NBER Papers in JEL Code D8: Microeconomics - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty

2022
w29925 Michael Bailey
Drew M. Johnston
Martin Koenen
Theresa Kuchler
Dominic Russel
Johannes Stroebel

The Social Integration of International Migrants: Evidence from the Networks of Syrians in Germany
w29915 Cosmin L. Ilut
Martin Schneider

Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review
w29914 Aïcha Ben Dhia
Bruno Crépon
Esther Mbih
Louise Paul-Delvaux
Bertille Picard
Vincent Pons

Can a Website Bring Unemployment Down? Experimental Evidence from France
w29909 Theresa Kuchler
Monika Piazzesi
Johannes Stroebel

Housing Market Expectations
w29901 Cecilia Parlatore
Thomas Philippon

Designing Stress Scenarios
w29896 Bradley Larsen
Marc J. Hetherington
Steven H. Greene
Timothy J. Ryan
Rahsaan D. Maxwell
Steven Tadelis

Using Donald Trump's COVID-19 Vaccine Endorsement to Give Public Health a Shot in the Arm: A Large-Scale Ad Experiment
w29880 Runshan Fu
Ginger Zhe Jin
Meng Liu

Human-Algorithm Interactions: Evidence from Zillow.com
w29846 Richard T. Holden
Anup Malani
Chris Teh

Allocating Scarce Information
w29825 Francesco D’Acunto
Ulrike Malmendier
Michael Weber

What Do the Data Tell Us About Inflation Expectations?
w29820 J. Aislinn Bohren
Peter Hull
Alex Imas

Systemic Discrimination: Theory and Measurement
w29785 Richard K. Crump
Stefano Eusepi
Marc Giannoni
Ayşegül Şahin

The Unemployment-Inflation Trade-off Revisited: The Phillips Curve in COVID Times
w29780 Joshua S. Gans
Richard T. Holden

A Solomonic Solution to Ownership Disputes: An Application to Blockchain Front-Running
w29776 George-Marios Angeletos
Chen Lian

Dampening General Equilibrium: Incomplete Information and Bounded Rationality
w29750 Andreas Fuster
Basit Zafar

Survey Experiments on Economic Expectations
w29741 Vincenzo Galasso
Vincent Pons
Paola Profeta
Michael Becher
Sylvain Brouard
Martial Foucault

From Anti-vax Intentions to Vaccination: Panel and Experimental Evidence from Nine Countries
w29730 Leonardo Bursztyn
Georgy Egorov
Ingar K. Haaland
Aakaash Rao
Christopher Roth

Justifying Dissent
w29715 Chiara Farronato
Georgios Zervas

Consumer Reviews and Regulation: Evidence from NYC Restaurants
w29714 Scott R. Baker
Steven J. Davis
Jeffrey A. Levy

State-Level Economic Policy Uncertainty
w29712 Barney Hartman-Glaser
Simon Mayer
Konstantin Milbradt

Waiting for Capital: Dynamic Intermediation in Illiquid Markets
w29711 Nathan Goldstein
Yuriy Gorodnichenko

Expectations Formation and Forward Information
w29690 Sarah Cohodes
Sean Corcoran
Jennifer Jennings
Carolyn Sattin-Bajaj

When Do Informational Interventions Work? Experimental Evidence from New York City High School Choice
w29674 Xiang Hui
Ginger Zhe Jin
Meng Liu

Designing Quality Certificates: Insights from eBay
w29672 Kyle Handley
Nuno Limão

Trade Policy Uncertainty
w29632 Zhiguo He
Jian Li

Intermediation via Credit Chains
2021
w29618 James Albrecht
Guido Menzio
Susan Vroman

Vertical Differentiation in Frictional Product Markets
w29588 Samuel Bazzi
Lisa Cameron
Simone G. Schaner
Firman Witoelar

Information, Intermediaries, and International Migration
w29586 Stefan F. Bucher
Andrew Caplin

Inattention and Inequity in School Matching
w29585 Robert G. King
Yang K. Lu

The Rise, Fall and Stabilization of U.S. Inflation: Shifting Regimes and Evolving Reputation
w29581 Achyuta Adhvaryu
Jean-François Gauthier
Anant Nyshadham
Jorge A. Tamayo

Absenteeism, Productivity, and Relational Contracts Inside the Firm
w29557 Pëllumb Reshidi
Alessandro Lizzeri
Leeat Yariv
Jimmy H. Chan
Wing Suen

Individual and Collective Information Acquisition: An Experimental Study
w29544 Jess Benhabib
Wei Cui
Jianjun Miao

Capital Return Jumps and Wealth Distribution
w29543 Turan G. Bali
David Hirshleifer
Lin Peng
Yi Tang

Attention, Social Interaction, and Investor Attraction to Lottery Stocks
w29527 Benjamin L. Collier
Cameron Ellis
Benjamin J. Keys

The Cost of Consumer Collateral: Evidence from Bunching
w29515 Hanna Halaburda
Zhiguo He
Jiasun Li

An Economic Model of Consensus on Distributed Ledgers
w29514 Michael Becher
Nicolas Longuet Marx
Vincent Pons
Sylvain Brouard
Martial Foucault
Vincenzo Galasso
Eric Kerrouche
Sandra León Alfonso
Daniel Stegmueller

COVID-19, Government Performance, and Democracy: Survey Experimental Evidence from 12 Countries
w29512 Duarte Gonçalves
Jonathan Libgober
Jack Willis

Learning versus Unlearning: An Experiment on Retractions
w29468 Robert M. Lantis
Erik T. Nesson

The Hot Hand in the NBA 3-Point Contest: The Importance of Location, Location, Location
w29467 Maryam Farboodi
Intermediation and Voluntary Exposure to Counterparty Risk
w29452 Ori Heffetz
Guy Ishai

Which Beliefs? Behavior-Predictive Beliefs are Inconsistent with Information-Based Beliefs: Evidence from COVID-19
w29412 Stephanie C. De Mel
Kaivan Munshi
Soenje Reiche
Hamid Sabourian

Herding with Heterogeneous Ability: An Application to Organ Transplantation
w29402 Shaoda Wang
David Y. Yang

Policy Experimentation in China: the Political Economy of Policy Learning
w29394 John A. List
Julie Pernaudet
Dana Suskind

It All Starts with Beliefs: Addressing the Roots of Educational Inequities by Shifting Parental Beliefs
w29382 Katherine B. Coffman
Paola Ugalde Araya
Basit Zafar

A (Dynamic) Investigation of Stereotypes, Belief-Updating, and Behavior
w29378 Andrew Caplin
Economic Data Engineering
w29356 Amy Finkelstein
Petra Persson
Maria Polyakova
Jesse M. Shapiro

A Taste of Their Own Medicine: Guideline Adherence and Access to Expertise
w29324 Petra Persson
Nikita Roketskiy
Samuel Lee

Circles of Trust: Rival Information in Social Networks
w29279 Francesco D’Acunto
Daniel Hoang
Maritta Paloviita
Michael Weber

Human Frictions in the Transmission of Economic Policies
w29275 Francesco D’Acunto
Andreas Fuster
Michael Weber

Diverse Policy Committees Can Reach Underrepresented Groups
w29274 Pedro Bordalo
Nicola Gennaioli
Andrei Shleifer

Salience
w29273 Pedro Bordalo
John J. Conlon
Nicola Gennaioli
Spencer Yongwook Kwon
Andrei Shleifer

Memory and Probability
w29270 Anthony A. DeFusco
Huan Tang
Constantine Yannelis

Measuring the Welfare Cost of Asymmetric Information in Consumer Credit Markets
w29268 Kei Kawai
Ken Onishi
Kosuke Uetake

Signaling in Online Credit Markets
w29267 Jens Ludwig
Sendhil Mullainathan

Fragile Algorithms and Fallible Decision-Makers: Lessons from the Justice System
w29265 Margherita Comola
Marcel Fafchamps

Experimental Evidence on Semi-structured Bargaining with Private Information
w29230 Filipe R. Campante
Ruben Durante
Andrea Tesei

Media and Social Capital
w29210 Chao Gu
Guido Menzio
Randall Wright
Yu Zhu

Market Freezes
w29202 Joachim Freyberger
Bradley Larsen

How Well Does Bargaining Work in Consumer Markets? A Robust Bounds Approach
w29179 Wei Cheng
Bruce A. Weinberg

Marginalized and Overlooked? Minoritized Groups and the Adoption of New Scientific Ideas
w29168 Leonardo Bursztyn
David Y. Yang

Misperceptions about Others
w29159 Bradley Larsen
Carol Hengheng Lu
Anthony Lee Zhang

Intermediaries in Bargaining: Evidence from Business-to-Business Used-Car Inventory Negotiations
w29144 Howard Kunreuther
Lynn Conell-Price
Paul Kovacs
Katsuichiro Goda

The Impact of a Government Risk Pool and an Opt-Out Framing on Demand for Earthquake Protection
w29127 Can Urgun
Leeat Yariv

Retrospective Search: Exploration and Ambition on Uncharted Terrain
w29102 Jose Maria Barrero
Nicholas Bloom
Steven J. Davis

Internet Access and its Implications for Productivity, Inequality, and Resilience
w29080 Rosemary Avery
John Cawley
Julia Eddelbuettel
Matthew D. Eisenberg
Charlie Mann
Alan D. Mathios

Consumer Responses to Firms' Voluntary Disclosure of Information: Evidence from Calorie Labeling by Starbucks
w29074 Ulrike Malmendier
Experience Effects in Finance: Foundations, Applications, and Future Directions
w29064 Michael Barnett
William Brock
Lars P. Hansen

Climate Change Uncertainty Spillover in the Macroeconomy
w29043 Marcelo A. Fernandez
Kirill Rudov
Leeat Yariv

Centralized Matching with Incomplete Information
w29036 Andrey Malenko
Nadya Malenko
Chester S. Spatt

Creating Controversy in Proxy Voting Advice
w29021 Emily Breza
Fatima Cody Stanford
Marcella Alsan
Burak Alsan
Abhijit Banerjee
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Sarah Eichmeyer
Traci Glushko
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham
Kelly Holland
Emily Hoppe
Mohit Karnani
Sarah Liegl
Tristan Loisel
Lucy Ogbu-Nwobodo
Benjamin A. Olken
Carlos Torres
Pierre-Luc Vautrey
Erica Warner
Susan Wootton
Esther Duflo

Doctors' and Nurses' Social Media Ads Reduced Holiday Travel and COVID-19 Infections: A Cluster Randomized Controlled Trial
w29008 Doruk Cetemen
Can Urgun
Leeat Yariv

Collective Progress: Dynamics of Exit Waves
w28968 Howard Kunreuther
Jason Schupp

Evaluating the Role of Insurance in Managing Risk of Future Pandemics
w28963 Tim de Silva
David Thesmar

Noise in Expectations: Evidence from Analyst Forecasts
w28946 Felipe Arteaga
Adam J. Kapor
Christopher A. Neilson
Seth D. Zimmerman

Smart Matching Platforms and Heterogeneous Beliefs in Centralized School Choice
w28939 Paula Onuchic
Debraj Ray

Signaling and Discrimination in Collaborative Projects
w28926 Haoyang Liu
Christopher Palmer

Are Stated Expectations Actual Beliefs? New Evidence for the Beliefs Channel of Investment Demand
w28922 James E. Archsmith
Anthony Heyes
Matthew J. Neidell
Bhaven N. Sampat

The Dynamics of Inattention in the (Baseball) Field
w28903 Zoe B. Cullen
Bobak Pakzad-Hurson

Equilibrium Effects of Pay Transparency
w28887 Sushil Bikhchandani
David Hirshleifer
Omer Tamuz
Ivo Welch

Information Cascades and Social Learning
w28884 Daron Acemoglu
Asuman Ozdaglar
James Siderius

A Model of Online Misinformation
w28881 George-Marios Angeletos
Chen Lian

Determinacy without the Taylor Principle
w28878 Jian Jia
Ginger Zhe Jin
Liad Wagman

Platform as a Rule Maker: Evidence from Airbnb's Cancellation Policies
w28844 John J. Conlon
Malavika Mani
Gautam Rao
Matthew W. Ridley
Frank Schilbach

Learning in the Household
w28820 Patricia Cortés
Jessica Pan
Laura Pilossoph
Basit Zafar

Gender Differences in Job Search and the Earnings Gap: Evidence from Business Majors
w28816 Hugh Macartney
Robert McMillan
Uros Petronijevic

A Quantitative Framework for Analyzing the Distributional Effects of Incentive Schemes
w28784 Mika Akesaka
Peter Eibich
Chie Hanaoka
Hitoshi Shigeoka

Temporal Instability of Risk Preference among the Poor: Evidence from Payday Cycles
w28779 Victoria R. Marone
Adrienne Sabety

Should There Be Vertical Choice in Health Insurance Markets?
w28764 Ana Babus
Kinda Cheryl Hachem

Regulation and Security Design in Concentrated Markets
w28726 Abhijit Banerjee
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Suresh Dalpath
Esther Duflo
John Floretta
Matthew O. Jackson
Harini Kannan
Francine N. Loza
Anirudh Sankar
Anna Schrimpf
Maheshwor Shrestha

Selecting the Most Effective Nudge: Evidence from a Large-Scale Experiment on Immunization
w28716 Dean Yang
James Allen IV
Arlete Mahumane
James Riddell IV
Hang Yu

Knowledge, Stigma, and HIV Testing: An Analysis of a Widespread HIV/AIDS Program
w28666 Apostolos Filippas
John J. Horton

The Production and Consumption of Social Media
w28604 Francesco Bianchi
Cosmin L. Ilut
Hikaru Saijo

Diagnostic Business Cycles
w28592 Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Tho Pham
Oleksandr Talavera

The Voice of Monetary Policy
w28589 Andrew Sweeting
Xuezhen Tao
Xinlu Yao

Dynamic Oligopoly Pricing with Asymmetric Information: Implications for Horizontal Mergers
w28581 Samuel Berlinski
Matias Busso
Taryn Dinkelman
Claudia Martínez A.

Reducing Parent-School Information Gaps and Improving Education Outcomes: Evidence from High-Frequency Text Messages
w28535 John Asker
Chaim Fershtman
Ariel Pakes

Artificial Intelligence and Pricing: The Impact of Algorithm Design
w28489 Gaetano Gaballo
Guillermo Ordoñez

The Two Faces of Information
w28484 Ester Faia
Andreas Fuster
Vincenzo Pezone
Basit Zafar

Biases in Information Selection and Processing: Survey Evidence from the Pandemic
w28465 Renee Bowen
Danil Dmitriev
Simone Galperti

Learning from Shared News: When Abundant Information Leads to Belief Polarization
w28410 Dhaval M. Dave
Drew McNichols
Joseph J. Sabia

Political Violence, Risk Aversion, and Non-Localized Disease Spread: Evidence from the U.S. Capitol Riot
w28449 Charles F. Manski
Alan H. Sanstad
Stephen J. DeCanio

Addressing Partial Identification in Climate Modeling and Policy Analysis
w28448 Leonardo Bursztyn
Thomas Chaney
Tarek Alexander Hassan
Aakaash Rao

The Immigrant Next Door: Long-Term Contact, Generosity, and Prejudice
w28446 Charles F. Manski
Vaccination Planning under Uncertainty, with Application to Covid-19
w28442 David L. Kelly
Garth Heutel
Juan B. Moreno-Cruz
Soheil Shayegh

Solar Geoengineering, Learning, and Experimentation
w28441 Azi Ben-Rephael
Bruce I. Carlin
Zhi Da
Ryan D. Israelsen

Uncovering the Hidden Effort Problem
w28430 Long Hong
Corina Mommaerts

Time Aggregation in Health Insurance Deductibles
w28429 Mark Braverman
Sylvain Chassang

Data-Driven Incentive Alignment in Capitation Schemes
w28408 Pooya Molavi
Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi
Andrea Vedolin

Model Complexity, Expectations, and Asset Prices
w28378 Peter M. DeMarzo
Ron Kaniel

Contracting in Peer Networks
w28368 Banban Wang
William A. Pizer
Clayton Munnings

Price Limits in a Tradable Performance Standard
w28367 Aifan Ling
Jianjun Miao
Neng Wang

Robust Financial Contracting and Investment
w28365 Abhijit Banerjee
Emily Breza
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Esther Duflo
Matthew O. Jackson
Cynthia Kinnan

Changes in Social Network Structure in Response to Exposure to Formal Credit Markets
w28353 Thomas Crossley
Yifan Gong
Todd R. Stinebrickner
Ralph Stinebrickner

Examining Income Expectations in the College and Early Post-college Periods: New Distributional Tests of Rational Expectations.
w28348 Kerry Back
Bruce I. Carlin
Seyed Mohammad Kazempour

The Asset Pricing Implications of Plausible Deniability
2020
w28288 Marco Castillo
John A. List
Ragan Petrie
Anya Samek

Detecting Drivers of Behavior at an Early Age: Evidence from a Longitudinal Field Experiment
w28281 Misha Galashin
Martin Kanz
Ricardo Perez-Truglia

Macroeconomic Expectations and Credit Card Spending
w28273 Shane Lubold
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Tyler H. McCormick

Identifying the Latent Space Geometry of Network Models through Analysis of Curvature
w28262 Seth Garz
Xavier Giné
Dean Karlan
Rafe Mazer
Caitlin Sanford
Jonathan Zinman

Consumer Protection for Financial Inclusion in Low and Middle Income Countries: Bridging Regulator and Academic Perspectives
w28234 Michael Bailey
Drew M. Johnston
Martin Koenen
Theresa Kuchler
Dominic Russel
Johannes Stroebel

Social Networks Shape Beliefs and Behavior: Evidence from Social Distancing During the COVID-19 Pandemic
w28223 Jennifer Kee
Melinda Knuth
Joanna Lahey
Marco A. Palma

Does Eye-Tracking Have an Effect on Economic Behavior?
w28172 Timothy F. Harris
Aaron Yelowitz
Charles J. Courtemanche

Did COVID-19 Change Life Insurance Offerings?
w28137 Alessandra Casella
Evan Friedman
Manuel Perez Archila

Mediating Conflict in the Lab
w28128 Mark J. McCabe
Christopher Snyder

Cite Unseen: Theory and Evidence on the Effect of Open Access on Cites to Academic Articles Across the Quality Spectrum
w28121 Hanming Fang
Zenan Wu

Consumer Vulnerability and Behavioral Biases
w28099 Kristoffer B. Hvidberg
Claus Kreiner
Stefanie Stantcheva

Social Positions and Fairness Views on Inequality
w28075 Rava Azeredo da Silveira
Yeji Sung
Michael Woodford

Optimally Imprecise Memory and Biased Forecasts
w28042 Sylvain Chassang
Lucia Del Carpio
Samuel Kapon

Using Divide and Conquer to Improve Tax Collection: Theory and Laboratory Evidence
w28020 Anil K Kashyap
Natalia Kovrijnykh
Jian Li
Anna Pavlova

Is There Too Much Benchmarking in Asset Management?
w28010 Michael Boutros
Itzhak Ben-David
John R. Graham
Campbell R. Harvey
John W. Payne

The Persistence of Miscalibration
w28007 Daniel J. Benjamin
Mark Alan Fontana
Miles S. Kimball

Reconsidering Risk Aversion
w28003 Anya Samek
Justin R. Sydnor

Impact of Consequence Information on Insurance Choice
w27984 Matthew Backus
Thomas Blake
Jett Pettus
Steven Tadelis

Communication and Bargaining Breakdown: An Empirical Analysis
w27981 Renee Bowen
Ilwoo Hwang
Stefan Krasa

Agenda-Setter Power Dynamics: Learning in Multi-Issue Bargaining
w27972 Marcella Alsan
Luca Braghieri
Sarah Eichmeyer
Minjeong Joyce Kim
Stefanie Stantcheva
David Y. Yang

Civil Liberties in Times of Crisis
w27949 Georgy Egorov
Konstantin Sonin

The Political Economics of Non-democracy
w27947 Hassan Afrouzi
Spencer Yongwook Kwon
Augustin Landier
Yueran Ma
David Thesmar

Overreaction and Working Memory
w27941 Thomas F. Hellmann
Veikko Thiele

A Theory of Voluntary Testing and Self-isolation in an Ongoing Pandemic
w27920 Felipe Benguria
Jaerim Choi
Deborah L. Swenson
Mingzhi Xu

Anxiety or Pain? The Impact of Tariffs and Uncertainty on Chinese Firms in the Trade War
w27896 Kyle Handley
J. Frank Li

Measuring the Effects of Firm Uncertainty on Economic Activity: New Evidence from One Million Documents
w27887 Kehinde F. Ajayi
Willa H. Friedman
Adrienne M. Lucas

When Information is Not Enough: Evidence from a Centralized School Choice System
w27884 Ginger Zhe Jin
Zhentong Lu
Xiaolu Zhou
Chunxiao Li

The Effects of Government Licensing on E-commerce: Evidence from Alibaba
w27876 Christopher D. Carroll
Edmund Crawley
Jiri Slacalek
Matthew N. White

Modeling the Consumption Response to the CARES Act
w27864 Ian Dew-Becker
Stefano Giglio

Cross-Sectional Uncertainty and the Business Cycle: Evidence from 40 Years of Options Data
w27843 Jules H. van Binsbergen
Xiao Han
Alejandro Lopez-Lira

Man vs. Machine Learning: The Term Structure of Earnings Expectations and Conditional Biases
w27837 Treb Allen
Costas Arkolakis
Xiangliang Li

On the Equilibrium Properties of Network Models with Heterogeneous Agents
w27820 Cosmin L. Ilut
Rosen Valchev

Economic Agents as Imperfect Problem Solvers
w27780 Joshua S. Gans
Test Sensitivity for Infection versus Infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2
w27745 Erol Akcay
David Hirshleifer

Social Finance: Cultural Evolution, Transmission Bias and Market Dynamics
w27741 Marina Azzimonti
Alessandra Fogli
Fabrizio Perri
Mark Ponder

Pandemic Control in ECON-EPI Networks
w27736 Danielle Li
Lindsey R. Raymond
Peter Bergman

Hiring as Exploration
w27735 David Hirshleifer
Joshua Plotkin

Moonshots, Investment Booms, and Selection Bias in the Transmission of Cultural Traits
w27732 Saki Bigio
Liyan Shi

Repurchase Options in the Market for Lemons
w27721 Haelim Anderson
Selman Erol
Guillermo Ordoñez

Interbank Networks in the Shadows of the Federal Reserve Act
w27685 Xiaoxue Sherry Gao
Glenn W. Harrison
Rusty Tchernis

Behavioral Welfare Economics and Risk Preferences: A Bayesian Approach
w27679 Yuan Tian
Maria Esther Caballero
Brian K. Kovak

Social Learning along International Migrant Networks
w27677 Cormac O'Dea
David Sturrock

Survival Pessimism and the Demand for Annuities
w27671 Satyajit Chatterjee
Dean Corbae
Kyle P. Dempsey
José-Víctor Ríos-Rull

A Quantitative Theory of the Credit Score
w27662 Jonas Hjort
Vinayak Iyer
Golvine de Rochambeau

Informational Barriers to Market Access: Experimental Evidence from Liberian Firms
w27650 Edward L. Glaeser
Ginger Zhe Jin
Benjamin T. Leyden
Michael Luca

Learning from Deregulation: The Asymmetric Impact of Lockdown and Reopening on Risky Behavior During COVID-19
w27645 Arpita Patnaik
Matthew J. Wiswall
Basit Zafar

College Majors
w27638 Richard Sias
Laura Starks
Harry J. Turtle

Molecular Genetics, Risk Aversion, Return Perceptions, and Stock Market Participation
w27631 Georgy Egorov
Konstantin Sonin

Persuasion on Networks
w27610 Michael J. Fishman
Jonathan A. Parker
Ludwig Straub

A Dynamic Theory of Lending Standards
w27557 Marco Battaglini
Forrest W. Crawford
Eleonora Patacchini
Sida Peng

A Graphical Lasso Approach to Estimating Network Connections: The Case of U.S. Lawmakers
w27496 Abhijit Banerjee
Marcella Alsan
Emily Breza
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Abhijit Chowdhury
Esther Duflo
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham
Benjamin A. Olken

Messages on COVID-19 Prevention in India Increased Symptoms Reporting and Adherence to Preventive Behaviors Among 25 Million Recipients with Similar Effects on Non-recipient Members of Their Communities
w27483 Daron Acemoglu
Ali Makhdoumi
Azarakhsh Malekian
Asuman Ozdaglar

Testing, Voluntary Social Distancing and the Spread of an Infection
w27472 Maryam Farboodi
Péter Kondor

Rational Sentiments and Economic Cycles
w27471 Ana Babus
Maryam Farboodi

The Hidden Costs of Strategic Opacity
w27412 Nicolas L. Bottan
Ricardo Perez-Truglia

Betting on the House: Subjective Expectations and Market Choices
w27405 Michael Luca
Oren Reshef

The Effect of Price on Firm Reputation
w27399 Francesco D’Acunto
Daniel Hoang
Michael Weber

Managing Households' Expectations with Unconventional Policies
w27379 Ajay K. Agrawal
Joshua S. Gans
Scott Stern

Enabling Entrepreneurial Choice
w27361 Vincent Glode
Christian C. Opp
Ruslan Sverchkov

To Pool or Not to Pool? Security Design in OTC Markets
w27359 Vincenzo Galasso
Vincent Pons
Paola Profeta
Michael Becher
Sylvain Brouard
Martial Foucault

Gender Differences in COVID-19 Related Attitudes and Behavior: Evidence from a Panel Survey in Eight OECD Countries
w27346 Toman Barsbai
Victoria Licuanan
Andreas Steinmayr
Erwin Tiongson
Dean Yang

Information and the Acquisition of Social Network Connections
w27327 David Danz
Lise Vesterlund
Alistair J. Wilson

Belief Elicitation: Limiting Truth Telling with Information on Incentives
w27319 Shereen J. Chaudhry
Michael Hand
Howard Kunreuther

Broad Bracketing for Low Probability Events
w27304 Robert S. Pindyck
What We Know and Don't Know about Climate Change, and Implications for Policy
w27288 Leonardo Bursztyn
Ingar K. Haaland
Aakaash Rao
Christopher P. Roth

Disguising Prejudice: Popular Rationales as Excuses for Intolerant Expression
w27271 Grant Miller
Áureo de Paula
Christine Valente

Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception
w27265 Andrew Caplin
Daniel J. Martin

Framing, Information, and Welfare
w27227 Alexander M. Chinco
Samuel M. Hartzmark
Abigail B. Sussman

Necessary Evidence For A Risk Factor's Relevance
w27211 Ying Fan
A. Yeşim Orhun
Dana Turjeman

Heterogeneous Actions, Beliefs, Constraints and Risk Tolerance During the COVID-19 Pandemic
w27194 Pedro Bordalo
Marco Tabellini
David Y. Yang

Issue Salience and Political Stereotypes
w27186 Shanglyu Deng
Hanming Fang
Qiang Fu
Zenan Wu

Confidence Management in Tournaments
w27172 Martin Gaynor
Nirav Mehta
Seth Richards-Shubik

Optimal Contracting with Altruistic Agents: A Structural Model of Medicare Payments for Dialysis Drugs
w27167 Scott R. Baker
Nicholas Bloom
Stephen J. Terry

Using Disasters to Estimate the Impact of Uncertainty
w27165 Evan M. Herrnstadt
Ryan Kellogg
Eric Lewis

The Economics of Time-Limited Development Options: The Case of Oil and Gas Leases
w27149 Daron Acemoglu
Asuman Ozdaglar
James Siderius
Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi

Systemic Credit Freezes in Financial Lending Networks
w27141 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Michael Weber

The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending
w27137 Jose Maria Barrero
Nicholas Bloom
Steven J. Davis

COVID-19 Is Also a Reallocation Shock
w27134 Laura Alfaro
Ester Faia
Nora Lamersdorf
Farzad Saidi

Social Interactions in Pandemics: Fear, Altruism, and Reciprocity
w27126 John Cawley
Alex M. Susskind
Barton Willage

Does Information Disclosure Improve Consumer Knowledge? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment of Restaurant Menu Calorie Labels
w27041 Joseph E. Stiglitz
Jungyoll Yun
Andrew Kosenko

Bilateral Information Disclosure in Adverse Selection Markets with Nonexclusive Competition
w27017 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Michael Weber

Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View
w27008 John M. Barrios
Yael Hochberg

Risk Perception Through the Lens of Politics in the Time of the COVID-19 Pandemic
w26994 Howard Kunreuther
Mark Pauly

Do People Have a Bias for Low-Deductible Insurance?
w26983 Scott R. Baker
Nicholas Bloom
Steven J. Davis
Stephen J. Terry

COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty
w26977 Dhaval M. Dave
Daniel L. Dench
Donald S. Kenkel
Alan D. Mathios
Hua Wang

News that Takes Your Breath Away: Risk Perceptions During an Outbreak of Vaping-related Lung Injuries
w26922 Giovanni Dosi
Mauro Napoletano
Andrea Roventini
Joseph E. Stiglitz
Tania Treibich

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Dimitris Georgarakos
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Neighborhood-Based Information Costs
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Sara Al-Rashood
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Information and Social Norms: Experimental Evidence on the Labor Market Aspirations of Saudi Women
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Inequality, Information Failures, and Air Pollution
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Quantum Prices
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Taylor D. Nadauld
Christopher Palmer

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Stephan Hollander
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Vincent Pons
Clémence Tricaud

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Marc A. Ragin
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Leonid Kogan

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Matthew Gentzkow
Chuan Yu

Selection with Variation in Diagnostic Skill: Evidence from Radiologists
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Ramana Nanda

Networking Frictions in Venture Capital, and the Gender Gap in Entrepreneurship
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Steven L. Puller
Jeremy D. West

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Michael Woodford

Rational Inattention when Decisions Take Time
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Karthik Sastry

Inattentive Economies
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Alessandro Lizzeri
Jacopo Perego

Rules and Commitment in Communication: an Experimental Analysis
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Ori Heffetz
Matthew Rabin

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Yehuda Izhakian
Jaime F. Zender

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Ali Makhdoumi
Azarakhsh Malekian
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Timothy J. Layton
Grace McCormack
Mark Shepard

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Manisha Padi

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Leonardo Melosi
Matthias Rottner

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Ulrike Malmendier
Juan Ospina
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Esther Duflo
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Charles F. Manski
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Dimitris Georgarakos
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Maarten van Rooij

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Benjamin Hansen
Rachel Ryley

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Dan Silverman

Complexity and Sophistication
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Maria Polyakova
Ming Tai-Seale

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Diana Moreira
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How Research Affects Policy: Experimental Evidence from 2,150 Brazilian Municipalities
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Stefano Eusepi
Marc Giannoni
Ayşegül Şahin

A Unified Approach to Measuring u*
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Christian Zehnder

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Joseph M. Golden
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Ana Tribin

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Kevin R. Williams

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Chen Lin
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Wishful Thinking
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When Celebrities Speak: A Nationwide Twitter Experiment Promoting Vaccination In Indonesia
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Experimental Evidence on the Effect of Information and Pricing on Residential Electricity Consumption
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Roy Kouwenberg
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Ambiguity Attitudes about Investments: Evidence from the Field
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Understanding the Correlation between Alzheimer's Disease Polygenic Risk, Wealth, and the Composition of Wealth Holdings
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Immigrant Networking and Collaboration: Survey Evidence from CIC
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Katherine Donato
Grant Miller
Yulya Truskinovsky
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Different Strokes for Different Folks: Experimental Evidence on the Effectiveness of Input and Output Incentive Contracts for Health Care Providers with Varying Skills
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Emily Breza
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
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Naive Learning with Uninformed Agents
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Maritta Paloviita
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IQ, Expectations, and Choice
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Yuriy Gorodnichenko
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Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations
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Markets for Financial Innovation
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Chia-Lun Liu
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The Effect of Superstition on Health: Evidence from the Taiwanese Ghost Month
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René M. Stulz

Securities Laws, Bank Monitoring, and the Choice Between Cov-lite Loans and Bonds for Highly Levered
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Pierre Yared

Fiscal Rules and Discretion under Limited Enforcement
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The Insurance is the Lemon: Failing to Index Contracts
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The Fine Print in Smart Contracts
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Cecilia Parlatore

Volatility and Informativeness
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Markus Brunnermeier

Blockchain Economics
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Karthik A. Sastry

Managing Expectations: Instruments vs. Targets
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Elyas Fermand
Camelia M. Kuhnen
Geng Li

Expectations Uncertainty and Household Economic Behavior
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Michael Woodford

Information Costs and Sequential Information Sampling
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Christophe Gaillac
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Rationalizing Rational Expectations? Tests and Deviations
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Climatic Roots of Loss Aversion
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Stanley I. M. Ko
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Non-Randomly Sampled Networks: Biases and Corrections
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Gábor Kézdi
Minjoon Lee
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Heterogeneity in Expectations, Risk Tolerance, and Household Stock Shares: The Attenuation Puzzle
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Seth Gershenson
Kyung Min Kang

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Ginger Zhe Jin
Liad Wagman

The Short-Run Effects of GDPR on Technology Venture Investment
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A Monetary Model of Bilateral Over-the-Counter Markets
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Christina Gravert
Michael A. Kuhn
Silvia Saccardo
Yang Yang

Arbitrage Or Narrow Bracketing? On Using Money to Measure Intertemporal Preferences
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Benjamin Schoefer
Samuel G. Young
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Wages and the Value of Nonemployment
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Dániel Csaba
John Leahy
Oded Nov

Rational Inattention, Competitive Supply, and Psychometrics
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Cecilia Parlatore

Identifying Price Informativeness
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Sarah Moshary
Kane Sweeney
Steven Tadelis

Price Salience and Product Choice
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Benjamin Golub
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Signaling, Shame, and Silence in Social Learning
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Expenditure Visibility and Consumer Behavior: New Evidence
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The Salary Taboo: Privacy Norms and the Diffusion of Information
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Jonathan A. Parker
Antoinette Schoar
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Belief Disagreement and Portfolio Choice
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Turnover Liquidity and the Transmission of Monetary Policy
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Christopher Neilson
Luis Opazo
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The Equilibrium Effects of Information Deletion: Evidence from Consumer Credit Markets
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Optimal Law Enforcement with Ordered Leniency
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Ordered Leniency: An Experimental Study of Law Enforcement with Self-Reporting
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Erik Snowberg
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Loss Attitudes in the U.S. Population: Evidence from Dynamically Optimized Sequential Experimentation (DOSE)
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Marketing Mutual Funds
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Medicare Payment to Skilled Nursing Facilities: The Consequences of the Three-Day Rule
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Laura Pilossoph
Matthew Wiswall
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Labor Market Search With Imperfect Information and Learning
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Do You Know That I Know That You Know...? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data
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Cognitive Imprecision and Small-Stakes Risk Aversion
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Mariana Gerstenblüth
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Smokers' Rational Lexicographic Preferences for Cigarette Package Warnings: A Discrete Choice Experiment with Eye Tracking
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Mark Dean
Pietro Ortoleva
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Colin Camerer

Econographics
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Roy Kouwenberg
Olivia S. Mitchell
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Household Portfolio Underdiversification and Probability Weighting: Evidence from the Field
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Organizational Decision Making Under Uncertainty Shocks
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Xiang Hui
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Does Machine Translation Affect International Trade? Evidence from a Large Digital Platform
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Maryam Saeedi
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Certification, Reputation and Entry: An Empirical Analysis
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Marcel Fafchamps
Pedro C. Vicente

Keep It Simple: A Field Experiment on Information Sharing in Social Networks
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The Lure of Incredible Certitude
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Choosing between Growth and Glory
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The Impact of Information Disclosure on Consumer Behavior: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment of Calorie Labels on Restaurant Menus
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Frederico Finan
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Government Decentralization Under Changing State Capacity: Experimental Evidence From Paraguay
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Todd Stinebrickner
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Parental Support, Savings and Student Loan Repayment
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Diego Jiménez Hernández
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Expanding Financial Access Via Credit Cards: Evidence from Mexico
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Positively Aware? Conflicting Expert Reviews and Demand for Medical Treatment
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Job Market Signaling through Occupational Licensing
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Expectations with Endogenous Information Acquisition: An Experimental Investigation
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Misperceived Social Norms: Female Labor Force Participation in Saudi Arabia
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Jungyoll Yun
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Leslie Sheng Shen

Scarred Consumption
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Emily Breza
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Benjamin Golub

When Less is More: Experimental Evidence on Information Delivery During India's Demonetization
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Michael Luca
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Complex Disclosure
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Ali Shourideh
Venky Venkateswaran
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Market-making with Search and Information Frictions
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Tho Pham
Oleksandr Talavera

Social Media, Sentiment and Public Opinions: Evidence from #Brexit and #USElection
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Ali Cheema
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Trust in State and Non-State Actors: Evidence from Dispute Resolution in Pakistan
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The Carbon Abatement Game
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Charles F. Manski
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Tail and Center Rounding of Probabilistic Expectations in the Health and Retirement Study
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Maryam Farboodi
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Big Data in Finance and the Growth of Large Firms
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Matthew Rhodes-Kropf

Coordination Frictions in Venture Capital Syndicates
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Pierre Yared

Instrument-Based vs. Target-Based Rules
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Angel Iglesias
Pinar Yildirim

Women, Rails and Telegraphs: An Empirical Study of Information Diffusion and Collective Action
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Emel Filiz-Ozbay
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Marcos Fernandes

Social Media Networks, Fake News, and Polarization
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Valerio Leone Sciabolazza
Eleonora Patacchini

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Raymond Fisman
Brian McManus

Does Cheap Talk Affect Market Outcomes? Evidence from eBay
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Zhiguo He

Blockchain Disruption and Smart Contracts
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Edmund Crawley
Jiri Slacalek
Kiichi Tokuoka
Matthew N. White

Sticky Expectations and Consumption Dynamics
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Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi

Seeing the Forest for the Trees? An Investigation of Network Knowledge
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Timothy Simcoe
Emanuele Tarantino

Learning When to Quit: An Empirical Model of Experimentation
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Darius Lakdawalla
Lisandro D. Colantonio
Monika Safford
David Meltzer

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Keith Marzilli Ericson
Kimberley H. Geissler
James B. Rebitzer

Team Formation and Performance: Evidence from Healthcare Referral Networks
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Joshua S. Gans
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Human Judgment and AI Pricing
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David Hirshleifer
Johan Walden

Social Transmission Bias and Investor Behavior
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Daniel Hoang
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Unconventional Fiscal Policy
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Prediction, Judgment and Complexity: A Theory of Decision Making and Artificial Intelligence
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John Stachurski

Necessary and Sufficient Conditions for Existence and Uniqueness of Recursive Utilities
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Darrell Duffie

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Hanming Fang

Inferring the Ideological Affiliations of Political Committees via Financial Contributions Networks
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Aleh Tsyvinski
Nicolas D. Werquin

Taxes and Turnout
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William R. Kerr
Tina Xu

Personality Traits of Entrepreneurs: A Review of Recent Literature
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Paul Feldman
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Ali Makhdoumi
Azarakhsh Malekian
Asuman Ozdaglar

Fast and Slow Learning From Reviews
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Torben Heien Nielsen

Family Health Behaviors
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Muriel Niederle
Emanuel Vespa

Probabilistic States versus Multiple Certainties: The Obstacle of Uncertainty in Contingent Reasoning
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Stephan Hollander
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Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects
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Ofer Malamud
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Parental Monitoring and Children's Internet Use: The Role of Information, Control, and Cues
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Mark Dean
Pietro Ortoleva
Erik Snowberg
Colin Camerer

Willingness to Pay and Willingness to Accept are Probably Less Correlated Than You Think
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Pierre Yared

Fiscal Rules and Discretion under Self-Enforcement
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Charles G. Nathanson

Directed Attention and Nonparametric Learning
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Sylvain Chassang
Sergio Montero
Erik Snowberg

A Theory of Experimenters
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Rafael La Porta
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Diagnostic Expectations and Stock Returns
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Andrew W. Lo

Optimal Financing for R&D-Intensive Firms
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Attention Manipulation and Information Overload
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Florian Scheuer

Signaling to Experts
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Arna Olafsson
Michaela Pagel

FinTech Adoption Across Generations: Financial Fitness in the Information Age
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Michael Woodford

Rational Inattention and Sequential Information Sampling
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The Revolution of Information Economics: The Past and the Future
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Biased Monitors: Corporate Governance When Managerial Ability is Mis-assessed
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Eric Budish

Strategy-proofness in the Large
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Dror Y. Kenett
Robin L. Lumsdaine
Jonathan K. Simon

The Complexity of Bank Holding Companies: A Topological Approach
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Agostino Capponi
Joseph E. Stiglitz

Bail-ins and Bail-outs: Incentives, Connectivity, and Systemic Stability
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Prospect Theory and Energy Efficiency
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Giacomo A.M. Ponzetto

The Political Economy of Transportation Investment
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Mark Dean
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Rationally Inattentive Behavior: Characterizing and Generalizing Shannon Entropy
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Aspen Gorry
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Survival Ambiguity and Welfare
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Joanne Yoong
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Leonardo Melosi

The Dire Effects of the Lack of Monetary and Fiscal Coordination
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Xavier Gabaix
Dirk Jenter

Executive Compensation: A Survey of Theory and Evidence
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Daniel Schwartz
Howard C. Kunreuther
Erwann O. Michel-Kerjan

Risk Preferences in Small and Large Stakes: Evidence from Insurance Contract Decisions
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Abi Adams

What Do Consumers Consider Before They Choose? Identification from Asymmetric Demand Responses
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Jungyoll Yun
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Equilibrium in a Competitive Insurance Market Under Adverse Selection with Endogenous Information
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Expect Above Average Temperatures: Identifying the Economic Impacts of Climate Change
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Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Tyler H. McCormick
Mengjie Pan

Using Aggregated Relational Data to Feasibly Identify Network Structure without Network Data
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Christian Catalini
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The Digital Privacy Paradox: Small Money, Small Costs, Small Talk
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Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise
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Georgy Egorov
Stefano Fiorin

From Extreme to Mainstream: How Social Norms Unravel
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Steven J. Davis
Arata Ito
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Policy Uncertainty In Japan
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Dampening General Equilibrium: From Micro to Macro
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Optimal Multistage Adjudication
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Juha V. Siikamäki
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A Strategy for Evaluating the Opportunity Cost of Time Estimates from New Choice Margins
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Robert S. Pindyck

Averting Catastrophes that Kill
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Ziang Li
Michael Woodford

Risk Aversion as a Perceptual Bias
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Life Insurance and Life Settlement Markets with Overconfident Policyholders
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Paul Gertler
Sean Higgins
Enrique Seira

How Debit Cards Enable the Poor to Save More
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Stefan Nagel
Zhen Yan

The Making of Hawks and Doves: Inflation Experiences on the FOMC
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Verónica Montalva
Duncan Thomas
Andrea Velásquez

Impact of Violent Crime on Risk Aversion: Evidence from the Mexican Drug War
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Himabindu Lakkaraju
Jure Leskovec
Jens Ludwig
Sendhil Mullainathan

Human Decisions and Machine Predictions
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Michael Powell
James B. Rebitzer

Sticking Points: Common-Agency Problems and Contracting in the U.S. Healthcare System
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Holger M. Mueller

Firms' Internal Networks and Local Economic Shocks
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Michael Weisbach

Assessing Managerial Ability: Implications for Corporate Governance
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David Y. Yang
Noam Yuchtman
Y. Jane Zhang

Are Protests Games of Strategic Complements or Substitutes? Experimental Evidence from Hong Kong's Democracy Movement
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Christopher Knittel

Are Consumers Poorly Informed about Fuel Economy? Evidence from Two Experiments
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Joanne Yoong
Jonathan Zinman

The Quest for Parsimony in Behavioral Economics: New Methods and Evidence on Three Fronts
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Eric Zwick

Arrested Development: Theory and Evidence of Supply-Side Speculation in the Housing Market
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Brian T. Melzer

Non-Cognitive Abilities and Financial Delinquency: The Role of Self-Efficacy in Avoiding Financial Distress
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Thomas Blake
Dimitriy V. Masterov
Steven Tadelis

Expectation, Disappointment, and Exit: Reference Point Formation in a Marketplace
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Georgy Egorov
Robert Jensen

Cool to be Smart or Smart to be Cool? Understanding Peer Pressure in Education
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Luminita Stevens
Michael Woodford

Discrete Adjustment to a Changing Environment: Experimental Evidence
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Hikaru Saijo

Learning, Confidence, and Business Cycles
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Jacob LaRiviere
David M. Novgorodsky
Michael Price

Asymmetric Effects of Non-Pecuniary Signals on Search and Purchase Behavior for Energy-Efficient Durable Goods
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Pierre Yared

Commitment vs. Flexibility with Costly Verification
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David Yermack
Jaime F. Zender

Ambiguity and the Tradeoff Theory of Capital Structure
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Gordon Phillips
Ethan Cohen-Cole

The Impact of Consumer Credit Access on Employment, Earnings and Entrepreneurship
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Joseph E. Stiglitz

Pseudo-wealth and Consumption Fluctuations
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Giancarlo Spagnolo
Riccardo Pacini

Past Performance and Procurement Outcomes
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Ludger Woessmann
Philipp Lergetporer
Katharina Werner

How Information Affects Support for Education Spending: Evidence from Survey Experiments in Germany and the United States
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The Social Cost of Carbon Revisited
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Chen Lian

Forward Guidance without Common Knowledge
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Ufuk Akcigit
William Kerr

Innovation Network
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Zenan Wu

Multidimensional Private Information, Market Structure and Insurance Markets
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An Index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty
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Nicolai V. Kuminoff
Christopher A. Powers

Estimating the Heterogeneous Welfare Effects of Choice Architecture: An Application to the Medicare Prescription Drug Insurance Market
w22716 Hugo Hopenhayn
Maryam Saeedi

Bidding Dynamics in Auctions
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Ginger Zhe Jin
Phillip Leslie
Alexander J. Quinn
Ben Zou

Incomplete Disclosure: Evidence of Signaling and Countersignaling
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Alain de Janvry
Elisabeth Sadoulet

Subsidy Policies and Insurance Demand
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Leopoldo Fergusson
James A. Robinson
Dario Romero
Juan F. Vargas

The Perils of High-Powered Incentives: Evidence from Colombia's False Positives
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Designing Online Marketplaces: Trust and Reputation Mechanisms
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Catherine Tucker

Seeding the S-Curve? The Role of Early Adopters in Diffusion
w22586 Fali Huang
Ginger Zhe Jin
Lixin Colin Xu

Love, Money, and Parental Goods: Does Parental Matchmaking Matter?
w22584 Lingfang (Ivy) Li
Steven Tadelis
Xiaolan Zhou

Buying Reputation as a Signal of Quality: Evidence from an Online Marketplace
w22582 Matthew Chesnes
Ginger Zhe Jin

Direct-to-Consumer Advertising and Online Search
w22563 Francesco D’Acunto
Daniel Hoang
Michael Weber

The Effect of Unconventional Fiscal Policy on Consumption Expenditure
w22543 Matthew Wiswall
Basit Zafar

Human Capital Investments and Expectations about Career and Family
w22490 Cosmin L. Ilut
Rosen Valchev
Nicolas Vincent

Paralyzed by Fear: Rigid and Discrete Pricing under Demand Uncertainty
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Heads or Tails: The Impact of a Coin Toss on Major Life Decisions and Subsequent Happiness
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Jennifer Brown
Dmitry Ryvkin

Peer Information and Risk-taking under Competitive and Non-competitive Pay Schemes
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Ian Dew-Becker

Long-Run Risk is the Worst-Case Scenario
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Esteban Aucejo
Arnaud Maurel
Tyler Ransom

College Attrition and the Dynamics of Information Revelation
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Chris Nosko
Steven Tadelis

Returns to Consumer Search: Evidence from eBay
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Chen Lian

Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics: Accommodating Frictions in Coordination
w22282 Marcel Fafchamps
Mans Soderbom
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Adoption with Social Learning and Network Externalities
w22258 Michael Bailey
Ruiqing Cao
Theresa Kuchler
Johannes Stroebel

Social Networks and Housing Markets
w22225 Anmol Bhandari
Jaroslav Borovička
Paul Ho

Identifying Ambiguity Shocks in Business Cycle Models Using Survey Data
w22203 S. Nageeb Ali
Roland Bénabou

Image Versus Information: Changing Societal Norms and Optimal Privacy
w22202 Edward P. Lazear
Kathryn L. Shaw
Christopher T. Stanton

Who Gets Hired? The Importance of Finding an Open Slot
w22201 Thomas M. Eisenbach
David O. Lucca
Robert M. Townsend

The Economics of Bank Supervision
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Homophily and Transitivity in Dynamic Network Formation
w22156 W. Bentley MacLeod
Teck Yong Tan

Optimal Contracting with Subjective Evaluation: The Effects of Timing, Malfeasance and Guile
w22124 Edward L. Glaeser
Andrew Hillis
Scott Duke Kominers
Michael Luca

Crowdsourcing City Government: Using Tournaments to Improve Inspection Accuracy
w22098 Bryan S. Graham
Guido W. Imbens
Geert Ridder

Identification and Efficiency Bounds for the Average Match Function under Conditionally Exogenous Matching
w22076 Florian Scheuer
Iván Werning

Mirrlees meets Diamond-Mirrlees
w22065 Patrick Bayer
Kyle Mangum
James W. Roberts

Speculative Fever: Investor Contagion in the Housing Bubble
w22055 Brian Knight
Ana Tribin

The Limits of Propaganda: Evidence from Chavez's Venezuela
w22047 Pablo Kurlat
The Social Value of Financial Expertise
w22039 Matthew Grennan
Ashley Swanson

Transparency and Negotiated Prices: The Value of Information in Hospital-Supplier Bargaining
w22038 Dominic Coey
Bradley Larsen
Brennan Platt

Discounts and Deadlines in Consumer Search
w22006 Gaetano Gaballo
Ramon Marimon

Breaking the Spell with Credit-Easing: Self-Confirming Credit Crises in Competitive Search Economies
w21996 Ulrich Doraszelski
Gregory Lewis
Ariel Pakes

Just Starting Out: Learning and Equilibrium in a New Market
w21963 Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato
Xiao Yu Wang
Shuang Zhang

The Limits of Meritocracy: Screening Bureaucrats Under Imperfect Verifiability
w21931 Greg Kaplan
Guido Menzio
Leena Rudanko
Nicholas Trachter

Relative Price Dispersion: Evidence and Theory
w21904 John Guyton
Dayanand S. Manoli
Brenda Schafer
Michael Sebastiani

Reminders & Recidivism: Evidence from Tax Filing & EITC Participation among Low-Income Nonfilers
w21877 Arthur Alik-Lagrange
Martin Ravallion

Social Frictions to Knowledge Diffusion: Evidence from an Information Intervention
w21855 David C. Chan
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Informational Frictions and Practice Variation: Evidence from Physicians in Training
2015
w21835 Hugh Macartney
Robert McMillan
Uros Petronijevic

Incentive Design in Education: An Empirical Analysis
w21833 Benjamin Lester
Ali Shourideh
Venky Venkateswaran
Ariel Zetlin-Jones

Screening and Adverse Selection in Frictional Markets
w21818 Erzo F.P. Luttmer
Andrew A. Samwick

The Welfare Cost of Perceived Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from Social Security
w21797 Keith Marzilli Ericson
Philipp Kircher
Johannes Spinnewijn
Amanda Starc

Inferring Risk Perceptions and Preferences using Choice from Insurance Menus: Theory and Evidence
w21792 Jonathan P. Beauchamp
Daniel J. Benjamin
Christopher F. Chabris
David I. Laibson

Controlling for the Compromise Effect Debiases Estimates of Risk Preference Parameters
w21759 Benjamin R. Handel
Jonathan T. Kolstad
Johannes Spinnewijn

Information Frictions and Adverse Selection: Policy Interventions in Health Insurance Markets
w21743 Mikhail Golosov
Guido Menzio

Agency Business Cycles
w21731 Darrell Duffie
Lei Qiao
Yeneng Sun

Dynamic Directed Random Matching
w21719 Julian Kozlowski
Laura Veldkamp
Venky Venkateswaran

The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation
w21718 Orazio Attanasio
Elena Pastorino

Nonlinear Pricing in Village Economies
w21704 Tianshu Sun
Guodong (Gordon) Gao
Ginger Zhe Jin

Mobile Messaging for Offline Group Formation in Prosocial Activities: A Large Field Experiment
w21702 Rasmus Lentz
Nicolas Roys

Training and Search On the Job
w21696 Darrell Duffie
Haoxiang Zhu

Size Discovery
w21695 Ernesto Reuben
Paola Sapienza
Luigi Zingales

Taste for Competition and the Gender Gap Among Young Business Professionals
w21679 Maxime C. Cohen
Georgia Perakis
Robert S. Pindyck

Pricing with Limited Knowledge of Demand
w21633 Scott R. Baker
Nicholas Bloom
Steven J. Davis

Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty
w21597 William R. Kerr
Martin Mandorff

Social Networks, Ethnicity, and Entrepreneurship
w21567 Sumit Agarwal
Souphala Chomsisengphet
Neale Mahoney
Johannes Stroebel

Do Banks Pass Through Credit Expansions to Consumers Who Want to Borrow?
w21563 Nicolae B. Gârleanu
Lasse H. Pedersen

Efficiently Inefficient Markets for Assets and Asset Management
w21528 Ricardo Lagos
Shengxing Zhang

Monetary Exchange in Over-the-Counter Markets: A Theory of Speculative Bubbles, the Fed Model, and Self-fulfilling Liquidity Crises
w21517 Ben Gillen
Erik Snowberg
Leeat Yariv

Experimenting with Measurement Error: Techniques with Applications to the Caltech Cohort Study
w21495 Robert Shimer
Iván Werning

Efficiency and Information Transmission in Bilateral Trading
w21492 Marina Halac
Pierre Yared

Fiscal Rules and Discretion in a World Economy
w21480 Joel M. David
Ina Simonovska

Correlated Beliefs, Returns, and Stock Market Volatility
w21475 Jean-Pierre Dubé
Xueming Luo
Zheng Fang

Self-Signaling and Prosocial Behavior: a Cause Marketing Mobile Field Experiment
w21468 Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Horacio Larreguy
Juan Pablo Xandri

Testing Models of Social Learning on Networks: Evidence from a Lab Experiment in the Field
w21463 Mark C. Freeman
Ben Groom
Richard Zeckhauser

Better Predictions, Better Allocations: Scientific Advances and Adaptation to Climate Change
w21414 B. Kelsey Jack
Paulina Oliva
Christopher Severen
Elizabeth Walker
Samuel Bell

Technology Adoption Under Uncertainty: Take-Up and Subsequent Investment in Zambia
w21400 Chie Hanaoka
Hitoshi Shigeoka
Yasutora Watanabe

Do Risk Preferences Change? Evidence from Panel Data before and after the Great East Japan Earthquake
w21312 Tianshu Sun
Susan Feng Lu
Ginger Zhe Jin

Solving Shortage in a Priceless Market: Insights from Blood Donation
w21306 Benjamin Faber
Rosa Sanchis-Guarner
Felix Weinhardt

ICT and Education: Evidence from Student Home Addresses
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Tom Blake
Steven Tadelis

Cheap Talk, Round Numbers, and the Economics of Negotiation
w21265 Georgy Egorov
Single-Issue Campaigns and Multidimensional Politics
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Richard T. Thakor

Customers and Investors: A Framework for Understanding Financial Institutions
w21224 Erik Eyster
Matthew Rabin
Dimitri Vayanos

Financial Markets where Traders Neglect the Informational Content of Prices
w21214 Camelia M. Kuhnen
Andrei C. Miu

Socioeconomic Status and Learning from Financial Information
w21187 Hunt Allcott
Cass R. Sunstein

Regulating Internalities
w21174 Vladimir Gimpelson
Daniel Treisman

Misperceiving Inequality
w21169 Emily Breza
Arun G. Chandrasekhar

Social Networks, Reputation and Commitment: Evidence from a Savings Monitors Experiment
w21160 Saurabh Bhargava
George Loewenstein
Justin Sydnor

Do Individuals Make Sensible Health Insurance Decisions? Evidence from a Menu with Dominated Options
w21141 Daniel R. Feenberg
Ina Ganguli
Patrick Gaule
Jonathan Gruber

It's Good to be First: Order Bias in Reading and Citing NBER Working Papers
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Xavier Gabaix

Executive Compensation: A Modern Primer
w21118 Pablo Kurlat
Liquidity as Social Expertise
w21099 Ginger Zhe Jin
Michael Luca
Daniel Martin

Is No News (Perceived as) Bad News? An Experimental Investigation of Information Disclosure
w21097 Robert S. Pindyck
The Use and Misuse of Models for Climate Policy
w21096 George J. Borjas
Kirk B. Doran
Ying Shen

Ethnic Complementarities after the Opening of China: How Chinese Graduate Students Affected the Productivity of Their Advisors
w21083 Laurent Bouton
Georg Kirchsteiger

Good Rankings Are Bad: Why Reliable Rankings Can Hurt Consumers
w21082 Andrew B. Bernard
Andreas Moxnes
Yukiko U. Saito

Production Networks, Geography and Firm Performance
w21062 Magnus Carlsson
Gordon B. Dahl
Dan-Olof Rooth

Backlash in Policy Attitudes After the Election of Extreme Political Parties
w21044 Christoph Hambel
Holger Kraft
Eduardo Schwartz

Optimal Carbon Abatement in a Stochastic Equilibrium Model with Climate Change
w21014 Markus Mobius
Tuan Phan
Adam Szeidl

Treasure Hunt: Social Learning in the Field
w21005 Maija Halonen-Akatwijuka
Oliver Hart

Short-term, Long-term, and Continuing Contracts
w21001 Andrew Caplin
John Leahy
Filip Matějka

Social Learning and Selective Attention
w20991 Marina Druz
Alexander F. Wagner
Richard J. Zeckhauser

Tips and Tells from Managers: How Analysts and the Market Read Between the Lines of Conference Calls
w20988 Ali Hortaçsu
Seyed Ali Madanizadeh
Steven L. Puller

Power to Choose? An Analysis of Consumer Inertia in the Residential Electricity Market
w20982 Uri Gneezy
Alex Imas
John List

Estimating Individual Ambiguity Aversion: A Simple Approach
w20931 Daron Acemoglu
Asuman Ozdaglar
Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi

Networks, Shocks, and Systemic Risk
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Andrew W. Lo

Competition and R&D Financing Decisions: Theory and Evidence from the Biopharmaceutical Industry
w20900 Mark C. Freeman
Gernot Wagner
Richard J. Zeckhauser

Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?
w20886 Howard Kunreuther
Mark Pauly

Insurance Decision-Making For Rare Events: The Role Of Emotions
w20870 Michael Price
Using Field Experiments to Address Environmental Externalities and Resource Scarcity: Major Lessons Learned and New Directions for Future Research
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Alexander Monge-Naranjo

Student Loans and Repayment: Theory, Evidence and Policy
w20830 Chris Nosko
Steven Tadelis

The Limits of Reputation in Platform Markets: An Empirical Analysis and Field Experiment
2014
w20798 Gregory J. Martin
Ali Yurukoglu

Bias in Cable News: Persuasion and Polarization
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Benjamin Lester
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Heterogeneity in Decentralized Asset Markets
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Alex Edmans
Daniel Gottlieb

The Generalized Informativeness Principle
w20691 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Alp Simsek
Wei Xiong

A Welfare Criterion for Models with Distorted Beliefs
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Jason Owen-Smith
Rebecca Rosen
Bruce Weinberg

New Linked Data on Research Investments: Scientific Workforce, Productivity, and Public Value
w20681 Yosh Halberstam
Brian Knight

Homophily, Group Size, and the Diffusion of Political Information in Social Networks: Evidence from Twitter
w20680 Yiqun Chen
Frank Sloan

Subjective Beliefs, Deterrence, and the Propensity to Drive While Intoxicated
w20679 Frank A. Sloan
Patricia A. Robinson
Lindsey M. Eldred

Does Private Information Influence Automobile Insurance Purchase Decisions?
w20669 Attila Ambrus
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Matt Elliott

Social Investments, Informal Risk Sharing, and Inequality
w20649 James Andreoni
Alison Sanchez

Do Beliefs Justify Actions or Do Actions Justify Beliefs? An Experiment on Stated Beliefs, Revealed Beliefs, and Social-Image Manipulation
w20633 Mikhail Golosov
Luigi Iovino

Social Insurance, Information Revelation, and Lack of Commitment
w20629 Prasad Krishnamurthy
Aaron Edlin

Affirmative Action and Stereotypes in Higher Education Admissions
w20623 Veronica Guerrieri
Robert Shimer

Markets with Multidimensional Private Information
w20620 Darrell Duffie
Piotr Dworczak
Haoxiang Zhu

Benchmarks in Search Markets
w20609 Adam M. Lavecchia
Heidi Liu
Philip Oreopoulos

Behavioral Economics of Education: Progress and Possibilities
w20608 Benjamin Lester
Guillaume Rocheteau
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Competing for Order Flow in OTC Markets
w20596 Ginger Zhe Jin
Jungmin Lee

A Tale of Repetition: Lessons from Florida Restaurant Inspections
w20588 Songzi Du
Haoxiang Zhu

Welfare and Optimal Trading Frequency in Dynamic Double Auctions
w20576 Alberto Cavallo
Guillermo Cruces
Ricardo Perez-Truglia

Inflation Expectations, Learning and Supermarket Prices
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Seth Richards-Shubik

Contagion in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis
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Leonardo Melosi

Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency
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Erzo F.P. Luttmer

The Perception Of Social Security Incentives For Labor Supply And Retirement: The Median Voter Knows More Than You'd Think
w20542 Pierre Chaigneau
Alex Edmans
Daniel Gottlieb

The Value of Informativeness for Contracting
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Piotr Dworczak

Robust Benchmark Design
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Konstantin Sonin

Incumbency Advantage in Non-Democracies
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Michael Ostrovsky
Mikhail Panov

Strategic Trading in Informationally Complex Environments
w20496 Jonathan Zinman
Household Debt: Facts, Puzzles, Theories, and Policies
w20487 Jonathan Levin
Andrzej Skrzypacz

Are Dynamic Vickrey Auctions Practical?: Properties of the Combinatorial Clock Auction
w20484 Michael R. Roberts
The Role of Dynamic Renegotiation and Asymmetric Information in Financial Contracting
w20480 Andrea M. Buffa
Dimitri Vayanos
Paul Woolley

Asset Management Contracts and Equilibrium Prices
w20473 Cosmin Ilut
Matthias Kehrig
Martin Schneider

Slow to Hire, Quick to Fire: Employment Dynamics with Asymmetric Responses to News
w20469 Roger Bate
Ginger Zhe Jin
Aparna Mathur
Amir Attaran

Poor Quality Drugs and Global Trade: A Pilot Study
w20463 Andrés Moya
Michael Carter

Violence and the Formation of Hopelessness and Pessimistic Prospects of Upward Mobility in Colombia
w20456 Pierre Chaigneau
Alex Edmans
Daniel Gottlieb

The Informativeness Principle Under Limited Liability
w20431 Bradley Larsen
The Efficiency of Real-World Bargaining: Evidence from Wholesale Used-Auto Auctions
w20422 Abhijit Banerjee
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Esther Duflo
Matthew O. Jackson

Gossip: Identifying Central Individuals in a Social Network
w20415 Michael Dinerstein
Liran Einav
Jonathan Levin
Neel Sundaresan

Consumer Price Search and Platform Design in Internet Commerce
w20414 Bryan S. Graham
Methods of Identification in Social Networks
w20411 Neale Mahoney
E. Glen Weyl

Imperfect Competition in Selection Markets
w20397 Christopher Cotton
Brent R. Hickman
Joseph P. Price

Affirmative Action and Human Capital Investment: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment
w20394 Lars Peter Hansen
Uncertainty Outside and Inside Economic Models
w20391 Peter Benczur
Cosmin L. Ilut

Evidence for Relational Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending
w20381 Keith M. Marzilli Ericson
On the Interaction of Memory and Procrastination: Implications for Reminders
w20365 Kinda Hachem
Inefficiently Low Screening with Walrasian Markets
w20363 Hunt Allcott
Paternalism and Energy Efficiency: An Overview
w20346 Helios Herrera
Guillermo Ordoñez
Christoph Trebesch

Political Booms, Financial Crises
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Axelle Ferriere
Stanley Zin

Risk and Ambiguity in Models of Business Cycles
w20315 Sylvain Chassang
Gerard Padró i Miquel

Corruption, Intimidation, and Whistle-blowing: a Theory of Inference from Unverifiable Reports
w20301 Philippe Aghion
Matthew Jackson

Inducing Leaders to Take Risky Decisions: Dismissal, Tenure, and Term Limits
w20295 Bart J. Bronnenberg
Jean-Pierre Dubé
Matthew Gentzkow
Jesse M. Shapiro

Do Pharmacists Buy Bayer? Informed Shoppers and the Brand Premium
w20293 Christopher Gedge
James W. Roberts
Andrew Sweeting

A Model of Dynamic Limit Pricing with an Application to the Airline Industry
w20276 Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Matthew O. Jackson

Tractable and Consistent Random Graph Models
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Gary Gorton
Bengt Holmström
Guillermo Ordonez

Banks as Secret Keepers
w20238 Francesco Bianchi
Leonardo Melosi

Escaping the Great Recession
w20215 Ian W.R. Martin
Robert S. Pindyck

Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis
w20209 Jaroslav Borovička
Lars P. Hansen
José A. Scheinkman

Misspecified Recovery
w20193 Tarek A. Hassan
Thomas M. Mertens

Information Aggregation in a DSGE Model
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A General Rationale for a Governmental Role in the Relief of Large Risks
w20170 Greg Fischer
Dean Karlan
Margaret McConnell
Pia Raffler

To Charge or Not to Charge: Evidence from a Health Products Experiment in Uganda
w20147 Thomas F. Hellmann
Veikko Thiele

Friends or Foes: The Interrelationship between Angel and Venture Capital Markets
w20127 Keith M. Marzilli Ericson
When Consumers Do Not Make an Active Decision: Dynamic Default Rules and their Equilibrium Effects
w20109 Steve Cicala
When Does Regulation Distort Costs? Lessons from Fuel Procurement in U.S. Electricity Generation
w20106 Pedro Bordalo
Nicola Gennaioli
Andrei Shleifer

Stereotypes
w20100 Paul S. Willen
Evaluating Policies to Prevent another Crisis: An Economist's View
w20088 Matthew Chesnes
Weijia (Daisy) Dai
Ginger Zhe Jin

Banning Foreign Pharmacies from Sponsored Search: The Online Consumer Response
w20081 Francesco Bianchi
Cosmin L. Ilut
Martin Schneider

Uncertainty Shocks, Asset Supply and Pricing over the Business Cycle
w20074 Daniel Elfenbein
Raymond Fisman
Brian McManus

Market Structure, Reputation, and the Value of Quality Certification
w20044 Jess Benhabib
Pengfei Wang

Private Information and Sunspots in Sequential Asset Markets
w20043 Florian Scheuer
Alexander Wolitzky

Capital Taxation under Political Constraints
w20034 Brigham Frandsen
James B. Rebitzer

Structuring Incentives Within Organizations: The Case of Accountable Care Organizations
w20028 Benjamin E. Hermalin
Michael S. Weisbach

Understanding Corporate Governance Through Learning Models of Managerial Competence
w20026 George J. Borjas
Kirk B. Doran

Which Peers Matter? The Relative Impacts of Collaborators, Colleagues, and Competitors
w20019 Sébastien Houde
How Consumers Respond to Environmental Certification and the Value of Energy Information
w19873 J.J. Prescott
Kathryn E. Spier
Albert Yoon

Trial and Settlement: A Study of High-Low Agreements
w19915 Hugh Macartney
The Dynamic Effects of Educational Accountability
w19897 Michael Woodford
An Optimizing Neuroeconomic Model of Discrete Choice
w19896 Jeffrey E. Harris
Beatriz G. López-Valcárcel
Patricia Barber
Vicente Ortún

Efficiency versus Equity in the Allocation of Medical Specialty Training Positions in Spain: A Health Policy Simulation Based on a Discrete Choice Model
w19835 Florian Scheuer
Kent Smetters

Could a Website Really Have Doomed the Health Exchanges? Multiple Equilibria, Initial Conditions and the Construction of the Fine
w19876 Andrew Caplin
Mark Dean

Revealed Preference, Rational Inattention, and Costly Information Acquisition
w19875 Pablo Kurlat
Johannes Stroebel

Testing for Information Asymmetries in Real Estate Markets
w19852 Daron Acemoglu
Mohamed Mostagir
Asuman Ozdaglar

Managing Innovation in a Crowd
w19780 Stephen Holland
Andrew J. Yates

Optimal Trading Ratios for Pollution Permit Markets
w19822 Casey Rothschild
Florian Scheuer

A Theory of Income Taxation under Multidimensional Skill Heterogeneity
w19820 Seth Freedman
Ginger Zhe Jin

The Information Value of Online Social Networks: Lessons from Peer-to-Peer Lending
w19809 Kathy Fogel
Liping Ma
Randall Morck

Powerful Independent Directors
w19807 Jesse M. Shapiro
Special Interests and the Media: Theory and an Application to Climate Change
2013
w19682 Jonathan Zinman
Consumer Credit: Too Much or Too Little (or Just Right)?
w19675 Matthew Gentzkow
Jesse M. Shapiro

Ideology and Online News
w19645 C. Kirabo Jackson
Henry S. Schneider

Reducing Moral Hazard in Employment Relationships: Experimental Evidence on Managerial Control and Performance Pay
w19629 Xi Wu
Li Gan

Multiple Dimensions of Private Information in Life Insurance Markets
w19618 Benjamin Moll
Robert M. Townsend
Victor Zhorin

Economic Development, Flow of Funds and the Equilibrium Interaction of Financial Frictions
w19617 Alexander Karaivanov
Robert M. Townsend

Dynamic Financial Constraints: Distinguishing Mechanism Design from Exogenously Incomplete Regimes
w19534 Lisa Cameron
Manisha Shah

Risk-Taking Behavior in the Wake of Natural Disasters
w19527 Keith M. Marzilli Ericson
Amanda Starc

How Product Standardization Affects Choice: Evidence from the Massachusetts Health Insurance Exchange
w19519 Michael R. Baye
Babur De los Santos
Matthijs R. Wildenbeest

Searching for Physical and Digital Media: The Evolution of Platforms for Finding Books
w19498 John Morrow
Michael Carter

Left, Right, Left: Income, Learning and Political Dynamics
w19482 Jeffrey Hoopes
Daniel Reck
Joel Slemrod

Taxpayer Search for Information: Implications for Rational Attention
w19433 Ori Heffetz
Katrina Ligett

Privacy and Data-Based Research
w19399 Benjamin R. Handel
Igal Hendel
Michael D. Whinston

Equilibria in Health Exchanges: Adverse Selection vs. Reclassification Risk
w19384 Keith M. Marzilli Ericson
Andreas Fuster

The Endowment Effect
w19376 Kyle Handley
Nuno Limão

Policy Uncertainty, Trade and Welfare: Theory and Evidence for China and the U.S.
w19373 Benjamin R. Handel
Jonathan T. Kolstad

Health Insurance for "Humans": Information Frictions, Plan Choice, and Consumer Welfare
w19334 Mark Rosenzweig
Christopher R. Udry

Forecasting Profitability
w19318 Andrew Caplin
Mark Dean

Behavioral Implications of Rational Inattention with Shannon Entropy
w19317 Joseph Stiglitz
Jungyoll Yun

Optimality and Equilibrium In a Competitive Insurance Market Under Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard
w19311 Ryan D. Edwards
If My Blood Pressure Is High, Do I Take It To Heart? Behavioral Impacts of Biomarker Collection in the Health and Retirement Study
w19284 Luigi Guiso
Paola Sapienza
Luigi Zingales

Time Varying Risk Aversion
w19250 Pietro Ortoleva
Erik Snowberg

Overconfidence in Political Behavior
w19244 Robert S. Pindyck
Climate Change Policy: What Do the Models Tell Us?
w19235 Florian Scheuer
Entrepreneurial Taxation with Endogenous Entry
w19224 Richard G. Newell
Juha V. Siikamäki

Nudging Energy Efficiency Behavior: The Role of Information Labels
w19209 Thomas P. Triebs
Justin Tumlinson

Learning to Forecast the Hard Way--Evidence from German Reunification
w19154 Meghan R. Busse
Ayelet Israeli
Florian Zettelmeyer

Repairing the Damage: The Effect of Price Expectations on Auto-Repair Price Quotes
w19148 Joseph S. Vavra
Inflation Dynamics and Time-Varying Volatility: New Evidence and an Ss Interpretation
w19133 Ajay K. Agrawal
Christian Catalini
Avi Goldfarb

Some Simple Economics of Crowdfunding
w19130 Emel Filiz-Ozbay
Jonathan Guryan
Kyle Hyndman
Melissa Schettini Kearney
Erkut Y. Ozbay

Do Lottery Payments Induce Savings Behavior: Evidence from the Lab
w19103 Robin L. Lumsdaine
Rogier J.D. Potter van Loon

Wall Street vs. Main Street: An Evaluation of Probabilities
w19069 Victor Stango
Jonathan Zinman

Borrowing High vs. Borrowing Higher: Sources and Consequences of Dispersion in Individual Borrowing Costs
w19065 Nicole M. Aulerich
Scott H. Irwin
Philip Garcia

Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files
w19064 Joseph Stiglitz
Jungyoll Yun

Optimal Provision of Loans and Insurance Against Unemployment From A Lifetime Perspective
w19022 Guillermo Ordonez
Sustainable Shadow Banking
w19021 Liran Einav
Chiara Farronato
Jonathan D. Levin
Neel Sundaresan

Sales Mechanisms in Online Markets: What Happened to Internet Auctions?
w19001 Maija Halonen-Akatwijuka
Oliver D. Hart

More is Less: Why Parties May Deliberately Write Incomplete Contracts
w18989 Rüdiger Bachmann
Steffen Elstner

Firms' Optimism and Pessimism
w18961 Hongbin Cai
Ginger Z. Jin
Chong Liu
Li-An Zhou

More Trusting, Less Trust? An Investigation of Early E-Commerce in China
w18939 Ginger Zhe Jin
Jungmin Lee

Inspection Technology, Detection and Compliance: Evidence from Florida Restaurant Inspections
w18936 Roland Bénabou
Jean Tirole

Bonus Culture: Competitive Pay, Screening, and Multitasking
w18929 Geoffrey Heal
Antony Millner

Uncertainty and Decision in Climate Change Economics
w18923 Anil K. Kashyap
Natalia Kovrijnykh

Who Should Pay for Credit Ratings and How?
w18912 Andrew G. Atkeson
Andrea L. Eisfeldt
Pierre-Olivier Weill

The Market for OTC Derivatives
w18878 Jess Benhabib
Pengfei Wang
Yi Wen

Uncertainty and Sentiment-Driven Equilibria
w18863 John Cawley
Rosemary Avery
Matthew Eisenberg

The Effect of Deceptive Advertising on Consumption of the Advertised Good and its Substitutes: The Case of Over-the-Counter Weight Loss Products
w18766 Jaromir Nosal
Guillermo Ordoñez

Uncertainty as Commitment
w18729 Yuyu Chen
Ginger Zhe Jin
Naresh Kumar
Guang Shi

Gaming in Air Pollution Data? Lessons from China
w18743 Stephen G. Dimmock
Roy Kouwenberg
Olivia S. Mitchell
Kim Peijnenburg

Ambiguity Aversion and Household Portfolio Choice: Empirical Evidence
w18727 Daron Acemoglu
Asuman Ozdaglar
Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi

Systemic Risk and Stability in Financial Networks
w18708 Pedro Bordalo
Nicola Gennaioli
Andrei Shleifer

Salience and Asset Prices
w18704 Yongyang Cai
Kenneth L. Judd
Thomas S. Lontzek

The Social Cost of Stochastic and Irreversible Climate Change
w18678 Andrew J. Epstein
Sean Nicholson
David A. Asch

The Production of and Market for New Physicians' Skill
w18669 Annamaria Lusardi
Pierre-Carl Michaud
Olivia S. Mitchell

Optimal Financial Knowledge and Wealth Inequality
w18666 Nicola Pavoni
Ofer Setty
Giovanni L. Violante

Search and Work in Optimal Welfare Programs
2012
w18641 Ned Augenblick
Jesse M. Cunha
Ernesto Dal Bó
Justin M. Rao

The Economics of Faith: Using an Apocalyptic Prophecy to Elicit Religious Beliefs in the Field
w18638 Julio J. Rotemberg
Prominent Job Advertisements, Group Learning and Wage Dispersion
w18634 Nolan Miller
Alexander F. Wagner
Richard J. Zeckhauser

Solomonic Separation: Risk Decisions as Productivity Indicators
w18621 Nicholas C. Barberis
Thirty Years of Prospect Theory in Economics: A Review and Assessment
w18608 Jennifer Brown
Dylan B. Minor

Misconduct in Credence Good Markets
w18590 L. Elisa Celis
Gregory Lewis
Markus M. Mobius
Hamid Nazerzadeh

Buy-it-now or Take-a-chance: Price Discrimination through Randomized Auctions
w18585 Marco Battaglini
Bård Harstad

Participation and Duration of Environmental Agreements
w18567 Weijia Dai
Ginger Z. Jin
Jungmin Lee
Michael Luca

Aggregation of Consumer Ratings: An Application to Yelp.com
w18545 Marina Halac
Pierre Yared

Fiscal Rules and Discretion under Persistent Shocks
w18517 John Chalmers
Woodrow T. Johnson
Jonathan Reuter

The Effect of Pension Design on Employer Costs and Employee Retirement Choices: Evidence from Oregon
w18507 Greg Kaplan
Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

Understanding the Long-Run Decline in Interstate Migration
w18495 Thomas F. Hellmann
Veikko Thiele

A Theory of the Firm based on Partner Displacement
w18471 Nick Netzer
Florian Scheuer

A Game Theoretic Foundation of Competitive Equilibria with Adverse Selection
w18468 Katherine Baicker
Sendhil Mullainathan
Joshua Schwartzstein

Behavioral Hazard in Health Insurance
w18459 Marc-Andreas Muendler
James E. Rauch

Mobilizing Social Capital Through Employee Spinoffs
w18451 Pierre Collin-Dufresne
Vyacheslav Fos

Insider Trading, Stochastic Liquidity and Equilibrium Prices
w18430 Victor Lavy
Edith Sand

The Friends Factor: How Students' Social Networks Affect Their Academic Achievement and Well-Being?
w18413 Jess Benhabib
Pengfei Wang
Yi Wen

Sentiments and Aggregate Demand Fluctuations
w18406 Florian Scheuer
Adverse Selection In Credit Markets and Regressive Profit Taxation
w18401 Rema Hanna
Sendhil Mullainathan
Joshua Schwartzstein

Learning Through Noticing: Theory and Experimental Evidence in Farming
w18360 Guillermo Ordoñez
The Asymmetric Effects of Financial Frictions
w18365 Yongyang Cai
Kenneth L. Judd
Thomas S. Lontzek

Continuous-Time Methods for Integrated Assessment Models
w18364 Carolin Haeussler
Matthew J. Higgins

Explaining Preferences for Control Rights in Strategic Alliances: A Property Rights and Capabilities Perspective Approach
w18354 Laurence Ales
Pricila Maziero
Pierre Yared

A Theory of Political and Economic Cycles
w18351 Vivi Alatas
Abhijit Banerjee
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Rema Hanna
Benjamin A. Olken

Network Structure and the Aggregation of Information: Theory and Evidence from Indonesia
w18348 Seonghoon Cho
Bennett T. McCallum

Refining Linear Rational Expectations Models and Equilibria
w18325 Dean Karlan
Ryan Knight
Christopher Udry

Hoping to Win, Expected to Lose: Theory and Lessons on Micro Enterprise Development
w18262 Robert S. Pindyck
Risk and Return in Environmental Economics
w18251 Dimitri Vayanos
Jiang Wang

Market Liquidity -- Theory and Empirical Evidence
w18242 Malcolm Baker
Jeffrey Wurgler

Dividends as Reference Points: A Behavioral Signaling Approach
w18241 Leonardo Bursztyn
Florian Ederer
Bruno Ferman
Noam Yuchtman

Understanding Peer Effects in Financial Decisions: Evidence from a Field Experiment
w18230 Derek M. Lemoine
Christian P. Traeger

Tipping Points and Ambiguity in the Economics of Climate Change
w18228 Casey Rothschild
Florian Scheuer

Redistributive Taxation in the Roy Model
w18211 Ulrike Malmendier
Marcus Matthias Opp
Farzad Saidi

Target Revaluation after Failed Takeover Attempts - Cash versus Stock
w18205 Robert S. Pindyck
The Climate Policy Dilemma
w18136 Howard Kunreuther
Geoffrey Heal

Managing Catastrophic Risk
w18096 Raymond Fisman
Daniel Paravisini
Vikrant Vig

Cultural Proximity and Loan Outcomes
w18082 Christopher L. Foote
Kristopher S. Gerardi
Paul S. Willen

Why Did So Many People Make So Many Ex Post Bad Decisions? The Causes of the Foreclosure Crisis
w18076 Patrick Hummel
Brian Knight

Sequential or Simultaneous Elections? A Welfare Analysis
w18073 Roger Bate
Ginger Zhe Jin
Aparna Mathur

Counterfeit or Substandard? Assessing Price and Non-Price Signals of Drug Quality
w18065 Xavier Giné
Jessica Goldberg
Dan Silverman
Dean Yang

Revising Commitments: Field Evidence on the Adjustment of Prior Choices
w18036 Javier Bianchi
Emine Boz
Enrique G. Mendoza

Macro-Prudential Policy in a Fisherian model of Financial Innovation
w18022 Melvyn G. Coles
Dale T. Mortensen

Equilibrium Labor Turnover, Firm Growth and Unemployment
w17999 Bernhard Ganglmair
Emanuele Tarantino

Patent Disclosure in Standard Setting
w17988 Andrew Caplin
Daniel J. Martin

Defaults and Attention: The Drop Out Effect
w17973 Michael D. Hurd
Susann Rohwedder

Stock Price Expectations and Stock Trading
w17962 Christopher L. House
Jing Zhang

Layoffs, Lemons and Temps
w17955 Roger Bate
Ginger Zhe Jin
Aparna Mathur

In Whom We Trust: The Role of Certification Agencies in Online Drug Markets
w17920 Zhiguo He
Gregor Matvos

Debt and Creative Destruction: Why Could Subsidizing Corporate Debt be Optimal?
w17898 Andrew Atkeson
Christian Hellwig
Guillermo Ordonez

Optimal Regulation in the Presence of Reputation Concerns
w17895 Bruce Ian Carlin
Florian Ederer

Search Fatigue
w17883 Gharad T. Bryan
Dean Karlan
Jonathan Zinman

Referrals: Peer Screening and Enforcement in a Consumer Credit Field Experiment
w17876 Veronica Guerrieri
Robert Shimer

Dynamic Adverse Selection: A Theory of Illiquidity, Fire Sales, and Flight to Quality
w17833 Francesco Caselli
Thomas E. Cunningham
Massimo Morelli
Inés Moreno de Barreda

Signalling, Incumbency Advantage, and Optimal Reelection Thresholds
w17829 Jonathan Zinman
Eric Zitzewitz

Wintertime for Deceptive Advertising?
w17817 Florian Scheuer
Optimal Asset Taxes in Financial Markets with Aggregate Uncertainty
w17790 Kyle Handley
Nuno Limão

Trade and Investment under Policy Uncertainty: Theory and Firm Evidence
w17765 Louis Kaplow
On the Optimal Burden of Proof
w17761 Pedro Bordalo
Nicola Gennaioli
Andrei Shleifer

Salience in Experimental Tests of the Endowment Effect
w17743 Abhijit Banerjee
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Esther Duflo
Matthew O. Jackson

The Diffusion of Microfinance
w17732 Eric Zitzewitz
Does Transparency Reduce Favoritism and Corruption? Evidence from the Reform of Figure Skating Judging
2011
w17696 Viral V. Acharya
Bart M. Lambrecht

A Theory of Income Smoothing When Insiders Know More Than Outsiders
w17664 Augustin Landier
David Thesmar

Regulating Systemic Risk through Transparency: Tradeoffs in Making Data Public
w17647 Gregory Lewis
Patrick Bajari

Moral Hazard, Incentive Contracts and Risk: Evidence from Procurement
w17643 Patrick Bajari
Han Hong
Minjung Park
Robert Town

Regression Discontinuity Designs with an Endogenous Forcing Variable and an Application to Contracting in Health Care
w17629 Emily Oster
Ira Shoulson
E. Ray Dorsey

Optimal Expectations and Limited Medical Testing: Evidence from Huntington Disease
w17628 Matthew Kotchen
Matthew Potoski

Conflicts of Interest Distort Public Evaluations: Evidence from the Top 25 Ballots of NCAA Football Coaches
w17614 Gábor Kézdi
Robert J. Willis

Household Stock Market Beliefs and Learning
w17606 Alex Edmans
Itay Goldstein
John Y. Zhu

Contracting With Synergies
w17602 Ufuk Akcigit
Qingmin Liu

The Role of Information in Competitive Experimentation
w17525 George-Marios Angeletos
Jennifer La'O

Optimal Monetary Policy with Informational Frictions
w17579 Roland Benabou
Jean Tirole

Laws and Norms
w17545 Ernst Fehr
Oliver D. Hart
Christian Zehnder

How Do Informal Agreements and Renegotiation Shape Contractual Reference Points?
w17511 Yuet-Yee Wong
Randall Wright

Buyers, Sellers and Middlemen: Variations on Search-Theoretic Themes
w17477 Lars Lefgren
Brennan Platt
Joseph Price

Sticking with What (Barely) Worked
w17465 Daniel Gottlieb
Kent Smetters

Grade Non-Disclosure
w17459 Benjamin R. Handel
Adverse Selection and Switching Costs in Health Insurance Markets: When Nudging Hurts
w17436 Matthew Gentzkow
Emir Kamenica

Competition in Persuasion
w17410 Jeffrey R. Kling
Sendhil Mullainathan
Eldar Shafir
Lee Vermeulen
Marian Wrobel

Comparison Friction: Experimental Evidence from Medicare Drug Plans
w17403 Erwann Michel-Kerjan
Paul Raschky
Howard Kunreuther

Corporate Demand for Insurance: An Empirical Analysis of the U.S. Market for Catastrophe and Non-Catastrophe Risks
w17395 Chris Edmond
Information Manipulation, Coordination, and Regime Change
w17345 John Beshears
James J. Choi
David Laibson
Brigitte C. Madrian
Katherine L. Milkman

The Effect of Providing Peer Information on Retirement Savings Decisions
w17342 James Andreoni
Charles Sprenger

Uncertainty Equivalents: Testing the Limits of the Independence Axiom
w17301 Andreas Fuster
Benjamin Hebert
David Laibson

Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing
w17295 Darrell Duffie
Semyon Malamud
Gustavo Manso

Information Percolation in Segmented Markets
w17287 Jeffrey B. Liebman
Erzo F.P. Luttmer

Would People Behave Differently If They Better Understood Social Security? Evidence From a Field Experiment
w17284 Melvyn G. Coles
Dale T. Mortensen

Equilibrium Wage and Employment Dynamics in a Model of Wage Posting without Commitment
w17280 Darrell Duffie
Yeneng Sun

The Exact Law of Large Numbers for Independent Random Matching
w17270 Kerwin Kofi Charles
Melvin Stephens Jr.

Employment, Wages and Voter Turnout
w17244 Anneke Exterkate
Robin L. Lumsdaine

How Survey Design Affects Inference Regarding Health Perceptions and Outcomes
w17229 George-Marios Angeletos
Luigi Iovino
Jennifer La'O

Cycles, Gaps, and the Social Value of Information
w17191 Francois Gourio
Leena Rudanko

Customer Capital
w17081 John Cawley
Christopher Ruhm

The Economics of Risky Health Behaviors
w17064 Harold L. Cole
Felix Kubler

Recursive Contracts, Lotteries and Weakly Concave Pareto Sets
w17060 George-Marios Angeletos
Jennifer La'O

Decentralization, Communication, and the Origins of Fluctuations
w17035 Casey Rothschild
Florian Scheuer

Optimal Taxation with Rent-Seeking
w17027 Tarek A. Hassan
Thomas M. Mertens

The Social Cost of Near-Rational Investment
w17014 Markus M. Mobius
Muriel Niederle
Paul Niehaus
Tanya S. Rosenblat

Managing Self-Confidence: Theory and Experimental Evidence
w17013 Ashish Arora
Sharon Belenzon
Luis A. Rios

The Organization of R&D in American Corporations: The Determinants and Consequences of Decentralization
w16974 Soren T. Anderson
Ryan Kellogg
James M. Sallee

What Do Consumers Believe About Future Gasoline Prices?
w16969 Liran Einav
Amy Finkelstein
Stephen P. Ryan
Paul Schrimpf
Mark R. Cullen

Selection on Moral Hazard in Health Insurance
w16963 Charles Mason
Andrew Plantinga

Contracting for Impure Public Goods: Carbon Offsets and Additionality
w16955 Daniel Bennett
Chun-Fang Chiang
Anup Malani

Learning During a Crisis: the SARS Epidemic in Taiwan
w16943 Thomas F. Hellmann
Enrico C. Perotti

The Circulation of Ideas in Firms and Markets
w16940 Robert C. Feenstra
Zhiyuan Li
Miaojie Yu

Exports and Credit Constraints Under Incomplete Information: Theory and Evidence from China
w16929 Oliver D. Hart
Noncontractible Investments and Reference Points
w16917 Lex Borghans
Bart H.H. Golsteyn
James J. Heckman
John Eric Humphries

Identification Problems in Personality Psychology
w16911 Xavier Gabaix
A Sparsity-Based Model of Bounded Rationality
w16855 Seth M. Freedman
Ginger Zhe Jin

Learning by Doing with Asymmetric Information: Evidence from Prosper.com
w16854 Roger Bate
Ginger Zhe Jin
Aparna Mathur

Does Price Reveal Poor-Quality Drugs? Evidence from 17 Countries
w16838 Daniel Treisman
The Geography of Fear
w16823 Anna A. Levine Taub
Anton Kolotilin
Robert S. Gibbons
Ernst R. Berndt

The Diversity of Concentrated Prescribing Behavior: An Application to Antipsychotics
w16816 Jess Benhabib
Chetan Dave

Learning, Large Deviations and Rare Events
w16791 Syngjoo Choi
Shachar Kariv
Wieland Müller
Dan Silverman

Who Is (More) Rational?
w16753 Thomas Chaney
The Network Structure of International Trade
w16752 Russell Cooper
Hubert Kempf

Deposit Insurance Without Commitment: Wall St. Versus Main St
w16738 Li Gan
Feng Huang
Adalbert Mayer

A Simple Test of Private Information in the Insurance Markets with Heterogeneous Insurance Demand
w16723 Liran Einav
Amy Finkelstein

Selection in Insurance Markets: Theory and Empirics in Pictures
w16716 Jeffrey LaFrance
Rulon Pope
Jesse Tack

Risk Response in Agriculture
w16696 Pierre-André Chiappori
Krislert Samphantharak
Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
Robert M. Townsend

Heterogeneity and Risk Sharing in Village Economies
2010
w16637 Michael McBride
Gary Richardson

Stopping Suicide Attacks: Optimal Strategies and Unintended Consequences
w16628 Bruno Biais
Johan Hombert
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Trading and Liquidity with Limited Cognition
w16597 William Easterly
Ariell Reshef

African Export Successes: Surprises, Stylized Facts, and Explanations
w16541 Ryan Kellogg
The Effect of Uncertainty on Investment: Evidence from Texas Oil Drilling
w16531 Andrew Paciorek
Todd M. Sinai

Does Home Owning Smooth the Variability of Future Housing Consumption?
w16500 Alan L. Gustman
Thomas L. Steinmeier
Nahid Tabatabai

Financial Knowledge and Financial Literacy at the Household Level
w16485 Viral V. Acharya
Peter M. DeMarzo
Ilan Kremer

Endogenous Information Flows and the Clustering of Announcements
w16469 Francis X. Diebold
Georg Strasser

On the Correlation Structure of Microstructure Noise: A Financial Economic Approach
w16464 Michael D. Hurd
Maarten van Rooij
Joachim Winter

Stock Market Expectations of Dutch Households
w16437 Lauren Cohen
Christopher Malloy

Friends in High Places
w16423 Christina Aperjis
Yali Miao
Richard J. Zeckhauser

Variable Temptations and Black Mark Reputations
w16410 Daron Acemoglu
Kostas Bimpikis
Asuman Ozdaglar

Dynamics of Information Exchange in Endogenous Social Networks
w16407 Michael D. Hurd
Susann Rohwedder

Effects of the Financial Crisis and Great Recession on American Households
w16387 Pedro Bordalo
Nicola Gennaioli
Andrei Shleifer

Salience Theory of Choice Under Risk
w16353 Robert S. Pindyck
Fat Tails, Thin Tails, and Climate Change Policy
w16348 James Andreoni
Charles Sprenger

Risk Preferences Are Not Time Preferences: Discounted Expected Utility with a Disproportionate Preference for Certainty
w16347 James Andreoni
Charles Sprenger

Estimating Time Preferences from Convex Budgets
w16343 Sylvain Chassang
Gerard Padro i Miquel
Erik Snowberg

Selective Trials: A Principal-Agent Approach to Randomized Controlled Experiments
w16325 Gary Charness
Peter Kuhn
Marie-Claire Villeval

Competition and the Ratchet Effect
w16279 C. Kirabo Jackson
Henry S. Schneider

Do Social Connections Reduce Moral Hazard? Evidence from the New York City Taxi Industry
w16240 Jonah E. Rockoff
Douglas O. Staiger
Thomas J. Kane
Eric S. Taylor

Information and Employee Evaluation: Evidence from a Randomized Intervention in Public Schools
w16145 Christopher L. House
Yusufcan Masatlioglu

Managing Markets for Toxic Assets
w16094 Patrick Bolton
Christopher Harris

The Dynamics of Optimal Risk Sharing
w16050 Antony Millner
Simon Dietz
Geoffrey Heal

Ambiguity and Climate Policy
w16041 Alberto Galasso
Timothy S. Simcoe

CEO Overconfidence and Innovation
w16020 Emine Boz
Enrique G. Mendoza

Financial Innovation, the Discovery of Risk, and the U.S. Credit Crisis
w16001 Mary Hallward-Driemeier
Gita Khun-Jush
Lant Pritchett

Deals versus Rules: Policy Implementation Uncertainty and Why Firms Hate It
w15975 Julio J. Rotemberg
Persuasion and empathy in salesperson-customer interactions
w15916 Matthew Gentzkow
Jesse M. Shapiro

Ideological Segregation Online and Offline
w15883 George-Marios Angeletos
Guido Lorenzoni
Alessandro Pavan

Beauty Contests and Irrational Exuberance: A Neoclassical Approach
w15833 Allaudeen Hameed
Randall Morck
Jianfeng Shen
Bernard Yeung

Information, analysts, and stock return comovement
w15821 Denis Gromb
Dimitri Vayanos

Limits of Arbitrage: The State of the Theory
w15785 Thomas Philippon
Vasiliki Skreta

Optimal Interventions in Markets with Adverse Selection
w15783 Robert S. Gibbons
Richard T. Holden
Michael L. Powell

Rational-Expectations Equilibrium in Intermediate Good Markets
w15773 N. Gregory Mankiw
Ricardo Reis

Imperfect Information and Aggregate Supply
w15748 Gerard Padró i Miquel
Pierre Yared

The Political Economy of Indirect Control
w15692 Robert S. Pindyck
Modeling the Impact of Warming in Climate Change Economics
w15689 Kristian Bolin
Daniel Hedblom
Anna Lindgren
Bjorn Lindgren

Asymmetric Information and the Demand for Voluntary Health Insurance in Europe
w15686 Liran Einav
Amy Finkelstein
Iuliana Pascu
Mark R. Cullen

How general are risk preferences? Choices under uncertainty in different domains.
w15674 Viral V. Acharya
Douglas Gale
Tanju Yorulmazer

Rollover Risk and Market Freezes
w15668 Isaac Ehrlich
Jong Kook Shin
Yong Yin

Private Information, Human Capital, and Optimal "Home Bias" in Financial Markets
w15659 Ulrike Malmendier
Geoffrey Tate
Jonathan Yan

Overconfidence and Early-life Experiences: The Impact of Managerial Traits on Corporate Financial Policies
w15644 David Dranove
Ginger Zhe Jin

Quality Disclosure and Certification: Theory and Practice
2009
w15586 Alma Cohen
Peter Siegelman

Testing for Adverse Selection in Insurance Markets
w15581 Daron Acemoglu
Alexander Wolitzky

The Economics of Labor Coercion
w15540 Emir Kamenica
Matthew Gentzkow

Bayesian Persuasion
w15527 Daniel S. Hamermesh
Gerard A. Pfann

Markets for Reputation: Evidence on Quality and Quantity in Academe
w15513 Mikhail Golosov
Guido Lorenzoni
Aleh Tsyvinski

Decentralized Trading with Private Information
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J. Roger Clemmons

The Role of Search in University Productivity: Inside, Outside, and Interdisciplinary Dimensions
w15479 Ricardo J. Caballero
Alp Simsek

Fire Sales in a Model of Complexity
w15460 Giovanni Maggi
Robert W. Staiger

Breach, Remedies and Dispute Settlement in Trade Agreements
w15414 Ricardo Lagos
Guillaume Rocheteau
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Crises and Liquidity in Over-the-Counter Markets
w15347 Kenneth Kovash
Steven D. Levitt

Professionals Do Not Play Minimax: Evidence from Major League Baseball and the National Football League
w15326 Emily Oster
Ira Shoulson
Kimberly Quaid
E. Ray Dorsey

Genetic Adverse Selection: Evidence from Long-Term Care Insurance and Huntington Disease
w15259 Robert S. Pindyck
Uncertain Outcomes and Climate Change Policy
w15242 Rajkamal Iyer
Asim Ijaz Khwaja
Erzo F.P. Luttmer
Kelly Shue

Screening Peers Softly: Inferring the Quality of Small Borrowers
w15241 Liran Einav
Amy Finkelstein
Jonathan Levin

Beyond Testing: Empirical Models of Insurance Markets
w15237 Glenn Ellison
Alexander Wolitzky

A Search Cost Model of Obfuscation
w15215 Dimitri Vayanos
Jiang Wang

Liquidity and Asset Prices: A Unified Framework
w15183 Seth M. Freedman
Melissa Schettini Kearney
Mara Lederman

Product Recalls, Imperfect Information, and Spillover Effects: Lessons from the Consumer Response to the 2007 Toy Recalls
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WHEN CONSENSUS CHOICE DOMINATES INDIVIDUALISM: Jensen's Inequality and Collective Decisions under Uncertainty
w15100 Haitao Yin
Howard Kunreuther
Matthew White

Risk-Based Pricing and Risk-Reducing Effort: Does the Private Insurance Market Reduce Environmental Accidents?
w15084 Nicola Gennaioli
Andrei Shleifer

What Comes to Mind
w15069 William Easterly
Empirics of Strategic Interdependence: The Case of the Racial Tipping Point
w15051 Randall Morck
Generalized Agency Problems
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Jean-Paul L'Huillier
Guido Lorenzoni

News, Noise, and Fluctuations: An Empirical Exploration
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Jennifer La'O

Incomplete Information, Higher-Order Beliefs and Price Inertia
w14997 Ricardo J. Caballero
Alp Simsek

Complexity and Financial Panics
w14982 George-Marios Angeletos
Jennifer La'O

Noisy Business Cycles
w14947 Nicholas C. Barberis
A Model of Casino Gambling
w14922 Robin S. Lee
Michael Schwarz

Interviewing in Two-Sided Matching Markets
w14921 Alexander Frankel
Michael Schwarz

Experts and Their Records
w14915 Veronica Guerrieri
Robert Shimer
Randall Wright

Adverse Selection in Competitive Search Equilibrium
w14898 Veronica Guerrieri
Péter Kondor

Fund Managers, Career Concerns, and Asset Price Volatility
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Esteban M. Aucejo
Hanming Fang
Kenneth I. Spenner

Does Affirmative Action Lead to Mismatch? A New Test and Evidence
w14841 Trevon Logan
Manisha Shah

Face Value: Information and Signaling in an Illegal Market
w14844 Christopher Avery
Jonathan D. Levin

Early Admissions at Selective Colleges
w14812 Kyle Bagwell
Self-Enforcing Trade Agreements and Private Information
w14764 Roland Bénabou
Groupthink: Collective Delusions in Organizations and Markets
w14761 Vasiliki Skreta
Laura Veldkamp

Ratings Shopping and Asset Complexity: A Theory of Ratings Inflation
w14754 Miles S. Kimball
Claudia R. Sahm
Matthew D. Shapiro

Risk Preferences in the PSID: Individual Imputations and Family Covariation
w14742 Jonathan Guryan
Melissa Schettini Kearney

Is Lottery Gambling Addictive?
w14713 Lex Borghans
Bart H.H. Golsteyn
James J. Heckman
Huub Meijers

Gender Differences in Risk Aversion and Ambiguity Aversion
w14712 Patrick Bolton
Xavier Freixas
Joel Shapiro

The Credit Ratings Game
w14659 Sumit Agarwal
Paige M. Skiba
Jeremy Tobacman

Payday Loans and Credit Cards: New Liquidity and Credit Scoring Puzzles?
w14654 Patrick Bolton
Antoine Faure-Grimaud

Satisficing Contracts
w14638 William D. Nordhaus
The Perils of the Learning Model For Modeling Endogenous Technological Change
2008
w14627 Bruce Blonigen
New Evidence on the Formation of Trade Policy Preferences
w14605 Andrew Caplin
John Leahy

Trading Frictions and House Price Dynamics
w14602 Matthew J. Higgins
Paula E. Stephan
Jerry G. Thursby

Conveying Quality and Value in Emerging Industries: Star Scientists and the Role of Learning in Biotechnology
w14590 Susan Athey
Jonathan Levin
Enrique Seira

Comparing Open and Sealed Bid Auctions: Evidence from Timber Auctions
w14586 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko

What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us About Informational Rigidities?
w14523 Dimitri Vayanos
Paul Woolley

An Institutional Theory of Momentum and Reversal
w14508 Ernesto Dal Bó
Marko Terviö

Self-Esteem, Moral Capital, and Wrongdoing
w14502 Pascal Courty
Gerald R. Marschke

On the Sorting of Physicians across Medical Occupations
w14487 Alessandra Casella
Storable Votes and Agenda Order Control. Theory and Experiments
w14457 Emmanuel Farhi
Josh Lerner
Jean Tirole

Fear of Rejection? Tiered Certification and Transparency
w14414 Liran Einav
Amy Finkelstein
Mark R. Cullen

Estimating Welfare in Insurance Markets Using Variation in Prices
w14409 Hyunhoe Bae
Peter Wilcoxen
David Popp

Information Disclosure Policy: Do States' Data Processing Efforts Help More than the Information Disclosure Itself?
w14408 Daron Acemoglu
Kostas Bimpikis
Asuman Ozdaglar

Experimentation, Patents, and Innovation
w14396 Charles F. Manski
Partial Prescriptions For Decisions With Partial Knowledge
w14382 Jeremy T. Fox
Estimating Matching Games with Transfers
w14359 Lawrence H. Summers
Richard J. Zeckhauser

Policymaking for Posterity
w14353 Christopher F. Chabris
David Laibson
Carrie L. Morris
Jonathon P. Schuldt
Dmitry Taubinsky

Measuring intertemporal preferences using response times
w14350 Hai Fang
Nolan H. Miller
John A. Rizzo
Richard J. Zeckhauser

Demanding Customers: Consumerist Patients and Quality of Care
w14330 Jeffrey Liebman
Richard Zeckhauser

Simple Humans, Complex Insurance, Subtle Subsidies
w14261 Jason M. Lindo
Nicholas J. Sanders
Philip Oreopoulos

Ability, Gender, and Performance Standards: Evidence from Academic Probation
w14229 Joseph R. Blasi
Douglas L. Kruse
Harry M. Markowitz

Risk and Lack of Diversification under Employee Ownership and Shared Capitalism
w14271 Joshua Graff Zivin
Matthew Neidell

Days of Haze: Environmental Information Disclosure and Intertemporal Avoidance Behavior
w14258 Brian C. Murray
Richard G. Newell
William A. Pizer

Balancing Cost and Emissions Certainty: An Allowance Reserve for Cap-and-Trade
w14255 Manuel Amador
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Learning from Prices: Public Communication and Welfare
w14252 Pradeep Chintadunta
Renna Jiang
Ginger Z. Jin

Information, Learning, and Drug Diffusion: the Case of Cox-2 Inhibitors
w14228 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Filippos Papakonstantinou
Jonathan A. Parker

An Economic Model of the Planning Fallacy
w14226 Emmanuel Dechenaux
Jerry Thursby
Marie C. Thursby

Inventor Moral Hazard in University Licensing: The Role of Contracts
w14222 Julio J. Rotemberg
Liquidity Needs in Economies with Interconnected Financial Obligations
w14209 Matthew J. Neidell
Information, Avoidance Behavior, and Health: The Effect of Ozone on Asthma Hospitalizations
w14184 Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Endogenous information, menu costs and inflation persistence
w14181 Stefano Eusepi
Bruce Preston

Expectations, Learning and Business Cycle Fluctuations
w14175 Menzie D. Chinn
Michael J. Moore

Private Information and a Macro Model of Exchange Rates: Evidence from a Novel Data Set
w14159 James B. Rebitzer
Mari Rege
Christopher Shepard

Influence, Information Overload, and Information Technology in Health Care
w14153 M. Kate Bundorf
Jonathan D. Levin
Neale Mahoney

Pricing and Welfare in Health Plan Choice
w14119 Ricardo Lagos
Guillaume Rocheteau
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Crashes and Recoveries in Illiquid Markets
w14107 Dan Bogart
Gary Richardson

Making Property Productive: Reorganizing Rights to Real and Equitable Estates in Britain, 1660 to 1830
w14070 Andrew Epstein
Jonathan D. Ketcham
Sean Nicholson

Professional Partnerships and Matching in Obstetrics
w14067 Giovanni Maggi
Robert W. Staiger

On the Role and Design of Dispute Settlement Procedures in International Trade Agreements
w14040 Daron Acemoglu
Munther A. Dahleh
Ilan Lobel
Asuman Ozdaglar

Bayesian Learning in Social Networks
w14020 Kam Yu
Measuring the Output and Prices of the Lottery Sector: An Application of Implicit Expected Utility Theory
w14015 George-Marios Angeletos
Private Sunspots and Idiosyncratic Investor Sentiment
w13991 Richard G. Newell
William A. Pizer

Indexed Regulation
w13956 David A. Jaeger
Esteban F. Klor
Sami H. Miaari
M. Daniele Paserman

The Struggle for Palestinian Hearts and Minds: Violence and Public Opinion in the Second Intifada
w13954 B. Douglas Bernheim
On the Potential of Neuroeconomics: A Critical (but Hopeful) Appraisal
w13935 Keith Finlay
Effect of Employer Access to Criminal History Data on the Labor Market Outcomes of Ex-Offenders and Non-Offenders
w13927 Geoffrey Heal
Climate Economics: A Meta-Review and Some Suggestions
w13907 Roland Bénabou
Ideology
w13904 Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
Laura Veldkamp

Information Acquisition and Under-Diversification
w13894 Noah Williams
Persistent Private Information
w13827 Hanming Fang
Peter Norman

Toward an Efficiency Rationale for the Public Provision of Private Goods
w13822 Sumit Agarwal
John C. Driscoll
Xavier Gabaix
David Laibson

Learning in the Credit Card Market
w13808 Erzo F.P. Luttmer
Richard J. Zeckhauser

Schedule Selection by Agents: from Price Plans to Tax Tables
w13766 Michael Ostrovsky
Michael Schwarz

Information Disclosure and Unraveling in Matching Markets
w13752 Alma Cohen
Asymmetric Learning in Repeated Contracting: An Empirical Study
w13726 Julia Coronado
Olivia S. Mitchell
Steven A. Sharpe
S. Blake Nesbitt

Footnotes Aren't Enough: The Impact of Pension Accounting on Stock Values
2007
w13699 Young Han Lee
Ulrike Malmendier

The Bidder's Curse
w13637 Brian Knight
Nathan Schiff

Momentum and Social Learning in Presidential Primaries
w13623 Justine S. Hastings
Jeffrey M. Weinstein

Information, School Choice, and Academic Achievement: Evidence from Two Experiments
w13590 George-Marios Angeletos
Alessandro Pavan

Policy with Dispersed Information
w13584 Thomas Philippon
Yuliy Sannikov

Real Options in a Dynamic Agency Model, with Applications to Financial Development, IPOs, and Business Risk
w13579 Geoffrey Heal
Howard Kunreuther

Social Reinforcement: Cascades, Entrapment and Tipping
w13570 Ulrike Malmendier
Geoffrey Tate
Jonathan Yan

Corporate Financial Policies With Overconfident Managers
w13564 Steven Shavell
Eminent Domain Versus Government Purchase of Land Given Imperpect Information About Owners' Valuation
w13540 Oliver Hart
Hold-up, Asset Ownership, and Reference Points
w13516 Hongbin Cai
Yuyu Chen
Hanming Fang

Observational Learning: Evidence from a Randomized Natural Field Experiment
w13481 Oliver D. Hart
Reference Points and the Theory of the Firm
w13445 Richard G. Frank
Richard J. Zeckhauser

Custom Made Versus Ready to Wear Treatments; Behavioral Propensities in Physician's Choices
w13414 Lars E.O. Svensson
Noah M. Williams

Bayesian and Adaptive Optimal Policy under Model Uncertainty
w13401 Bernard Dumas
Alexander Kurshev
Raman Uppal

Equilibrium Portfolio Strategies in the Presence of Sentiment Risk and Excess Volatility
w13392 Kerwin Kofi Charles
Erik Hurst
Nikolai Roussanov

Conspicuous Consumption and Race
w13385 Nicholas Bloom
The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks
w13370 Jeremy C. Stein
Conversations Among Competitors
w13366 Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
Laura Veldkamp

Information Immobility and the Home Bias Puzzle
w13259 Stefano Eusepi
Bruce Preston

Central Bank Communication and Expectations Stabilization
w13228 Liran Einav
Amy Finkelstein
Paul Schrimpf

The Welfare Cost of Asymmetric Information: Evidence from the U.K. Annuity Market
w13204 Veronica Guerrieri
Guido Lorenzoni

Liquidity and Trading Dynamics
w13201 Zoran Ivkovich
Scott Weisbenner

Information Diffusion Effects in Individual Investors' Common Stock Purchases Covet Thy Neighbors' Investment Choices
w13191 Sumit Agarwal
John C. Driscoll
Xavier Gabaix
David Laibson

The Age of Reason: Financial Decisions Over the Lifecycle
w13172 Sinan Aral
Erik Brynjolfsson
Marshall Van Alstyne

Information, Technology and Information Worker Productivity: Task Level Evidence
w13163 Rafael Di Tella
Federico Weinschelbaum

Choosing Agents and Monitoring Consumption: A Note on Wealth as a Corruption-Controlling Device
w13140 Meghan R. Busse
Duncan Simester
Florian Zettelmeyer

"The Best Price You'll Ever Get" The 2005 Employee Discount Pricing Promotions in the U.S. Automobile Industry
w13124 Ulrike Malmendier
Devin Shanthikumar

Do Security Analysts Speak in Two Tongues?
w13009 Justine S. Hastings
Jeffrey M. Weinstein

No Child Left Behind: Estimating the Impact on Choices and Student Outcomes
w13005 Hirofumi Uchida
Gregory F.Udell
Wako Watanabe

Bank Size and Lending Relationships in Japan
w12995 Justine S. Hastings
Richard Van Weelden
Jeffrey Weinstein

Preferences, Information, and Parental Choice Behavior in Public School Choice
w12994 Orazio Attanasio
Nicola Pavoni

Risk Sharing in Private Information Models with Asset Accumulation: Explaining the Excess Smoothness of Consumption
w12941 Ginger Zhe Jin
Alex Whalley

The Power of Attention: Do Rankings Affect the Financial Resources of Public Colleges?
w12940 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Christian Gollier
Jonathan A. Parker

Optimal Beliefs, Asset Prices, and the Preference for Skewed Returns
w12936 Nicholas Barberis
Ming Huang

Stocks as Lotteries: The Implications of Probability Weighting for Security Prices
w12898 Guido Lorenzoni
News Shocks and Optimal Monetary Policy
w12841 Nicholas Bloom
Uncertainty and the Dynamics of R&D
w12827 Alexander Muermann
Howard Kunreuther

Self-Protection and Insurance with Interdependencies
2006
w12778 George-Marios Angeletos
Alessandro Pavan

Socially Optimal Coordination: Characterization and Policy Implications
w12776 A. Mitchell Polinsky
Steven Shavell

Mandatory Versus Voluntary Disclosure of Product Risks
w12752 Robert S. Pindyck
Uncertainty In Environmental Economics
w12709 Kelly Shue
Erzo F. P. Luttmer

Who Misvotes? The Effect of Differential Cognition Costs on Election Outcomes
w12706 Oliver Hart
John Moore

Contracts as Reference Points
w12670 Dimitri Vayanos
Pierre-Olivier Weill

A Search-Based Theory of the On-the-Run Phenomenon
w12659 John Beshears
James J. Choi
David Laibson
Brigitte C. Madrian

Simplification and Saving
w12648 Daron Acemoglu
Victor Chernozhukov
Muhamet Yildiz

Learning and Disagreement in an Uncertain World
w12615 Ahmed Khwaja
Dan Silverman
Frank Sloan

Time Preference, Time Discounting, and Smoking Decisions
w12606 Thomas Sargent
Noah Williams
Tao Zha

The Conquest of South American Inflation
w12582 W. Kip Viscusi
Richard J. Zeckhauser

National Survey Evidence on Disasters and Relief: Risk Beliefs, Self-Interest, and Compassion
w12557 Laura Veldkamp
Justin Wolfers

Aggregate Shocks or Aggregate Information? Costly Information and Business Cycle Comovement
w12505 Flavio Cunha
James J. Heckman

A New Framework for the Analysis of Inequality
w12477 Guido Lorenzoni
A Theory of Demand Shocks
w12455 Naomi R. Lamoreaux
Jean-Laurent Rosenthal

Contractual Tradeoffs and SMEs Choice of Organizational Form, A View from U.S. and French History, 1830-2000
w12445 Patrick Bajari
Han Hong
Ahmed Khwaja

Moral Hazard, Adverse Selection and Health Expenditures: A Semiparametric Analysis
w12441 Bennett T. McCallum
E-Stability vis-a-vis Determinacy Results for a Broad Class of Linear Rational Expectations Models
w12428 Benjamin A. Olken
Corruption Perceptions vs. Corruption Reality
w12419 Stefania Albanesi
Optimal Taxation of Entrepreneurial Capital with Private Information
w12390 Ginger Zhe Jin
Andrew Kato
John A. List

That's News to Me! Information Revelation in Professional Certification Markets
w12383 Nick Bloom
John Van Reenen
Stephen Bond

Uncertainty and Investment Dynamics
w12359 Yingjin Hila Gan
Christopher Mayer

Agency Conflicts, Asset Substitution, and Securitization
w12348 W. Kip Viscusi
Patricia Born

The Catastrophic Effects of Natural Disasters on Insurance Markets
w12289 Hanming Fang
Michael P. Keane
Dan Silverman

Sources of Advantageous Selection: Evidence from the Medigap Insurance Market
w12286 Julie Berry Cullen
Randall Reback

Tinkering Toward Accolades: School Gaming Under a Performance Accountability System
w12281 Geoffrey Heal
Howard Kunreuther

Supermodularity and Tipping
w12263 Ken Hendricks
Alan Sorensen

Information Spillovers in the Market for Recorded Music
w12261 James J. Choi
David Laibson
Brigitte C. Madrian

Why Does the Law of One Price Fail? An Experiment on Index Mutual Funds
w12255 Carolyn Kousky
Erzo F.P. Luttmer
Richard J. Zeckhauser

Private Investment and Government Protection
w12252 Ana Carla A. Costa
Joao M.P. De Mello

Judicial Risk and Credit Market Performance: Micro Evidence from Brazilian Payroll Loans
w12245 E. Han Kim
Adair Morse
Luigi Zingales

Are Elite Universities Losing Their Competitive Edge?
w12239 Louis Kaplow
Discounting Dollars, Discounting Lives: Intergenerational Distributive Justice and Efficiency
w12205 Amy Finkelstein
James Poterba
Casey Rothschild

Redistribution by Insurance Market Regulation: Analyzing a Ban on Gender-Based Retirement Annuities
w12200 Justin Wolfers
Eric Zitzewitz

Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
w12156 Mark Coppejans
Donna Gilleskie
Holger Sieg
Koleman Strumpf

Consumer Demand under Price Uncertainty: Empirical Evidence from the Market for Cigarettes
w12112 Amy Finkelstein
James Poterba

Testing for Asymmetric Information Using 'Unused Observables' in Insurance Markets: Evidence from the U.K. Annuity Market
w12089 Bennett T. McCallum
Edward Nelson

Monetary and Fiscal Theories of the Price Level: The Irreconcilable Differences
w12083 Justin Wolfers
Eric Zitzewitz

Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice
w12067 Raj Chetty
A Bound on Risk Aversion Using Labor Supply Elasticities
w12060 Justin Wolfers
Eric Zitzewitz

Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets
w12053 Andrew Leigh
Justin Wolfers

Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets
w12051 Patrick Bajari
Stephanie Houghton
Steve Tadelis

Bidding for Incomplete Contracts: An Empirical Analysis
w11967 John Kennan
Private Information, Wage Bargaining and Employment Fluctuations
w11942 Marc Giannoni
Robust Optimal Policy in a Forward-Looking Model with Parameter and Shock Uncertainty
w11929 Refet Gurkaynak
Justin Wolfers

Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk
w11922 Pierpaolo Benigno
Anastasios Karantounias

Overconfidence, Subjective Perception and Pricing Behavior
w11914 A. Burak Güner
Ulrike Malmendier
Geoffrey Tate

Financial Expertise of Directors
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w11896 Michael Woodford
Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy with Near Rational Expectations
w11892 Marianne Bertrand
Dean Karlin
Sendhil Mullainathan
Eldar Shafir
Jonathan Zinman

What's Psychology Worth? A Field Experiment in the Consumer Credit Market
w11867 Patrick Bolton
Antoine Faure-Grimaud

Thinking Ahead: The Decision Problem
w11848 Charles F. Manski
Search Profiling with Partial Knowledge of Deterrence
w11826 George-Marios Angeletos
Alessandro Pavan

Efficiency and Welfare with Complementarities and Asymmetric Information
w11781 Steven Shavell
Liability for Accidents
w11770 Toshiaki Iizuka
Ginger Zhe Jin

Drug Advertising and Health Habit
w11755 Xavier Gabaix
David Laibson

Shrouded Attributes, Consumer Myopia, and Information Suppression in Competitive Markets
w11741 Guenter Franke
Jan Pieter Krahnen

Default Risk Sharing Between Banks and Markets: The Contribution of Collateralized Debt Obligations
t0317 George W. Evans
Seppo Honkapohja
Noah Williams

Generalized Stochastic Gradient Learning
w11689 Robert Shimer
Ivan Werning

Liquidity and Insurance for the Unemployed
w11664 Matthew Gentzkow
Jesse Shapiro

Media Bias and Reputation
w11648 Luigi Guiso
Paola Sapienza
Luigi Zingales

Trusting the Stock Market
w11588 Stephen H. Shore
Todd Sinai

Commitment, Risk, and Consumption: Do Birds of a Feather Have Bigger Nests?
w11579 Bernadette A. Minton
René Stulz
Rohan Williamson

How Much Do Banks Use Credit Derivatives to Reduce Risk?
w11549 Andrew Epstein
Sean Nicholson

The Formation and Evolution of Physician Treatment Styles: An Application to Cesarean Sections
w11537 Lars E.O. Svensson
Social Value of Public Information: Morris and Shin (2002) Is Actually Pro Transparency, Not Con
w11535 Roland Bénabou
Jean Tirole

Incentives and Prosocial Behavior
w11515 Florian Zettelmeyer
Fiona Scott Morton
Jorge Silva-Risso

How the Internet Lowers Prices: Evidence from Matched Survey and Auto Transaction Data
w11485 Wojciech Kopczuk
Joel Slemrod

Denial of Death and Economic Behavior
w11461 Alma Cohen
Liran Einav

Estimating Risk Preferences from Deductible Choice
w11442 Mark Carey
Rene M. Stulz

The Risks of Financial Institutions
w11420 Leemore Dafny
David Dranove

Do Report Cards Tell Consumers Anything They Don't Already Know? The Case of Medicare HMOs
w11313 Jeff Dominitz
Charles F. Manski

Measuring and Interpreting Expectations of Equity Returns
w11287 Jonathan Guryan
Melissa S. Kearney

Lucky Stores, Gambling, and Addiction: Empirical Evidence from State Lottery Sales
w11284 Steven Shavell
Contracts, Holdup, and Legal Intervention
w11227 A. Mitchell Polinsky
Daniel L. Rubinfeld

A Damage-Revelation Rationale for Coupon Remedies
w11208 Roland Benabou
Jean Tirole

Belief in a Just World and Redistributive Politics
w11128 Marie Thursby
Jerry Thursby
Emmanuel Dechenaux

Shirking, Sharing Risk, and Shelving: The Role of University License Contracts
w11053 Steven D. Levitt
Chad Syverson

Market Distortions when Agents are Better Informed: The Value of Information in Real Estate Transactions
w11039 Amy Finkelstein
Kathleen McGarry
Amir Sufi

Dynamic Inefficiencies in Insurance Markets: Evidence from long-term care insurance
w11024 Flavio Cunha
James J. Heckman
Salvador Navarro

Separating Uncertainty from Heterogeneity in Life Cycle Earnings
2004
w11017 George-Marios Angeletos
Christian Hellwig
Alessandro Pavan

Information Dynamics and Equilibrium Multiplicity in Global Games of Regime Change
w11015 George-Marios Angeletos
Ivan Werning

Crises and Prices: Information Aggregation, Multiplicity and Volatility
w10970 Raj Chetty
Adam Szeidl

Consumption Commitments and Habit Formation
w10943 Xinyu Hua
Kathryn E. Spier

Information and Externalities in Sequential Litigation
w10887 Meghan Busse
Florian Zettelmeyer
Jorge Silva-Risso

$1000 Cash Back: Asymmetric Information in Auto Manufaturer Promotions
w10883 Ricardo Reis
Inattentive Consumers
w10879 Paul Willen
Igal Hendel
Joel Shapiro

Educational Opportunity and Income Inequality
w10867 Christopher Carroll
Theoretical Foundations of Buffer Stock Saving
w10813 Ulrike Malmendier
Geoffrey Tate

Who Makes Acquisitions? CEO Overconfidence and the Market's Reaction
w10763 David H. Autor
David Scarborough

Will Job Testing Harm Minority Workers?
w10759 Isaac Ehrlich
Yong Yin

Explaining Diversities in Age-Specific Life Expectancies and Values of Life Saving: A Numerical Analysis
w10754 Steven Shavell
The Appeals Process and Adjudicator Incentives
w10707 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Jonathan A. Parker

Optimal Expectations
w10706 Geoffrey Heal
Howard Kunreuther

Interdependent Security: A General Model
w10675 Zoran Ivkovich
Clemens Sialm
Scott Weisbenner

Portfolio Concentration and the Performance of Individual Investors
w10664 Josh Lerner
Jean Tirole

A Model of Forum Shopping, with Special Reference to Standard Setting Organizations
w10615 Peter M. DeMarzo
Yuliy Sannikov

A Continuous-Time Agency Model of Optimal Contracting and Capital Structure
w10597 David Backus
Bryan Routledge
Stanley Zin

Exotic Preferences for Macroeconomists
w10594 Dennis W. Carlton
James D. Dana

Product Variety and Demand Uncertainty
w10504 Justin Wolfers
Eric Zitzewitz

Prediction Markets
w10500 Raj Chetty
Optimal Unemployment Insurance When Income Effects are Large
w10436 Zoran Ivkovich
Scott Weisbenner

Information Diffusion Effects in Individual Investors' Common Stock Purchases: Covet Thy Neighbors' Investment Choices
w10397 Oliver Hart
John Moore

Agreeing Now to Agree Later: Contracts that Rule Out but do not Rule In
w10391 George-Marios Angeletos
Alessandro Pavan

Transparency of Information and Coordination in Economies with Investment Complementarities
w10386 M. Kate Bundorf
Laurence Baker
Sara Singer
Todd Wagner

Consumer Demand for Health Information on the Internet
w10359 Charles F. Manski
Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets
w10354 Raj Chetty
Interest Rates and Backward-Bending Investment
w10257 Steven Haider
Melvin Stephens Jr.

Is There a Retirement-Consumption Puzzle? Evidence Using Subjective Retirement Expectations
w10227 Ann Dryden Witte
Magaly Queralt

What Happens When Child Care Inspections and Complaints Are Made Available on the Internet?
w10226 Mark Grinblatt
Matti Keloharju
Seppo Ikaheimo

Interpersonal Effects in Consumption: Evidence from the Automobile Purchases of Neighbors
w10211 Raj Chetty
Consumption Commitments, Unemployment Durations, and Local Risk Aversion
2003
w10105 Philip A. Haile
Han Hong
Matthew Shum

Nonparametric Tests for Common Values at First-Price Sealed-Bid Auctions
w10104 Roland G. Fryer
Glenn C. Loury

Categorical Redistribution in Winner-Take-All Markets
w10094 Steven Shavell
On the Writing and the Interpretation of Contracts
w10076 Patrick Bajari
Ali Hortacsu

Economic Insights from Internet Auctions: A Survey
w10056 Wouter Dessein
Tano Santos

The Demand for Coordination
w10013 Harrison Hong
Jeremy C. Stein

Simple Forecasts and Paradigm Shifts
w9997 Nicholas Barberis
Ming Huang
Richard Thaler

Individual Preferences, Monetary Gambles and the Equity Premium
w9988 Raj Chetty
A New Method of Estimating Risk Aversion
w9957 Amy Finkelstein
Kathleen McGarry

Private Information and its Effect on Market Equilibrium: New Evidence from Long-Term Care Insurance
w9926 Jeff Dominitz
Charles F. Manski

How Should We Measure Consumer Confidence (Sentiment)? Evidence from the Michigan Survey of Consumers
w9925 Mark V. Pauly
Kate H. Withers
Krupa Subramanian-Viswana
Jean Lemaire
John C. Hershey

Price Elasticity of Demand for Term Life Insurance and Adverse Selection
w9904 David Austen-Smith
Roland G. Fryer

The Economics of 'Acting White'
w9885 Geoffrey Heal
Howard Kunreuther

You Only Die Once: Managing Discrete Interdependent Risks
w9863 Jay Bhattacharya
Dana Goldman
Neeraj Sood

Market Evidence of Misperceived Prices and Mistaken Mortality Risks
w9852 Louis Kaplow
The Value of a Statistical Life and the Coefficient of Relative Risk Aversion
w9798 Jeff Dominitz
Charles F. Manski
Jordan Heinz

"Will Social Security Be There For You?": How Americans Perceive Their Benefits
w9797 Kenneth Leonard
Joshua Graff Zivin

Outcome Versus Service Based Payment in Health Care: Lessons from African Traditional Healers
w9796 N. Gregory Mankiw
Ricardo Reis
Justin Wolfers

Disagreement about Inflation Expectations
w9767 George-Marios Angeletos
Christian Hellwig
Alessandro Pavan

Coordination and Policy Traps
w9711 Harrison Hong
Jeffrey D. Kubik
Jeremy C. Stein

The Neighbor's Portfolio: Word-of-Mouth Effects in the Holdings and Trade of Money Managers
w9699 Steven Shavell
Economic Analysis of the General Structure of the Law
w9698 Steven Shavell
Economic Analysis of Public Law Enforcement and Criminal Law
w9696 Steven Shavell
Economic Analysis of Contract Law
w9694 Steven Shavell
Economic Analysis of Accident Law
w9678 Joshua Graff Zivin
Richard Just
David Zilberman

Risk Aversion, Liability Rules, and Safety
w9579 Roland G. Fryer
Jr.
Matthew O. Jackson

Categorical Cognition: A Psychological Model of Categories and Identification in Decision Making
w9508 Melvin Stephens
Jr.

Job Loss Expectations, Realizations, and Household Consumption Behavior
w9483 Steven Shavell
Economic Analysis of Accident Law
w9474 Lance Lochner
Individual Perceptions of the Criminal Justice System
2002
w9388 Eduardo Jallath-Coria
Tridas Mukhopadhyay
Amir Yaron

How Well Do Banks Manage Their Reserves?
w9328 Robert C. Feenstra
Gordon H. Hanson
Songhua Lin

The Value of Information in International Trade: Gains to Outsourcing through Hong Kong
w9299 Mark V. Pauly
Bradley Herring
David Song

Health Insurance on the Internet and the Economics of Search
w9283 Roberton Williams
Prices vs. Quantities vs. Tradable Quantities
w9260 R. Gaston Gelos
Shang-Jin Wei

Transparency and International Investor Behavior
w9173 Jonathan Katz Nelson
Richard J. Zeckhauser

A Renaissance Instrument to Support Nonprofits: The Sale of Private Chapels in Florentine Churches
w9073 Mark Coppejans
Holger Sieg

Price Uncertainty, Tax Policy, and Addiction: Evidence and Implications
w9050 Neil Doherty
Kent Smetters

Moral Hazard in Reinsurance Markets
w9035 Amy Finkelstein
When Can Partial Public Insurance Produce Pareto Improvements?
w8979 D. Lee Heavner
Lance Lochner

Social Networks and the Aggregation on Individual Decisions
w8885 Esther Duflo
Emmanuel Saez

The Role of Information and Social Interactions in Retirement Plan Decisions: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment
w8718 Jeff Dominitz
Charles F. Manski
Jordan Heinz

Social Security Expectations and Retirement Savings Decisions
2001
w8673 Michael Woodford
Imperfect Common Knowledge and the Effects of Monetary Policy
w8669 Hans-Werner Sinn
Risk Taking, Limited Liability and the Competition of Bank Regulators
w8626 Mireia Jofre-Bonet
Martin Pesendorfer

Estimation of a Dynamic Auction Game
w8589 Michael Chernew
Gautam Gowrisankaran
Dennis P. Scanlon

Learning and the Value of Information: Evidence From Health Plan Report Cards
w8548 Alan T. Sorensen
An Empirical Model of Heterogeneous Consumer Search for Retail Prescription Drugs
w8445 Canice J. Prendergast
Consumers and Agency Problems
w8376 Luis Garicano
Ignacio Palacios
Canice Prendergast

Favoritism Under Social Pressure
w8291 H. Naci Mocan
Can Consumers Detect Lemons? Information Asymmetry in the Market for Child Care
w8233 Christopher D. Carroll
Precautionary Saving and the Marginal Propensity to Consume out of Permanent Income
w8088 Gordon H. Hanson
Robert C. Feenstra

Intermediaries in Entrepot Trade: Hong Kong Re-Exports of Chinese Goods
2000
w8045 Amy Finkelstein
James Poterba

Adverse Selection in Insurance Markets: Policyholder Evidence from the U.K. Annuity Market
w8030 Christopher L. House
John V. Leahy

An sS Model with Adverse Selection
t0263 Charles F. Manski
Using Studies of Treatment Response to Inform Treatment Choice in Heterogeneous Populations
w7976 Christian Keuschnigg
Soren Bo Nielsen

Tax Policy, Venture Capital, and Entrepreneurship
w7839 Christopher D. Carroll
'Risky Habits' and the Marginal Propensity to Consume Out of Permanent Income, or, How Much Would a Permanent Tax Cut Boost Japanese Consumption?
w7812 Jeffrey R. Brown
Olivia S. Mitchell
James M. Poterba

Mortality Risk, Inflation Risk, and Annuity Products
w7781 Jonathan Gruber
Risky Behavior Among Youths: An Economic Analysis
w7736 Assaf Razin
Efraim Sadka
Chi-Wa Yuen

Do Debt Flows Crowd Out Equity Flows Or the Other Way Round?
w7735 Esther Duflo
Emmanuel Saez

Participation and Investment Decisions in a Retirement Plan: The Influence of Colleagues' Choices
w7699 Jonathan Lewellen
Jay Shanken

Estimation Risk, Market Efficiency, and the Predictability of Returns
w7637 David H. Autor
Why Do Temporary Help Firms Provide Free General Skills Training?
1999
t0244 Allan Drazen
Plutarchos Sakellaris

News About News: Information Arrival and Irreversible Investment
w7185 Susan Athey
Jonathan Levin

Information and Competition in U.S. Forest Service Timber Auctions
w7166 Jens Ludwig
Philip J. Cook

The Benefits of Reducing Gun Violence: Evidence from Contingent-Valuation Survey Data
w7020 Steven Huddart
Ravi Jagannathan
Jane Saly

Valuing the Reload Features of Executive Stock Options
w6986 Dobrin R. Kolev
Thomas J. Prusa

Dumping and Double Crossing: The (In)Effectiveness of Cost-Based Trade Policy Under Incomplete Information
w6875 Bengt Holmstrom
Managerial Incentive Problems: A Dynamic Perspective
1998
w6832 Marianne Bertrand
Erzo F.P. Luttmer
Sendhil Mullainathan

Network Effects and Welfare Cultures
w6830 Marianne Bertrand
Sendhil Mullainathan

Executive Compensation and Incentives: The Impact of Takeover Legislation
w6715 Eli Berman
Sect, Subsidy, and Sacrifice: An Economist's View of Ultra-Orthodox Jews
w6689 Eduardo M.R.A. Engel
Ronald D. Fischer
Alexander Galetovic

Least-Present-Value-of-Revenue Auctions and Highway Franchising
w6686 Daron Acemoglu
Robert Shimer

Efficient Unemployment Insurance
w6577 Igal Hendel
Alessandro Lizzeri

The Role of Leasing under Adverse Selection
w6568 Christopher D. Carroll
Byung-Kun Rhee
Changyong Rhee

Does Cultural Origin Affect Saving Behavior? Evidence from Immigrants
t0231 Bernard Dumas
Raman Uppal
Tan Wang

Efficient Intertemporal Allocations with Recursive Utility
w6355 Paul Beaudry
Charles Blackorby

Taxes and Employment Subsidies in Optimal Redistribution Programs
1997
w6279 Joseph G. Altonji
Charles R. Pierret

Employer Learning and Statistical Discrimination
w6194 Igal Hendel
Alessandro Lizzeri

Adverse Selection in Durable Goods Markets
t0199 Robert Gibbons
An Introduction to Applicable Game Theory
w6090 Dobrin R. Kolev
Thomas J. Prusa

Tariff Policy for a Monopolist Under Incomplete Information
w6081 Christopher D. Carroll
Wendy E. Dunn

Unemployment Expectations, Jumping (S,s) Triggers, and Household Balance Sheets
w5971 Avinash Dixit
Robert S. Pindyck
Sigbjorn Sodal

A Markup Interpretation of Optimal Rules for Irreversible Investment
1996
w5765 Canice Prendergast
Lars A. Stole

Non-Monetary Exchange Within Firms and Industry
w5692 Christina D. Romer
David H. Romer

Federal Reserve Private Information and the Behavior of Interest Rates
w5669 John Cawley
Tomas Philipson

An Empirical Examination of Information Barriers to Trade in Insurance
w5605 Daron Acemoglu
Jorn-Steffen Pischke

Why Do Firms Train? Theory and Evidence
1995
w5284 Owen Lamont
Macroeconomics Forecasts and Microeconomic Forecasters
w5213 Robert B. Barsky
Miles S. Kimball
F. Thomas Juster
Matthew D. Shapiro

Preference Parameters and Behavioral Heterogeneity: An Experimental Approach in the Health and Retirement Survey
w5071 Michel Glower
Donald R. Haurin
Patric H. Hendershott

Selling Price and Selling Time: The Impact of Seller Motivation
w5007 Aaron S. Edlin
Stefan Reichelstein

Holdups, Standard Breach Remedies, and Optimal Investment
1994
w4796 Roger H. Gordon
A. Lans Bovenberg

Why is Capital so Immobile Internationally?: Possible Explanations and Implications for Capital Income Taxation
w4700 Paul Gertler
Roland Sturm
Bruce Davidson

Information and the Demand for Supplemental Medicare Insurance
w4652 Karla Hoff
Andrew B. Lyon

Non-Leaky Buckets: Optimal Redistributive Taxation and Agency Costs
1993
w4605 Kenneth Hendricks
Robert H. Porter

Determinants of the Timing and Incidence of Exploratory Drilling on Offshort Wildcat Tracts
w4290 Louis Kaplow
Optimal Insurance Contracts When Establishing The Amount of Losses is Costly
1992
w4185 Robert H. Porter
The Role of Information in U.S. Offshore Oil and Gas Lease Auctions
w3958 Louis Kaplow
A Model of the Optimal Complexity of Rules
1991
w3868 Louis Kaplow
Steven Shavell

Private Versus Socially Optimal Provision of Ex Ante Legal Advice
w3798 Francois Degeorge
Richard Zeckhauser

Information Handling and Firm Performance: Evidence from Reverse LBOs
w3769 Charles T. Clotfelter
Philip J. Cook

The "Gambler's Fallacy" in Lottery Play
w3766 Philip J. Cook
Charles T. Clotfelter

The Peculiar Scale Economies of Lotto
w3714 Joseph G. Altonji
The Demand for and Return to Education When Education Outcomes are Uncertain

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