NBER Papers in JEL Code O2: Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - Development Planning and Policy

2022
w29819 Pierre Bachas
Matthew H. Fisher-Post
Anders Jensen
Gabriel Zucman

Globalization and Factor Income Taxation
2021
w29466 Martin Beraja
Andrew Kao
David Y. Yang
Noam Yuchtman

AI-tocracy
w29402 Shaoda Wang
David Y. Yang

Policy Experimentation in China: the Political Economy of Policy Learning
w29263 Jaedo Choi
Andrei A. Levchenko

The Long-Term Effects of Industrial Policy
w29252 Minho Kim
Munseob Lee
Yongseok Shin

The Plant-Level View of an Industrial Policy: The Korean Heavy Industry Drive of 1973
w29132 Nancy Luke
Kaivan Munshi
Anu Oommen
Swapnil Singh

Economic Development, the Nutrition Trap and Metabolic Disease
w29105 Luna Yue Huang
Solomon M. Hsiang
Marco Gonzalez-Navarro

Using Satellite Imagery and Deep Learning to Evaluate the Impact of Anti-Poverty Programs
w28969 Nuno Limão
Yang Xu

Size, Trade, Technology and the Division of Labor
w28637 Anne Brockmeyer
Alejandro Estefan
Karina Ramírez Arras
Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato

Taxing Property in Developing Countries: Theory and Evidence from Mexico
w28561 Francisco J. Buera
Hugo Hopenhayn
Yongseok Shin
Nicholas Trachter

Big Push in Distorted Economies
w28536 Alina Carare
Carlos de Resende
Andrew T. Levin
Chelsea Zhang

Do Monetary Policy Frameworks Matter in Low Income Countries?
w28459 Harold L. Cole
Daniel Neuhann
Guillermo Ordoñez

Asymmetric Information and Sovereign Debt: Theory Meets Mexican Data
w28423 Francisco J. Buera
Joseph P. Kaboski
Robert M. Townsend

From Micro to Macro Development
2020
w28313 Gordon H. Hanson
Who Will Fill China's Shoes? The Global Evolution of Labor-Intensive Manufacturing
w28171 Yang Jiao
Shang-Jin Wei

Natural Barriers and Policy Barriers
w28120 Cornelia Ilin
Sébastien E. Annan-Phan
Xiao Hui Tai
Shikhar Mehra
Solomon M. Hsiang
Joshua E. Blumenstock

Public Mobility Data Enables COVID-19 Forecasting and Management at Local and Global Scales
w28074 Abhijit Banerjee
Esther Duflo
Garima Sharma

Long-term Effects of the Targeting the Ultra Poor Program
w27919 Douglas A. Irwin
The Rise and Fall of Import Substitution
w27910 Kyle Handley
Nuno Limão
Rodney D. Ludema
Zhi Yu

Firm Input Choice Under Trade Policy Uncertainty
w27723 Martin Beraja
David Y. Yang
Noam Yuchtman

Data-intensive Innovation and the State: Evidence from AI Firms in China
w27670 Remi Jedwab
Adam Storeygard

The Average and Heterogeneous Effects of Transportation Investments: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa 1960-2010
w27662 Jonas Hjort
Vinayak Iyer
Golvine de Rochambeau

Informational Barriers to Market Access: Experimental Evidence from Liberian Firms
w27644 Jie Bai
Panle Jia Barwick
Shengmao Cao
Shanjun Li

Quid Pro Quo, Knowledge Spillover, and Industrial Quality Upgrading: Evidence from the Chinese Auto Industry
w27600 Angus Deaton
Randomization in the Tropics Revisited: a Theme and Eleven Variations
w27554 Martin Ravallion
Should the Randomistas (Continue to) Rule?
w27470 Alexander F. Wagner
Richard J. Zeckhauser
Alexandre Ziegler

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: Which Firms Won? Which Lost?
w27429 Pierre Bachas
Lucie Gadenne
Anders Jensen

Informality, Consumption Taxes and Redistribution
w27360 Laura Alfaro
Oscar Becerra
Marcela Eslava

EMEs and COVID-19: Shutting Down in a World of Informal and Tiny Firms
w27203 Bronwyn H. Hall
Patents, Innovation, and Development
w27202 David Laborde
Abdullah Mamun
Will Martin
Valeria Piñeiro
Rob Vos

Modeling the Impacts of Agricultural Support Policies on Emissions from Agriculture
w27140 David Baqaee
Emmanuel Farhi

Entry vs. Rents: Aggregation with Economies of Scale
w27139 David Baqaee
Emmanuel Farhi
Kunal Sangani

The Darwinian Returns to Scale
w26928 Erika Deserranno
Aisha Nansamba
Nancy Qian

The Unintended Consequences of NGO-Provided Aid on Government Services in Uganda
w26733 Oriana Bandiera
Michael Carlos Best
Adnan Qadir Khan
Andrea Prat

The Allocation of Authority in Organizations: A Field Experiment with Bureaucrats
2019
w26600 Dennis Egger
Johannes Haushofer
Edward Miguel
Paul Niehaus
Michael W. Walker

General Equilibrium Effects of Cash Transfers: Experimental Evidence from Kenya
w26273 Albert Bravo-Biosca
Experimental Innovation Policy
w26240 Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Tho Pham
Oleksandr Talavera

Conference Presentations and Academic Publishing
w26150 M. Chatib Basri
Mayara Felix
Rema Hanna
Benjamin A. Olken

Tax Administration vs. Tax Rates: Evidence from Corporate Taxation in Indonesia
w26075 Panle Jia Barwick
Myrto Kalouptsidi
Nahim Bin Zahur

China's Industrial Policy: an Empirical Evaluation
w25941 Jonas Hjort
Diana Moreira
Gautam Rao
Juan Francisco Santini

How Research Affects Policy: Experimental Evidence from 2,150 Brazilian Municipalities
w25789 Esther Delesalle
The Effect of the Universal Primary Education Program on Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Tanzania
w25680 Takeo Hoshi
Kozo Kiyota

Potential for Inward Foreign Direct Investment in Japan
w25549 Marlene Amstad
Zhiguo He

Chinese Bond Market and Interbank Market
w25502 Anders Jensen
Employment Structure and the Rise of the Modern Tax System
w25432 Hong Cheng
Hanbing Fan
Takeo Hoshi
Dezhuang Hu

Do Innovation Subsidies Make Chinese Firms More Innovative? Evidence from the China Employer Employee Survey
2018
w25370 Gabriel Chodorow-Reich
Gita Gopinath
Prachi Mishra
Abhinav Narayanan

Cash and the Economy: Evidence from India's Demonetization
w25265 Richard Akresh
Daniel Halim
Marieke Kleemans

Long-term and Intergenerational Effects of Education: Evidence from School Construction in Indonesia
w25222 Kaiji Chen
Tao Zha

Macroeconomic Effects of China's Financial Policies
w25183 Matthew Grennan
Charu Gupta
Mara Lederman

Firm Scope and Spillovers from New Product Innovation: Evidence from Medical Devices
w25112 Shai Bernstein
Emanuele Colonnelli
Davide Malacrino
Timothy McQuade

Who Creates New Firms When Local Opportunities Arise?
w24879 Ernesto Dal Bó
Frederico Finan
Nicholas Y. Li
Laura Schechter

Government Decentralization Under Changing State Capacity: Experimental Evidence From Paraguay
w24345 Gerardo della Paolera
Xavier H. Duran Amorocho
Aldo Musacchio

The Industrialization of South America Revisited: Evidence from Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Colombia, 1890-2010
2017
w24032 Monica Martinez-Bravo
Gerard Padró I Miquel
Nancy Qian
Yang Yao

The Rise and Fall of Local Elections in China: Theory and Empirical Evidence on the Autocrat's Trade-off
w23957 Karthik Muralidharan
Paul Niehaus

Experimentation at Scale
w23878 Nina Pavcnik
The Impact of Trade on Inequality in Developing Countries
w23868 Martin Guzman
José Antonio Ocampo
Joseph E. Stiglitz

Real Exchange Rate Policies for Economic Development
w23794 Joseph E. Stiglitz
Structural Transformation, Deep Downturns, and Government Policy
w23591 Eli P. Fenichel
Matthew J. Kotchen
Ethan T. Addicott

Even the Representative Agent Must Die: Using Demographics to Inform Long-Term Social Discount Rates
w23350 Michael Carlos Best
Jonas Hjort
David Szakonyi

Individuals and Organizations as Sources of State Effectiveness
w23341 Woo Jin Choi
Alan M. Taylor

Precaution Versus Mercantilism: Reserve Accumulation, Capital Controls, and the Real Exchange Rate
w23237 Quy-Toan Do
Andrei A. Levchenko

Trade Policy and Redistribution when Preferences are Non-Homothetic
w23152 Alexander Wagner
Richard J. Zeckhauser
Alexandre Ziegler

Company Stock Reactions to the 2016 Election Shock: Trump, Taxes and Trade
2016
w22947 Wyatt J. Brooks
Joseph P. Kaboski
Yao Amber Li

Growth Policy, Agglomeration, and (the Lack of) Competition
w22930 John McLaren
Myunghwan Yoo

FDI and Inequality in Vietnam: An Approach with Census Data
w22869 Diego Daruich
William Easterly
Ariell Reshef

The Surprising Instability of Export Specializations
w22803 Abhijit Banerjee
Esther Duflo
Clement Imbert
Santhosh Mathew
Rohini Pande

E-governance, Accountability, and Leakage in Public Programs: Experimental Evidence from a Financial Management Reform in India
w22595 Angus Deaton
Nancy Cartwright

Understanding and Misunderstanding Randomized Controlled Trials
w22468 Sebastian Galiani
Patrick J. McEwan
Brian Quistorff

External and Internal Validity of a Geographic Quasi-Experiment Embedded in Cluster-Randomized Experiment
w22300 Benjamin Faber
Cecile Gaubert

Tourism and Economic Development: Evidence from Mexico's Coastline
w22268 Joshua Aizenman
Hiro Ito

East Asian Economies and Financial Globalization In the Post-Crisis World
w22073 Taylor Jaworski
Carl T. Kitchens

National Policy for Regional Development: Historical Evidence from Appalachian Highways
w21910 Nava Ashraf
Edward L. Glaeser
Giacomo A.M. Ponzetto

Infrastructure, Incentives and Institutions
w21840 Jose Asturias
Sewon Hur
Timothy J. Kehoe
Kim J. Ruhl

The Interaction and Sequencing of Policy Reforms
2015
w21718 Orazio Attanasio
Elena Pastorino

Nonlinear Pricing in Village Economies
w21415 David Popp
Using Scientific Publications to Evaluate Government R&D Spending: The Case of Energy
w21397 Anton Cheremukhin
Mikhail Golosov
Sergei Guriev
Aleh Tsyvinski

The Economy of People's Republic of China from 1953
w21176 David Atkin
Benjamin Faber
Marco Gonzalez-Navarro

Retail Globalization and Household Welfare: Evidence from Mexico
w21089 Joshua Aizenman
Yothin Jinjarak
Huanhuan Zheng

Chinese Outwards Mercantilism - the Art and Practice of Bundling
w20868 David Atkin
Azam Chaudhry
Shamyla Chaudry
Amit K. Khandelwal
Eric Verhoogen

Mark-up and Cost Dispersion across Firms: Direct Evidence from Producer Surveys in Pakistan
2014
w20766 Daron Acemoglu
James A. Robinson

The Rise and Decline of General Laws of Capitalism
w20624 Paul Carrillo
Dina Pomeranz
Monica Singhal

Dodging the Taxman: Firm Misreporting and Limits to Tax Enforcement
w20615 Ajay Agrawal
Carlos Rosell
Timothy S. Simcoe

Tax Credits and Small Firm R&D Spending
w19942 Leslie A. Martin
Shanthi Nataraj
Ann Harrison

In with the Big, Out with the Small: Removing Small-Scale Reservations in India
w20482 Iqbal Dhaliwal
Rema Hanna

Deal with the Devil: The Successes and Limitations of Bureaucratic Reform in India
2013
w19646 Dean Karlan
Bram Thuysbaert

Targeting ultra-poor households in Honduras and Peru
w19448 Joshua Aizenman
Hiro Ito

Living with the Trilemma Constraint: Relative Trilemma Policy Divergence, Crises, and Output Losses for Developing Countries
w19376 Kyle Handley
Nuno Limão

Policy Uncertainty, Trade and Welfare: Theory and Evidence for China and the U.S.
w19199 Dina Pomeranz
No Taxation without Information: Deterrence and Self-Enforcement in the Value Added Tax
w19013 Aaron Chatterji
Edward L. Glaeser
William R. Kerr

Clusters of Entrepreneurship and Innovation
w18921 Daron Acemoglu
James A. Robinson

Economics versus Politics: Pitfalls of Policy Advice
2012
w18461 Jakob Madsen
Health, Human Capital Formation and Knowledge Production: Two Centuries of International Evidence
w18417 Felipe Kast
Stephan Meier
Dina Pomeranz

Under-Savers Anonymous: Evidence on Self-Help Groups and Peer Pressure as a Savings Commitment Device
w18221 Agustín S. Bénétrix
Kevin H. O'Rourke
Jeffrey G. Williamson

The Spread of Manufacturing to the Poor Periphery 1870---2007
w18048 Philippe Aghion
Mathias Dewatripont
Luosha Du
Ann Harrison
Patrick Legros

Industrial Policy and Competition
w18039 Dana Burde
Leigh L. Linden

The Effect of Village-Based Schools: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial in Afghanistan
w17912 Abhijit Banerjee
Raghabendra Chattopadhyay
Esther Duflo
Daniel Keniston
Nina Singh

Improving Police Performance in Rajasthan, India: Experimental Evidence on Incentives, Managerial Autonomy and Training
w17790 Kyle Handley
Nuno Limão

Trade and Investment under Policy Uncertainty: Theory and Firm Evidence
2011
w17718 Margaret S. McMillan
William A. Masters
Harounan Kazianga

Rural Demography, Public Services and Land Rights in Africa: A Village-Level Analysis in Burkina Faso
w17603 Nuno Limao
Kamal Saggi

Size Inequality, Coordination Externalities and International Trade Agreements
w17427 Joshua Aizenman
Yothin Jinjarak

The Fiscal Stimulus of 2009-10: Trade Openness, Fiscal Space and Exchange Rate Adjustment
w17383 Kabir Malik
Maureen Cropper
Alexander Limonov
Anoop Singh

Estimating the Impact of Restructuring on Electricity Generation Efficiency: The Case of the Indian Thermal Power Sector
w17359 Andrew K. Rose
Mark M. Spiegel

Dollar Illiquidity and Central Bank Swap Arrangements During the Global Financial Crisis
w17174 Patricia M. Danzon
Andrew W. Mulcahy
Adrian K. Towse

Pharmaceutical Pricing in Emerging Markets: Effects of Income, Competition and Procurement
w16890 Lisa D. Cook
Were the Nigerian Banking Reforms of 2005 A Success ... And for the Poor?
w16870 Randall Morck
Finance and Governance in Developing Economies
2010
w16623 Lawrence Edwards
Robert Z. Lawrence

AGOA Rules: The Intended and Unintended Consequences of Special Fabric Provisions
w16616 Dimitrios Batzilis
Taryn Dinkelman
Emily Oster
Rebecca Thornton
Deric Zanera

New cellular networks in Malawi: Correlates of service rollout and network performance
w16400 Francisco J. Buera
Yongseok Shin

Financial Frictions and the Persistence of History: A Quantitative Exploration
w16344 Jeffrey G. Williamson
When, Where, and Why? Early Industrialization in the Poor Periphery 1870-1940
w16343 Sylvain Chassang
Gerard Padro i Miquel
Erik Snowberg

Selective Trials: A Principal-Agent Approach to Randomized Controlled Experiments
w16195 Ernesto Aguayo-Tellez
Jim Airola
Chinhui Juhn

Did Trade Liberalization Help Women? The Case of Mexico in the 1990s
w15876 Joshua Aizenman
Menzie D. Chinn
Hiro Ito

Surfing the Waves of Globalization: Asia and Financial Globalization in the Context of the Trilemma
w15697 Daniel Bogart
Gary Richardson

Property Rights and Parliament in Industrializing Britain
2009
w15598 Petra Moser
Alessandra Voena

Compulsory Licensing - Evidence from the Trading with the Enemy Act
w15194 Mark Aguiar
Manuel Amador

Growth in the Shadow of Expropriation
w15028 Farley Grubb
Land Policy: Founding Choices and Outcomes, 1781-1802
w14942 Gary D. Libecap
Dean Lueck

The Demarcation of Land and the Role of Coordinating Institutions
w14826 Maurice Obstfeld
Jay C. Shambaugh
Alan M. Taylor

Financial Instability, Reserves, and Central Bank Swap Lines in the Panic of 2008
w14763 Sevket Pamuk
Jeffrey G. Williamson

Ottoman De-Industrialization 1800-1913: Assessing the Shock, Its Impact and the Response
w14702 Marco Manacorda
Edward Miguel
Andrea Vigorito

Government Transfers and Political Support
w14691 Maurice Obstfeld
International Finance and Growth in Developing Countries: What Have We Learned?
w14690 Angus S. Deaton
Instruments of development: Randomization in the tropics, and the search for the elusive keys to economic development
w14658 Eswar S. Prasad
Some New Perspectives on India's Approach to Capital Account Liberalization
2008
w14533 Joshua Aizenman
Menzie D. Chinn
Hiro Ito

Assessing the Emerging Global Financial Architecture: Measuring the Trilemma's Configurations over Time
w14527 Hans Fehr
Sabine Jokisch
Laurence J. Kotlikoff

Dynamic Globalization and Its Potentially Alarming Prospects for Low-Wage Workers
w14363 William Easterly
Can the West Save Africa?
w14217 Maurice Obstfeld
Jay C. Shambaugh
Alan M. Taylor

Financial Stability, the Trilemma, and International Reserves
w14045 James E. Anderson
Does Trade Foster Contract Enforcement?
w13990 Aurora Gómez Galvarriato
Jeffrey G. Williamson

Was It Prices, Productivity or Policy? The Timing and Pace of Latin American Industrialization after 1870
w13913 Wolfgang Keller
Carol H. Shiue

Institutions, Technology, and Trade
w13841 Jeffrey G. Williamson
Globalization and the Great Divergence: Terms of Trade Booms and Volatility in the Poor Periphery 1782-1913
w13836 Farley Grubb
Testing for the Economic Impact of the U.S. Constitution: Purchasing Power Parity across the Colonies versus across the States, 1748-1811
w13725 Eli Berman
David D. Laitin

Religion, Terrorism and Public Goods: Testing the Club Model
2007
w13610 Emily Oster
Routes of Infection: Exports and HIV Incidence in Sub-Saharan Africa
w13498 Sandra G. Sosa-Rubi
Omar Galarraga
Jeffrey E. Harris

Heterogeneous Impact of the "Seguro Popular" Program on the Utilization of Obstetrical Services in Mexico, 2001-2006: A Multinomial Probit Model with a Discrete Endogenous Variable
w13171 Randall Morck
Masao Nakamura

Business Groups and the Big Push: Meiji Japan's Mass Privatization and Subsequent Growth
w13170 James E. Rauch
Development Through Synergistic Reform
w12987 Michael Kremer
What Works in Fighting Diarrheal Diseases in Developing Countries? A Critical Review
2006
w12779 John Whalley
Ximing Yue

Rural Income Volatility and Inequality in China
w12316 Rafael Dobado González
Aurora Gómez Galvarriato
Jeffrey G. Williamson

Globalization, De-Industrialization and Mexican Exceptionalism 1750-1879
w12275 Philippe Aghion
Diego Comin
Peter Howitt

When Does Domestic Saving Matter for Economic Growth?
w12240 Jagadeesh Sivadasan
Joel Slemrod

Tax Law Changes, Income Shifting and Measured Wage Inequality: Evidence from India
w12188 Marianne Baxter
Michael A. Kouparitsas

What Determines Bilateral Trade Flows?
w12178 John Whalley
The Post MFA Performance of Developing Asia
w12133 James A. Robinson
Ragnar Torvik

A Political Economy Theory of the Soft Budget Constraint
w12164 Nathan Nunn
Daniel Trefler

Putting the Lid on Lobbying: Tariff Structure and Long-Term Growth when Protection is for Sale
w12072 Agata Antkiewicz
John Whalley

Recent Chinese Buyout Activity and the Implications for Global Architecture
2005
w11730 David Clingingsmith
Jeffrey G. Williamson

Mughal Decline, Climate Change, and Britain's Industrial Ascent: An Integrated Perspective on India's 18th and 19th Century Deindustrialization
w11711 Esther Duflo
Rohini Pande

Dams
w11661 Roger Gordon
Wei Li

Puzzling Tax Structures in Developing Countries: A Comparison of Two Alternative Explanations
w11267 Roger Gordon
Wei Li

Tax Structure in Developing Countries: Many Puzzles and a Possible Explanation
w11224 Thorsten Beck
Asli Demirguc-Kunt
Ross Levine

SMEs, Growth, and Poverty
w11129 Edward L. Glaeser
Joseph Gyourko
Raven Saks

Why Have Housing Prices Gone Up?
2004
w10992 Agata Antkiewicz
John Whalley

China's New Regional Trade Agreements
w10965 Stanley Engerman
Kenneth L. Sokoloff

Digging the Dirt at Public Expense: Governance in the Building of the Erie Canal and Other Public Works
w10903 Craig Burnside
Domenico Fanizza

Hiccups for HIPCs?
w10828 Francesco Caselli
Accounting for Cross-Country Income Differences
2003
w10114 Eduardo S. Schwartz
Patents and R&D as Real Options
1993
w4433 Magnus Blomstrom
Edward N. Wolff

Growth in a Dual Economy
1975
hans75-1 Brent Hansen and Karim Nashashibi
Foreign Trade Regimes and Economic Development: Egypt
1970
thor70-1 Erik Thorbecke
editor

The Role of Agriculture in Economic Development
1953
hult53-1 Thor Hultgren and William I. Greenwald
Transport and the State of Trade in Britain

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