence from University Versus Corporate Patents
  Nancy Kong, Uwe Dulleck, Adam B. Jaffe, Shupeng Sun, and Sowmya Vajjala #27803 (PR)
  
• On the Use of Outcome Tests for Detecting Bias in Decision Making
  Ivan A. Canay, Magne Mogstad, and Jack Mountjoy #27802 (LE, LS, PE, TWP)
  
• Coasean Approaches to Ending Overfishing: Bigeye Tuna Conservation in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean
  Daniel Ovando, Gary D. Libecap, Katherine D. Millage, and Lennon Thomas #27801 (DEV, EEE, LE, PE)
  
• Communication and the Beliefs of Economic Agents
  Bernardo Candia, Olivier Coibion, and Yuriy Gorodnichenko #27800 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Large Learning Gains in Pockets of Extreme Poverty: Experimental Evidence from Guinea Bissau
  Ila Fazzio, Alex Eble, Robin L. Lumsdaine, Peter Boone, Baboucarr Bouy, Pei-Tseng Jenny Hsieh, Chitra Jayanty, Simon Johnson, and Ana Filipa Silva #27799 (CH, DEV, ED)
  
• Board Dynamics over the Startup Life Cycle
  Michael Ewens and Nadya Malenko #27769 (CF, PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by September 7, 2020

• The Costs of Employment Segregation: Evidence from the Federal Government under Wilson
  Abhay Aneja and Guo Xu #27798 (DAE, LS, PE, POL)
  
• Correcting for Misclassified Binary Regressors Using Instrumental Variables
  Steven J. Haider and Melvin Stephens Jr. #27797 (CH, HE, LS, PE, TWP)
  
• The Social Safety Net in the Wake of COVID-19
  Marianne Bitler, Hilary W. Hoynes, and Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach #27796 (CH, PE)
  
• Growing Like China: Firm Performance and Global Production Line Position
  Davin Chor, Kalina Manova, and Zhihong Yu #27795 (ITI)
  
• The Great Lockdown and the Big Stimulus: Tracing the Pandemic Possibility Frontier for the U.S.
  Greg Kaplan, Benjamin Moll, and Giovanni L. Violante #27794 (EFG, HC, HE, IFM, LS, ME, PE, POL, PR)
  
• An Optimal Test for Strategic Interaction in Social and Economic Network Formation between Heterogeneous Agents
  Andrin Pelican and Bryan S. Graham #27793 (DEV, IO, TWP)
  
• Who's In and Who's Out under Workplace COVID Symptom Screening?
  Krista J. Ruffini, Aaron Sojourner, and Abigail K. Wozniak #27792 (HE, , LS, LE)
  
• Who are the Essential and Frontline Workers?
  Francine D. Blau, Josefine Koebe, and Pamela A. Meyerhofer #27791 (LS)
  
• Clean Air as an Experience Good in Urban China
  Matthew E. Kahn, Weizeng Sun, and Siqi Zheng #27790 (EEE, PE, POL)
  
• Does Gender Matter for Promotion in Science? Evidence from Physicists in France
  Jacques Mairesse, Michele Pezzoni, and Fabiana Visentin #27789 (LS, PR)
  
• (Forced) Feminist Firms
  Benjamin Bennett, Isil Erel, Léa H. Stern, and Zexi Wang #27788 (CF, LS)
  
• Declining Business Dynamism among Our Best Opportunities: The Role of the Burden of Knowledge
  Thomas Astebro, Serguey Braguinsky, and Yuheng Ding #27787 (PR)
  
• Manufacturing Risk-free Government Debt
  Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Z. Xiaolan #27786 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME, PE)
  
• The Social Determinants of Choice Quality: Evidence from Health Insurance in the Netherlands
  Benjamin R. Handel, Jonathan T. Kolstad, Thomas Minten, and Johannes Spinnewijn #27785 (HC, IO, PE)
  
• What Explains the COVID-19 Stock Market?
  Josue Cox, Daniel L. Greenwald, and Sydney C. Ludvigson #27784 (AP, EFG)
  
• Does Increasing Access to Formal Credit Reduce Payday Borrowing?
  Sarah Miller and Cindy K. Soo #27783 (CF)
  
• Shale Shocked: Cash Windfalls and Household Debt Repayment
  J. Anthony Cookson, Erik P. Gilje, and Rawley Z. Heimer #27782 (CF)
  
• Using Taxes to Meet an Emission Target
  Robert I. Harris and William A. Pizer #27781 (EEE)
  
• Test Sensitivity for Infection versus Infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2
  Joshua S. Gans #27780 (HE, PR)
  
• Affirmative Action and Pre-College Human Capital
  Mitra Akhtari, Natalie Bau, and Jean-William P. Laliberté #27779 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• Immigration and Entrepreneurship in the United States
  Pierre Azoulay, Benjamin Jones, J. Daniel Kim, and Javier Miranda #27778 (LS, PR)
  
• Tracing the Linkages Between Scientific Research and Energy Innovations: A Comparison of Clean and Dirty Technologies
  Robert K. Perrons, Adam B. Jaffe, and Trinh Le #27777 (EEE, PR)
  
• Rugged Individualism and Collective (In)action During the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Samuel Bazzi, Martin Fiszbein, and Mesay Gebresilasse #27776 (DAE, HE, LE, PE, POL)
  
• Perinatal Health among 1 Million Chinese-Americans
  Douglas Almond and Yi Cheng #27775 (CH, HE)
  
• The Fractured-Land Hypothesis
  Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Mark Koyama, Youhong Lin, and Tuan-Hwee Sng #27774 (EFG)
  
• The Long-Term Distributional and Welfare Effects of Covid-19 School Closures
  Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig, and Irina Popova #27773 (ED, EFG, LS, PE)
  
• Winners and Losers from Sovereign Debt Inflows
  Fernando Broner, Alberto Martin, Lorenzo Pandolfi, and Tomas Williams #27772 (IFM)
  
• How to Estimate a VAR after March 2020
  Michele Lenza and Giorgio E. Primiceri #27771 (EFG, ME, TWP)
  
• Clearing the Bar: Improving Tax Compliance for Small Firms through Target Setting
  Yazan Al-Karablieh, Evangelos Koumanakos, and Stefanie Stantcheva #27770 (IFM, PE)
  
• Effective Demand Failures and the Limits of Monetary Stabilization Policy
  Michael Woodford #27768 (EFG, ME)
  
• To Stay or to Migrate? When Becker Meets Harris-Todaro
  Pei-Ju Liao, Ping Wang, Yin-Chi Wang, and Chong Kee Yip #27767 (CH, DEV, EFG)
  
• Economic Aspects of the Energy Transition
  Geoffrey Heal #27766 (EEE)
  
• Unpaired Kidney Exchange: Overcoming Double Coincidence of Wants without Money
  Mohammad Akbarpour, Julien Combe, Yinghua He, Victor Hiller, Robert Shimer, and Olivier Tercieux #27765 (HE, IO, ME, PE)
  
• The Impact of Migration Controls on Urban Fiscal Policies and the Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital in China
  Holger Sieg, Chamna Yoon, and Jipeng Zhang #27764 (ED, EFG, PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 31, 2020

• Monetary Stimulus Amidst the Infrastructure Investment Spree: Evidence from China's Loan-Level Data
  Kaiji Chen, Haoyu Gao, Patrick C. Higgins, Daniel F. Waggoner, and Tao Zha #27763 (EFG, ME)
  
• Are All Managed Care Plans Created Equal? Evidence from Random Plan Assignment in Medicaid
  Michael Geruso, Timothy J. Layton, and Jacob Wallace #27762 (HC, IO, PE)
  
• Racial Disparities in Motor Vehicle Searches Cannot Be Justified by Efficiency
  Benjamin Feigenberg and Conrad Miller #27761 (LS)
  
• What Can Economics Say About Alzheimer's Disease?
  Amitabh Chandra, Courtney Coile, and Corina Mommaerts #27760 (AG, HC, HE, PR)
  
• Is the Cure Worse than the Disease? County-Level Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States
  Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, Neeraj Kaushal, and Ashley N. Muchow #27759 (HC, HE)
  
• Jacks of All Trades and Masters of One: Declining Search Frictions and Unequal Growth
  Paolo Martellini and Guido Menzio #27758 (EFG)
  
• Modern Infectious Diseases: Macroeconomic Impacts and Policy Responses
  David E. Bloom, Michael Kuhn, and Klaus Prettner #27757 (EFG, HC, HE)
  
• An Instrumental Variable Approach to Dynamic Models
  Steven T. Berry and Giovanni Compiani #27756 (IO)
  
• Monopsony in Movers: The Elasticity of Labor Supply to Firm Wage Policies
  Ihsaan Bassier, Arindrajit Dube, and Suresh Naidu #27755 (LS)
  
• Centrino and the Restructuring of WI-FI Supply
  Roberto Fontana and Shane Greenstein #27754 (IO, PR)
  
• Stable Income, Stable Family
  Isaac Swensen ⓡ, Jason M. Lindo ⓡ, and Krishna Regmi #27753 (AG, CH, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Business Incomes at the Top
  Wojciech Kopczuk and Eric Zwick #27752 (CF, PE)
  
• Investor Tax Credits and Entrepreneurship: Evidence from U.S. States
  Matthew R. Denes, Sabrina T. Howell, Filippo Mezzanotti, Xinxin Wang, and Ting Xu #27751 (CF, PE, PR)
  
• Colonial Origins, Property Rights, and the Organization of Agricultural Production: the US Midwest and Argentine Pampas Compared
  Eric C. Edwards, Martin Fiszbein, and Gary D. Libecap #27750 (DAE, DEV, IO, LE)
  
• Remote Work and the Heterogeneous Impact of COVID-19 on Employment and Health
  Manuela Angelucci, Marco Angrisani, Daniel M. Bennett, Arie Kapteyn, and Simone G. Schaner #27749 (LS, PE)
  
• Limitations on the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Forward Guidance in the Context of the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Andrew T. Levin and Arunima Sinha #27748 (EFG, ME)
  
• Doubling Down on Debt: Limited Liability as a Financial Friction
  Jesse Perla, Carolin Pflueger, and Michael Szkup #27747 (CF, EFG, ME)
  
• International Evidence on Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through
  Kristin Forbes, Ida Hjortsoe, and Tsvetelina Nenova #27746 (IFM, ME)
  
• Social Transmission Bias and Cultural Evolution in Financial Markets
  Erol Akcay and David Hirshleifer #27745 (AP, CF)
  
• Cheap Thrills: the Price of Leisure and the Global Decline in Work Hours
  Alexandr Kopytov, Nikolai Roussanov, and Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel #27744 (DAE, EFG, IFM, LS)
  
• Does Vote Trading Improve Welfare?
  Alessandra Casella and Antonin Macé #27743 (POL)
  
• Optimal Management of a Pandemic in the Short Run and the Long Run
  Andrew B. Abel and Stavros Panageas #27742 (AP, EFG, HC, HE, ME)
  
• Pandemic Control in ECON-EPI Networks
  Marina Azzimonti, Alessandra Fogli, Fabrizio Perri, and Mark Ponder #27741 (AG, EFG, HE, PE, POL)
  
• Financial Returns to Household Inventory Management
  Scott R. Baker, Stephanie G. Johnson, and Lorenz Kueng #27740 (AP)
  
• Global Business and Financial Cycles: A Tale of Two Capital Account Regimes
  Julien Acalin and Alessandro Rebucci #27739 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Using a Satisficing Model of Experimenter Decision-Making to Guide Finite-Sample Inference for Compromised Experiments
  Ganesh Karapakula and James J. Heckman #27738 (CH, TWP)
  
• Intergenerational Effects of Early-Life Advantage: Lessons from a Primate Study
  Amanda M. Dettmer, James J. Heckman, Juan Pantano, Victor Ronda, and Stephen J. Suomi #27737 (CH, HE)
  
• Hiring as Exploration
  Danielle Li, Lindsey R. Raymond, and Peter Bergman #27736 (CF, ED, LE, LS, POL, PR, TWP)
  
• Moonshots, Investment Booms, and Selection Bias in the Transmission of Cultural Traits
  David Hirshleifer and Joshua Plotkin #27735 (CF, PR)
  
• Who Profits From Amateurism? Rent-Sharing in Modern College Sports
  Craig Garthwaite, Jordan Keener, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, and Nicole F. Ozminkowski #27734 (LS)
  
• Payments Crises and Consequences
  Qian Chen, Christoffer Koch, Padma Sharma, and Gary Richardson #27733 (DAE, EFG, ME)
  

---

Weekly papers released by August 24, 2020

• Repurchase Options in the Market for Lemons
  Saki Bigio and Liyan Shi #27732 (EFG, ME)
  
• The Stable Transformation Path
  Francisco J. Buera, Joseph P. Kaboski, Martí Mestieri, and Daniel G. O'Connor #27731 (DEV, EFG, IFM, ITI)
  
• Coping with H-1B Shortages: Firm Performance and Mitigation Strategies
  Anna Maria Mayda, Francesc Ortega, Giovanni Peri, Kevin Y. Shih, and Chad Sparber #27730 (ITI, LS, PR)
  
• Income and Poverty in the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Jeehoon Han, Bruce D. Meyer, and James X. Sullivan #27729 (CH, EFG, LS, PE)
  
• Heterogeneous Effects Of Health Insurance On Birth Related Outcomes: Unpacking Compositional Vs. Direct Changes
  Jie Ma and Kosali I. Simon #27728 (HE)
  
• Dynamic Trade-offs and Labor Supply Under the CARES Act
  Corina Boar and Simon Mongey #27727 (EFG)
  
• Increasing Hours Worked: Moonlighting Responses to a Large Tax Reform
  Alisa Tazhitdinova #27726 (LS, PE)
  
• Gender and Culture
  Paola Giuliano #27725 (LS, POL)
  
• On Socializing and Social Distancing in Markets: Implications for Retail Prices, Store-level Consumer Density, and Disease Transmission
  Ricardo Lagos #27724 (HE, IO)
  
• Data-intensive Innovation and the State: Evidence from AI Firms in China
  Martin Beraja, David Y. Yang, and Noam Yuchtman #27723 (EFG, POL, PR)
  
• When Tariffs Disturb Global Supply Chains
  Gene M. Grossman and Elhanan Helpman #27722 (ITI)
  
• Interbank Networks in the Shadows of the Federal Reserve Act
  Haelim Anderson, Selman Erol, and Guillermo Ordoñez #27721 (CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Now Unions Increase Job Satisfaction and Well-being
  David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson #27720 (LS)
  
• Four Stylized Facts about COVID-19
  Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky, and Tao Zha #27719 (EFG, HC, HE, PE)
  
• The Economic Impact of Migrants from Hurricane Maria
  Giovanni Peri, Derek Rury, and Justin C. Wiltshire #27718 (ITI, LS)
  
• The EITC and Maternal Time Use: More Time Working and Less Time with Kids?
  Jacob Bastian and Lance Lochner #27717 (CH, LS, PE)
  
• Openness to Trade and the Spread of Industrialization: Evidence from Canada during the First Era of Globalization
  Taylor Jaworski and Ian Keay #27716 (DAE)
  
• Estimating DSGE Models: Recent Advances and Future Challenges
  Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana #27715 (EFG)
  
• Have Income-Based Achievement Gaps Widened or Narrowed?
  Shirin A. Hashim, Thomas J. Kane, Thomas Kelley-Kemple, Mary E. Laski, and Douglas O. Staiger #27714 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• Judge Peer Effects in the Courthouse
  Ozkan Eren and Naci H. Mocan #27713 (CH, HE, LE, LS, PE)
  
• Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect
  Ricardo J. Caballero and Alp Simsek #27712 (AP, EFG, ME)
  
• What Good Are Treatment Effects without Treatment? Mental Health and the Reluctance to Use Talk Therapy
  Christopher J. Cronin, Matthew P. Forsstrom, and Nicholas W. Papageorge #27711 (AG, HE)
  
• Exit vs. Voice
  Eleonora Broccardo, Oliver D. Hart, and Luigi Zingales #27710 (CF, LE)
  
• Permanent Income Shocks, Target Wealth, and the Wealth Gap
  Tullio Jappelli and Luigi Pistaferri #27709 (EFG)
  
• The Baker Hypothesis
  Anusha Chari, Peter Blair Henry, and Hector Reyes #27708 (DEV, EFG, IFM, ITI)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 17, 2020

• Measuring Customer Churn and Interconnectedness
  Scott R. Baker, Brian Baugh, and Marco C. Sammon #27707 (AP, CF)
  
• History as Evolution
  Nathan Nunn #27706 (DAE, DEV, EFG, POL)
  
• The Tax Elasticity of Capital Gains and Revenue-Maximizing Rates
  Ole Agersnap and Owen M. Zidar #27705 (PE)
  
• Nonparametric Identification of Differentiated Products Demand Using Micro Data
  Steven T. Berry and Philip A. Haile #27704 (IO)
  
• When Uncle Sam Introduced Main Street to Wall Street: Liberty Bonds and the Transformation of American Finance
  Eric Hilt, Matthew S. Jaremski, and Wendy Rahn #27703 (CF, DAE, ME, PE, POL)
  
• Confidence and the Propagation of Demand Shocks
  George-Marios Angeletos and Chen Lian #27702 (EFG)
  
• Bank Syndicates and Liquidity Provision
  Joao A. C. Santos and S. Vish Viswanathan #27701 (CF)
  
• Intermediation and Competition in Search Markets: An Empirical Case Study
  Tobias Salz #27700 (IO)
  
• Understanding Tax Policy: How Do People Reason?
  Stefanie Stantcheva #27699 (PE, POL)
  
• The International Aspects of Macroprudential Policy
  Kristin J. Forbes #27698 (CF, IFM, ME)
  
• Peak China Housing
  Kenneth S. Rogoff and Yuanchen Yang #27697 (AP, EFG)
  
• Decoding India's Low Covid-19 Case Fatality rate
  Minu Philip, Debraj Ray, and S. Subramanian #27696 (DEV, HE)
  
• Government Advertising in Market-Based Public Programs: Evidence from the Health Insurance Marketplace
  Naoki Aizawa and You Suk Kim #27695 (HC, IO, PE)
  
• The Effect of Job Displacement on College Enrollment: Evidence from Ohio
  Veronica Minaya, Brendan Moore, and Judith Scott-Clayton #27694 (ED, LS)
  
• How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?
  Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #27693 (EFG, ME, PE)
  
• Union Membership Peaks in Midlife
  David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson #27692 (LS)
  
• Low Interest Rates, Policy, and the Predictive Content of the Yield Curve
  Michael D. Bordo and Joseph G. Haubrich #27691 (IFM, ME)
  
• Life Cycle Cash Flows of Ventures
  Shumiao Ouyang, Jiaheng Yu, and Ravi Jagannathan #27690 (AP, PR)
  
• Discrimination and Racial Disparities in Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from WWII
  Anna Aizer, Ryan Boone, Adriana Lleras-Muney, and Jonathan Vogel #27689 (CH, DAE, ITI, LS, PR)
  
• What Determines School Segregation? The Crucial Role of Neighborhood Factors
  Gregorio S. Caetano and Hugh Macartney #27688 (CH, ED, PE)
  
• The Macroeconomic Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from a Narrative Approach
  Diego Rojas, Carlos A. Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin #27687 (IFM)
  
• Patenting Inventions or Inventing Patents? Strategic Use of Continuations at the USPTO
  Cesare Righi and Timothy Simcoe #27686 (IO, PR)
  
• Behavioral Welfare Economics and Risk Preferences: A Bayesian Approach
  Xiaoxue Sherry Gao, Glenn W. Harrison, and Rusty Tchernis #27685 (CF, EEE, HE, PE)
  
• Generalizable and Robust TV Advertising Effects
  Bradley Shapiro, Günter J. Hitsch, and Anna Tuchman #27684 (IO, PR)
  
• A History of Pricing Pollution (Or, Why Pigouvian Taxes are not Necessarily Pigouvian)
  H. Spencer Banzhaf #27683 (EEE)
  
• Dollar Safety and the Global Financial Cycle
  Zhengyang Jiang, Arvind Krishnamurthy, and Hanno Lustig #27682 (AP, CF, IFM, ME)
  
• Autonomy and Specificity in Agricultural Technology Adoption: Evidence from Mexico
  Carolina Corral, Xavier Giné, Aprajit Mahajan, and Enrique Seira #27681 (DEV, PR)
  
• Improving Management through Worker Evaluations: Evidence from Auto Manufacturing
  Jing Cai and Shing-Yi Wang #27680 (DEV, PR)
  
• Social Learning along International Migrant Networks
  Yuan Tian, Maria Esther Caballero, and Brian K. Kovak #27679 (DEV, HE, ITI)
  
• Data and Policy Decisions: Experimental Evidence from Pakistan
  Michael Callen, Saad Gulzar, Syed Ali Hasanain, Muhammad Yasir Khan, and Arman B. Rezaee #27678 (DEV, POL)
  
• Survival Pessimism and the Demand for Annuities
  Cormac O'Dea and David Sturrock #27677 (AG)
  
• Structuring Mortgages for Macroeconomic Stability
  John Y. Campbell, Nuno Clara, and João F. Cocco #27676 (AP, ME)
  
• The Return to Capital in Capital-Scarce Countries
  Anusha Chari and Jennifer S. Rhee #27675 (DEV, EFG, IFM)
  
• Estimating Trends in Male Earnings Volatility with the Panel Study of Income Dynamics
  Robert A. Moffitt and Sisi Zhang #27674 (LS)
  
• The 1918 Influenza Pandemic and its Lessons for COVID-19
  Brian Beach, Karen Clay, and Martin H. Saavedra #27673 (CH, DAE, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Reconciling Trends in Volatility: Evidence from the SIPP Survey and Administrative Data
  Michael D. Carr, Robert A. Moffitt, and Emily E. Wiemers #27672 (LS)
  
• A Quantitative Theory of the Credit Score
  Satyajit Chatterjee, Dean Corbae, Kyle P. Dempsey, and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull #27671 (EFG)
  
• The Average and Heterogeneous Effects of Transportation Investments: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa 1960-2010
  Remi Jedwab and Adam Storeygard #27670 (DEV, ITI)
  
• Medium-Term Money Neutrality and the Effective Lower Bound
  Gauti B. Eggertsson and Marc Giannoni #27669 (ME)
  
• Early Fertility Decline in the United States: Tests of Alternative Hypotheses using New Complete-Count Census Microdata and Enhanced County-Level Data
  Michael R. Haines, J. David Hacker, and Matthew S. Jaremski #27668 (DAE)
  
• COVID-19 and Crime: Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Domestic Violence
  Lindsey Rose Bullinger, Jillian B. Carr, and Analisa Packham #27667 (HE)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 10, 2020

• The $100 Million Nudge: Increasing Tax Compliance of Businesses and the Self-Employed using a Natural Field Experiment
  Justin E. Holz, John A. List, Alejandro Zentner, Marvin Cardoza, and Joaquin Zentner #27666 (PE)
  
• Political Uncertainty and Asset Valuation: Housing Prices in Hong Kong
  Zhiguo He, Maggie Rong Hu, Zhenping Wang, and Vincent Yao #27665 (AP, CF, DEV, LE, POL)
  
• Reconciling Trends in U.S. Male Earnings Volatility: Results from a Four Data Set Project
  Robert A. Moffitt #27664 (LS)
  
• The Missing Inflation Puzzle: The Role of the Wage-Price Pass-Through
  Sebastian Heise, Fatih Karahan, and Ayşegül Şahin #27663 (EFG, ME)
  
• Informational Barriers to Market Access: Experimental Evidence from Liberian Firms
  Jonas Hjort, Vinayak Iyer, and Golvine de Rochambeau #27662 (DEV, PR)
  
• The Effect of Mentoring on School Attendance and Academic Outcomes: A Randomized Evaluation of the Check & Connect Program
  Jonathan Guryan, Sandra Christenson, Ashley Cureton, Ijun Lai, Jens Ludwig, Catherine Schwarz, Emma Shirey, and Mary Clair Turner #27661 (ED)
  
• This Time It's Different: The Role of Women's Employment in a Pandemic Recession
  Titan Alon, Matthias Doepke, Jane Olmstead-Rumsey, and Michèle Tertilt #27660 (EFG, LS)
  
• Does FinTech Substitute for Banks? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program
  Isil Erel and Jack Liebersohn #27659 (CF)
  
• Taking It to the Limit: Effects of Increased Student Loan Availability on Attainment, Earnings, and Financial Well-Being
  Sandra E. Black, Jeffrey T. Denning, Lisa J. Dettling, Sarena Goodman, and Lesley J. Turner #27658 (ED, LS, PE)
  
• Staggered Price Indexation
  Martín Uribe #27657 (EFG, ME)
  
• Dust Bowl Migrants: Identifying an Archetype
  Richard Hornbeck #27656 (DAE, DEV, EEE, LS)
  
• Book-to-Market, Mispricing, and the Cross-Section of Corporate Bond Returns
  Söhnke M. Bartram, Mark Grinblatt, and Yoshio Nozawa #27655 (AP)
  
• To What Extent Are Tariffs Offset By Exchange Rates?
  Olivier Jeanne and Jeongwon Son #27654 (IFM)
  
• Data Privacy and Temptation
  Zhuang Liu, Michael Sockin, and Wei Xiong #27653 (AP, CF, IO, LE)
  
• Trade Flows and Fiscal Multipliers
  Matteo Cacciatore and Nora Traum #27652 (IFM)
  
• Who Voted for Trump? Populism and Social Capital
  Paola Giuliano and Romain Wacziarg #27651 (POL)
  
• Learning from Deregulation: The Asymmetric Impact of Lockdown and Reopening on Risky Behavior During COVID-19
  Edward L. Glaeser, Ginger Zhe Jin, Benjamin T. Leyden, and Michael Luca #27650 (HE, LE, PE, POL, PR)
  
• Latent Estimation of Piracy Quality and its Effect on Revenues and Distribution: The Case of Motion Pictures
  Anthony Koschmann and Yi Qian #27649 (LE, PR)
  
• How Global is Your Mutual Fund? International Diversification from Multinationals
  Irem Demirci, Miguel A. Ferreira, Pedro Matos, and Clemens Sialm #27648 (AP, CF, IFM)
  
• Domestic Price Dollarization in Emerging Economies
  Andres Drenik and Diego Perez #27647 (IFM, ME)
  
• The Pass-Through of Uncertainty Shocks to Households
  Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani, Rodney Ramcharan, Vincent Yao, and Edison Yu #27646 (CF, EFG, ME)
  
• College Majors
  Arpita Patnaik, Matthew J. Wiswall, and Basit Zafar #27645 (ED, LS)
  
• Quid Pro Quo, Knowledge Spillover, and Industrial Quality Upgrading: Evidence from the Chinese Auto Industry
  Jie Bai, Panle Jia Barwick, Shengmao Cao, and Shanjun Li #27644 (DEV, IO, ITI, PR)
  
• Frictional Sorting
  Wenquan Liang, Ran Song, and Christopher Timmins #27643 (LS)
  
• Asset Specificity of Non-Financial Firms
  Amir Kermani and Yueran Ma #27642 (CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Two Tales of Debt
  Amir Kermani and Yueran Ma #27641 (CF, LE, ME)
  
• Welfare Analysis Meets Causal Inference
  Amy Finkelstein and Nathaniel Hendren #27640 (HC, PE)
  
• Interest Rate Uncertainty and Sovereign Default Risk
  Alok Johri, Shahed Khan, and César Sosa-Padilla #27639 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Molecular Genetics, Risk Aversion, Return Perceptions, and Stock Market Participation
  Richard Sias, Laura Starks, and Harry J. Turtle #27638 (AP)
  
• Norwegian and US Policies Alleviate Business Vulnerability Due to the Covid-19 Shock Equally Well
  Annette Alstadsæter, Julie Brun Bjørkheim, Wojciech Kopczuk, and Andreas Økland #27637 (EFG, PE)
  
• Filling a Niche? The Maize Productivity Impacts of Adaptive Breeding by a Local Seed Company in Kenya
  Samuel S. Bird, Michael R. Carter, Travis J. Lybbert, Mary W. K. Mathenge, Timothy Njagi Njeru, and Emilia Tjernström #27636 (DEV)
  
• Behavioral Corporate Finance: The Life Cycle of a CEO Career
  Marius Guenzel and Ulrike Malmendier #27635 (CF)
  
• Design Choices for Central Bank Digital Currency: Policy and Technical Considerations
  Sarah Allen, Srđjan Čapkun, Ittay Eyal, Giulia Fanti, Bryan A. Ford, James Grimmelmann, Ari Juels, Kari Kostiainen, Sarah Meiklejohn, Andrew Miller, Eswar Prasad, Karl Wüst, and Fan Zhang #27634 (ME, IFM)
  
• The Effect of Fiscal Stimulus: Evidence from COVID-19
  Miguel Garza Casado, Britta Glennon, Julia Lane, David McQuown, Daniel Rich, and Bruce A. Weinberg #27576 (EFG, LS, PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 3, 2020

• The Drug Crisis and the Living Arrangements of Children
  Kasey Buckles, William N. Evans, and Ethan M.J. Lieber #27633 (CH, HE)
  
• The Economic Consequences of R̂ = 1: Towards a Workable Behavioral Epidemiological Model of Pandemics
  Joshua S. Gans #27632 (HE, PR)
  
• Persuasion on Networks
  Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin #27631 (POL)
  
• Self-Harming Trade Policy? Protectionism and Production Networks
  Alessandro Barattieri and Matteo Cacciatore #27630 (IFM, ITI)
  
• Small Business Survival Capabilities and Policy Effectiveness: Evidence from Oakland
  Robert P. Bartlett III and Adair Morse #27629 (CF, LS, ME, PR)
  
• Window Dressing in the Public Sector: A Case Study of China’s Compulsory Education Promotion Program
  Hanming Fang, Chang Liu, and Li-An Zhou #27628 (DEV, PE, POL)
  
• Understanding the German Criticism of the Target System and the Role of Central Bank capital
  Roberto Perotti #27627 (IFM, ME)
  
• Do State Earned Income Tax Credits Increase Participation in the Federal EITC?
  David Neumark and Katherine E. Williams #27626 (LS, PE)
  
• The Macroeconomic Consequences of Infrastructure Investment
  Valerie A. Ramey #27625 (EFG, PE)
  
• Information Frictions and Access to the Paycheck Protection Program
  Christopher Neilson, John Eric Humphries, and Gabriel Ulyssea #27624 (LS, PE)
  
• The Targeting and Impact of Paycheck Protection Program Loans to Small Businesses
  Alexander W. Bartik, Zoe B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, Christopher T. Stanton, and Adi Sunderam #27623 (AP, CF, IO, LS, PE, POL, PR)
  
• Efficient Redistribution
  Corina Boar and Virgiliu Midrigan #27622 (EFG, PE, PR)
  
• Effects of State COVID-19 Closure Policy on NON-COVID-19 Health Care Utilization
  Engy Ziedan, Kosali I. Simon, and Coady Wing #27621 (HC, HE)
  
• Immigration and Violent Crime: Evidence from the Colombia-Venezuela Border
  Brian G. Knight and Ana Tribin #27620 (DEV, PE, POL)
  
• Local Access to Mental Healthcare and Crime
  Monica Deza, Johanna Catherine Maclean, and Keisha T. Solomon #27619 (HC, HE, LE)
  
• Family Spillovers in Field of Study
  Gordon B. Dahl, Dan-Olof Rooth, and Anders Stenberg #27618 (CH, ED, LS, PE)
  
• Initial Impacts of the Pandemic on Consumer Behavior: Evidence from Linked Income, Spending, and Savings Data
  Natalie Bachas, Peter Ganong, Pascal J. Noel, Joseph S. Vavra, Arlene Wong, Diana Farrell, and Fiona E. Greig #27617 (EFG, ME, PE)
  
• The Impact of Social Security on Pension Claiming and Retirement: Active vs. Passive Decisions
  Rafael Lalive, Arvind Magesan, and Stefan Staubli #27616 (AG, LS, PE)
  
• A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates
  Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, and Adi Sunderam #27615 (AP, IFM)
  
• Rule of Law in Labor Relations, 1898-1940
  Price V. Fishback #27614 (DAE)
  
• Measuring the labor market at the onset of the COVID-19 crisis
  Alexander W. Bartik, Marianne Bertrand, Feng Lin, Jesse Rothstein, and Matt Unrath #27613 (EFG, LS)
  
• Collaborating During Coronavirus: The Impact of COVID-19 on the Nature of Work
  Evan DeFilippis, Stephen Michael Impink, Madison Singell, Jeffrey T. Polzer, and Raffaella Sadun #27612 (PR)
  
• Twenty Year Economic Impacts of Deworming
  Joan Hamory ⓡ, Edward Miguel ⓡ, Michael W. Walker ⓡ, Michael Kremer ⓡ, and Sarah J. Baird #27611 (CH, DEV, HE, LS)
  
• A Dynamic Theory of Lending Standards
  Michael J. Fishman, Jonathan A. Parker, and Ludwig Straub #27610 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• At What Level Should One Cluster Standard Errors in Paired Experiments, and in Stratified Experiments with Small Strata?
  Clément de Chaisemartin and Jaime Ramirez-Cuellar #27609 (DEV, ED, HE, LS, TWP)
  
• Nursing Home Staff Networks and COVID-19
  M. Keith Chen, Judith A. Chevalier, and Elisa F. Long #27608 (AG, HC)
  
• Regulatory Arbitrage in Teacher Hiring and Retention: Evidence from Massachusetts Charter Schools
  Jesse M. Bruhn, Scott A. Imberman, and Marcus A. Winters #27607 (ED, LS)
  
• Challenges of Change: An Experiment Promoting Women to Managerial Roles in the Bangladeshi Garment Sector
  Rocco Macchiavello, Andreas Menzel, Atonu Rabbani, and Christopher Woodruff #27606 (DEV, PR)
  
• Skilled Human Capital and High-Growth Entrepreneurship: Evidence from Inventor Inflows
  Benjamin Balsmeier, Lee Fleming, Matt Marx, and Seungryul Ryan Shin #27605 (PR)
  
• COVID-19 Prevention and Air Pollution in the Absence of a Lockdown
  Hung-Hao Chang, Chad Meyerhoefer, and Feng-An Yang #27604 (EEE, HE)
  
• Co-Benefits and Regulatory Impact Analysis: Theory and Evidence from Federal Air Quality Regulations
  Joseph E. Aldy, Matthew Kotchen, Mary F. Evans, Meredith Fowlie, Arik Levinson, and Karen Palmer #27603 (EEE)
  
• Designing Disability Insurance Reforms: Tightening Eligibility Rules or Reducing Benefits
  Andreas Haller, Stefan Staubli, and Josef Zweimüller #27602 (AG, LS, PE)
  
• The Risk of Being a Fallen Angel and the Corporate Dash for Cash in the Midst of COVID
  Viral V. Acharya and Sascha Steffen #27601 (CF)
  
• Randomization in the Tropics Revisited: a Theme and Eleven Variations
  Angus Deaton #27600 (AG, DEV, HC, HE)
  
• Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits
  Tamma A. Carleton, Amir Jina, Michael T. Delgado, Michael Greenstone, Trevor Houser, Solomon M. Hsiang, Andrew Hultgren, Robert E. Kopp, Kelly E. McCusker, Ishan B. Nath, James Rising, Ashwin Rode, Hee Kwon Seo, Arvid Viaene, Jiacan Yuan, and Alice Tianbo Zhang #27599 (EEE)
  
• Do Unemployment Insurance Benefits Improve Match Quality? Evidence from Recent U.S. Recessions
  Ammar Farooq, Adriana D. Kugler, and Umberto Muratori #27574 (LS, PE)
  
• Competitive Effects of Federal and State Opioid Restrictions: Evidence from the Controlled Substance Laws
  Sumedha Gupta, Thuy D. Nguyen, Patricia R. Freeman, and Kosali I. Simon #27520 (HC, HE)
  

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Weekly papers released by July 27, 2020

• Assessing the Age Specificity of Infection Fatality Rates for COVID-19: Meta-Analysis & Public Policy Implications
  Andrew T. Levin, Kensington B. Cochran, and Seamus P. Walsh #27597 (HC, HE)
  
• "Quick Response" Economic Stimulus: The Effect of Small-Value Digital Coupons on Spending
  Jianwei Xing, Eric Zou, Zhentao Yin, and Yong Wang #27596 (EFG, PE)
  
• Bargaining over Mandatory Spending and Entitlements
  Marina Azzimonti, Gabriel P. Mihalache, and Laura Karpuska #27595 (EFG, PE, POL)
  
• RCTs to Scale: Comprehensive Evidence from Two Nudge Units
  Stefano DellaVigna and Elizabeth Linos #27594 (DEV, ED, HC, HE, LE, LS, PE, POL)
  
• Does Joining the S&P 500 Index Hurt Firms?
  Benjamin Bennett, René M. Stulz, and Zexi Wang #27593 (CF)
  
• Racial and Ethnic Disparities in COVID-19: Evidence from Six Large Cities
  Joseph A. Benitez, Charles J. Courtemanche, and Aaron Yelowitz #27592 (HC, HE)
  
• The Leveraging of Silicon Valley
  Jesse Davis, Adair Morse, and Xinxin Wang #27591 (CF, PR)
  
• Learning Epidemiology by Doing: The Empirical Implications of a Spatial-SIR Model with Behavioral Responses
  Alberto Bisin and Andrea Moro #27590 (HE, PE)
  
• Does the Commodity Super Cycle Matter?
  Andrés Fernández, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, and Martín Uribe #27589 (IFM)
  
• The Role of Assets In Place: Loss of Market Exclusivity and Investment
  Matthew J. Higgins, Mathias J. Kronlund, Ji Min Park, and Joshua Pollet #27588 (CF, PR)
  
• International Friends and Enemies
  Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu, and Stephen J. Redding #27587 (ITI)
  
• The Ends of 30 Big Depressions
  Martin Ellison, Sang Seok Lee, and Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke #27586 (DAE, IFM)
  
• Why Do Borrowers Default on Mortgages? A New Method For Causal Attribution
  Peter Ganong and Pascal J. Noel #27585 (CF, PE)
  
• How Do Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs Reduce Opioid Prescribing? The Role of Hassle Costs versus Information
  Abby E. Alpert, Sarah E. Dykstra, and Mireille Jacobson #27584 (HC, HE, LE)
  
• Social Protection Amidst Social Upheaval: Examining the Impact of a Multi-Faceted Program for Ultra-Poor Households in Yemen
  Lasse Brune, Dean Karlan, Sikandra Kurdi, and Christopher R. Udry #27583 (DEV)
  
• Using Tax Data to Better Capture Top Incomes in Official UK Income Inequality Statistics
  Dominic Webber, Richard P. Tonkin, and Martin Shine #27582 (TWP)
  
• Age Discrimination across the Business Cycle
  Gordon B. Dahl and Matthew M. Knepper #27581 (AG, LS, PE)
  
• Heterogeneous Paths of Industrialization
  Federico Huneeus and Richard Rogerson #27580 (EFG)
  
• Investing in Ex Ante Regulation: Evidence from Pharmaceutical Patent Examination
  Michael D. Frakes and Melissa F. Wasserman #27579 (HC, LE, PR)
  
• Mortality Effects and Choice Across Private Health Insurance Plans
  Jason Abaluck, Mauricio M. Caceres Bravo, Peter Hull, and Amanda Starc #27578 (AG, HC, HE, IO, LS, PE)
  
• Conflicting Interests and the Effect of Fiduciary Duty — Evidence from Variable Annuities
  Mark L. Egan, Shan Ge, and Johnny Tang #27577 (CF)
  
• How Much to Save? Decision Costs and Retirement Plan Participation
  Jacob Goldin, Tatiana Homonoff, Richard W. Patterson, and William L. Skimmyhorn #27575 (AG, PE)
  
• Out of Sight No More? The Effect of Fee Disclosures on 401(k) Investment Allocations
  Mathias Kronlund, Veronika K. Pool, Clemens Sialm, and Irina Stefanescu #27573 (AG, AP, CF, LE, PE)
  
• Experienced Segregation
  Susan Athey, Billy A. Ferguson, Matthew Gentzkow, and Tobias Schmidt #27572 (IO, LS, PE, POL)
  

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Weekly papers released by July 20, 2020

• Understanding the Revenue Potential of Tax Compliance Investment
  Natasha Sarin and Lawrence H. Summers #27571 (PE)
  
• Expanding Access to Clean Water for the Rural Poor: Experimental Evidence from Malawi
  Pascaline Dupas, Basimenye Nhlema, Zachary Wagner, Aaron Wolf, and Emily Wroe #27570 (DEV, HE)
  
• Enforcing Payment for Water and Sanitation Services in Nairobi’s Slums
  Aidan Coville, Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler, and Susumu Yoshida #27569 (DEV, PE, POL)
  
• Occupational Licensing and Labor Market Fluidity
  Morris M. Kleiner and Ming Xu #27568 (LE, LS, PE)
  
• The Dynamics of the Smoking Wage Penalty
  Michael E. Darden, Julie L. Hotchkiss, and M. Melinda Pitts #27567 (HE)
  
• Projecting Unemployment Durations: A Factor-Flows Simulation Approach With Application to the COVID-19 Recession
  Gabriel Chodorow-Reich and John Coglianese #27566 (EFG, LS, PE)
  
• Firms, Failures, and Fluctuations: The Macroeconomics of Supply Chain Disruptions
  Daron Acemoglu and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi #27565 (EFG, IO)
  
• The Spillover Impact of Index Insurance on Agricultural Investment by Cotton Farmers in Burkina Faso
  Quentin Stoeffler, Michael Carter, Catherine Guirkinger, and Wouter Gelade #27564 (DEV)
  
• Insurance Design and Pharmaceutical Innovation
  Leila Agha, Soomi Kim, and Danielle Li #27563 (AG, CF, HC, HE, IO, LE, LS, PE, PR)
  
• Unintended Consequences of Lockdowns: COVID-19 and the Shadow Pandemic
  Saravana Ravindran and Manisha Shah #27562 (DEV, HE)
  
• A Brief Introduction to Human Capital Measures
  Gang Liu and Barbara M. Fraumeni #27561 (DEV, PR)
  
• Measuring Movement and Social Contact with Smartphone Data: A Real-Time Application to COVID-19
  Victor Couture, Jonathan I. Dingel, Allison E. Green, Jessie Handbury, and Kevin R. Williams #27560 (IO, ITI)
  
• Financial Fragility in the COVID-19 Crisis: The Case of Investment Funds in Corporate Bond Markets
  Antonio Falato, Itay Goldstein, and Ali Hortaçsu #27559 (AP, CF, ME)
  
• China's Foreign Trade and Investment, 1800 - 1950
  Wolfgang Keller and Carol H. Shiue #27558 (EFG, ITI, POL)
  
• A Graphical Lasso Approach to Estimating Network Connections: The Case of U.S. Lawmakers
  Marco Battaglini, Forrest W. Crawford, Eleonora Patacchini, and Sida Peng #27557 (POL)
  
• Bounds on a Slope from Size Restrictions on Economic Shocks
  Marco Stenborg Petterson, David G. Seim, and Jesse M. Shapiro #27556 (IO, TWP)
  
• Inequality in Household Adaptation to Schooling Shocks: Covid-Induced Online Learning Engagement in Real Time
  Andrew Bacher-Hicks, Joshua Goodman, and Christine Mulhern #27555 (CH, ED)
  
• Should the Randomistas (Continue to) Rule?
  Martin Ravallion #27554 (DEV)
  
• An Ounce of Prevention
  Joseph P. Newhouse #27553 (HC)
  
• Wealth, Race, and Consumption Smoothing of Typical Income Shocks
  Peter Ganong, Damon Jones, Pascal J. Noel, Fiona E. Greig, Diana Farrell, and Chris Wheat #27552 (EFG, LS, ME, PE)
  
• Mutual Fund Performance and Flows During the COVID-19 Crisis
  Lubos Pastor and M. Blair Vorsatz #27551 (AP, CF)
  
• Federal Aid to School Districts During the COVID-19 Recession
  Nora E. Gordon and Sarah J. Reber #27550 (ED)
  
• Inequality and the Coronavirus: Socioeconomic Covariates of Behavioral Responses and Viral Outcomes Across US Counties
  Caitlin S. Brown and Martin Ravallion #27549 (DEV, HE)
  
• Hard and Soft Skills in Vocational Training: Experimental Evidence from Colombia
  Felipe Barrera-Osorio, Adriana D. Kugler, and Mikko I. Silliman #27548 (CH, DEV, ED, LS)
  
• Bank Complexity, Governance, and Risk
  Ricardo Correa and Linda S. Goldberg #27547 (IFM)
  
• Policy Evaluation with Multiple Instrumental Variables
  Magne Mogstad, Alexander Torgovitsky, and Christopher R. Walters #27546 (LS, PE, TWP)
  
• Heterogeneous Effects of State Enterprise Zone Programs in the Shorter Run and Longer Run
  David Neumark and Timothy Young #27545 (LS, PE)
  
• The Opioid Epidemic Was Not Caused by Economic Distress But by Factors that Could be More Rapidly Addressed
  Janet Currie and Hannes Schwandt #27544 (CH, HC, HE, LE, LS)
  
• Teacher-to-Classroom Assignment and Student Achievement
  Bryan S. Graham, Geert Ridder, Petra M. Thiemann, and Gema Zamarro #27543 (ED, LS, PE, TWP)
  
• How Hurricanes Sweep Up Housing Markets: Evidence from Florida
  Joshua S. Graff Zivin, Yanjun Liao, and Yann Panassie #27542 (EEE, PE)
  
• Financing Outdoor Recreation
  H. Spencer Banzhaf and V. Kerry Smith #27541 (EEE, PE)
  
• Strategic Interactions in U.S. Monetary and Fiscal Policies
  Xiaoshan Chen, Eric M. Leeper, and Campbell B. Leith #27540 (EFG)
  
• The Impact of State Tobacco Control Spending on High School Student Vaping
  John A. Tauras, Megan C. Diaz, Barbara Schillo, and Donna Vallone #27539 (HE)
  
• How Do Restrictions on High-Skilled Immigration Affect Offshoring? Evidence from the H-1B Program
  Britta Glennon #27538 (ITI, LS, PR)
  
• Kicking the Can Down the Road: Government Interventions in the European Banking Sector
  Viral V. Acharya, Lea Borchert, Maximilian Jager, and Sascha Steffen #27537 (CF, ME, POL)
  
• Dynamic Oligopoly and Price Stickiness
  Olivier Wang and Iván Werning #27536 (EFG, ME)
  
• Non est Disputandum de Generalizability? A Glimpse into The External Validity Trial
  John A. List #27535 (EEE, LE, PE)
  
• Relabeling, Retirement and Regret
  Jonathan Gruber, Ohto Kanninen, and Terhi Ravaska #27534 (AG, LS, PE)
  
• Concentration Screens for Horizontal Mergers
  Volker Nocke and Michael D. Whinston #27533 (IO)
  
• Adaptive Control of COVID-19 Outbreaks in India: Local, Gradual, and Trigger-based Exit Paths from Lockdown
  Anup Malani, Satej Soman, Sam Asher, Paul Novosad, Clement Imbert, Vaidehi Tandel, Anish Agarwal, Abdullah Alomar, Arnab Sarker, Devavrat Shah, Dennis Shen, Jonathan Gruber, Stuti Sachdeva, David Kaiser, and Luis M.A. Bettencourt #27532 (HC, HE)
  

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Weekly papers released by July 13, 2020

• Private Precaution and Public Restrictions: What Drives Social Distancing and Industry Foot Traffic in the COVID-19 Era?
  Christopher J. Cronin and William N. Evans #27531 (HC, HE, PE)
  
• The Impact of the WWI Agricultural Boom and Bust on Female Opportunity Cost and Fertility
  Carl T. Kitchens and Luke P. Rodgers #27530 (DAE, DEV, LS)
  
• The Real Effects of Modern Information Technologies
  Itay Goldstein, Shijie Yang, and Luo Zuo #27529 (CF)
  
• Identification and Estimation of Undetected COVID-19 Cases Using Testing Data from Iceland
  Karl M. Aspelund, Michael C. Droste, James H. Stock, and Christopher D. Walker #27528 (EFG, HC, HE, TWP)
  
• A Theory of Social Impact Bonds
  Daniel L. Tortorice, David E. Bloom, Paige Kirby, and John Regan #27527 (AP, PE)
  
• Why Does Globalization Fuel Populism? Economics, Culture, and the Rise of Right-wing Populism
  Dani Rodrik #27526 (IFM, ITI, POL)
  
• Measuring Employer-to-Employer Reallocation
  Shigeru Fujita, Giuseppe Moscarini, and Fabien Postel-Vinay #27525 (EFG)
  
• Long-Run Returns to Field of Study in Secondary School
  Gordon Dahl, Dan-Olof Rooth, and Anders Stenberg #27524 (CH, ED, LS, PE)
  
• The Incentive Effects of Cash Transfers to the Poor
  Anna Aizer, Shari Eli, and Adriana Lleras-Muney #27523 (AG, CH, DAE, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Did President Trump’s Tulsa Rally Reignite COVID-19? Indoor Events and Offsetting Community Effects
  Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Drew McNichols, Connor Redpath, and Joseph J. Sabia #27522 (AG, HC, HE, LE, LS, PE)
  
• Fiscal and Monetary Stabilization Policy at the Zero Lower Bound: Consequences of Limited Foresight
  Michael Woodford and Yinxi Xie #27521 (EFG, ME)
  
• How Much does COVID-19 Increase with Mobility? Evidence from New York and Four Other U.S. Cities
  Edward L. Glaeser, Caitlin S. Gorback, and Stephen J. Redding #27519 (HC, HE, ITI, LS, PE)
  
• Social Security Reforms and the Changing Retirement Behavior in Germany
  Axel H. Börsch-Supan, Johannes Rausch, and Nicolas Goll #27518 (AG)
  
• The Sensitivity of Cash Savings to the Cost of Capital
  Viral V. Acharya, Soku Byoun, and Zhaoxia Xu #27517 (CF)
  
• The Lost Generation? Labor Market Outcomes for Post Great Recession Entrants
  Jesse Rothstein #27516 (EFG, LS)
  
• Testing the Theory of Common Stock Ownership
  Lysle Boller and Fiona Scott Morton #27515 (CF, IO)
  
• The Association Between Educational Attainment and Longevity using Individual Level Data from the 1940 Census
  Adriana Lleras-Muney, Joseph Price, and Dahai Yue #27514 (AG, CH, DAE, ED, HE, PE)
  
• Advancing the Agency of Adolescent Girls
  Eric V. Edmonds, Benjamin Feigenberg, and Jessica Leight #27513 (CH, DEV, ED)
  
• Has Mortality Risen Disproportionately for the Least Educated?
  Adam Leive and Christopher J. Ruhm #27512 (ED, HC, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Moral Universalism and the Structure of Ideology
  Benjamin Enke, Ricardo Rodríguez-Padilla, and Florian Zimmermann #27511 (DEV, LE, PE, POL)
  
• Using Equity Market Reactions to Infer Exposure to Trade Liberalization
  Andrew N. Greenland, Mihai Ion, John W. Lopresti, and Peter K. Schott #27510 (AP, ITI)
  
• Linking Changes in Inequality in Life Expectancy and Mortality: Evidence from Denmark and the United States
  Gordon Dahl, Claus Thustrup Kreiner, Torben Heien Nielsen, and Benjamin Ly Serena #27509 (AG, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Does the Actuarial Adjustment for Pension Delay Affect Retirement and Claiming Decisions?
  Devon Gorry, Kyung Min Lee, and Sita Slavov #27508 (AG, PE)
  
• E-Cigarettes and Respiratory Disease: A Replication, Extension, and Future Directions
  Donald S. Kenkel, Alan D. Mathios, and Hua Wang #27507 (HE)
  
• International Migration Responses to Natural Disasters: Evidence from Modern Europe's Deadliest Earthquake
  Yannay Spitzer, Gaspare Tortorici, and Ariell Zimran #27506 (DAE, DEV, LS)
  
• Natural Disasters and Elective Medical Services: How Big is the Bounce-Back?
  Tatyana Deryugina, Jonathan Gruber, and Adrienne Sabety #27505 (AG, EEE, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Voting and Political Participation in the Aftermath of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic
  Hani Mansour, Daniel I. Rees, and James M. Reeves #27504 (HE)
  
• Technology Adoption and Productivity Growth: Evidence from Industrialization in France
  Réka Juhász, Mara P. Squicciarini, and Nico Voigtländer #27503 (DAE, DEV, EFG, POL, PR)
  
• Can Technology Solve the Principal-Agent Problem? Evidence from China’s War on Air Pollution
  Michael Greenstone, Guojun He, Ruixue Jia, and Tong Liu #27502 (EEE)
  
• Going Bankrupt in China
  Bo Li and Jacopo Ponticelli #27501 (CF, LE)
  
• Sovereign Credit and Exchange Rate Risks: Evidence from Asia-Pacific Local Currency Bonds
  Mikhail Chernov, Drew D. Creal, and Peter Hördahl #27500 (AP, IFM)
  
• The Role of Government and Private Institutions in Credit Cycles in the U.S. Mortgage Market
  Manuel Adelino, William B. McCartney, and Antoinette Schoar #27499 (AP, CF)
  
• Electoral Concerns Reduce Restrictive Measures During the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Massimo Pulejo and Pablo Querubín #27498 (HE, POL)
  
• What Do Voters Learn from Foreign News? Emulation, Backlash, and Public Support for Trade Agreements
  Chun-Fang Chiang, Jason M. Kuo, Megumi Naoi, and Jin-Tan Liu #27497 (ITI)
  
• Messages on COVID-19 Prevention in India Increased Symptoms Reporting and Adherence to Preventive Behaviors Among 25 Million Recipients with Similar Effects on Non-recipient Members of Their Communities
  Abhijit Banerjee, Marcella Alsan, Emily Breza, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Abhijit Chowdhury, Esther Duflo, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, and Benjamin A. Olken #27496 (DEV, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Rational Sentiments and Economic Cycles
  Maryam Farboodi and Péter Kondor #27472 (CF, EFG)
  
• COVID-19 and Implications for Automation
  Alex W. Chernoff and Casey Warman #27249 (HE, LS)
  

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Weekly papers released by July 6, 2020

• Business in a Time of Spanish Influenza
  Howard Bodenhorn #27495 (DAE)
  
• Older People are Less Pessimistic about the Health Risks of Covid-19
  Pedro Bordalo, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, and Andrei Shleifer #27494 (HE)
  
• Competition Laws, Norms and Corporate Social Responsibility
  Wenzhi Ding, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Wensi Xie #27493 (CF, EEE, IO)
  
• Venture Capital’s Role in Financing Innovation: What We Know and How Much We Still Need to Learn
  Josh Lerner and Ramana Nanda #27492 (CF, PR)
  
• U.S. Banks and Global Liquidity
  Ricardo Correa, Wenxin Du, and Gordon Y. Liao #27491 (AP, CF, IFM, ME)
  
• Variation in Health Care Prices Across Public and Private Payers
  Toren L. Fronsdal, Jay Bhattacharya, and Suzanne Tamang #27490 (AG, HC, HE, IO)
  
• Choosing Technology: An Entrepreneurial Strategy Approach
  Joshua S. Gans, Michael Kearney, Erin L. Scott, and Scott Stern #27489 (PR)
  
• The Macroeconomic Impact of Europe’s Carbon Taxes
  Gilbert E. Metcalf and James H. Stock #27488 (EEE, EFG, PE)
  
• The Effect of Managers on Systematic Risk
  Antoinette Schoar, Kelvin Yeung, and Luo Zuo #27487 (AP, CF)
  
• MPCs, MPEs and Multipliers: A Trilemma for New Keynesian Models
  Adrien Auclert, Bence Bardóczy, and Matthew Rognlie #27486 (EFG, ME)
  
• Can Payroll Tax Cuts Help Firms During Recessions?
  Youssef Benzarti and Jarkko Harju #27485 (PE)
  
• Culture and Student Achievement: The Intertwined Roles of Patience and Risk-Taking
  Eric A. Hanushek, Lavinia Kinne, Philipp Lergetporer, and Ludger Woessmann #27484 (CH, DEV, ED, LS, PE)
  
• Testing, Voluntary Social Distancing and the Spread of an Infection
  Daron Acemoglu, Ali Makhdoumi, Azarakhsh Malekian, and Asuman Ozdaglar #27483 (EFG, HE, PE)
  
• Real-Time Real Economic Activity: Exiting the Great Recession and Entering the Pandemic Recession
  Francis X. Diebold #27482 (AP, EFG, IFM)
  
• Credit Booms, Financial Crises and Macroprudential Policy
  Mark Gertler, Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, and Andrea Prestipino #27481 (CF, EFG, ME)
  
• How the Other Half Died: Immigration and Mortality in US Cities
  Philipp Ager, James J. Feigenbaum, Casper Worm Hansen, and Hui Ren Tan #27480 (DAE, HE)
  
• Property Rights without Transfer Rights: A Study of Indian Land Allotment
  Christian Dippel, Dustin Frye, and Bryan Leonard #27479 (DAE, DEV, POL)
  
• Labor Market Screening and Social Insurance Program Design for the Disabled
  Naoki Aizawa, Soojin Kim, and Serena Rhee #27478 (HC, LS, PE)
  
• The Microeconomics of Cryptocurrencies
  Hanna Halaburda, Guillaume Haeringer, Joshua S. Gans, and Neil Gandal #27477 (PR)
  
• The Impressive Effects of Tutoring on PreK-12 Learning: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Experimental Evidence
  Andre Nickow, Philip Oreopoulos, and Vincent Quan #27476 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• Competition and Quality: Evidence from High-Speed Railways and Airlines
  Hanming Fang, Long Wang, and Yang Yang #27475 (DEV, IO, PE, PR)
  
• Trade, Unemployment, and Monetary Policy
  Matteo Cacciatore and Fabio Ghironi #27474 (IFM, ME)
  
• Rationing the Commons
  Nicholas Ryan and Anant Sudarshan #27473 (DEV, EEE)
  
• The Hidden Costs of Strategic Opacity
  Ana Babus and Maryam Farboodi #27471 (CF)
  
• The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: Which Firms Won? Which Lost?
  Alexander F. Wagner, Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler #27470 (AP, CF, IFM, IO, ITI, PR)
  
• Home Prices, Fertility, and Early-Life Health Outcomes
  N. Meltem Daysal, Michael F. Lovenheim, Nikolaj Siersbæk, and David N. Wasser #27469 (CH, HE, PE)
  
• Class Rank and Long-Run Outcomes
  Jeffrey T. Denning, Richard Murphy, and Felix Weinhardt #27468 (ED, LS)
  
• Mastering the Art of Cookbook Medicine: Machine Learning, Randomized Trials, and Misallocation
  Jason Abaluck, Leila Agha, David C. Chan Jr, Daniel Singer, and Diana Zhu #27467 (AG, HC, HE, LS, PE, PR)
  
• Technology Diffusion
  Nancy Stokey #27466 (PR)
  
• Understanding 100 Years of the Evolution of Top Wealth Shares in the U.S.: What is the Role of Family Firms?
  Andrew Atkeson and Magnus Irie #27465 (EFG)
  
• Optimal Monetary Policy in Production Networks
  Jennifer La'O and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi #27464 (EFG, ME)
  
• The Franchise, Policing, and Race: Evidence from Arrests Data and the Voting Rights Act
  Giovanni Facchini, Brian G. Knight, and Cecilia Testa #27463 (LE, LS, PE, POL)
  
• The Impact of COVID-19 on Small Business Owners: Continued Losses and the Partial Rebound in May 2020
  Robert W. Fairlie #27462 (LS, PE, PR)
  
• The Determinants of Fiscal and Monetary Policies During the Covid-19 Crisis
  Efraim Benmelech and Nitzan Tzur-Ilan #27461 (CF, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Trade Wars, Currency Wars
  Stéphane Auray, Michael B. Devereux, and Aurélien Eyquem #27460 (IFM)
  
• Optimal Illiquidity
  John Beshears, James J. Choi, Christopher Clayton, Christopher Harris, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian #27459 (AG, PE)
  
• Physician Characteristics and Patient Survival: Evidence from Physician Availability
  Joseph J. Doyle Jr. #27458 (AG, HC, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Group Testing in a Pandemic: The Role of Frequent Testing, Correlated Risk, and Machine Learning
  Ned Augenblick, Jonathan T. Kolstad, Ziad Obermeyer, and Ao Wang #27457 (AG, HC, HE, PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by June 29, 2020

• Political Power, Elite Control, and Long-Run Development: Evidence from Brazil
  Claudio Ferraz, Frederico Finan, and Monica Martinez-Bravo #27456 (DEV, POL)
  
• Income-driven Labor Market Polarization
  Diego A. Comin, Ana Danieli, and Martí Mestieri #27455 (DAE, EFG, ITI, LS, PR)
  
• The Performance of Hedge Fund Performance Fees
  Itzhak Ben-David, Justin Birru, and Andrea Rossi #27454 (AP, CF)
  
• Towards a Dynamic Disequilibrium Theory with Randomness
  Martin M. Guzman and Joseph E. Stiglitz #27453 (EFG)
  
• Personal Wealth and Self-Employment
  Aymeric Bellon, J. Anthony Cookson, Erik P. Gilje, and Rawley Z. Heimer #27452 (CF)
  
• Pandemic Shocks and Fiscal-Monetary Policies in the Eurozone: COVID-19 Dominance During January - June 2020
  Yothin Jinjarak, Rashad Ahmed, Sameer Nair-Desai, Weining Xin, and Joshua Aizenman #27451 (IFM, PE)
  
• Why Retirement, Social Security, and Age Discrimination Policies Need to Consider the Intersectional Experiences of Older Women
  Ian Burn, Patrick Button, Theodore F. Figinski, and Joanne Song McLaughlin #27450 (AG, LE, LS, PE)
  
• Social Norms as a Barrier to Women's Employment in Developing Countries
  Seema Jayachandran #27449 (CH, DEV, LS)
  
• Early Evidence on the Impact of COVID-19 and the Recession on Older Workers
  Truc Thi Mai Bui, Patrick Button, and Elyce G. Picciotti #27448 (AG, HE, LS)
  
• Reviving the Salter-Swan Small Open Economy Model
  Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe #27447 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Measuring Infrastructure in BEA's National Economic Accounts
  Jennifer Bennett, Robert Kornfeld, Daniel Sichel, and David Wasshausen #27446 (DAE, EFG, PE, PR)
  
• Pollution and Labor Market Search Externalities Over the Business Cycle
  John Gibson and Garth Heutel #27445 (EEE)
  
• Long-Run Effects of Incentivizing Work After Childbirth
  Elira Kuka and Na'ama Shenhav #27444 (CH, LS, PE)
  
• Is Attention Produced Rationally?
  Erin T. Bronchetti, Judd B. Kessler, Ellen B. Magenheim, Dmitry Taubinsky, and Eric Zwick #27443 (PE)
  
• Do Bank Insiders Impede Equity Issuances?
  Martin Goetz, Luc Laeven, and Ross Levine #27442 (CF, EFG)
  
• Optimal Lockdown in a Commuting Network
  Pablo Fajgelbaum, Amit Khandelwal, Wookun Kim, Cristiano Mantovani, and Edouard Schaal #27441 (ITI)
  
• Endogenous Quality Investments in the U.S. Hospital Market
  Craig Garthwaite, Christopher Ody, and Amanda Starc #27440 (HC, IO)
  
• Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19
  Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp, and Venky Venkateswaran #27439 (AP, EFG)
  
• Portfolio Delegation and 401(k) Plan Participant Responses to COVID-19
  David Blanchett, Michael S. Finke, and Jonathan Reuter #27438 (AG, AP)
  
• Parallel Inverse Aggregate Demand Curves in Discrete Choice Models
  Kory Kroft, René Leal Vizcaíno, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, and Ting Wang #27437 (IO, LS, PE)
  
• ‘Mechanization Takes Command’: Inanimate Power and Labor Productivity in Late Nineteenth Century American Manufacturing
  Jeremy Atack, Robert A. Margo, and Paul Rhode #27436 (DAE)
  
• Barbarians at the Store? Private Equity, Products, and Consumers
  Cesare Fracassi, Alessandro Previtero, and Albert W. Sheen #27435 (CF, IO)
  
• The Macroeconomics of Sticky Prices with Generalized Hazard Functions
  Fernando E. Alvarez, Francesco Lippi, and Aleksei Oskolkov #27434 (EFG, ME)
  
• Do Interactions with Candidates Increase Voter Support and Participation? Experimental Evidence from Italy
  Enrico Cantoni and Vincent Pons #27433 (POL)
  
• Fear, Lockdown, and Diversion: Comparing Drivers of Pandemic Economic Decline 2020
  Austan Goolsbee and Chad Syverson #27432 (EFG, IO, PE, POL, PR)
  
• How Did COVID-19 and Stabilization Policies Affect Spending and Employment? A New Real-Time Economic Tracker Based on Private Sector Data
  Raj Chetty, John N. Friedman, Nathaniel Hendren, Michael Stepner, and The Opportunity Insights Team #27431 (AP, EFG, IFM, LS, ME, PE)
  
• Epidemics in the Neoclassical and New Keynesian Models
  Martin S. Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt #27430 (EFG)
  
• Informality, Consumption Taxes, and Redistribution
  Pierre Bachas, Lucie Gadenne, and Anders Jensen #27429 (DEV, PE)
  
• Revisiting the Hypothesis of High Discounts and High Unemployment
  Paolo Martellini, Guido Menzio, and Ludo Visschers #27428 (EFG)
  
• COVID-19 and the Demand for Online Food Shopping Services: Empirical Evidence from Taiwan
  Hung-Hao Chang and Chad Meyerhoefer #27427 (HE)
  
• Implications of the Covid-19 Pandemic for State Government Tax Revenues
  Jeffrey Clemens and Stan Veuger #27426 (HC, HE, PE)
  
• Transatlantic Technologies: The Role of ICT in the Evolution of U.S. and European Productivity Growth
  Robert J. Gordon and Hassan Sayed #27425 (EFG, PR)
  
• Local Polynomial Order in Regression Discontinuity Designs
  Zhuan Pei, David S. Lee, David Card, and Andrea Weber #27424 (ED, LS)
  
• The Changing Risk and Burden of Wildfire in the US
  Marshall Burke, Anne Driscoll, Jenny Xue, Sam Heft-Neal, Jennifer Burney, and Michael Wara #27423 (EEE)
  
• What Jobs are Being Done at Home During the Covid-19 Crisis? Evidence from Firm-Level Surveys
  Alexander W. Bartik, Zoe B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Christopher T. Stanton #27422 (LS, PR)
  
• Tech Clusters
  William R. Kerr and Frédéric Robert-Nicoud #27421 (LS, PR)
  
• A Behavioral Explanation for the Puzzling Persistence of the Aggregate Real Exchange Rate
  Mario J. Crucini, Mototsugu Shintani, and Takayuki Tsuruga #27420 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Back to Business and (Re)employing Workers? Labor Market Activity During State COVID-19 Reopenings
  Wei Cheng, Patrick Carlin, Joanna Carroll, Sumedha Gupta, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Laura Montenovo, Thuy D. Nguyen, Ian M. Schmutte, Olga Scrivner, Kosali I. Simon, Coady Wing, and Bruce Weinberg #27419 (HC, HE, LS)
  

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Weekly papers released by June 22, 2020

• Economic Uncertainty Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic
  David Altig, Scott R. Baker, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Scarlet Chen, Steven J. Davis, Julia Leather, Brent H. Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, Paul Mizen, Nicholas B. Parker, Thomas Renault, Pawel Smietanka, and Greg Thwaites #27418 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME, PR)
  
• Misinformation During a Pandemic
  Leonardo Bursztyn, Aakaash Rao, Christopher P. Roth, and David H. Yanagizawa-Drott #27417 (HE, POL)
  
• Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis
  Zhiguo He, Stefan Nagel, and Zhaogang Song #27416 (AP, CF, IFM, ME)
  
• Conservation Co-Benefits from Air Pollution Regulation
  Yuanning Liang, Ivan J. Rudik, Eric Zou, Alison Johnston, Amanda D. Rodewald, and Catherine L. Kling #27415 (EEE)
  
• Food, Fuel and the Domesday Economy
  Juan Moreno-Cruz and M. Scott Taylor #27414 (DEV, EEE)
  
• Nondogmatic Climate Policy
  Niko Jaakkola and Antony Millner #27413 (EEE)
  
• Betting on the House: Subjective Expectations and Market Choices
  Nicolas L. Bottan and Ricardo Perez-Truglia #27412 (AP, CF, IFM)
  
• Financial Vulnerability and Risks to Growth in Emerging Markets
  Viral V. Acharya, Soumya Bhadury, and Jay Surti #27411 (EFG, IFM)
  
• Biases in Long-Horizon Predictive Regressions
  Jacob Boudoukh, Ronen Israel, and Matthew P. Richardson #27410 (AP)
  
• Salience and Taxation with Imperfect Competition
  Kory Kroft, Jean-William P. Laliberté, René Leal Vizcaíno, and Matthew J. Notowidigdo #27409 (PE)
  
• Black Lives Matter Protests, Social Distancing, and COVID-19
  Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia, and Samuel Safford #27408 (HC, HE, LE, LS, PE)
  
• Racial Disparity in COVID-19 Deaths: Seeking Economic Roots with Census data.
  John McLaren #27407 (HE)
  
• Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations
  Francesco Bianchi, Sydney C. Ludvigson, and Sai Ma #27406 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• The Impact of Prices on Firm Reputation
  Michael Luca and Oren Reshef #27405 (IO, PR)
  
• From Imitation to Innovation: Where Is all that Chinese R&D Going?
  Michael König, Zheng Michael Song, Kjetil Storesletten, and Fabrizio Zilibotti #27404 (EFG)
  
• The Economics of Sovereign Debt, Bailouts and the Eurozone Crisis
  Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Philippe Martin, and Todd E. Messer #27403 (IFM)
  
• Which Investors Matter for Equity Valuations and Expected Returns?
  Ralph S. J. Koijen, Robert J. Richmond, and Motohiro Yogo #27402 (AP)
  
• The Political Scar of Epidemics
  Cevat Giray Aksoy, Barry Eichengreen, and Orkun Saka #27401 (DAE, POL)
  
• Economic Crisis, General Laws, and the Mid-Nineteenth-Century Transformation of American Political Economy
  Naomi R. Lamoreaux and John Joseph Wallis #27400 (DAE)
  
• Managing Households' Expectations with Unconventional Policies
  Francesco D’Acunto, Daniel Hoang, and Michael Weber #27399 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• The Growth of Nations Revisited: Global Environmental Accounting from 1998 to 2018.
  Aniruddh Mohan, Nicholas Z. Muller, Akshay Thyagarajan, Randall V. Martin, Melanie S. Hammer, and Aaron van Donkelaar #27398 (EEE, EFG)
  
• What Accounts for the Rising Share of Women in the Top 1%?
  Richard V. Burkhauser, Nicolas Hérault, Stephen P. Jenkins, and Roger Wilkins #27397 (LS, PE)
  
• Predictable Financial Crises
  Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Andrei Shleifer, and Jakob Ahm Sørensen #27396 (AP, CF, ME)
  
• Aggregate Effects from Public Works: Evidence from India
  C. Justin Cook and Manisha Shah #27395 (DEV, EFG, PR)
  
• Measuring Labor-Force Participation and the Incidence and Duration of Unemployment
  Hie Joo Ahn and James D. Hamilton #27394 (EFG, LS, ME)
  
• Social Distancing and Social Capital: Why U.S. Counties Respond Differently to COVID-19
  Wenzhi Ding, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Wensi Xie #27393 (HE, PE)
  
• The Impact of COVID-19 on Student Experiences and Expectations: Evidence from a Survey
  Esteban M. Aucejo, Jacob F. French, Maria Paola Ugalde Araya, and Basit Zafar #27392 (ED, PE)
  
• What Does and Does Not Correlate with COVID-19 Death Rates
  Christopher R. Knittel and Bora Ozaltun #27391 (EEE, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Within-Job Wage Inequality: Performance Pay and Job Relatedness
  Rongsheng Tang, Yang Tang, and Ping Wang #27390 (EFG, LS)
  
• Dynamics of Markups, Concentration and Product Span
  Elhanan Helpman and Benjamin C. Niswonger #27389 (IO)
  
• Principal Portfolios
  Bryan T. Kelly, Semyon Malamud, and Lasse H. Pedersen #27388 (AP)
  
• Coronavirus: Impact on Stock Prices and Growth Expectations
  Niels J. Gormsen and Ralph S. J. Koijen #27387 (AP)
  
• Gains from wage Flexibility and the Zero Lower Bound
  Roberto M. Billi and Jordi Galí #27386 (EFG, ME)
  
• Insider-Outsider Labor Markets, Hysteresis and Monetary Policy
  Jordi Galí #27385 (EFG, ME)
  
• Does Policy Communication During Covid Work?
  Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #27384 (EFG, ME, PE)
  
• China’s Import Demand for Agricultural Products: The Impact of the Phase One Trade Agreement
  Robert C. Feenstra and Chang Hong #27383 (ITI)
  
• The Effectiveness of Life-Preserving Investments in Times of COVID-19
  Jules H. van Binsbergen and Christian C. Opp #27382 (CF, HE)
  
• Default Options and Insurance Demand
  Peter John Robinson, W.J. Wouter Botzen, Howard Kunreuther, and Shereen J. Chaudhry #27381 (PE)
  
• Reconsidering Returns
  Samuel M. Hartzmark and David H. Solomon #27380 (AP)
  
• Enabling Entrepreneurial Choice
  Ajay K. Agrawal, Joshua S. Gans, and Scott Stern #27379 (PR)
  
• Global Capital and Local Assets: House Prices, Quantities, and Elasticities
  Caitlin S. Gorback and Benjamin J. Keys #27370 (PE)
  
• The Effect of Foreclosures on Homeowners, Tenants, and Landlords
  Rebecca Diamond, Adam Guren, and Rose Tan #27358 (CF, PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by June 15, 2020

• Socio-Demographic Factors Associated with Self-Protecting Behavior during the Covid-19 Pandemic
  Nicholas W. Papageorge, Matthew V. Zahn, Michèle Belot, Eline van den Broek-Altenburg, Syngjoo Choi, Julian C. Jamison, and Egon Tripodi #27378 (AG, HE)
  
• Can Greater Access to Education Be Inequitable? New Evidence from India’s Right to Education Act
  Chirantan Chatterjee, Eric A. Hanushek, and Shreekanth Mahendiran #27377 (DEV, ED, LS, PE)
  
• Bank Heterogeneity and Financial Stability
  Itay Goldstein, Alexandr Kopytov, Lin Shen, and Haotian Xiang #27376 (CF)
  
• Inventing the Endless Frontier: The Effects of the World War II Research Effort on Post-war Innovation
  Daniel P. Gross and Bhaven N. Sampat #27375 (DAE, PE, PR)
  
• Socioeconomic Network Heterogeneity and Pandemic Policy Response
  Mohammad Akbarpour, Cody Cook, Aude Marzuoli, Simon Mongey, Abhishek Nagaraj, Matteo Saccarola, Pietro Tebaldi, Shoshana Vasserman, and Hanbin Yang #27374 (HC, HE, PE, TWP)
  
• Implications of Heterogeneous SIR Models for Analyses of COVID-19
  Glenn Ellison #27373 (EFG, HE)
  
• Leaving the Enclave: Historical Evidence on Immigrant Mobility from the Industrial Removal Office
  Ran Abramitzky, Leah Platt Boustan, and Dylan Connor #27372 (DAE, LS)
  
• The Micro and Macro Dynamics of Capital Flows
  Felipe Saffie, Liliana Varela, and Kei-Mu Yi #27371 (IFM, ITI)
  
• Incorporating Scenario Analysis into the Federal Reserve’s Policy Strategy and Communications
  Michael D. Bordo, Andrew T. Levin, and Mickey D. Levy #27369 (ME)
  
• How Much Should we Trust Estimates of Firm Effects and Worker Sorting?
  Stéphane Bonhomme, Kerstin Holzheu, Thibaut Lamadon, Elena Manresa, Magne Mogstad, and Bradley Setzler #27368 (LS, TWP)
  
• Duration-Based Stock Valuation
  Jules H. van Binsbergen #27367 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Fiscal Policy and COVID19 Restrictions in a Demand-Determined Economy
  Alan J. Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Daniel Murphy #27366 (EFG, ME, PE)
  
• Global Lessons from Climate Change Legislation and Litigation
  Shaikh M. Eskander, Sam Fankhauser, and Joana Setzer #27365 (EEE)
  
• Building Resilient Health Systems: Experimental Evidence from Sierra Leone and the 2014 Ebola Outbreak
  Darin Christensen, Oeindrila Dube, Johannes Haushofer, Bilal Siddiqi, and Maarten J. Voors #27364 (DEV, HE)
  
• Tax Policy and Abnormal Investment Behavior
  Qiping Xu and Eric Zwick #27363 (CF, EFG, PE)
  
• Business Reopening Decisions and Demand Forecasts During the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Dylan Balla-Elliott, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Christopher T. Stanton #27362 (HE, IO, LE, LS, PE, POL, PR)
  
• To Pool or Not to Pool? Security Design in OTC Markets
  Vincent Glode, Christian C. Opp, and Ruslan Sverchkov #27361 (AP, CF)
  
• EMEs and COVID-19: Shutting Down in a World of Informal and Tiny Firms
  Laura Alfaro, Oscar Becerra, and Marcela Eslava #27360 (IFM)
  
• Gender Differences in COVID-19 Related Attitudes and Behavior: Evidence from a Panel Survey in Eight OECD Countries
  Vincenzo Galasso, Vincent Pons, Paola Profeta, Michael Becher, Sylvain Brouard, and Martial Foucault #27359 (HE, POL)
  
• Geographic and Socioeconomic Heterogeneity in the Benefits of Reducing Air Pollution in the United States
  Tatyana Deryugina, Nolan H. Miller, David Molitor, and Julian Reif #27357 (AG, EEE, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Treatment Effects and the Measurement of Skills in a Prototypical Home Visiting Program
  James J. Heckman, Bei Liu, Mai Lu, and Jin Zhou #27356 (CH, ED, HC)
  
• Corporate Bond Liquidity During the COVID-19 Crisis
  Mahyar Kargar, Benjamin Lester, David Lindsay, Shuo Liu, Pierre-Olivier Weill, and Diego Zúñiga #27355 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• The search theory of OTC markets
  Pierre-Olivier Weill #27354 (AP, EFG)
  
• Corporate Culture as a Theory of the Firm
  Gary B. Gorton and Alexander K. Zentefis #27353 (CF, IO)
  
• Inflation with Covid Consumption Baskets
  Alberto Cavallo #27352 (IFM, ME)
  
• Universal Basic Income: A Dynamic Assessment
  Diego Daruich and Raquel Fernández #27351 (DEV, ED, EFG, LS, POL)
  
• Global Trade and Margins of Productivity in Agriculture
  Farid Farrokhi and Heitor S. Pellegrina #27350 (IFM, ITI, PR, TWP)
  
• How and When to Use the Political Cycle to Identify Advertising Effects
  Sarah Moshary, Bradley T. Shapiro, and Jihong Song #27349 (IO, POL)
  
• Why Does Consumption Fluctuate in Old Age and How Should the Government Insure It?
  Richard Blundell, Margherita Borella, Jeanne Commault, and Mariacristina De Nardi #27348 (AG, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Deciphering the Macroeconomic Effects of Internal Devaluations in a Monetary Union
  Javier Andrés, Óscar Arce, Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, and Samuel Hurtado #27347 (EFG)
  
• Information and the Acquisition of Social Network Connections
  Toman Barsbai, Victoria Licuanan, Andreas Steinmayr, Erwin Tiongson, and Dean Yang #27346 (DEV)
  
• The Rise in Earnings Inequality: Does the Cycle Drive the Trend?
  Jonathan Heathcote, Fabrizio Perri, and Giovanni L. Violante #27345 (EFG, LS)
  
• COVID-19 and Remote Work: An Early Look at US Data
  Erik Brynjolfsson, John J. Horton, Adam Ozimek, Daniel Rock, Garima Sharma, and Hong-Yi TuYe #27344 (IO, LS, PR)
  
• Revenue at Risk in Coal-Reliant Counties
  Adele Morris, Noah Kaufman, and Siddhi Doshi #27307 (EEE)
  
• Do Youth Employment Programs Work? Evidence from the New Deal
  Anna Aizer, Shari Eli, Adriana Lleras-Muney, and Keyoung Lee #27103 (CH, LS, PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by June 8, 2020

• Coping with Disasters: Two Centuries of International Official Lending
  Sebastian Horn, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch #27343 (IFM, ME)
  
• Exchange Rates and Asset Prices in a Global Demand System
  Ralph S. J. Koijen and Motohiro Yogo #27342 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Searching for Approval
  Sumit Agarwal, John Grigsby, Ali Hortaçsu, Gregor Matvos, Amit Seru, and Vincent Yao #27341 (CF, IO)
  
• Trading Off Consumption and COVID-19 Deaths
  Robert E. Hall, Charles I. Jones, and Peter J. Klenow #27340 (EFG, HC, HE)
  
• An Event Study of COVID-19 Central Bank Quantitative Easing in Advanced and Emerging Economies
  Jonathan S. Hartley and Alessandro Rebucci #27339 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Concentration and Agglomeration of IT Innovation and Entrepreneurship: Evidence from Patenting
  Chris Forman and Avi Goldfarb #27338 (PR)
  
• Party On: The Labor Market Returns to Social Networks and Socializing
  Adriana Lleras-Muney, Matthew Miller, Shuyang Sheng, and Veronica T. Sovero #27337 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• Sibling Correlation in Educational Attainment: A Test of Genetic Nurture
  John Cawley, Euna Han, Jiyoon Kim, and Edward C. Norton #27336 (CH, ED, HE)
  
• Estimating and Forecasting Disease Scenarios for COVID-19 with an SIR Model
  Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky, and Tao Zha #27335 (EFG)
  
• Cities and Smoking
  Michael Darden #27334 (HE)
  
• Temperature, Disease, and Death in London: Analyzing Weekly Data for the Century from 1866-1965
  W. Walker Hanlon, Casper Worm Hansen, and Jake W. Kantor #27333 (DAE)
  
• The Great Disconnect: The Decoupling of Wage and Price Inflation in Japan
  Takeo Hoshi and Anil K Kashyap #27332 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Why Didn't the College Premium Rise Everywhere? Employment Protection and On-the-Job Investment in Skills
  Matthias Doepke and Ruben Gaetani #27331 (EFG, LS)
  
• Working Remotely and the Supply-side Impact of Covid-19
  Dimitris Papanikolaou and Lawrence D.W. Schmidt #27330 (AP, CF, EFG, LS, PR)
  
• Understanding Spatial Variation in COVID-19 across the United States
  Klaus Desmet and Romain Wacziarg #27329 (AG, HE, ITI, PE, POL)
  
• Taxes and the Revaluation of Household Wealth
  Edward N. Wolff #27328 (AG)
  
• Belief Elicitation: Limiting Truth Telling with Information on Incentives
  David Danz, Lise Vesterlund, and Alistair J. Wilson #27327 (AP, CF, LS, PE, POL)
  
• Holiday, Just One Day Out of Life: Birth Timing and Post-natal Outcomes
  Mireille Jacobson, Maria Kogelnik, and Heather Royer #27326 (CH, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Imperfect Competition and Rents in Labor and Product Markets: The Case of the Construction Industry
  Kory Kroft, Yao Luo, Magne Mogstad, and Bradley Setzler #27325 (IO, LS, PE)
  
• Policing the Police: The Impact of "Pattern-or-Practice" Investigations on Crime
  Tanaya Devi and Roland G. Fryer Jr #27324 (LE, LS)
  
• Reserve Accumulation, Macroeconomic Stabilization, and Sovereign Risk
  Javier Bianchi and César Sosa-Padilla #27323 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Did the Wisconsin Supreme Court Restart a COVID-19 Epidemic? Evidence from a Natural Experiment
  Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Drew McNichols, and Joseph J. Sabia #27322 (AG, HC, HE, LE, LS, PE)
  
• The Employment Impact of Green Fiscal Push: Evidence from the American Recovery Act
  David Popp, Francesco Vona, Giovanni Marin, and Ziqiao Chen #27321 (EEE)
  
• Civic Capital and Social Distancing during the Covid-19 Pandemic
  John M. Barrios, Efraim Benmelech, Yael V. Hochberg, Paola Sapienza, and Luigi Zingales #27320 (CF, POL)
  
• Broad Bracketing for Low Probability Events
  Shereen J. Chaudhry, Michael Hand, and Howard Kunreuther #27319 (PE)
  
• Gender Differences in Negotiation: Evidence from Real Estate Transactions
  Steffen Andersen, Julie Marx, Kasper Meisner Nielsen, and Lise Vesterlund #27318 (LS, PE)
  
• No Firm is an Island? How Industry Conditions Shape Firms' Aggregate Expectations
  Philippe Andrade, Olivier Coibion, Erwan Gautier, and Yuriy Gorodnichenko #27317 (EFG, ME)
  
• Weak Credit Covenants
  Victoria Ivashina and Boris Vallee #27316 (CF)
  
• Short-run Effects of COVID-19 on U.S. Worker Transitions
  Benjamin W. Cowan #27315 (HE, LS)
  
• Does Poverty Change Labor Supply? Evidence from Multiple Income Effects and 115,579 Bags
  Abhijit Banerjee, Dean Karlan, Hannah Trachtman, and Christopher R. Udry #27314 (DEV)
  
• Monetary Policy with Opinionated Markets
  Ricardo J. Caballero and Alp Simsek #27313 (AP, EFG, ME)
  
• My Professor Cares: Experimental Evidence on the Role of Faculty Engagement
  Scott E. Carrell and Michal Kurlaender #27312 (ED, LS, PE)
  
• Program Recertification Costs: Evidence from SNAP
  Tatiana Homonoff and Jason Somerville #27311 (HE, PE)
  
• Predicting Social Tipping and Norm Change in Controlled Experiments
  James Andreoni, Nikos Nikiforakis, and Simon Siegenthaler #27310 (PE, POL)
  
• The Impact of Covid-19 on Small Business Owners: Evidence of Early-Stage Losses from the April 2020 Current Population Survey
  Robert W. Fairlie #27309 (LS, PE, PR)
  
• Imperfect Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence and Theory
  George-Marios Angeletos, Zhen Huo, and Karthik A. Sastry #27308 (AP, EFG, ME)
  
• Medicaid Expansion and the Mental Health of College Students
  Benjamin W. Cowan and Zhuang Hao #27306 (HC, HE)
  
• A Liberalization Spillover: From Equities to Loans
  Xin Liu, Shang-Jin Wei, and Yifan Zhou #27305 (AP, IFM)
  
• What We Know and Don't Know about Climate Change, and Implications for Policy
  Robert S. Pindyck #27304 (DEV, EEE, PE, POL)
  
• Plants in Space
  Ezra Oberfield, Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, Pierre-Daniel Sarte, and Nicholas Trachter #27303 (EFG, ITI)
  
• The Long-Run Effects of School Racial Diversity on Political Identity
  Stephen B. Billings, Eric Chyn, and Kareem Haggag #27302 (CH, PE, POL)
  
• Reciprocity versus Reelection
  Prateik Dalmia, Allan Drazen, and Erkut Y. Ozbay #27301 (POL)
  
• Search Frictions and Efficiency in Decentralized Transportation Markets
  Giulia Brancaccio, Myrto Kalouptsidi, Theodore Papageorgiou, and Nicola Rosaia #27300 (EFG, IO, ITI)
  
• Social Proximity to Capital: Implications for Investors and Firms
  Theresa Kuchler, Yan Li, Lin Peng, Johannes Stroebel, and Dexin Zhou #27299 (AP, CF, EFG, PE)
  
• External Validity: Four Models of Improving Student Achievement
  Annie Duflo, Jessica Kiessel, and Adrienne Lucas #27298 (CH, DEV, ED)
  
• The Food Problem and the Aggregate Productivity Consequences of Climate Change
  Ishan B. Nath #27297 (EEE)
  
• The Evolution of CEO Compensation in Venture Capital Backed Startups
  Michael Ewens, Ramana Nanda, and Christopher T. Stanton #27296 (CF, PR)
  
• Wall Street vs. Main Street QE
  Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu #27295 (EFG, ME)
  
• Disparities in Vulnerability to Severe Complications from COVID-19 in the United States
  Emily E. Wiemers, Scott Abrahams, Marwa AlFakhri, V. Joseph Hotz, Robert F. Schoeni, and Judith A. Seltzer #27294 (CH, ED, LE)
  
• Statistical Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing COVID-19 Drugs
  Charles F. Manski and Aleksey Tetenov #27293 (HC, HE, TWP)
  
• Heterogeneous Actions, Beliefs, Constraints and Risk Tolerance During the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Ying Fan, A. Yeşim Orhun, and Dana Turjeman #27211 (HC, HE, LS, PE, POL)
  

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Weekly papers released by June 1, 2020

• The Anatomy of the Transmission of Macroprudential Policies
  Viral V. Acharya, Katharina Bergant, Matteo Crosignani, Tim Eisert, and Fergal J. McCann #27292 (AP, CF)
  
• Yield Performance of Corn under Heat Stress: A Comparison of Hybrid and Open-Pollinated Seeds during a Period of Technological Transformation, 1933-1955
  Keith Meyers and Paul Rhode #27291 (DAE)
  
• Consumption Insurance in Networks with Asymmetric Information
  Orazio Attanasio and Sonya Krutikova #27290 (DEV)
  
• Epidemic Responses Under Uncertainty
  Michael Barnett, Greg Buchak, and Constantine Yannelis #27289 (AG, AP, CF, HC, HE, IFM, PE)
  
• I Have Nothing Against Them, But. . .
  Leonardo Bursztyn, Ingar K. Haaland, Aakaash Rao, and Christopher P. Roth #27288 (POL)
  
• Spatial Economics for Granular Settings
  Jonathan I. Dingel and Felix Tintelnot #27287 (ITI)
  
• Income Distribution, International Integration, and Sustained Poverty Reduction
  Pinelopi K. Goldberg and Tristan Reed #27286 (DEV, IO, ITI)
  
• The Environmental Benefits from Transportation Electrification: Urban Buses
  Stephen P. Holland, Erin T. Mansur, Nicholas Z. Muller, and Andrew J. Yates #27285 (EEE)
  
• What’s Driving Entrepreneurship and Innovation in the Transport Sector?
  Derrick Choe, Alexander Oettl, and Robert Seamans #27284 (PR)
  
• Expectations of Fundamentals and Stock Market Puzzles
  Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta, and Andrei Shleifer #27283 (AP)
  
• India's Lockdown: An Interim Report
  Debraj Ray and S. Subramanian #27282 (DEV, HC, HE, POL)
  
• Nonlinear Production Networks with an Application to the Covid-19 Crisis
  David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi #27281 (EFG, IFM, PR)
  
• Effects of Social Distancing Policy on Labor Market Outcomes
  Sumedha Gupta, Laura Montenovo, Thuy D. Nguyen, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Ian M. Schmutte, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce A. Weinberg, and Coady Wing #27280 (HC, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Post-9/11 War Deployments Increased Crime among Veterans
  Resul Cesur, Joseph J. Sabia, and Erdal Tekin #27279 (HE, LE)
  
• Flying or Trapped?
  Yunfang Hu, Takuma Kunieda, Kazuo Nishimura, and Ping Wang #27278 (DEV, EFG)
  
• Divided We Stay Home: Social Distancing and Ethnic Diversity
  Georgy Egorov, Ruben Enikolopov, Alexey Makarin, and Maria Petrova #27277 (HE, PE, POL)
  
• The Welfare Cost of a Current Account Imbalance: A New Channel
  Jungho Lee, Shang-Jin Wei, and Jianhuan Xu #27276 (IFM, ITI)
  
• Deadly Debt Crises: COVID-19 in Emerging Markets
  Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai, and Gabriel P. Mihalache #27275 (EFG, IFM)
  
• How to Get Away with Merger: Stealth Consolidation and Its Real Effects on US Healthcare
  Thomas G. Wollmann #27274 (HC, IO)
  
• How Should Policy Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic Differ in the Developing World?
  Titan M. Alon, Minki Kim, David Lagakos, and Mitchell VanVuren #27273 (DEV, EFG)
  
• Inside the Mind of a Stock Market Crash
  Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel, and Stephen Utkus #27272 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ME, PE)
  
• Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception
  Grant Miller, Áureo de Paula, and Christine Valente #27271 (DEV, HE)
  
• Common Practice: Spillovers from Medicare on Private Health Care
  Michael L. Barnett, Andrew Olenski, and Adam Sacarny #27270 (HC)
  
• Measuring the Effect of Student Loans on College Persistence
  David Card and Alex Solis #27269 (ED, LS)
  
• The Great Migration of Black Americans from the US South: A Guide and Interpretation
  William J. Collins #27268 (DAE, LS)
  
• Dying to Work: Effects of Unemployment Insurance on Health
  Alexander Ahammer and Analisa Packham #27267 (HE)
  
• Reconstructing the Yield Curve
  Yan Liu and Jing Cynthia Wu #27266 (AP, EFG, ME)
  
• Framing, Information, and Welfare
  Andrew Caplin and Daniel J. Martin #27265 (HC, IO, PE, TWP)
  
• COVID-19 Doesn't Need Lockdowns to Destroy Jobs: The Effect of Local Outbreaks in Korea
  Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, and Yongseok Shin #27264 (EFG, HE, LS)
  
• Breaking Routine for Energy Savings: An Appliance-level Analysis of Small Business Behavior under Dynamic Prices
  Jiyong Eom and Frank A. Wolak #27263 (EEE)
  
• Simplified Electricity Market Models with Significant Intermittent Renewable Capacity: Evidence from Italy
  Christoph Graf, Federico Quaglia, and Frank A. Wolak #27262 (EEE, IO)
  
• Building Better Retirement Systems in the Wake of the Global Pandemic
  Olivia S. Mitchell #27261 (AG, PE)
  
• An Experimental Comparison of Carbon Pricing Under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets
  Trevor L. Davis, Mark C. Thurber, and Frank A. Wolak #27260 (EEE)
  
• Measuring the Spatial Distribution of Health Rankings in the United States
  Will Davis, Alexander D. Gordan, and Rusty Tchernis #27259 (HE)
  
• Bank Market Power and Monetary Policy Transmission: Evidence from a Structural Estimation
  Yifei Wang, Toni M. Whited, Yufeng Wu, and Kairong Xiao #27258 (CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Robust Identification of Investor Beliefs
  Xiaohong Chen, Lars P. Hansen, and Peter G. Hansen #27257 (AP)
  
• Banks as Lenders of First Resort: Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis
  Lei Li, Philip E. Strahan, and Song Zhang #27256 (CF)
  
• Retaliatory Use of Public Standards in Trade
  Kjersti Nes and K Aleks Schaefer #27255 (ITI)
  
• Transportation Infrastructure in the US
  Matthew Turner, Gilles Duranton, and Geetika Nagpal #27254 (ITI, PE)
  
• Competition Laws and Corporate Innovation
  Ross Levine, Chen Lin, Lai Wei, and Wensi Xie #27253 (CF, DEV, EFG, IO, LE)
  
• Are Trade Agreements Good For You?
  Giovanni Maggi and Ralph Ossa #27252 (ITI)
  
• Cost Saving and the Freezing of Corporate Pension Plans
  Joshua D. Rauh, Irina Stefanescu, and Stephen P. Zeldes #27251 (AG, CF, LS, PE)
  
• Research Registries: Facts, Myths, and Possible Improvements
  Eliot Abrams, Jonathan Libgober, and John A. List #27250 (DEV, ED, PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by May 25, 2020

• Panel Forecasts of Country-Level Covid-19 Infections
  Laura Liu, Hyungsik Roger Moon, and Frank Schorfheide #27248 (EFG, HE)
  
• A Unifying Approach to Measuring Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation
  Antonio Bento, Noah S. Miller, Mehreen Mookerjee, and Edson R. Severnini #27247 (EEE)
  
• The Impacts of COVID-19 on Minority Unemployment: First Evidence from April 2020 CPS Microdata
  Robert W. Fairlie, Kenneth Couch, and Huanan Xu #27246 (LS, PE)
  
• Fatalism, Beliefs, and Behaviors During the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Jesper Akesson, Sam Ashworth-Hayes, Robert Hahn, Robert D. Metcalfe, and Itzhak Rasooly #27245 (HC, PE)
  
• Reopening Scenarios
  David Baqaee, Emmanuel Farhi, Michael J. Mina, and James H. Stock #27244 (EFG, HE, ME)
  
• The Adverse Effect of the COVID-19 Labor Market Shock on Immigrant Employment
  George J. Borjas and Hugh Cassidy #27243 (LS)
  
• Sufficient Statistics Revisited
  Henrik Kleven #27242 (LS, PE)
  
• Human Capital Investment in the Presence of Child Labor
  Natalie Bau, Martin Rotemberg, Manisha Shah, and Bryce Steinberg #27241 (CH, DEV, ED, LS)
  
• Persistent Effects of Violent Media Content
  Jason M. Lindo, Isaac D. Swensen, and Glen R. Waddell #27240 (CH, HC, HE, IO, LE, LS, PE)
  
• DEglobalizaion and Social Safety Nets in Post-Covid-19 Era: Textbook Macroeconomic Analysis
  Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka, and Alexander Horst Schwemmer #27239 (IFM)
  
• The Seeds of Ideology: Historical Immigration and Political Preferences in the United States
  Paola Giuliano and Marco Tabellini #27238 (DAE, LS, POL)
  
• The Persuasive Effect of Fox News: Non-Compliance with Social Distancing During the Covid-19 Pandemic
  Andrey Simonov, Szymon K. Sacher, Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, and Shirsho Biswas #27237 (HE, IO, POL)
  
• Mobility Zones
  Ferdinando Monte #27236 (HE, ITI)
  
• Impacts of State Reopening Policy on Human Mobility
  Thuy D. Nguyen, Sumedha Gupta, Martin Andersen, Ana Bento, Kosali I. Simon, and Coady Wing #27235 (HC, HE)
  
• Why Has the US Economy Recovered So Consistently from Every Recession in the Past 70 Years?
  Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak #27234 (EFG, LS)
  
• Three Myths about Federal Regulation
  Patrick A. McLaughlin and Casey B. Mulligan #27233 (EEE, LE, PE)
  
• The Hammer and the Scalpel: On the Economics of Indiscriminate versus Targeted Isolation Policies during Pandemics
  Varadarajan V. Chari, Rishabh Kirpalani, and Christopher Phelan #27232 (EFG, PE)
  
• A No-Arbitrage Perspective on Global Arbitrage Opportunities
  Patrick Augustin, Mikhail Chernov, Lukas Schmid, and Dongho Song #27231 (AP, IFM)
  
• Spatial Misallocation in Chinese Housing and Land Markets
  Yongheng Deng, Yang Tang, Ping Wang, and Jing Wu #27230 (DEV, EFG)
  
• Were Urban Cowboys Enough to Control COVID-19? Local Shelter-in-Place Orders and Coronavirus Case Growth
  Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia, and Samuel Safford #27229 (AG, HC, HE, LE, PE)
  
• The Macroeconomics of a Pandemic: A Minimalist Model
  Luis Felipe Céspedes, Roberto Chang, and Andrés Velasco #27228 (EFG, IFM)
  
• Necessary Evidence For A Risk Factor’s Relevance
  Alexander M. Chinco, Samuel M. Hartzmark, and Abigail B. Sussman #27227 (AP)
  
• Bounding the Predictive Values of COVID-19 Antibody Tests
  Charles F. Manski #27226 (HC, HE, TWP)
  
• Deputization
  Bruce I. Carlin, Tarik Umar, and Hanyi Yi #27225 (AG, CF, LE, PE, POL)
  
• Global Supply Chains in the Pandemic
  Barthélémy Bonadio, Zhen Huo, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #27224 (EFG, IFM, ITI)
  
• Voluntary Regulation: Evidence from Medicare Payment Reform
  Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Yunan Ji, and Neale Mahoney #27223 (AG, HC, IO, PE)
  
• Tokenomics: Dynamic Adoption and Valuation
  Lin William Cong, Ye Li, and Neng Wang #27222 (AP, CF)
  
• When is Debt Odious? A Theory of Repression and Growth Traps
  Viral V. Acharya, Raghuram Rajan, and Jack Shim #27221 (CF, EFG, IFM, LE, PE)
  
• The Cost of Privacy: Welfare Effect of the Disclosure of COVID-19 Cases
  David O. Argente, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Munseob Lee #27220 (DEV, EFG, HC, HE, ITI)
  
• Global Comparatives Statics in General Equilibrium: Model Building from Theoretical Foundations
  James R. Markusen #27219 (ITI)
  
• Implications of Stochastic Transmission Rates for Managing Pandemic Risks
  Harrison Hong, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang #27218 (AP, HE, PE)
  
• The Long-Term Cognitive and Schooling Effects of Childhood Vaccinations in China
  Hamid R. Oskorouchi, Alfonso Sousa-Poza, and David E. Bloom #27217 (CH, ED, HE)
  
• US Unemployment Insurance Replacement Rates During the Pandemic
  Peter Ganong, Pascal J. Noel, and Joseph S. Vavra #27216 (EFG, LS, ME, PE)
  
• The Economics of Urban Density
  Gilles Duranton and Diego Puga #27215 (PE)
  
• Cyclical Lending Standards: A Structural Analysis
  Kaiji Chen, Patrick C. Higgins, and Tao Zha #27214 (EFG, ME)
  
• In Search of Distress Risk in Emerging Markets
  Gonzalo Asis, Anusha Chari, and Adam Haas #27213 (AP, CF, IFM)
  
• Financing Vaccines for Global Health Security
  Jonathan T. Vu, Benjamin K. Kaplan, Shomesh Chaudhuri, Monique K. Mansoura, and Andrew W. Lo #27212 (AP, HC, HE)
  
• Collateralized Marriage
  Jeanne Lafortune and Corinne Low #27210 (LS)
  
• Housing Search Frictions: Evidence from Detailed Search Data and a Field Experiment
  Peter Bergman, Eric W. Chan, and Adam Kapor #27209 (ED, IO, PE)
  
• Corporate Hiring under COVID-19: Labor Market Concentration, Downskilling, and Income Inequality
  Murillo Campello, Gaurav Kankanhalli, and Pradeep Muthukrishnan #27208 (CF, LS)
  
• Can the Covid Bailouts Save the Economy?
  Vadim Elenev, Tim Landvoigt, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh #27207 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ME, PE)
  
• Innovation, Growth and Structural Change in American Agriculture
  Julian M. Alston and Philip G. Pardey #27206 (DAE, PR)
  
• Do Environmental Markets Cause Environmental Injustice? Evidence from California’s Carbon Market
  Danae Hernandez-Cortes and Kyle C. Meng #27205 (EEE, HE, PE)
  
• Cigarette Taxes and Smoking in the Long Run
  Andrew I. Friedson and Daniel I. Rees #27204 (HE)
  
• Patents, Innovation, and Development
  Bronwyn H. Hall #27203 (DEV, PR)
  
• Modeling the Impacts of Agricultural Support Policies on Emissions from Agriculture
  David Laborde, Abdullah Mamun, Will Martin, Valeria Piñeiro, and Rob Vos #27202 (DEV, EEE)
  
• Urbanization in the Developing World: Too Early or Too Slow?
  J. Vernon Henderson and Matthew A. Turner #27201 (ITI)
  
• Can the World’s Poor Protect Themselves from the New Coronavirus?
  Caitlin S. Brown, Martin Ravallion, and Dominique van de Walle #27200 (DEV, HC)
  
• Foreign Exchange Order Flow as a Risk Factor
  Craig Burnside, Mario Cerrato, and Zhekai Zhang #27199 (IFM)
  
• Identification of Time-Inconsistent Models: The Case of Insecticide Treated Nets
  Aprajit Mahajan, Christian Michel, and Alessandro Tarozzi #27198 (DEV, HE, IO)
  
• Measuring the Environmental Benefits of Electric Vehicles (Relative to the Car that Wasn’t Bought)
  Erich Muehlegger and David S. Rapson #27197 (EEE)
  
• Males at the Tails: How Socioeconomic Status Shapes the Gender Gap
  David Autor, David N. Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik, Jeffrey Roth, and Melanie Wasserman #27196 (CH, ED)
  
• Interest Rates and the Design of Financial Contracts
  Michael R. Roberts and Michael Schwert #27195 (CF)
  
• Stereotypes and Politics
  Pedro Bordalo, Marco Tabellini, and David Y. Yang #27194 (POL)
  
• The Declining Worker Power Hypothesis: An Explanation for the Recent Evolution of the American Economy
  Anna Stansbury and Lawrence H. Summers #27193 (EFG, IFM, IO, LS)
  
• Information, Technology Adoption and Productivity: The Role of Mobile Phones in Agriculture
  Apoorv Gupta, Jacopo Ponticelli, and Andrea Tesei #27192 (CF, DEV, EFG, PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by May 18, 2020

• COVID-19 and Emerging Markets: An Epidemiological Multi-Sector Model for a Small Open Economy with an Application to Turkey
  Cem Çakmaklı, Selva Demiralp, Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Sevcan Yesiltas, and Muhammed A. Yildirim #27191 (IFM)
  
• How Sticky is Retirement Behavior in the U.S.? Responses to Changes in the Full Retirement Age
  Manasi Deshpande, Itzik Fadlon, and Colin Gray #27190 (AG, LS, PE)
  
• Trust and Insurance Contracts
  Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, and Andrei Shleifer #27189 (CF, POL)
  
• Public Procurement in Law and Practice
  Erica Bosio, Simeon Djankov, Edward L. Glaeser, and Andrei Shleifer #27188 (DEV, PE)
  
• The Relationship between In-Person Voting, Consolidated Polling Locations, and Absentee Voting on Covid-19: Evidence from the Wisconsin Primary
  Chad D. Cotti, Bryan Engelhardt, Joshua Foster, Erik T. Nesson, and Paul S. Niekamp #27187 (HE, PE)
  
• Confidence Management in Tournaments
  Shanglyu Deng, Hanming Fang, Qiang Fu, and Zenan Wu #27186 (IO, PE, PR)
  
• Accounting for Global COVID-19 Diffusion Patterns, January-April 2020
  Yothin Jinjarak, Rashad Ahmed, Sameer Nair-Desai, Weining Xin, and Joshua Aizenman #27185 (IFM, PE)
  
• The Life-cycle Growth of Plants: The Role of Productivity, Demand and Wedges
  Marcela Eslava and John C. Haltiwanger #27184 (EFG, PR)
  
• Launching with a Parachute: The Gig Economy and New Business Formation
  John M. Barrios, Yael V. Hochberg, and Hanyi Yi #27183 (CF, PR)
  
• Latent Dirichlet Analysis of Categorical Survey Expectations
  Evan M. Munro and Serena Ng #27182 (EFG, ME)
  
• Innovation in the U.S. Government
  Joshua R. Bruce and John M. de Figueiredo #27181 (LE, PE, PR)
  
• The Incidence of Foreign Market Accessibility on Farmland Rental Rates
  Jisang Yu, Nelson B. Villoria, and Nathan P. Hendricks #27180 (ITI)
  
• Savings Rates: Up or Down?
  Guillermo Ordoñez and Facundo Piguillem #27179 (AP, EFG)
  
• The Impact of Interwar Protection: Evidence from India
  Vellore Arthi, Markus Lampe, Ashwin R Nair, and Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke #27178 (ITI)
  
• The Economic Impact of Access to Public Four-Year Colleges
  Jonathan Smith, Joshua Goodman, and Michael Hurwitz #27177 (ED, LS, PE)
  
• Estimating Probabilities of Success of Vaccine and Other Anti-Infective Therapeutic Development Programs
  Andrew W. Lo, Kien Wei Siah, and Chi Heem Wong #27176 (AP, CF, HC, HE)
  
• Bayesian Adaptive Clinical Trials for Anti‐Infective Therapeutics during Epidemic Outbreaks
  Shomesh Chaudhuri, Andrew W. Lo, Danying Xiao, and Qingyang Xu #27175 (AP, HC, HE)
  
• The Influence of Early Life Health Conditions on Life Course Health
  Manuel Flores Mallo and Barbara L. Wolfe #27174 (CH, HE)
  
• Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Outpatient Providers in the US
  Pinka Chatterji and Yue Li #27173 (HE)
  
• Optimal Contracting with Altruistic Agents: A Structural Model of Medicare Payments for Dialysis Drugs
  Martin Gaynor, Nirav Mehta, and Seth Richards-Shubik #27172 (HC, HE, IO, PE)
  
• China's Model of Managing the Financial System
  Markus K. Brunnermeier, Michael Sockin, and Wei Xiong #27171 (AP, CF, IFM, ME)
  
• The Accumulation of Human and Market Capital in the United States: The Long View, 1948–2013
  Barbara M. Fraumeni, Michael S. Christian, and Jon D. Samuels #27170 (LS, PR)
  
• The Contribution of Chinese Diaspora Researchers to Scientific Publications and China's “Great Leap Forward” in Global Science
  Qingnan Xie and Richard B. Freeman #27169 (DEV, ED, LS, PR)
  
• When Selling Becomes Viral: Disruptions in Debt Markets in the COVID-19 Crisis and the Fed’s Response
  Valentin Haddad, Alan Moreira, and Tyler Muir #27168 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Using Disasters to Estimate the Impact of Uncertainty
  Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, and Stephen J. Terry #27167 (EFG, IFM)
  
• Reopening Under COVID-19: What to Watch For
  Jeffrey E. Harris #27166 (HC, HE)
  
• The Economics of Time-Limited Development Options: The Case of Oil and Gas Leases
  Evan M. Herrnstadt, Ryan Kellogg, and Eric Lewis #27165 (EEE, IO, PE)
  
• Marginal Net Taxation of Americans’ Labor Supply
  David Altig, Alan J. Auerbach, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Elias Ilin, and Victor Ye #27164 (AG, LS, PE, POL)
  
• Robbing Peter to Pay Paul: Understanding How State Tax Credits Impact Charitable Giving
  Chandrayee Chatterjee, James C. Cox, Michael K. Price, and Florian Rundhammer #27163 (EEE, PE)
  
• College Achievement and Attainment Gaps: Evidence from West Point Cadets
  Dario Cestau, Dennis Epple, Richard Romano, Holger Sieg, and Carl Wojtaszek #27162 (ED, LS, PE)
  
• When Coercive Economies Fail: The Political Economy of the US South After the Boll Weevil
  James J. Feigenbaum, Soumyajit Mazumder, and Cory B. Smith #27161 (DAE, POL)
  
• Earnings Expectations in the COVID Crisis
  Augustin Landier and David Thesmar #27160 (AP, CF)
  
• The U.S. Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession
  Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, John Grigsby, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Erik Hurst, Christopher Kurz, and Ahu Yildirmaz #27159 (EFG, LS)
  
• Zombie Credit and (Dis-)Inflation: Evidence from Europe
  Viral V. Acharya, Matteo Crosignani, Tim Eisert, and Christian Eufinger #27158 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Poverty, Depression, and Anxiety: Causal Evidence and Mechanisms
  Matthew W. Ridley, Gautam Rao, Frank Schilbach, and Vikram H. Patel #27157 (DEV, HC, HE)
  
• The Winners and Losers of Immigration: Evidence from Linked Historical Data
  Joseph Price, Christian vom Lehn, and Riley Wilson #27156 (DAE, LS)
  
• Prospect Theory and Stock Market Anomalies
  Nicholas C. Barberis, Lawrence J. Jin, and Baolian Wang #27155 (AP)
  
• The Gender Gap in Tech & Competitive Work Environments? Field Experimental Evidence from an Internet-of-Things Product Development Platform
  Kevin Boudreau and Nilam Kaushik #27154 (LS, PR)
  
• Leader Value Added: Assessing the Growth Contribution of Individual National Leaders
  William Easterly and Steven Pennings #27153 (DEV, POL)
  
• Supply and Demand in Disaggregated Keynesian Economies with an Application to the Covid-19 Crisis
  David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi #27152 (EFG, ME)
  
• Machine Learning in Gravity Models: An Application to Agricultural Trade
  Munisamy Gopinath, Feras A. Batarseh, and Jayson Beckman #27151 (ITI)
  
• Financial Distancing: How Venture Capital Follows the Economy Down and Curtails Innovation
  Sabrina T. Howell, Josh Lerner, Ramana Nanda, and Richard R. Townsend #27150 (CF, PR)
  
• Systemic Credit Freezes in Financial Lending Networks
  Daron Acemoglu, Asuman Ozdaglar, James Siderius, and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi #27149 (CF, EFG)
  
• Trade in Technology: A Potential Solution to the Food Security Challenges of the 21st Century
  Thomas W. Hertel, Uris L.C. Baldos, and Keith O. Fuglie #27148 (ITI)
  
• The Impact of Retaliatory Tariffs on Agricultural and Food Trade
  Colin A. Carter and Sandro Steinbach #27147 (ITI)
  
• Kill Zone
  Sai Krishna Kamepalli, Raghuram Rajan, and Luigi Zingales #27146 (CF, IO)
  
• Innovation and Entrepreneurship in the Energy Sector
  David Popp, Jacquelyn Pless, Ivan Haščič, and Nick Johnstone #27145 (EEE, PR)
  
• Measuring Real Consumption and CPI Bias under Lockdown Conditions
  W. Erwin Diewert and Kevin J. Fox #27144 (PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by May 11, 2020

• Paying It Backward and Forward: Expanding Access to Convalescent Plasma Therapy Through Market Design
  Scott Duke Kominers, Parag A. Pathak, Tayfun Sönmez, and M. Utku Ünver #27143 (HE, IO, PE)
  
• The Use of Group-Level Approaches to Environmental and Natural Resource Policy
  Matthew Kotchen and Kathleen Segerson #27142 (EEE)
  
• The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending
  Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #27141 (AG, AP, CF, EFG, HE, LS, ME, PE, POL)
  
• Entry vs. Rents
  David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi #27140 (EFG, ITI, PR)
  
• The Darwinian Returns to Scale
  David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi #27139 (EFG, ITI, PR)
  
• Effect of a Federal Paid Sick Leave Mandate on Working and Staying at Home: Evidence from Cellular Device Data
  Martin Andersen, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Michael F. Pesko, and Kosali I. Simon #27138 (AG, HC, HE, LE, LS)
  
• COVID-19 Is Also a Reallocation Shock
  Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, and #27137 (EFG, LS, PE)
  
• What Keeps Stablecoins Stable?
  Richard K. Lyons and Ganesh Viswanath-Natraj #27136 (AP, IFM, ME)
  
• Expected Health Effects of Reduced Air Pollution from COVID-19 Social Distancing
  Steve Cicala, Stephen P. Holland, Erin T. Mansur, Nicholas Z. Muller, and Andrew J. Yates #27135 (EEE)
  
• Social Interactions in Pandemics: Fear, Altruism, and Reciprocity
  Laura Alfaro, Ester Faia, Nora Lamersdorf, and Farzad Saidi #27134 (EFG, HE, IFM)
  
• Trade and Welfare (Across Local Labor Markets)
  Ryan Kim and Jonathan Vogel #27133 (ITI)
  
• Determinants of Disparities in Covid-19 Job Losses
  Laura Montenovo, Xuan Jiang, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Ian M. Schmutte, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce A. Weinberg, and Coady Wing #27132 (HC, HE, LS)
  
• The First Weeks of the Coronavirus Crisis: Who Got Hit, When and Why? Evidence from Norway
  Annette Alstadsæter, Bernt Bratsberg, Gaute Eielsen, Wojciech Kopczuk, Simen Markussen, Oddbjorn Raaum, and Knut Røed #27131 (EFG, LS)
  
• Does Biology Drive Child Penalties? Evidence from Biological and Adoptive Families
  Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais, and Jakob Egholt Søgaard #27130 (CH, HE, LS, PE)
  
• International Equity and Debt Flows: Composition, Crisis, and Controls
  Chang Ma and Shang-Jin Wei #27129 (IFM)
  
• Estimating and Simulating a SIRD Model of COVID-19 for Many Countries, States, and Cities
  Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Charles I. Jones #27128 (EFG, HC, HE)
  
• Is the Cure Worse than the Problem Itself? Immediate Labor Market Effects of COVID-19 Case Rates and School Closures in the U.S.
  Felipe Lozano Rojas, Xuan Jiang, Laura Montenovo, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce A. Weinberg, and Coady Wing #27127 (HE, LS, PE)
  
• Does Information Disclosure Improve Consumer Knowledge? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment of Restaurant Menu Calorie Labels
  John Cawley, Alex M. Susskind, and Barton Willage #27126 (ED, HC, HE, LE, PE)
  
• The Effects of Need-Based Financial Aid on Employment and Earnings: Experimental Evidence from the Fund for Wisconsin Scholars
  Deven E. Carlson, Alex Schmidt, Sarah Souders, and Barbara L. Wolfe #27125 (CH, ED)
  
• Covid-19, Shelter-In Place Strategies and Tipping
  Zhihan Cui, Geoffrey Heal, and Howard Kunreuther #27124 (EEE, HE)
  
• The Wealth of Generations, With Special Attention to the Millennials
  William G. Gale, Hilary Gelfond, Jason J. Fichtner, and Benjamin H. Harris #27123 (AG)
  
• The Macroeconomics of Automation: Data, Theory, and Policy Analysis
  Nir Jaimovich, Itay Saporta-Eksten, Henry E. Siu, and Yaniv Yedid-Levi #27122 (EFG)
  
• COVID-19 and the Welfare Effects of Reducing Contagion
  Robert S. Pindyck #27121 (EEE, EFG, HE, PE, PR)
  
• The Value of Health Insurance during a Crisis: Effects of Medicaid Implementation on Pandemic Influenza Mortality
  Karen Clay, Joshua A. Lewis, Edson R. Severnini, and Xiao Wang #27120 (DAE, HC)
  
• A Note on Long-Run Persistence of Public Health Outcomes in Pandemics
  Peter Zhixian Lin and Christopher M. Meissner #27119 (DAE, HE)
  
• Transfers vs Credit Policy: Macroeconomic Policy Trade-offs during Covid-19
  Saki Bigio, Mengbo Zhang, and Eduardo Zilberman #27118 (EFG)
  
• The Effect of Changes in Alcohol Tax Differentials on Alcohol Consumption
  Markus Gehrsitz, Henry Saffer, and Michael Grossman #27117 (HE)
  
• The Fiscal Theory of Price Level with a Bubble
  Markus K. Brunnermeier, Sebastian A. Merkel, and Yuliy Sannikov #27116 (AP, EFG, ME)
  
• Debt and Taxes in Eight U.S. Wars and Two Insurrections
  George J. Hall and Thomas J. Sargent #27115 (DAE, EFG)
  
• The Effect of the U.S.-China Trade War on U.S. Investment
  Mary Amiti, Sang Hoon Kong, and David Weinstein #27114 (ITI)
  
• The Macroprudential Role of Stock Markets
  Kyriakos T. Chousakos, Gary B. Gorton, and Guillermo Ordoñez #27113 (AP, CF, EFG)
  
• Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength
  Francesco Bianchi, Renato Faccini, and Leonardo Melosi #27112 (EFG, ME)
  
• An Economic Approach to Regulating Algorithms
  Ashesh Rambachan, Jon Kleinberg, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Jens Ludwig #27111 (LE, LS, PE)
  
• Social Security Wealth, Inequality, and Lifecycle Saving
  John Sabelhaus and Alice Henriques Volz #27110 (AG, LS, PE)
  
• Taxation and Innovation: What Do We Know?
  Ufuk Akcigit and Stefanie Stantcheva #27109 (EFG, PE)
  
• The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models
  Geert Bekaert, Eric Engstrom, and Andrey Ermolov #27108 (AP)
  
• Education and Innovation: The Long Shadow of the Cultural Revolution
  Zhangkai Huang, Gordon M. Phillips, Jialun Yang, and Yi Zhang #27107 (CF, POL)
  
• How Valuable is Financial Flexibility when Revenue Stops? Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis
  Rüdiger Fahlenbrach, Kevin Rageth, and René M. Stulz #27106 (CF)
  
• Pandemic Recession: L or V-Shaped?
  Victoria Gregory, Guido Menzio, and David G. Wiczer #27105 (EFG)
  
• The Macroeconomics of Testing and Quarantining
  Martin S. Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt #27104 (EFG, HE)
  
• Economics of Research and Innovation in Agriculture
  Petra Moser #27080 (DAE, PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by May 4, 2020

• A Multi-Risk SIR Model with Optimally Targeted Lockdown
  Daron Acemoglu, Victor Chernozhukov, Iván Werning, and Michael D. Whinston #27102 (EFG, HE, PE)
  
• Changes in Black-White Inequality: Evidence from the Boll Weevil
  Karen Clay, Ethan J. Schmick, and Werner Troesken #27101 (DAE, LS)
  
• Inequality of Fear and Self-Quarantine: Is There a Trade-off between GDP and Public Health?
  Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, and Yongseok Shin #27100 (EFG, HE)
  
• Health vs. Wealth? Public Health Policies and the Economy During Covid-19
  Zhixian Lin and Christopher M. Meissner #27099 (HE)
  
• Office Visits Preventing Emergency Room Visits: Evidence From the Flint Water Switch
  Shooshan Danagoulian, Daniel S. Grossman, and David Slusky #27098 (CH, EEE, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Income, Liquidity, and the Consumption Response to the 2020 Economic Stimulus Payments
  Scott R. Baker, R. A. Farrokhnia, Steffen Meyer, Michaela Pagel, and Constantine Yannelis #27097 (AP, CF, EFG, HE, PE)
  
• Employer Policies and the Immigrant-Native Earnings Gap
  Benoit Dostie, Jiang Li, David Card, and Daniel Parent #27096 (LS)
  
• Did the Paycheck Protection Program Hit the Target?
  João Granja, Christos Makridis, Constantine Yannelis, and Eric Zwick #27095 (CF, LS, ME, PE)
  
• A New Method for Estimating Teacher Value-Added
  Michael Gilraine, Jiaying Gu, and Robert McMillan #27094 (ED, LS, PE)
  
• Expected Profits and The Scientific Novelty of Innovation
  David Dranove, Craig Garthwaite, and Manuel I. Hermosilla #27093 (HC, HE, PE, PR)
  
• Measuring the Perceived Liquidity of the Corporate Bond Market
  Sergey Chernenko and Adi Sunderam #27092 (AP, CF)
  
• When Do Shelter-in-Place Orders Fight COVID-19 Best? Policy Heterogeneity Across States and Adoption Time
  Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, and Joseph J. Sabia #27091 (AG, CH, DEV, HC, HE, LE, PE)
  
• Dropouts Need Not Apply? The Minimum Wage and Skill Upgrading
  Jeffrey Clemens, Lisa B. Kahn, and Jonathan Meer #27090 (LS, PE)
  
• Do Differences in School Quality Generate Heterogeneity in the Causal Returns to Education?
  Philip DeCicca and Harry Krashinsky #27089 (, LS)
  
• Dissecting Mechanisms of Financial Crises: Intermediation and Sentiment
  Arvind Krishnamurthy and Wenhao Li #27088 (AP, CF, EFG)
  
• The Value of Time: Evidence From Auctioned Cab Rides
  Nicholas Buchholz, Laura Doval, Jakub Kastl, Filip Matějka, and Tobias Salz #27087 (IO)
  
• Did COVID-19 Improve Air Quality Near Hubei?
  Douglas Almond, Xinming Du, and Shuang Zhang #27086 (EEE, HE)
  
• Which Workers Bear the Burden of Social Distancing Policies?
  Simon Mongey, Laura Pilossoph, and Alex Weinberg #27085 (EFG, LS)
  
• Interest Rate Uncertainty as a Policy Tool
  Fabio Ghironi and G. Kemal Ozhan #27084 (IFM, ME)
  
• Steering Incentives of Platforms: Evidence from the Telecommunications Industry
  Brian McManus, Aviv Nevo, Zachary Nolan, and Jonathan W. Williams #27083 (IO, PR)
  
• Global Behaviors and Perceptions at the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Thiemo R. Fetzer, Marc Witte, Lukas Hensel, Jon Jachimowicz, Johannes Haushofer, Andriy Ivchenko, Stefano Caria, Elena Reutskaja, Christopher P. Roth, Stefano Fiorin, Margarita Gómez, Gordon Kraft-Todd, Friedrich M. Götz, and Erez Yoeli #27082 (DEV, HE, PE, POL)
  
• Electricity and Firm Productivity: A General-Equilibrium Approach
  Stephie Fried and David Lagakos #27081 (DEV, EEE, EFG)
  
• Incentivizing Behavioral Change: The Role of Time Preferences
  Shilpa Aggarwal, Rebecca Dizon-Ross, and Ariel D. Zucker #27079 (DEV, HC, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Is the Supply of Charitable Donations Fixed? Evidence from Deadly Tornadoes
  Tatyana Deryugina and Benjamin M. Marx #27078 (EEE, PE)
  
• Trade Credit and the Transmission of Unconventional Monetary Policy
  Manuel Adelino, Miguel A. Ferreira, Mariassunta Giannetti, and Pedro Pires #27077 (CF, ME)
  
• Generosity Across the Income and Wealth Distributions
  Jonathan Meer and Benjamin A. Priday #27076 (PE)
  
• Immigration, Innovation, and Growth
  Konrad B. Burchardi, Thomas Chaney, Tarek Alexander Hassan, Lisa Tarquinio, and Stephen J. Terry #27075 (DAE, EFG, IFM, POL, PR)
  
• Optimal Bailouts and the Doom Loop with a Financial Network
  Agostino Capponi, Felix C. Corell, and Joseph E. Stiglitz #27074 (TWP)
  
• Islam and the State: Religious Education in the Age of Mass Schooling
  Samuel Bazzi, Benjamin Marx, and Masyhur Hilmy #27073 (DAE, DEV, ED, LS, PE, POL)
  
• Geographic Mobility in America: Evidence from Cell Phone Data
  M. Keith Chen and Devin G. Pope #27072 (HE, LS)
  
• Team Players: How Social Skills Improve Group Performance
  Ben Weidmann and David J. Deming #27071 (ED, LS, PR)
  
• Does Economics Make You Sexist?
  Valentina A. Paredes, M. Daniele Paserman, and Francisco Pino #27070 (LS)
  
• Inequality and the Safety Net Throughout the Income Distribution, 1929-1940
  James J. Feigenbaum, Price V. Fishback, and Keoka Grayson #27069 (DAE)
  
• Optimal Regulation of E-cigarettes: Theory and Evidence
  Hunt Allcott and Charlie Rafkin #27000 (HC, HE, LE, PE)
  
• The Environmental Bias of Trade Policy
  Joseph S. Shapiro #26845 (EEE, IFM, ITI, PE, POL)
  

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Weekly papers released by April 27, 2020

• Asian American Discrimination in Harvard Admissions
  Peter Arcidiacono, Josh Kinsler, and Tyler Ransom #27068 (ED, LE, LS, PE)
  
• Original Sin and the Great Depression
  Michael D. Bordo and Christopher M. Meissner #27067 (DAE, IFM, ME)
  
• Mitigating Disaster Risks to Sustain Growth
  Harrison Hong, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang #27066 (AP, EEE, HE, PE)
  
• Should the U.S. Government Issue Floating Rate Notes?
  Jonathan S. Hartley and Urban Jermann #27065 (AP, ME)
  
• The Long and Short (Run) of Trade Elasticities
  Christoph E. Boehm, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #27064 (EFG, IFM, ITI)
  
• Sequential Lifting of COVID-19 Interventions with Population Heterogeneity
  Adriano A. Rampini #27063 (EFG, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Pandemic Lockdown: The Role of Government Commitment
  Christian A. Moser and Pierre Yared #27062 (EFG, HE, POL)
  
• Labor Demand in the Time of COVID-19: Evidence from Vacancy Postings and UI Claims
  Lisa B. Kahn, Fabian Lange, and David G. Wiczer #27061 (LS)
  
• Economic Activity and the Value of Medical Innovation during a Pandemic
  Casey B. Mulligan #27060 (EFG, HE, PE)
  
• Internal and External Effects of Social Distancing in a Pandemic
  Maryam Farboodi, Gregor Jarosch, and Robert Shimer #27059 (EFG)
  
• Corporate Taxes and Retail Prices
  Scott R. Baker, Stephen Teng Sun, and Constantine Yannelis #27058 (CF, LE, LS, PE, PR)
  
• Financial Education Affects Financial Knowledge and Downstream Behaviors
  Tim Kaiser, Annamaria Lusardi, Lukas Menkhoff, and Carly J. Urban #27057 (AG)
  
• Loan Types and the Bank Lending Channel
  Victoria Ivashina, Luc Laeven, and Enrique Moral-Benito #27056 (CF, ME)
  
• Corporate Immunity to the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Wenzhi Ding, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Wensi Xie #27055 (CF)
  
• Information and the Persistence of the Gender Wage Gap: Early Evidence from California's Salary History Ban
  Benjamin Hansen and Drew McNichols #27054 (CH, LE, LS)
  
• Persistence through Revolutions
  Alberto F. Alesina, Marlon Seror, David Y. Yang, Yang You, and Weihong Zeng #27053 (POL)
  
• Does the US Tax Code Favor Automation?
  Daron Acemoglu, Andrea Manera, and Pascual Restrepo #27052 (EFG, LS, PE)
  
• A Sticky-Price View of Hoarding
  Christopher Hansman, Harrison Hong, Áureo de Paula, and Vishal Singh #27051 (AP, IO, ME)
  
• It Takes a Village: The Economics of Parenting with Neighborhood and Peer Effects
  Francesco Agostinelli, Matthias Doepke, Giuseppe Sorrenti, and Fabrizio Zilibotti #27050 (CH, ED)
  
• Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions and Mortality in U.S. Cities during the Great Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919
  Robert J. Barro #27049 (EFG, HE, PE)
  
• Elusive Safety: The New Geography of Capital Flows and Risk
  Laura Alfaro, Ester Faia, Ruth A. Judson, and Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr #27048 (CF, IFM, ITI)
  
• Macroeconomic Dynamics and Reallocation in an Epidemic
  Dirk Krueger, Harald Uhlig, and Taojun Xie #27047 (AG, EFG, HE, ITI, LS, PE)
  
• Health versus Wealth: On the Distributional Effects of Controlling a Pandemic
  Andrew Glover, Jonathan Heathcote, Dirk Krueger, and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull #27046 (AG, EFG, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Income Segregation: Up or Down, and for Whom?
  John R. Logan, Andrew Foster, Hongwei Xu, and Wenquan Zhang #27045 (DEV)
  
• A Model of Asset Price Spirals and Aggregate Demand Amplification of a "Covid-19" Shock
  Ricardo J. Caballero and 70 #27044 (AP, EFG, ME)
  
• Demographic Perspectives on Mortality of Covid-19 and Other Epidemics
  Joshua R. Goldstein and Ronald D. Lee #27043 (AG, HE, LS)
  
• Which Retail Outlets Generate the Most Physical Interactions?
  Avi Goldfarb and Catherine Tucker #27042 (PR)
  
• Bilateral Information Disclosure in Adverse Selection Markets with Nonexclusive Competition
  Joseph E. Stiglitz, Jungyoll Yun, and Andrew Kosenko #27041 (TWP)
  
• Immigration Policy Levers for US Innovation and Startups
  Sari Pekkala Kerr and William R. Kerr #27040 (LS, PR)
  
• Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing: Evidence on COVID-19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries
  Alexander Chudik, M. Hashem Pesaran, and Alessandro Rebucci #27039 (EFG, HC, HE, IFM, LS, PE, POL)
  
• Managing Intelligence: Skilled Experts and AI in Markets for Complex Products
  Jonathan Gruber, Benjamin R. Handel, Samuel H. Kina, and Jonathan T. Kolstad #27038 (AG, HC, IO, PE)
  
• Evidence on Job Search Models from a Survey of Unemployed Workers in Germany
  Stefano DellaVigna, Jörg Heining, Johannes F. Schmieder, and Simon Trenkle #27037 (LS, PE)
  
• Price Discovery and Liquidity Recovery: Forex Market Reactions to Macro Announcements
  Masahiro Yamada and Takatoshi Ito #27036 (IFM, ME)
  
• Saving for Multiple Financial Needs: Evidence from Lockboxes and Mobile Money in Malawi
  Shilpa Aggarwal, Valentina Brailovskaya, and Jonathan Robinson #27035 (DEV)
  
• Big G
  Lydia Cox, Gernot Müller, Ernesto Pastén, Raphael Schoenle, and Michael Weber #27034 (AP, CF, EFG, ME, PE, POL)
  
• Beyond Reading, Writing, and Arithmetic: The Role of Teachers and Schools in Reporting Child Maltreatment
  Maria D. Fitzpatrick, Cassandra Benson, and Samuel R. Bondurant #27033 (CH, ED)
  
• Hometown Ties and the Quality of Government Monitoring: Evidence from Rotation of Chinese Auditors
  Jian Chu, Raymond Fisman, Songtao Tan, and Yongxiang Wang #27032 (CF, DEV, PE, POL)
  
• Endogenous Education and Long-Run Factor Shares
  Gene M. Grossman, Elhanan Helpman, Ezra Oberfield, and Thomas Sampson #27031 (EFG)
  
• Good-Bye Original Sin, Hello Risk On-Off, Financial Fragility, and Crises?
  Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, Donghyun Park, and Huanhuan Zheng #27030 (IFM)
  
• Variation in Performance of Commonly Used Statistical Methods for Estimating Effectiveness of State-Level Opioid Policies on Opioid-Related Mortality
  Beth Ann Griffin, Megan S. Schuler, Elizabeth A. Stuart, Stephen Patrick, Elizabeth McNeer, Rosanna Smart, David Powell, Bradley Stein, Terry Schell, and Rosalie Liccardo Pacula #27029 (HC, PE)
  
• Estimating the Fraction of Unreported Infections in Epidemics with a Known Epicenter: an Application to COVID-19
  Ali Hortaçsu, Jiarui Liu, and Timothy Schwieg #27028 (HC, HE, IO, TWP)
  
• Tracking Public and Private Response to the COVID-19 Epidemic: Evidence from State and Local Government Actions
  Sumedha Gupta, Thuy D. Nguyen, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Shyam Raman, Byungkyu Lee, Ana Bento, Kosali I. Simon, and Coady Wing #27027 (HC, HE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by April 20, 2020

• Can the Unemployed Borrow? Implications for Public Insurance
  J. Carter Braxton, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, and Gordon M. Phillips #27026 (CF, IFM, ME, POL)
  
• Portfolio Choice with Sustainable Spending: A Model of Reaching for Yield
  John Y. Campbell and Roman Sigalov #27025 (AP, ME)
  
• On Vickrey’s Income Averaging
  Stefan Steinerberger and Aleh Tsyvinski #27024 (EFG, PE)
  
• Estimating the COVID-19 Infection Rate: Anatomy of an Inference Problem
  Charles F. Manski and Francesca Molinari #27023 (HC, HE, TWP)
  
• Is Financial Globalization in Reverse After the 2008 Global Financial Crisis? Evidence from Corporate Valuations
  Craig Doidge, G. Andrew Karolyi, and René M. Stulz #27022 (AP, CF)
  
• The Subways Seeded the Massive Coronavirus Epidemic in New York City
  Jeffrey E. Harris #27021 (HE)
  
• Economic Policy Incentives to Preserve Lives and Livelihoods
  Roberto Chang and Andrés Velasco #27020 (EFG, IFM, PE)
  
• Covid-19: Testing Inequality in New York City
  Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, Ken Teoh, and Martín Uribe #27019 (EFG, PE)
  
• Lock-downs, Loneliness and Life Satisfaction
  Daniel S. Hamermesh #27018 (HE, LS)
  
• Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View
  Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #27017 (AG, AP, CF, EFG, LS, ME)
  
• Market Structure and Product Assortment: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Liquor Licensure
  Gastón Illanes and Sarah Moshary #27016 (IO)
  
• Innovative Growth Accounting
  Peter J. Klenow and Huiyu Li #27015 (EFG, PR)
  
• Advances in Structural Vector Autoregressions with Imperfect Identifying Information
  Christiane Baumeister and James D. Hamilton #27014 (EEE, EFG, ME)
  
• The Fed's Response to Economic News Explains the "Fed Information Effect"
  Michael D. Bauer and Eric T. Swanson #27013 (AP, EFG, ME)
  
• Disputes in International Investment and Trade
  Ralph Ossa, Robert W. Staiger, and Alan O. Sykes #27012 (ITI)
  
• The Roots of Agricultural Innovation: Patent Evidence of Knowledge Spillovers
  Matthew S. Clancy, Paul Heisey, Yongjie Ji, and GianCarlo Moschini #27011 (PR)
  
• Spending Less After (Seemingly) Bad News
  Mark Garmaise, Yaron Levi, and Hanno Lustig #27010 (CF, EFG)
  
• Covid-19 Infection Externalities: Trading Off Lives vs. Livelihoods
  Zachary A. Bethune and Anton Korinek #27009 (DAE, EFG, HC, HE, IFM, PE)
  
• Risk Perception Through the Lens of Politics in the Time of the COVID-19 Pandemic
  John M. Barrios and Yael Hochberg #27008 (HE, POL)
  
• Policy Implications of Models of the Spread of Coronavirus: Perspectives and Opportunities for Economists
  Christopher Avery, William Bossert, Adam Clark, Glenn Ellison, and Sara Fisher Ellison #27007 (HE)
  
• No Line Left Behind: Assortative Matching Inside the Firm
  Achyuta Adhvaryu, Vittorio Bassi, Anant Nyshadham, and Jorge A. Tamayo #27006 (DEV, LS)
  
• Countervailing Market Power and Hospital Competition
  Eric Barrette, Gautam Gowrisankaran, and Robert Town #27005 (HC, IO)
  
• Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy
  Marco Bassetto and Thomas J. Sargent #27004 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• What’s up with the Phillips Curve?
  Marco Del Negro, Michele Lenza, Giorgio E. Primiceri, and Andrea Tambalotti #27003 (EFG, ME)
  
• Some Unpleasant Markup Arithmetic: Production Function Elasticities and their Estimation from Production Data
  Steve Bond, Arshia Hashemi, Greg Kaplan, and Piotr Zoch #27002 (EFG, IO, PR)
  
• Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions
  Christiane Baumeister, Dimitris Korobilis, and Thomas K. Lee #27001 (EEE, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions
  David Arnold, Will S. Dobbie, and Peter Hull #26999 (LS)
  
• Ageing-Driven Migration and Redistribution: Comparing Policy Regimes
  Assaf Razin and Alexander Horst Schwemmer #26998 (IFM)
  
• Sticky Capital Controls
  Miguel Acosta-Henao, Laura Alfaro, and Andrés Fernández #26997 (IFM)
  
• Distributing Personal Income: Trends Over Time
  Dennis Fixler, Marina Gindelsky, and David Johnson #26996 (EFG)
  
• The Macroeconomic Stabilization of Tariff Shocks: What is the Optimal Monetary Response?
  Paul R. Bergin and Giancarlo Corsetti #26995 (IFM, ITI)
  
• Do People Have a Bias for Low-Deductible Insurance?
  Howard Kunreuther and Mark Pauly #26994 (, HC)
  
• In Praise of Moderation: Suggestions for the Scope and Use of Pre-Analysis Plans for RCTs in Economics
  Esther Duflo, Abhijit Banerjee, Amy Finkelstein, Lawrence F. Katz, Benjamin A. Olken, and Anja Sautmann #26993 (DEV, LS, PE)
  
• Did California’s Shelter-in-Place Order Work? Early Coronavirus-Related Public Health Benefits
  Andrew I. Friedson, Drew McNichols, Joseph J. Sabia, and Dhaval Dave #26992 (AG, CH, DEV, HC, HE, LE, LS, PE)
  
• Three Prongs for Prudent Climate Policy
  Joseph E. Aldy and Richard J. Zeckhauser #26991 (EEE)
  
• Generalized Robustness and Dynamic Pessimism
  Pascal J. Maenhout, Andrea Vedolin, and Hao Xing #26970 (AP)
  

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Weekly papers released by April 13, 2020

• The Geographic Spread of COVID-19 Correlates with Structure of Social Networks as Measured by Facebook
  Theresa Kuchler, Dominic Russel, and Johannes Stroebel #26990 (CF, EFG, HC, HE, ITI, PE, POL)
  
• How Are Small Businesses Adjusting to COVID-19? Early Evidence from a Survey
  Alexander W. Bartik, Marianne Bertrand, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Christopher T. Stanton #26989 (HE, IO, LE, LS, PE, PR)
  
• The Evolving Consequences of OxyContin Reformulation on Drug Overdoses
  David Powell and Rosalie Liccardo Pacula #26988 (AG, HE)
  
• Covid19 and the Macroeconomic Effects of Costly Disasters
  Sydney C. Ludvigson, Sai Ma, and Serena Ng #26987 (AP, EFG, HE, ME, PE, POL)
  
• The Wealth Decumulation Behavior of the Retired Elderly in Italy: The Importance of Bequest Motives and Precautionary Saving
  Luigi Ventura and Charles Yuji Horioka #26986 (AG, PE)
  
• Risk Sharing Externalities
  Luigi Bocola and Guido Lorenzoni #26985 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Optimal Mitigation Policies in a Pandemic: Social Distancing and Working from Home
  Callum J. Jones, Thomas Philippon, and Venky Venkateswaran #26984 (EFG, HE, LS)
  
• COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty
  Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, and Stephen J. Terry #26983 (EFG)
  
• Social Distancing, Internet Access and Inequality
  Lesley Chiou and Catherine Tucker #26982 (PR)
  
• A Simple Planning Problem for COVID-19 Lockdown
  Fernando E. Alvarez, David Argente, and Francesco Lippi #26981 (EFG)
  
• Rising Burdens of Proofs and The Grand Bargain of Workers’ Compensation Laws
  Andy Yuan and Price V. Fishback #26980 (LE, LS)
  
• Every Day is Earth Day: Evidence on the Long-term Impact of Environmental Voluntarism
  Daniel M. Hungerman and Vivek S. Moorthy #26979 (CH, EEE, PE)
  
• Effects of the Affordable Care Act Dependent Coverage Mandate on Health Insurance Coverage for Individuals in Same-Sex Couples
  Christopher S. Carpenter, Gilbert Gonzales Jr., Tara McKay, and Dario Sansone #26978 (HE)
  
• News that Takes Your Breath Away: Risk Perceptions During an Outbreak of Vaping-related Lung Injuries
  Dhaval M. Dave, Daniel L. Dench, Donald S. Kenkel, Alan D. Mathios, and Hua Wang #26977 (CH, HC, HE, LE, PE)
  
• The Impact of Benefit Generosity on Workers’ Compensation Claims: Evidence and Implications
  Marika Cabral and Marcus Dillender #26976 (HC, LS, PE)
  
• Relief Rally: Senators As Feckless As the Rest of Us at Stock Picking
  William Belmont, Bruce Sacerdote, and Ian Van Hoek #26975 (AP, POL)
  
• The Implications of Heterogeneity and Inequality for Asset Pricing
  Stavros Panageas #26974 (AP, EFG, ME)
  
• Should Germany Have Built a New Wall? Macroeconomic Lessons from the 2015-18 Refugee Wave
  Christopher Busch, Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig, Irina Popova, and Zainab Iftikhar #26973 (AG, EFG, LS, PE)
  
• Beyond Cobb-Douglas: Flexibly Estimating Matching Functions with Unobserved Matching Efficiency
  Fabian Lange and Theodore Papageorgiou #26972 (EFG, LS)
  
• Firm-level Exposure to Epidemic Diseases: Covid-19, SARS, and H1N1
  Tarek Alexander Hassan, Stephan Hollander, Laurence van Lent, and Ahmed Tahoun #26971 (AP, EFG, HE, IFM, ITI, ME)
  
• Understanding “Wage Theft”: Evasion and Avoidance Responses to Minimum Wage Increases
  Jeffrey Clemens and Michael R. Strain #26969 (LS, PE)
  
• Do Investors Care about Carbon Risk?
  Patrick Bolton and Marcin Kacperczyk #26968 (AP, CF, EEE)
  
• Does EdTech Substitute for Traditional Learning? Experimental Estimates of the Educational Production Function
  Eric Bettinger, Robert W. Fairlie, Anastasia Kapuza, Elena Kardanova, Prashant Loyalka, and Andrey Zakharov #26967 (CH, DEV, ED, LS, PE, PR)
  
• Presence and Persistence of Poverty in U.S. Tax Data
  Jeff Larrimore, Jacob Mortenson, and David Splinter #26966 (PE)
  
• How Deadly Is COVID-19? Understanding The Difficulties With Estimation Of Its Fatality Rate
  Andrew Atkeson #26965 (EFG)
  
• Technological Innovation and Labor Income Risk
  Leonid Kogan, Dimitris Papanikolaou, Lawrence D. W. Schmidt, and Jae Song #26964 (AP, CF, EFG, PR)
  
• Reversing Reserves
  Parag A. Pathak, Alex Rees-Jones, and Tayfun Sönmez #26963 (ED, PE)
  
• Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered
  Òscar Jordà, Moritz Schularick, and Alan M. Taylor #26962 (AP, EFG, ME)
  
• Expanding and Diversifying the Pool of Undergraduates who Study Economics: Insights from a New Introductory Course at Harvard
  Amanda Bayer, Gregory Bruich, Raj Chetty, and Andrew Housiaux #26961 (ED, LS, PE)
  
• International Trade and Social Connectedness
  Michael Bailey, Abhinav Gupta, Sebastian Hillenbrand, Theresa Kuchler, Robert J. Richmond, and Johannes Stroebel #26960 (AP, CF, DEV, EFG, IFM, ITI, PE, POL, PR)
  
• The Labor Market Returns to Advanced Degrees
  Joseph G. Altonji and Ling Zhong #26959 (ED, LS)
  
• Are Corporate Payouts Abnormally High in the 2000s?
  Kathleen Kahle and René M. Stulz #26958 (CF)
  
• Is Fish Brain Food or Brain Poison? Sea Surface Temperature, Methyl-mercury and Child Cognitive Development
  Mark R. Rosenzweig and Rafael J. Santos Villagran #26957 (CH, DEV)
  
• Avoiding Traffic Congestion Externalities? The Value of Urgency
  Antonio Bento, Kevin Roth, and Andrew R. Waxman #26956 (EEE, IO, PE)
  
• Labor Market Polarization and the Great Divergence: Theory and Evidence
  Donald R. Davis, Eric Mengus, and Tomasz K. Michalski #26955 (ITI, LS)
  
• U.S. Economic Activity During the Early Weeks of the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak
  Daniel Lewis, Karel Mertens, and James H. Stock #26954 (EFG, ME)
  
• Isolating the “Tech” from EdTech: Experimental Evidence on Computer Assisted Learning in China
  Yue Ma, Robert W. Fairlie, Prashant Loyalka, and Scott Rozelle #26953 (CH, DEV, ED, LS, PE)
  
• Demographic Determinants of Testing Incidence and COVID-19 Infections in New York City Neighborhoods
  George J. Borjas #26952 (HE, LS)
  
• Triage Protocol Design for Ventilator Rationing in a Pandemic: Integrating Multiple Ethical Values through Reserves
  Parag A. Pathak, Tayfun Sönmez, M. Utku Unver, and M. Bumin Yenmez #26951 (HC, HE, IO, PE)
  
• Polarization and Public Health: Partisan Differences in Social Distancing during the Coronavirus Pandemic
  Hunt Allcott, Levi Boxell, Jacob C. Conway, Matthew Gentzkow, Michael Thaler, and David Y. Yang #26946 (HC, HE, LS, PE, POL)
  

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Weekly papers released by April 6, 2020

• Aggregate and Firm-Level Stock Returns During Pandemics, in Real Time
  Laura Alfaro, Anusha Chari, Andrew N. Greenland, and Peter K. Schott #26950 (AP, IFM, ITI)
  
• How Does Household Spending Respond to an Epidemic? Consumption During the 2020 COVID-19 Pandemic
  Scott R. Baker, R.A. Farrokhnia, Steffen Meyer, Michaela Pagel, and Constantine Yannelis #26949 (CF, EFG, PE)
  
• How Many Jobs Can be Done at Home?
  Jonathan I. Dingel and Brent Neiman #26948 (ITI, LS)
  
• The Impact of COVID-19 on Gender Equality
  Titan M. Alon, Matthias Doepke, Jane Olmstead-Rumsey, and Michèle Tertilt #26947 (EFG)
  
• The Unprecedented Stock Market Impact of COVID-19
  Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Kyle J. Kost, Marco C. Sammon, and Tasaneeya Viratyosin #26945 (AP, EFG)
  
• Quitting in Protest: Presidential Policymaking and Civil Service Response
  Charles Cameron and John M. de Figueiredo #26944 (LE, LS, PE)
  
• The Murder-Suicide of the Rentier: Population Aging and the Risk Premium
  Joseph Kopecky and Alan M. Taylor #26943 (AP, EFG, ME)
  
• Is the Social Safety Net a Long-Term Investment? Large-Scale Evidence from the Food Stamps Program
  Martha J. Bailey, Hilary W. Hoynes, Maya Rossin-Slater, and Reed Walker #26942 (CH, LS, PE)
  
• The Saving Glut of the Rich and the Rise in Household Debt
  Atif R. Mian, Ludwig Straub, and Amir Sufi #26941 (CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Indebted Demand
  Atif R. Mian, Ludwig Straub, and Amir Sufi #26940 (CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Decomposing the Fiscal Multiplier
  James S. Cloyne, Òscar Jordà, and Alan M. Taylor #26939 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Social Insurance and Public Assistance in the Twentieth-Century United States: 2019 Presidential Address for the Economic History Association
  Price V. Fishback #26938 (DAE, PE)
  
• The Rise of American Minimum Wages, 1912-1968
  Price V. Fishback and Andrew Seltzer #26937 (DAE, LS)
  
• Discrimination, Migration, and Economic Outcomes: Evidence from World War I
  Andreas Ferrara and Price V. Fishback #26936 (DAE, LS)
  
• Estimating Macroeconomic Models of Financial Crises: An Endogenous Regime-Switching Approach
  Gianluca Benigno, Andrew Foerster, Christopher Otrok, and Alessandro Rebucci #26935 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Longer-run Economic Consequences of Pandemics
  Òscar Jordà, Sanjay R. Singh, and Alan M. Taylor #26934 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Changes in Assortative Matching and Inequality in Income: Evidence for the UK
  Pierre-André Chiappori, Monica Costa Dias, Sam Crossman, and Costas Meghir #26933 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• Changes in Assortative Matching: Theory and Evidence for the US
  Pierre-André Chiappori, Monica Costa Dias, and Costas Meghir #26932 (CH, ED, LS, PE)
  
• Culture and Gender Allocation of Tasks: Source Country Characteristics and the Division of Non-market Work among US Immigrants
  Francine D. Blau, Lawrence Kahn, Matthew L. Comey, Amanda R. Eng, Pamela A. Meyerhofer, and Alexander Willén #26931 (LS)
  
• How Political Insiders Lose Out When International Aid Underperforms: Evidence from a Participatory Development Experiment in Ghana
  Katharine Baldwin, Dean Karlan, Christopher R. Udry, and Ernest Appiah #26930 (DEV, POL)
  
• The Brazilian Bombshell? The Long-Term Impact of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic the South American Way
  Amanda Guimbeau, Nidhiya Menon, and Aldo Musacchio #26929 (DAE)
  
• Aid Crowd-Out: The Effect of NGOs on Government-Provided Public Services
  Erika Deserranno, Aisha Nansamba, and Nancy Qian #26928 (CH, DEV, POL)
  
• Where Has All the Data Gone?
  Maryam Farboodi, Adrien Matray, Laura Veldkamp, and Venky Venkateswaran #26927 (AP)
  
• The Economic Impact of a High National Minimum Wage: Evidence from the 1966 Fair Labor Standards Act
  Martha J. Bailey, John DiNardo, and Bryan A. Stuart #26926 (DAE, LS)
  
• Public Information is an Incentive for Politicians: Experimental Evidence from Delhi Elections
  Abhijit Banerjee, Nils T. Enevoldsen, Rohini Pande, and Michael Walton #26925 (DEV, PE)
  
• Productivity Dispersion and Persistence Among the World's Most Numerous Firms
  Casey C. Maue, Marshall Burke, and Kyle J. Emerick #26924 (DEV, PR)
  
• The Economics of Tobacco Regulation: A Comprehensive Review
  Philip DeCicca, Donald S. Kenkel, and Michael F. Lovenheim #26923 (HE, PE)
  
• Rational Heuristics? Expectations and Behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents
  Giovanni Dosi, Mauro Napoletano, Andrea Roventini, Joseph E. Stiglitz, and Tania Treibich #26922 (EFG)
  
• Environmental Preferences and Technological Choices: Is Market Competition Clean or Dirty?
  Philippe Aghion, Roland Bénabou, Ralf Martin, and Alexandra Roulet #26921 (EEE, EFG, IO, PE, POL)
  
• What Explains the Gender Gap in Wealth? Evidence from Administrative Data
  Jaanika Meriküll, Merike Kukk, and Tairi Rõõm #26920 (AP)
  
• Pareto-Improving Carbon-Risk Taxation
  Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Felix Kubler, Andrey Polbin, and Simon Scheidegger #26919 (EEE, IFM, LS, PE)
  
• Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages?
  Veronica Guerrieri, Guido Lorenzoni, Ludwig Straub, and Iván Werning #26918 (EFG, ME)
  
• The Coronavirus Epidemic Curve is Already Flattening in New York City
  Jeffrey E. Harris #26917 (HC, HE)
  

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Weekly papers released by March 30, 2020

• Compliance with COVID-19 Social-Distancing Measures in Italy: The Role of Expectations and Duration
  Guglielmo Briscese, Nicola Lacetera, Mario Macis, and Mirco Tonin #26916 (HE, PE)
  
• A Fisherian Approach to Financial Crises: Lessons from the Sudden Stops Literature
  Javier Bianchi and Enrique G. Mendoza #26915 (IFM)
  
• The Gender Gap in Housing Returns
  Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham and Kelly Shue #26914 (AP, CF, LS)
  
• On the Representativeness of Voter Turnout
  Louis Kaplow and Scott Duke Kominers #26913 (POL)
  
• The Economics of Nicotine Consumption
  Dean R. Lillard #26912 (HE)
  
• Resolving the Excessive Trading Puzzle: An Integrated Approach Based on Surveys and Transactions
  Hongqi Liu, Cameron Peng, Wei A. Xiong, and Wei Xiong #26911 (AP)
  
• Do College Applicants Respond to Changes in Sticker Prices Even When They Don't Matter?
  Phillip B. Levine, Jennifer Ma, and Lauren C. Russell #26910 (CH, ED, LS, PE)
  
• The Incubator of Human Capital: The NBER and the Rise of the Human Capital Paradigm
  Claudia Goldin and Lawrence F. Katz #26909 (DAE, LS)
  
• Banking Crises without Panics
  Matthew Baron, Emil Verner, and Wei Xiong #26908 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Learning about the Neighborhood
  Zhenyu Gao, Michael Sockin, and Wei Xiong #26907 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Human Mobility Restrictions and the Spread of the Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China
  Hanming Fang, Long Wang, and Yang Yang #26906 (HC, HE, PE)
  
• The Political-Economy Trilemma
  Joshua Aizenman and Hiro Ito #26905 (IFM)
  
• The Dynamic Efficiency in Resource Allocation: Evidence from Vehicle License Lotteries in Beijing
  Youming Liu, Shanjun Li, and Caixia Shen #26904 (EEE, IO)
  
• Banking without Deposits: Evidence from Shadow Bank Call Reports
  Erica Jiang, Gregor Matvos, Tomasz Piskorski, and Amit Seru #26903 (CF, ME)
  
• Data Gaps and the Policy Response to the Novel Coronavirus
  James H. Stock #26902 (EFG)
  
• An SEIR Infectious Disease Model with Testing and Conditional Quarantine
  David W. Berger, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, and Simon Mongey #26901 (EFG, HC, HE)
  
• The Economic Consequences of Data Privacy Regulation: Empirical Evidence from GDPR
  Guy Aridor, Yeon-Koo Che, and Tobias Salz #26900 (IO, LE)
  
• Externalities in International Tax Enforcement: Theory and Evidence
  Thomas R. Tørsløv, Ludvig S. Wier, and Gabriel Zucman #26899 (ITI, PE)
  
• An Analytic Framework For Interpreting Investment Regressions In The Presence Of Financial Constraints
  Andrew B. Abel and Stavros Panageas #26898 (AP, CF, EFG)
  
• The Virus of Fear: The Political Impact of Ebola in the U.S.
  Filipe R. Campante, Emilio Depetris-Chauvin, and Ruben Durante #26897 (POL)
  
• The Effects of State Scope of Practice Laws on the Labor Supply of Advanced Practice Registered Nurses
  Sara Markowitz and E. Kathleen Adams #26896 (HC, HE, LE, LS, PE)
  
• Off to a Good Start: The NBER and the Measurement of National Income
  Hugh Rockoff #26895 (DAE)
  
• The Economics of the Fed Put
  Anna Cieslak and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen #26894 (AP, EFG, ME)
  
• Self-Citation, Cumulative Advantage, and Gender Inequality in Science
  Pierre Azoulay and Freda B. Lynn #26893 (PR)
  
• The Rise of For-Profit Experimental Medicine
  Pierre Azoulay and Ariel Fishman #26892 (PR)
  
• Paying Outsourced Labor: Direct Evidence from Linked Temp Agency-Worker-Client Data
  Andres Drenik, Simon Jäger, Miguel Pascuel Plotkin, and Benjamin Schoefer #26891 (EFG, LE, LS, PR)
  
• A New Engel on Price Index and Welfare Estimation
  David Atkin, Benjamin Faber, Thibault Fally, and Marco Gonzalez-Navarro #26890 (DEV, EFG, ITI)
  
• Scientific Grant Funding
  Pierre Azoulay and Danielle Li #26889 (PR)
  
• The Mid-Life Dip in Well-Being: Economists (Who Find It) Versus Psychologists (Who Don't)!
  David G. Blanchflower and Carol L. Graham #26888 (AG, HE, LS)
  
• Bank Stress Testing: Public Interest or Regulatory Capture?
  Thomas Ian Schneider, Philip E. Strahan, and Jun Yang #26887 (CF)
  
• Innovation and Entrepreneurship in Housing
  Edward Kung #26886 (PR)
  
• Copyright and Creativity. Evidence from Italian Opera During the Napoleonic Age
  Michela Giorcelli and Petra Moser #26885 (DAE, LE, PR)
  
• Government Incentives for Entrepreneurship
  Josh Lerner #26884 (PR)
  
• Inference for Ranks with Applications to Mobility across Neighborhoods and Academic Achievement across Countries
  Magne Mogstad, Joseph P. Romano, Azeem Shaikh, and Daniel Wilhelm #26883 (CH, LS, PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by March 23, 2020

• The Macroeconomics of Epidemics
  Martin S. Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt #26882 (EFG, HE, PE)
  
• What Do We Learn From Cross-Regional Empirical Estimates in Macroeconomics?
  Adam Guren, Alisdair McKay, Emi Nakamura, and Jón Steinsson #26881 (EFG, ME)
  
• Early Childhood Education and Life-cycle Health
  Jorge Luis García and James J. Heckman #26880 (CH, HC, HE)
  
• Medical Spending, Bequests, and Asset Dynamics Around the Time of Death
  John Bailey Jones, Mariacristina De Nardi, Eric French, Rory McGee, and Rachel Rodgers #26879 (HC, HE, PE)
  
• Gross Worker Flows and Fluctuations in the Aggregate Labor Market
  Per Krusell, Toshihiko Mukoyama, Richard Rogerson, and Ayşegül Şahin #26878 (EFG)
  
• Comparing Alternative China and US Arrangements with CPTPP
  Chunding Li, Xin Lin, and John Whalley #26877 (ITI)
  
• Understanding Cross-country Differences in Health Status and Expenditures
  Raquel Fonseca, François Langot, Pierre-Carl Michaud, and Thepthida Sopraseuth #26876 (AG)
  
• Same-Sex Couples and the Marital Surplus: The Importance of the Legal Environment
  Daniel S. Hamermesh and Scott Delhommer #26875 (LS)
  
• Harry Johnson’s “Case for Flexible Exchange Rates” – 50 Years Later
  Maurice Obstfeld #26874 (IFM)
  
• Market Design, Human Behavior, and Management
  Yan Chen, Peter Cramton, John A. List, and Axel Ockenfels #26873 (IO, LS)
  
• FRED-QD: A Quarterly Database for Macroeconomic Research
  Michael McCracken and Serena Ng #26872 (EFG, ME)
  
• Out of the Woodwork: Enrollment Spillovers in the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment
  Adam Sacarny, Katherine Baicker, and Amy Finkelstein #26871 (CH, HC, PE)
  
• Long-Term Health Insurance: Theory Meets Evidence
  Juan Pablo Atal, Hanming Fang, Martin Karlsson, and Nicolas R. Ziebarth #26870 (HC, HE, IO, PE)
  
• Chain Restaurant Calorie Posting Laws, Obesity, and Consumer Welfare
  Charles J. Courtemanche, David E. Frisvold, David Jimenez-Gomez, Mariétou Ouayogodé, and Michael Price #26869 (HE)
  
• Migration Costs and Observational Returns to Migration in the Developing World
  David Lagakos, Samuel Marshall, Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, Corey Vernot, and Michael E. Waugh #26868 (DEV, EFG, LS)
  
• What Will Be the Economic Impact of COVID-19 in the US? Rough Estimates of Disease Scenarios
  Andrew Atkeson #26867 (EFG)
  
• The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the “Spanish Flu” for the Coronavirus’s Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity
  Robert J. Barro, José F. Ursua, and Joanna Weng #26866 (EFG, HE, ME)
  
• International Transactions: Real Trade and Factor Flows between 1700 and 1870
  Wolfgang Keller, Markus Lampe, and Carol H. Shiue #26865 (DAE, ITI)
  
• Can Mentoring Help Female Assistant Professors in Economics? An Evaluation by Randomized Trial
  Donna K. Ginther, Janet Currie, Francine D. Blau, and Rachel Croson #26864 (ED, LS, PE)
  
• Occupational Skill Premia around the World
  David Kunst, Richard B. Freeman, and Remco Oostendorp #26863 (LS)
  

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Weekly papers released by March 16, 2020

• Fiscal Federalism and the Budget Impacts of the Affordable Care Act's Medicaid Expansion
  Jonathan Gruber and Benjamin D. Sommers #26862 (HC, HE, PE)
  
• Reasonable Doubt: Experimental Detection of Job-Level Employment Discrimination
  Patrick M. Kline and Christopher R. Walters #26861 (LE, LS, PE, TWP)
  
• Immigration and Worker-Firm Matching
  Gianluca Orefice and Giovanni Peri #26860 (IO, ITI, LS, PR)
  
• Contagion of Fear
  Kris James Mitchener and Gary Richardson #26859 (DAE, ME)
  
• Wandering Astray: Teenagers' Choices of Schooling and Crime
  Chao Fu, Nicolás Grau, and Jorge Rivera #26858 (ED, LE, LS, PE)
  
• Popular Economic Narratives Advancing the Longest U.S. Economic Expansion 2009-2019
  Robert J. Shiller #26857 (EFG)
  
• Measuring the Cost of Regulation: A Text-Based Approach
  Charles W. Calomiris, Harry Mamaysky, and Ruoke Yang #26856 (CF, EFG, IO, LE, POL)
  
• Redrawing the Map of Global Capital Flows: The Role of Cross-Border Financing and Tax Havens
  Antonio Coppola, Matteo Maggiori, Brent Neiman, and Jesse Schreger #26855 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ITI, LE, ME, PE)
  
• Heterogeneous Globalization: Offshoring and Reorganization
  Andrew B. Bernard, Teresa C. Fort, Valerie Smeets, and Frederic Warzynski #26854 (ITI)
  
• Reforming Inefficient Energy Pricing: Evidence from China
  Koichiro Ito and Shuang Zhang #26853 (DEV, EEE, IO)
  
• The Shadow Margins of Labor Market Slack
  R. Jason Faberman, Andreas I. Mueller, Ayşegül Şahin, and Giorgio Topa #26852 (EFG, ME)
  
• Capital Flow Waves—or Ripples? Extreme Capital Flow Movements Since the Crisis
  Kristin J. Forbes and Francis E. Warnock #26851 (IFM)
  
• Unpacking Household Engel Curves
  Philippe De Vreyer, Sylvie Lambert, and Martin Ravallion #26850 (DEV)
  
• A Method to Estimate Discrete Choice Models that is Robust to Consumer Search
  Jason Abaluck and Giovanni Compiani #26849 (AG, DEV, ED, HC, HE, IO, LS, PE, TWP)
  
• The Weak State Trap
  Leopoldo Fergusson, Carlos A. Molina, and James A. Robinson #26848 (POL)
  
• The Risk of Caution: Evidence from an R&D Experiment
  Richard Carson, Joshua S. Graff Zivin, Jordan Louviere, Sally Sadoff, and Jeffrey G. Shrader Jr #26847 (PR)
  
• Rebates in the Pharmaceutical Industry: Evidence from Medicines Sold in Retail Pharmacies in the U.S.
  Pragya Kakani, Michael Chernew, and Amitabh Chandra #26846 (HC, IO, PR)
  
• Perceived Precautionary Savings Motives: Evidence from FinTech
  Francesco D’Acunto, Thomas Rauter, Christoph K. Scheuch, and Michael Weber #26817 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  

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Weekly papers released by March 9, 2020

• Searching for STARs: Work Experience as a Job Market Signal for Workers without Bachelors Degrees
  Peter Q. Blair, Tomas G. Castagnino, Erica Groshen, Papia Debroy, Byron Auguste, Shad Ahmed, Fernando Garcia Diaz, and Cristian Bonavida #26844 (ED, LS, PR)
  
• The International Market for Corporate Control
  Anusha Chari #26843 (CF, IFM, ITI)
  
• How Developmental Neuroscience Can Help Address the Problem of Child Poverty
  Seth Pollak and Barbara L. Wolfe #26842 (HC)
  
• Administrative Discretion in Scientific Funding: Evidence from a Prestigious Postdoctoral Training Program
  Donna K. Ginther and Misty L. Heggeness #26841 (LS, PR)
  
• Happiness and the Quality of Government
  John F. Helliwell, Haifang Huang, and Shun Wang #26840 (LE, PE, POL)
  
• Urbanization and its Discontents
  Edward L. Glaeser #26839 (PE)
  
• Rising Bank Concentration
  Dean Corbae and Pablo D'Erasmo #26838 (CF, EFG, IO, ME)
  
• Gender Roles and the Gender Expectations Gap
  Francesco D’Acunto, Ulrike Malmendier, and Michael Weber #26837 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Education and Health Over the Life Cycle
  Robert Kaestner, Cuiping Schiman, and Jason M. Ward #26836 (AG, HC, HE)
  
• The Effect of Open-Air Waste Burning on Infant Health: Evidence from Government Failure in Lebanon
  Pierre Mouganie, Ruba Ajeeb, and Mark Hoekstra #26835 (CH, DEV, HE)
  
• Integrating Refugees: Language Training or Work-First Incentives?
  Jacob Nielsen Arendt, Iben Bolvig, Mette Foged, Linea Hasager, and Giovanni Peri #26834 (LS, PE)
  
• Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Model with Housing
  Klaus Adam and Michael Woodford #26833 (ME)
  
• Mandated Sick Pay: Coverage, Utilization, and Welfare Effects
  Johanna Catherine Maclean, Stefan Pichler, and Nicolas R. Ziebarth #26832 (AG, HC, HE, LS, PE)
  
• When a Master Dies: Speculation and Asset Float
  Julien Pénasse, Luc Renneboog, and José A. Scheinkman #26831 (AP)
  
• A Quantitative Analysis of Distortions in Managerial Forecasts
  Yueran Ma, Tiziano Ropele, David Sraer, and David Thesmar #26830 (CF, EFG, PR)
  
• Convex Supply Curves
  Christoph Boehm and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #26829 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Market Fragmentation
  Daniel Chen and Darrell Duffie #26828 (EFG)
  
• The Structure of Multinational Firms' International Activities
  Ronald B. Davies and James R. Markusen #26827 (ITI)
  
• Online Estimation of DSGE Models
  Michael D. Cai, Marco Del Negro, Edward P. Herbst, Ethan Matlin, Reca Sarfati, and Frank Schorfheide #26826 (EFG, ME)
  
• Terrorist Attacks, Cultural Incidents and the Vote for Radical Parties: Analyzing Text from Twitter
  Francesco Giavazzi, Felix Iglhaut, Giacomo Lemoli, and Gaia Rubera #26825 (POL)
  
• A Model of Scientific Communication
  Isaiah Andrews and Jesse M. Shapiro #26824 (TWP)
  
• Risks to Human Capital
  Mehran Ebrahimian and Jessica Wachter #26823 (AP)
  
• The Effects of Professor Gender on the Post-Graduation Outcomes of Female Students
  Hani Mansour, Daniel I. Rees, Bryson M. Rintala, and Nathan N. Wozny #26822 (ED, LS)
  
• Winners and Losers? The Effect of Gaining and Losing Access to Selective Colleges on Education and Labor Market Outcomes
  Sandra E. Black, Jeffrey T. Denning, and Jesse Rothstein #26821 (ED, LS)
  
• Capital Flows, Real Estate, and Local Cycles: Evidence from German Cities, Banks, and Firms
  Peter Bednarek, Daniel Marcel te Kaat, Chang Ma, and Alessandro Rebucci #26820 (CF, EFG, IFM, ME, PE)
  
• The Green Books and the Geography of Segregation in Public Accommodations
  Lisa D. Cook, Maggie E.C. Jones, David Rosé, and Trevon D. Logan #26819 (DAE)
  
• The Long-lasting Effects of Living under Communism on Attitudes towards Financial Markets
  Christine Laudenbach, Ulrike Malmendier, and Alexandra Niessen-Ruenzi #26818 (AG, CF, POL)
  
• A Model of Cryptocurrencies
  Michael Sockin and Wei Xiong #26816 (AP, CF, IFM, ME)
  
• Overpricing in China’s Corporate Bond Market
  Yi Ding, Wei Xiong, and Jinfan Zhang #26815 (AP, CF)
  
• Contingent Linear Financial Networks
  Bomin Jiang, Roberto Rigobon, and Munther A. Dahleh #26814 (IFM)
  
• Leverage Dynamics and Financial Flexibility
  Patrick Bolton, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang #26802 (AP, CF)
  
• The Financial Center Leverage Cycle: Does it Spread Around the World?
  Graciela L. Kaminsky, Leandro Medina, and Shiyi Wang #26793 (IFM)
  

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Weekly papers released by March 2, 2020

• Early Childhood Care and Cognitive Development
  Juan Chaparro, Aaron Sojourner, and Matthew J. Wiswall #26813 (CH)
  
• Prices and Federal Policies in Opioid Markets
  Casey B. Mulligan #26812 (HE, PE)
  
• Intended and Unintended Effects of Banning Menthol Cigarettes
  Christopher Carpenter and Hai V. Nguyen #26811 (HE)
  
• Human Capital as Engine of Growth – The Role of Knowledge Transfers in Promoting Balanced Growth Within and Across Countries
  Isaac Ehrlich and Yun Pei #26810 (ED, EFG, HE, ITI, PR)
  
• Trust and Saving in Financial Institutions
  Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler, and Camila Navajas Ahumada #26809 (DEV)
  
• What Determines Consumer Financial Distress? Place- and Person-Based Factors
  Benjamin J. Keys, Neale Mahoney, and Hanbin Yang #26808 (CF, IO, LS, PE)
  
• Does Information About Climate Risk Affect Property Values?
  Miyuki Hino and Marshall Burke #26807 (EEE)
  
• Network-Based Hiring: Local Benefits; Global Costs
  Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Melanie Morten, and Alessandra Peter #26806 (DEV, LS, PE, PR)
  
• Housing Discrimination and Pollution Exposures in the United States
  Peter Christensen, Ignacio Sarmiento-Barbieri, and Christopher Timmins #26805 (EEE)
  
• The Electric Vehicle Transition and the Economics of Banning Gasoline Vehicles
  Stephen P. Holland, Erin T. Mansur, and Andrew J. Yates #26804 (EEE)
  
• Utilization-Adjusted TFP Across Countries: Measurement and Implications for International Comovement
  Zhen Huo, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #26803 (EFG, IFM, ITI)
  
• A New Mechanism to Alleviate the Crises of Confidence in Science-With An Application to the Public Goods Game
  Luigi Butera, Philip J. Grossman, Daniel Houser, John A. List, and Marie-Claire Villeval #26801 (EEE, IO, PE)
  
• Markups, Labor Market Inequality and the Nature of Work
  Greg Kaplan and Piotr Zoch #26800 (EFG, IO, ME)
  
• Secured Credit Spread
  Efraim Benmelech, Nitish Kumar, and Raghuram Rajan #26799 (AP, CF, ME)
  
• Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers
  Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, Christopher Otrok, and Eswar S. Prasad #26798 (IFM)
  
• Uncovered Interest Parity, Forward Guidance, and the Exchange Rate
  Jordi Galí #26797 (IFM, ME)
  
• Monetary Policy and Bubbles in a New Keynesian Model with Overlapping Generations
  Jordi Galí #26796 (, ME, EFG)
  
• Random-Coefficients Logit Demand Estimation with Zero-Valued Market Shares
  Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, Ali Hortaçsu, and Joonhwi Joo #26795 (IO)
  
• Intertemporal Price Discrimination in Sequential Quantity-Price Games
  James D. Dana Jr. and Kevin R. Williams #26794 (IO)
  
• The Collateral Channel of Monetary Policy: Evidence from China
  Hanming Fang, Yongqin Wang, and Xian Wu #26792 (AP, ME, IFM)
  
• 21st Century Macro
  Narayana R. Kocherlakota #26791 (EFG, ME)
  
• How do U.S. Visa Policies Affect Unauthorized Immigration?
  Brian K. Kovak and Rebecca Lessem #26790 (ITI, LS)
  
• Take the Q Train: Value Capture of Public Infrastructure Projects
  Arpit Gupta, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Constantine Kontokosta #26789 (AP, CF, PE)
  
• Across-Country Wage Compression in Multinationals
  Jonas Hjort, Xuan Li, and Heather Sarsons #26788 (DEV, LS)
  
• Does Student Loan Forgiveness Drive Disability Application?
  Philip Armour and Melanie A. Zaber #26787 (PE)
  
• Between Firm Changes in Earnings Inequality: The Dominant Role of Industry Effects
  John C. Haltiwanger and James R. Spletzer #26786 (EFG, LS, PR)
  
• The Role of Heterogeneous Risk Preferences, Discount Rates, and Earnings Expectations in College Major Choice
  Arpita Patnaik, Joanna Venator, Matthew Wiswall, and Basit Zafar #26785 (ED, LS)
  
• Can Low Retirement Savings Be Rationalized?
  Jason S. Scott, John B. Shoven, Sita N. Slavov, and John G. Watson #26784 (AG)
  
• The Cost of Convenience: Ridehailing and Traffic Fatalities
  John M. Barrios, Yael Hochberg, and Hanyi Yi #26783 (PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by February 24, 2020

• Media Competition and News Diets
  Charles Angelucci, Julia Cagé, and Michael Sinkinson #26782 (IO)
  
• Votes For Women: An Economic Perspective on Women’s Enfranchisement
  Carolyn Moehling and Melissa A. Thomasson #26781 (DAE)
  
• Cigarette Taxes and Teen Marijuana Use
  D. Mark Anderson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, and Joseph J. Sabia #26780 (HE)
  
• Drinking and Driving
  Frank A. Sloan #26779 (HE)
  
• Forward Guidance and Household Expectations
  Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #26778 (AP, CF, EFG, ME)
  
• Anti-Bullying Laws and Suicidal Behaviors among Teenagers
  Daniel I. Rees, Joseph J. Sabia, and Gokhan Kumpas #26777 (HE)
  
• Digitization and Pre-Purchase Information: The Causal and Welfare Impacts of Reviews and Crowd Ratings
  Imke C. Reimers and Joel Waldfogel #26776 (IO)
  
• Advance Market Commitments: Insights from Theory and Experience
  Michael Kremer, Jonathan D. Levin, and Christopher M. Snyder #26775 (CH, DEV, HE, IO, LE, PE, POL, PR)
  
• Does Race Matter for Police Use of Force? Evidence from 911 Calls
  Mark Hoekstra and CarlyWill Sloan #26774 (LE, LS)
  
• Beyond Basis Basics: Leverage Demand and Deviations from the Law of One Price
  Todd M. Hazelkorn, Tobias J. Moskowitz, and Kaushik Vasudevan #26773 (AP, IFM)
  
• Confirmatory Bias in Health Decisions: Evidence from the MMR-Autism Controversy
  Mengcen Qian, Shin-Yi Chou, and Ernest K. Lai #26772 (HE)
  
• Information Acquisition, Efficiency, and Non-Fundamental Volatility
  Benjamin M. Hébert and Jennifer La'O #26771 (EFG)
  
• A Method to Construct Geographical Crosswalks with an Application to US Counties since 1790
  Fabian Eckert, Andrés Gvirtz, Jack Liang, and Michael Peters #26770 (DAE, DEV, EFG, ITI)
  
• Medicaid Physician Fees and Access to Care among Children with Special Health Care Needs
  Pinka Chatterji, Sandra Decker, and Jason U. Huh #26769 (HE)
  
• Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research
  Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana #26768 (EFG)
  
• The Limits of onetary Economics: On Money as a Latent Medium of Exchange
  Ricardo Lagos and Shengxing Zhang #26756 (EFG, ME)
  

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Weekly papers released by February 17, 2020

• Immigration Lottery Design: Engineered and Coincidental Consequences of H-1B Reforms
  Parag A. Pathak, Alex Rees-Jones, and Tayfun Sönmez #26767 (LS)
  
• When and How to Use Public-Private Partnerships in Infrastructure: Lessons From the International Experience
  Eduardo Engel, Ronald D. Fischer, and Alexander Galetovic #26766 (PE)
  
• Estimating Dynamic Games of Oligopolistic Competition: An Experimental Investigation
  Tobias Salz and Emanuel Vespa #26765 (IO)
  
• Long-run Trends in the U.S. SES-Achievement Gap
  Eric A. Hanushek, Paul E. Peterson, Laura M. Talpey, and Ludger Woessmann #26764 (CH, ED, LS, PE)
  
• Were Jews in Interwar Poland More Educated?
  Ran Abramitzky and Hanna Halaburda #26763 (DAE)
  
• The Corporate Finance of Multinational Firms
  Isil Erel, Yeejin Jang, and Michael S. Weisbach #26762 (CF)
  
• Partial Identification and Inference for Dynamic Models and Counterfactuals
  Myrto Kalouptsidi, Yuichi Kitamura, Lucas Lima, and Eduardo A. Souza-Rodrigues #26761 (IO, ITI)
  
• Why Is the Euro Punching Below Its Weight?
  Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff #26760 (IFM, ME)
  
• School Effects on Socio-emotional Development, School-Based Arrests, and Educational Attainment
  C. Kirabo Jackson, Shanette C. Porter, John Q. Easton, Alyssa Blanchard, and Sebastián Kiguel #26759 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• Effects of Scaling Up Private School Choice Programs on Public School Students
  David N. Figlio, Cassandra M.D. Hart, and Krzysztof Karbownik #26758 (CH, ED)
  
• Social Groups and the Effectiveness of Protests
  Marco Battaglini, Rebecca B. Morton, and Eleonora Patacchini #26757 (POL)
  
• The Limits of Monetary Economics: On Money as a Latent Medium of Exchange
  Ricardo Lagos and Shengxing Zhang #26756 (EFG, ME)
  
• Can Investors Time Their Exposure to Private Equity?
  Gregory Brown, Robert S. Harris, Wendy Hu, Tim Jenkinson, Steven N. Kaplan, and David T. Robinson #26755 (CF)
  
• Historical Natural Experiments: Bridging Economics and Economic History
  Davide Cantoni and Noam Yuchtman #26754 (DAE, DEV, LS, POL)
  
• Central Bank Digital Currency: Central Banking For All?
  Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Daniel Sanches, Linda Schilling, and Harald Uhlig #26753 (EFG)
  
• Stagnation and Scientific Incentives
  Jay Bhattacharya and Mikko Packalen #26752 (HE, PR)
  
• Drug Firms' Payments and Physicians' Prescribing Behavior in Medicare Part D
  Colleen Carey, Ethan M.J. Lieber, and Sarah Miller #26751 (HC)
  
• An Exploration of Trend-Cycle Decomposition Methodologies in Simulated Data
  Robert J. Hodrick #26750 (EFG)
  
• Effect of Prescription Opioids and Prescription Opioid Control Policies on Infant Health
  Engy Ziedan and Robert Kaestner #26749 (CH, HC, HE, PE)
  
• The Determinants of Income Segregation and Intergenerational Mobility: Using Test Scores to Measure Undermatching
  Raj Chetty, John N. Friedman, Emmanuel Saez, Nicholas Turner, and Danny Yagan #26748 (CH, ED, LS, PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by February 10, 2020

• College Attainment, Income Inequality, and Economic Security: A Simulation Exercise
  Brad Hershbein, Melissa Schettini Kearney, and Luke W. Pardue #26747 (ED, LS, PE)
  
• The Economic Consequences of Increasing Sleep Among the Urban Poor
  Pedro Bessone, Gautam Rao, Frank Schilbach, Heather Schofield, and Mattie Toma #26746 (DEV, HE, LS)
  
• A Fiscal Theory of Monetary Policy with Partially-Repaid Long-Term Debt
  John H. Cochrane #26745 (AP, EFG, ME)
  
• Identity Verification Standards in Welfare Programs: Experimental Evidence from India
  Karthik Muralidharan, Paul Niehaus, and Sandip Sukhtankar #26744 (DEV, PE, POL)
  
• Neighborhood-Based Information Costs
  Benjamin M. Hébert and Michael Woodford #26743 (ME, TWP)
  
• Ethnic Attrition, Assimilation, and the Measured Health Outcomes of Mexican Americans
  Francisca M. Antman, Brian Duncan, and Stephen J. Trejo #26742 (LS)
  
• Gains from Trade: Does Sectoral Heterogeneity Matter?
  Rahul Giri, Kei-Mu Yi, and Hakan Yilmazkuday #26741 (ITI)
  
• Inflation and the Price of Real Assets
  Matteo Leombroni, Monika Piazzesi, Martin Schneider, and Ciaran Rogers #26740 (AP, EFG)
  
• Technological Innovation and Discrimination in Household Finance
  Adair Morse and Karen Pence #26739 (CF, LE)
  
• Competing with Robots: Firm-Level Evidence from France
  Daron Acemoglu, Claire LeLarge, and Pascual Restrepo #26738 (EFG, LS)
  
• The Effects of Prize Structures on Innovative Performance
  Joshua Graff Zivin and Elizabeth Lyons #26737 (LS, PR)
  
• Simplifying and Improving the Performance of Risk Adjustment Systems
  Thomas G. McGuire, Anna L. Zink, and Sherri Rose #26736 (HC, HE)
  
• Physician Health Management Skills and Patient Outcomes
  Emilia Simeonova, Niels Skipper, and Peter R. Thingholm #26735 (AG, HC, HE)
  
• Correlation Neglect in Student-to-School Matching
  Alex Rees-Jones, Ran Shorrer, and Chloe J. Tergiman #26734 (ED, PE)
  
• The Allocation of Authority in Organizations: A Field Experiment with Bureaucrats
  Oriana Bandiera, Michael Carlos Best, Adnan Qadir Khan, and Andrea Prat #26733 (DEV, PE, POL)
  
• Not Playing Favorites: An Experiment on Parental Fairness Preferences
  James Berry, Rebecca Dizon-Ross, and Maulik Jagnani #26732 (CH, DEV, ED)
  
• Globotics and Development: When Manufacturing is Jobless and Services are Tradable
  Richard Baldwin and Rikard Forslid #26731 (IFM, ITI)
  
• Decentralized Targeting of Agricultural Credit Programs: Private versus Political Intermediaries
  Pushkar Maitra, Sandip Mitra, Dilip Mookherjee, and Sujata Visaria #26730 (DEV, POL)
  
• The Demand for Interns
  David A. Jaeger, John M. Nunley, Alan Seals, and Eric J. Wilbrandt #26729 (LS)
  
• Not All School Shootings are the Same and the Differences Matter
  Phillip B. Levine and Robin McKnight #26728 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• Are Large Deficits and Debt Dangerous?
  Michael J. Boskin #26727 (PE)
  
• The Effects of E-Cigarette Taxes on E-Cigarette Prices and Tobacco Product Sales: Evidence from Retail Panel Data
  Chad D. Cotti, Charles J. Courtemanche, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Erik T. Nesson, Michael F. Pesko, and Nathan Tefft #26724 (HE)
  

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Weekly papers released by February 3, 2020

• Professional Interactions and Hiring Decisions: Evidence from the Federal Judiciary
  Marco Battaglini, Jorgen M. Harris, and Eleonora Patacchini #26726 (LS)
  
• Is the Cure Worse than the Disease? Unintended Effects of Payment Reform in a Quantity-based Transfer Program
  Katherine Meckel #26725 (CH, PE)
  
• The Effects of E-Cigarette Taxes on E-Cigarette Prices and Tobacco Product Sales: Evidence from Retail Panel Data
  Chad D. Cotti, Charles J. Courtemanche, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Erik T. Nesson, Michael Francis Pesko, and Nathan Tefft #26724 (HE)
  
• Why is Unemployment so Countercyclical?
  Lawrence J. Christiano, Martin S. Eichenbaum, and Mathias Trabandt #26723 (EFG)
  
• Hours and Wages
  Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, and Richard Rogerson #26722 (EFG)
  
• Risk Premium Shocks Can Create Inefficient Recessions
  Sebastian Di Tella and Robert E. Hall #26721 (AP, EFG, PE)
  
• Structural Reforms and Elections: Evidence from a World-Wide New Dataset
  Alberto F. Alesina, Davide Furceri, Jonathan D. Ostry, Chris Papageorgiou, and Dennis P. Quinn #26720 (POL)
  
• The Wage Penalty of Regional Accents
  Jeffrey Grogger, Andreas Steinmayr, and Joachim Winter #26719 (LS)
  
• Efficiency Versus Equity in the Provision of In-Kind Benefits: Evidence from Cost Containment in the California WIC Program
  Katherine Meckel, Maya Rossin-Slater, and Lindsey M. Uniat #26718 (CH, PE)
  
• Do Cash Windfalls Affect Wages? Evidence from R&D Grants to Small Firms
  Sabrina T. Howell and J. David Brown #26717 (CF, EEE, LS, PE, PR)
  
• Forecasting the Results of Experiments: Piloting an Elicitation Strategy
  Stefano DellaVigna, Nicholas Otis, and Eva Vivalt #26716 (DEV, LS)
  
• Technology and Big Data Are Changing Economics: Mining Text to Track Methods
  Janet Currie, Henrik Kleven, and Esmée Zwiers #26715 (AG, CH, DEV, ED, EEE, HC, HE, IO, ITI, LS, PE, POL)
  
• Global Effects of the Brexit Referendum: Evidence from US Corporations
  Murillo Campello, Gustavo S. Cortes, Fabricio d'Almeida, and Gaurav Kankanhalli #26714 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ITI)
  
• Interaction of the Labor Market and the Health Insurance System: Employer-Sponsored, Individual, and Public Insurance
  Naoki Aizawa and Chao Fu #26713 (LS)
  
• Economic Incentives Surrounding Fertility: Evidence from Alaska's Permanent Fund Dividend
  Nishant Yonzan, Laxman Timilsina, and Inas Rashad Kelly #26712 (HE, PE)
  
• Misallocation or Mismeasurement?
  Mark Bils, Peter J. Klenow, and Cian Ruane #26711 (EFG, PR)
  
• Countercyclical Capital Buffers: A Cautionary Tale
  Christoffer Koch, Gary Richardson, and Patrick Van Horn #26710 (CF, DAE)
  
• A Century of the American Woman Voter: Sex Gaps in Political Participation, Preferences, and Partisanship Since Women’s Enfranchisement
  Elizabeth U. Cascio and Na’ama Shenhav #26709 (CH, DAE, ED, LS, POL)
  
• Factor Timing
  Valentin Haddad, Serhiy Kozak, and Shrihari Santosh #26708 (AP)
  
• Did Mutual Fund Return Persistence Persist?
  James J. Choi and Kevin Zhao #26707 (AP)
  
• The Aggregate Consequences of Default Risk: Evidence from Firm-level Data
  Timothy J. Besley, Isabelle A. Roland, and John Van Reenen #26686 (CF, EFG, PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by January 27, 2020

• Execution Risk and Arbitrage Opportunities in the Foreign Exchange Markets
  Takatoshi Ito, Kenta Yamada, Misako Takayasu, and Hideki Takayasu #26706 (IFM)
  
• Extending the Race between Education and Technology
  David Autor, Claudia Goldin, and Lawrence F. Katz #26705 (LS)
  
• Dynamic Taxation
  Stefanie Stantcheva #26704 (EFG, PE)
  
• Ask and You Shall Receive? Gender Differences in Regrades in College
  Cher Hsuehhsiang Li and Basit Zafar #26703 (ED, LS)
  
• The Past and Future of Econ 101: The John R. Commons Award Lecture
  N. Gregory Mankiw #26702 (EFG)
  
• Leverage and Asset Prices: An Experiment.
  Marco Cipriani, Ana Fostel, and Daniel Houser #26701 (AP, IFM, ME)
  
• Should the Government be Paying Investment Fees on $3 Trillion of Tax-Deferred Retirement Assets?
  Mattia Landoni and Stephen P. Zeldes #26700 (AG, PE)
  
• Linguistic Traits and Human Capital Formation
  Oded Galor, Ömer Özak, and Assaf Sarid #26699 (DEV, ED, EFG)
  
• Factor Market Failures and the Adoption of Irrigation in Rwanda
  Maria Jones, Florence Kondylis, John Loeser, and Jeremy Magruder #26698 (DEV)
  
• Do Elections Make You Sick?
  Hung-Hao Chang and Chad Meyerhoefer #26697 (HC, HE, POL)
  
• The Employment Effects of the Social Security Earnings Test
  Alexander M. Gelber, Damon Jones, Daniel W. Sacks, and Jae Song #26696 (AG, LS, PE)
  
• Regional Monetary Policies and the Great Depression
  Pooyan Amir-Ahmadi, Gustavo S. Cortes, and Marc D. Weidenmier #26695 (DAE, ME)
  
• Changing Stability in U.S. Employment Relationships: A Tale of Two Tails
  Raven Molloy, Christopher Smith, and Abigail K. Wozniak #26694 (AG, DAE, EFG, LS)
  
• Information and Social Norms: Experimental Evidence on the Labor Market Aspirations of Saudi Women
  Monira Essa Aloud, Sara Al-Rashood, Ina Ganguli, and Basit Zafar #26693 (DEV, LS)
  
• Cigarette Taxes and Smoking Among Sexual Minority Adults
  Christopher Carpenter and Dario Sansone #26692 (HE)
  
• Effects of the Minimum Wage on Child Health
  George Wehby, Robert Kaestner, Wei Lyu, and Dhaval M. Dave #26691 (CH, DEV, HC, HE, LS, PE)
  
• The State of Mental Health Among the Elderly Chinese
  Yi Chen and Hanming Fang #26690 (DEV, HC, HE, PE)
  
• Optimal Bank Regulation In the Presence of Credit and Run-Risk
  Anil K. Kashyap, Dimitrios P. Tsomocos, and Alexandros P. Vardoulakis #26689 (CF, ME)
  
• Academic Engagement, Commercialization, and Scholarship: Empirical Evidence from Agricultural and Life Scientists at U.S. Land-grant Universities
  Bradford L. Barham, Jeremy D. Foltz, and Ana Paula Melo #26688 (PR)
  
• Looking Back at Fifty Years of the Clean Air Act
  Joseph E. Aldy, Maximilian Auffhammer, Maureen L. Cropper, Arthur G. Fraas, and Richard Morgenstern #26687 (EEE)
  

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Weekly papers released by January 20, 2020

• College Access and Adult Health
  Benjamin W. Cowan and Nathan Tefft #26685 (ED, HE)
  
• Target Date Funds and Portfolio Choice in 401(k) Plans
  Olivia S. Mitchell and Stephen Utkus #26684 (AG, LS)
  
• A Unified Perspective on Efficiency, Redistribution, and Public Policy
  Louis Kaplow #26683 (PE)
  
• Inequality, Information Failures, and Air Pollution
  Catherine Hausman and Samuel Stolper #26682 (EEE)
  
• Unpacking Skill Bias: Automation and New Tasks
  Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo #26681 (, , EFG, LS)
  
• Structural Increases in Skill Demand after the Great Recession
  Peter Q. Blair and David J. Deming #26680 (ED, LS, PR)
  
• Demand Shocks, Procurement Policies, and the Nature of Medical Innovation: Evidence from Wartime Prosthetic Device Patents
  Jeffrey Clemens and Parker Rogers #26679 (AG, DAE, HC, HE, IO, LS, PE, PR)
  
• Finance and Children’s Academic Performance
  Qing Hu, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Mingzhu Tai #26678 (CF, CH, ED, LS)
  
• The cost of being too patient
  Paola Giuliano and Paola Sapienza #26677 (POL)
  
• States Taking the Reins? Employment Verification Requirements and Local Labor Market Outcomes
  Shalise Ayromloo, Benjamin Feigenberg, and Darren Lubotsky #26676 (LS)
  
• The Polarization of Reality
  Alberto F. Alesina, Armando Miano, and Stefanie Stantcheva #26675 (PE, POL)
  
• Caught between Cultures: Unintended Consequences of Improving Opportunity for Immigrant Girls
  Gordon B. Dahl, Cristina Felfe, Paul Frijters, and Helmut Rainer #26674 (CH, LS, PE, POL)
  
• The Allocation of Decision Authority to Human and Artificial Intelligence
  Susan C. Athey, Kevin A. Bryan, and Joshua S. Gans #26673 (PR)
  
• In Praise of Confidence Intervals
  David Romer #26672 (EFG, LS, ME)
  
• Monetary Policy and Sovereign Risk in Emerging Economies (NK-Default)
  Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai, and Gabriel P. Mihalache #26671 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Time Spent Exercising and Obesity: An Application of Lewbel’s Instrumental Variables Method
  Charles J. Courtemanche, Joshua C. Pinkston, and Jay Stewart #26670 (HE)
  
• Cross-Country Trends in Affective Polarization
  Levi Boxell, Matthew Gentzkow, and Jesse M. Shapiro #26669 (POL)
  
• The Consumption Effects of the Disposition to Sell Winners and Hold Losers
  Benjamin Loos, Steffen Meyer, and Michaela Pagel #26668 (AP)
  
• Coalition-Proof Risk Sharing Under Frictions
  Harold L. Cole, Dirk Krueger, George J. Mailath, and Yena Park #26667 (EFG, IFM, PE, POL)
  
• The Long-Run Effects of Monetary Policy
  Òscar Jordà, Sanjay R. Singh, and Alan M. Taylor #26666 (DAE, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Product Innovation, Product Diversification, and Firm Growth: Evidence from Japan’s Early Industrialization
  Serguey Braguinsky, Atsushi Ohyama, Tetsuji Okazaki, and Chad Syverson #26665 (EFG, IO, ITI, PR)
  
• Associative Memory and Belief Formation
  Benjamin Enke, Frederik Schwerter, and Florian Zimmermann #26664 (POL)
  
• Private Money Production without Banks
  Gary B. Gorton #26663 (AP, CF, ME)
  
• The Economic Consequences of Being Denied an Abortion
  Sarah Miller, Laura R. Wherry, and Diana Greene Foster #26662 (CH, HC, HE)
  
• Microentrepreneurship in Developing Countries
  Seema Jayachandran #26661 (DEV, EFG, PR)
  
• Workplace Knowledge Flows
  Jason Sandvik, Richard Saouma, Nathan Seegert, and Christopher T. Stanton #26660 (LS, PR)
  
• What Caused Racial Disparities in Particulate Exposure to Fall? New Evidence from the Clean Air Act and Satellite-Based Measures of Air Quality
  Janet Currie, John Voorheis, and Reed Walker #26659 (CH, EEE, HE, LS, PE)
  
• Growth, Automation and the Long Run Share of Labor
  Debraj Ray ⓡ and Dilip Mookherjee #26658 (DEV, LS, PR)
  
• Monetary Policy Strategies for the Federal Reserve
  Lars E.O. Svensson #26657 (ME)
  
• The Structure of Economic News
  Leland Bybee, Bryan T. Kelly, Asaf Manela, and Dacheng Xiu #26648 (AP, EFG, POL)
  

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Weekly papers released by January 13, 2020

• Equilibrium Consequences of Corruption on Firms: Evidence from China’s Anti-Corruption Campaign
  Haoyuan Ding, Hanming Fang, Shu Lin, and Kang Shi #26656 (DEV, PE)
  
• Effects of Fiscal Policy on Credit Markets
  Alan J. Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Daniel Murphy #26655 (EFG, ME, PE)
  
• Political Activism and the Provision of Dynamic Incentives
  Antoine Camous and Russell Cooper #26654 (EFG)
  
• Do Firm Effects Drift? Evidence from Washington Administrative Data
  Marta Lachowska, Alexandre Mas, Raffaele D. Saggio, and Stephen A. Woodbury #26653 (LS)
  
• The Economic Consequences of Political Hierarchy: Evidence from Regime Changes in China, AD1000-2000
  Ying Bai and Ruixue Jia #26652 (PE, POL)
  
• The End of Economic Growth? Unintended Consequences of a Declining Population
  Charles I. Jones #26651 (EFG, PR)
  
• A Skeptic's Guide to Modern Monetary Theory
  N. Gregory Mankiw #26650 (EFG, ME)
  
• Can Re-Enrollment Campaigns Help Dropouts Return to College? Evidence from Florida Community Colleges
  Justin C. Ortagus, Melvin J. Tanner, and Isaac McFarlin Jr. #26649 (ED)
  
• Micro Jumps, Macro Humps: Monetary Policy and Business Cycles in an Estimated HANK Model
  Adrien Auclert, Matthew Rognlie, and Ludwig Straub #26647 (EFG, ME)
  
• Quantum Prices
  Diego Aparicio and Roberto Rigobon #26646 (IFM, ME)
  
• Real Effects of Search Frictions in Consumer Credit Markets
  Bronson Argyle, Taylor D. Nadauld, and Christopher Palmer #26645 (CF, IO, PE)
  
• Japanese Foreign Exchange Interventions, 1971-2018: Estimating a Reaction Function Using the Best Proxy
  Takatoshi Ito and Tomoyoshi Yabu #26644 (IFM)
  
• Who Are the Hand-to-Mouth
  Mark A. Aguiar, Mark Bils, and Corina Boar #26643 (EFG)
  
• Unhappiness and age
  David G. Blanchflower #26642 (DEV, LS)
  
• Is Happiness U-shaped Everywhere? Age and Subjective Well-being in 132 Countries
  David G. Blanchflower #26641 (LS)
  
• Using Payroll Tax Variation to Unpack the Black Box of Firm-Level Production
  Youssef Benzarti and Jarkko Harju #26640 (PE, AG)
  
• The Effects of Income on Children’s Health: Evidence from Supplemental Security Income Eligibility under New York State Medicaid
  Hansoo Ko, Renata E. Howland, and Sherry A. Glied #26639 (HE)
  
• Socioeconomic Decline and Death: Midlife Impacts of Graduating in a Recession
  Hannes Schwandt and Till M. von Wachter #26638 (AG, HE, LS)
  
• The Decline of Secured Debt
  Efraim Benmelech, Nitish Kumar, and Raghuram Rajan #26637 (CF, DAE, EFG, LE)
  
• Farm Profits, Prices and Household Behavior
  Daniel R. LaFave, Evan D. Peet, and Duncan Thomas #26636 (DEV)
  
• Dynastic Precautionary Savings
  Corina Boar #26635 (AG, EFG)
  
• The Impact of Deunionization on the Growth and Dispersion of Productivity and Pay
  Giovanni Dosi, Richard B. Freeman, Marcelo C. Pereira, Andrea Roventini, and Maria Enrica Virgillito #26634 (LS)
  
• How Are Employers Responding to an Aging Workforce?
  Robert L. Clark and Beth M. Ritter #26633 (AG)
  
• Imputing Missing Values in the US Census Bureau's County Business Patterns
  Fabian Eckert, Teresa C. Fort, Peter K. Schott, and Natalie J. Yang #26632 (DAE, ITI, LS, PR)
  
• Transparency in Structural Research
  Isaiah Andrews, Matthew Gentzkow, and Jesse M. Shapiro #26631 (IO, TWP)
  
• Household Balance Sheet Channels of Monetary Policy: A Back of the Envelope Calculation for the Euro Area
  Jiri Slacalek, Oreste Tristani, and Giovanni L. Violante #26630 (EFG, ME)
  
• How Does State-Level Carbon Pricing in the United States Affect Industrial Competitiveness?
  Brendan J. Casey, Wayne B. Gray, Joshua Linn, and Richard Morgenstern #26629 (EEE)
  
• Precautionary Saving in a Financially-Constrained Firm
  Andrew B. Abel and Stavros Panageas #26628 (CF, EFG)
  
• How Do Employers Use Compensation History?: Evidence From a Field Experiment
  Moshe A. Barach and John J. Horton #26627 (LS)
  
• Consumer Protection in an Online World: An Analysis of Occupational Licensing
  Chiara Farronato, Andrey Fradkin, Bradley Larsen, and Erik Brynjolfsson #26601 (IO, LE, LS, PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by January 6, 2020

• Cross-Asset Information Synergy in Mutual Fund Families
  Jun Kyung Auh and Jennie Bai #26626 (AP)
  
• Technological Transitions with Skill Heterogeneity Across Generations
  Rodrigo Adão, Martin Beraja, and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #26625 (EFG, ITI, LS)
  
• Combining Matching and Synthetic Controls to Trade off Biases from Extrapolation and Interpolation
  Maxwell Kellogg, Magne Mogstad, Guillaume Pouliot, and Alexander Torgovitsky #26624 (LS, PE)
  
• Age Discrimination in Hiring: Evidence from Age-Blind vs. Non-Age-Blind Hiring Procedures
  David Neumark #26623 (AG, LS)
  
• Is Parental Leave Costly for Firms and Coworkers?
  Anne A. Brenøe, Serena P. Canaan, Nikolaj A. Harmon, and Heather N. Royer #26622 (CH, HE, LS, PE)
  
• The Impact of Bequest Motives on Retirement Behavior in Japan: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis
  Charles Yuji Horioka, Emin Gahramanov, Aziz Hayat, and Xueli Tang #26621 (AG, LS, PE)
  
• Diversity, Immigration, and Redistribution
  Alberto F. Alesina and Stefanie Stantcheva #26620 (PE, POL)
  
• The Negative Consequences of Loss-Framed Performance Incentives
  Lamar Pierce, Alex Rees-Jones, and Charlotte Blank #26619 (LS, PE)
  
• Does the Marginal Hospitalization Save Lives? The Case of Respiratory Admissions for the Elderly
  Janet Currie and David Slusky #26618 (AG, HC, HE)
  
• Why Firms Offer Paid Parental Leave: An Exploratory Study
  Claudia Goldin, Sari Pekkala Kerr, and Claudia Olivetti #26617 (CH, DAE, LS)
  
• Are Political and Charitable Giving Substitutes? Evidence from the United States
  Maria Petrova, Ricardo Perez-Truglia, Andrei Simonov, and Pinar Yildirim #26616 (PE, POL)
  
• Credit Rationing and Pass-Through in Supply Chains: Theory and Evidence from Bangladesh
  M. Shahe Emran, Dilip Mookherjee, Forhad Shilpi, and M. Helal Uddin #26615 (DEV, IO, ITI)
  
• Is Scholarly Refereeing Productive (at the Margin)?
  Aboozar Hadavand, Daniel S. Hamermesh, and Wesley W. Wilson #26614 (LS)
  
• Deterministic Debt Cycles in Open Economies with Flow Collateral Constraints
  Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe #26613 (EFG, IFM)
  
• Contract Work at Older Ages
  Katharine G. Abraham, Brad Hershbein, and Susan Houseman #26612 (AG, LS)
  
• Rising Import Tariffs, Falling Export Growth: When Modern Supply Chains Meet Old-Style Protectionism
  Kyle Handley, Fariha Kamal, and Ryan Monarch #26611 (IFM, ITI, PE)
  
• Who's Paying for the US Tariffs? A Longer-Term Perspective
  Mary Amiti, Stephen J. Redding, and David E. Weinstein #26610 (ITI)
  
• The Global Impact of Brexit Uncertainty
  Tarek Alexander Hassan, Stephan Hollander, Laurence van Lent, and Ahmed Tahoun #26609 (AP, CF, EFG, IFM, ITI)
  
• Recovering Investor Expectations from Demand for Index Funds
  Mark L. Egan, Alexander MacKay, and Hanbin Yang #26608 (AP, CF)
  
• Heterogeneity and Asset Prices: A Different Approach
  Nicolae B. Gârleanu and Stavros Panageas #26607 (AP, EFG)
  
• Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions
  Christiane Baumeister and James D. Hamilton #26606 (EFG, ME)
  
• Alternative Work Arrangements
  Alexandre Mas and Amanda Pallais #26605 (LS)
  
• Who Bears the Welfare Costs of Monopoly? The Case of the Credit Card Industry
  Kyle F. Herkenhoff and Gajendran Raveendranathan #26604 (AP, IO)
  
• Evaluating State and Local Business Tax Incentives
  Cailin R. Slattery and Owen M. Zidar #26603 (DAE, EFG, IO, ITI, LS, PE, POL, PR)
  
• Monetary Policy in an Era of Global Supply Chains
  Shang-Jin Wei and Yinxi Xie #26602 (ITI, ME)
  

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Weekly papers released by December 30, 2019

• General Equilibrium Effects of Cash Transfers: Experimental Evidence from Kenya
  Dennis Egger, Johannes Haushofer, Edward Miguel, Paul Niehaus, and Michael W. Walker #26600 (DEV, ME, PE)
  
• Coordination and Bandwagon Effects of Candidate Rankings: Evidence from Runoff Elections
  Vincent Pons and Clémence Tricaud #26599 (POL)
  
• The Private and External Costs of Germany's Nuclear Phase-Out
  Stephen Jarvis, Olivier Deschenes, and Akshaya Jha #26598 (EEE)
  
• Demand for Older Workers: What Do Economists Think? What Are Firms Doing?
  Steven G. Allen #26597 (AG)
  
• Econometrics For Decision Making: Building Foundations Sketched By Haavelmo And Wald
  Charles F. Manski #26596 (TWP)
  
• Motivated Errors
  Christine L. Exley and Judd B. Kessler #26595 (PE)
  
• Railroads, Reallocation, and the Rise of American Manufacturing
  Richard Hornbeck and Martin Rotemberg #26594 (DAE, DEV, EEE, EFG, IO, ITI, LS, PE, PR)
  
• An Econometric Model of International Long-run Growth Dynamics
  Ulrich K. Müller, James H. Stock, and Mark W. Watson #26593 (EFG)
  
• Voluntary Disclosure and Personalized Pricing
  S. Nageeb Ali, Gregory Lewis, and Shoshana Vasserman #26592 (IO)
  
• Urban Growth and its Aggregate Implications
  Gilles Duranton and Diego Puga #26591 (PE)
  
• A Market for Work Permits
  Michael Lokshin and Martin Ravallion #26590 (DEV, LS)
  
• E-Cigarettes and Adult Smoking: Evidence from Minnesota
  Henry Saffer, Daniel L. Dench, Michael Grossman, and Dhaval M. Dave #26589 (HE)
  
• Saving Behavior Across the Wealth Distribution: The Importance of Capital Gains
  Andreas Fagereng, Martin Blomhoff Holm, Benjamin Moll, and Gisle Natvik #26588 (EFG, ME, PE)
  
• The (Non-) Effect of Opportunity Zones on Housing Prices
  Jiafeng Chen, Edward L. Glaeser, and David Wessel #26587 (PE)
  
• Market Efficiency in the Age of Big Data
  Ian Martin and Stefan Nagel #26586 (AP, ME)
  
• Relocating or Redefined: A New Perspective on Urbanization in China
  Li Gan, Qing He, Ruichao Si, and Daichun Yi #26585 (DEV, PE)
  
• Machine Labor
  Joshua Angrist and Brigham Frandsen #26584 (CH, DEV, LS, PE)
  

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